CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025

📊 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025 – TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY INDEX READING

INDEX LEVEL: 🟠 HIGH (70–89)

TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 88/100

TREND ANALYSIS: 📈 RISING

🌡️ GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

• Index Reading: 75/100 🟠
• Status: The capital is extremely tense following the deadly Israeli strikes in the Beqaa. The city is the epicenter of the diplomatic crisis, with the government now in possession of a firm U.S. response demanding a time-bound disarmament of Hezbollah. The risk of major protests or politically-motivated violence is severe.
• Key Factor: Extreme political pressure from the U.S. diplomatic track, combined with public anger and potential for unrest following the Beqaa strikes.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

• Index Reading: 50/100 🟡
• Status: While kinetically calm, the governorate’s stability is highly fragile. The major escalation in the Beqaa has shattered any sense of contained conflict, raising anxiety and the potential for new waves of internal displacement should the situation deteriorate further.
• Key Factor: Indirect but severe impact from the major escalation in the Beqaa and the deteriorating national security environment.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

• Index Reading: 93/100 🔴
• Status: The security situation remains critical. The July 8 strike near Tripoli established the region as an active front, and the new, deeper strikes in the Beqaa reinforce the assessment that Israel is willing and able to operate far from the southern border, anywhere in the country.
• Key Factor: Aftermath of the recent assassination, now compounded by a new precedent for deep, mass-casualty strikes elsewhere in Lebanon.

AKKAR 🌲

• Index Reading: 95/100 🔴
• Status: The risk level is extreme and rising. Violent sectarian clashes continue to rage in Sweida, Syria, on the governorate’s border, with the death toll now exceeding 240. This creates a highly unpredictable vector for spillover.
• Key Factor: Extreme threat from border porosity, now acutely heightened by the unabated, violent instability in Syria’s Sweida province.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

• Index Reading: 92/100 🔴
• Status: The risk level has escalated to critical. While the deadliest strikes occurred in the adjacent Baalbek-Hermel governorate, the entire valley is now considered a high-threat area for Israeli military action, as it serves as a strategic rear base and logistical corridor for Hezbollah.
• Key Factor: Proximity to major Israeli airstrikes and its strategic value as a Hezbollah logistics hub.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

• Index Reading: 99/100 🔴
• Status: The governorate is now an active and primary conflict zone. The death toll from the July 15 Israeli airstrikes has risen to 12, including five confirmed Hezbollah members and seven Syrian nationals, in what is being described as the deadliest series of strikes since 2024.
• Key Factor: Aftermath of major, deep-penetration Israeli airstrikes that caused mass casualties and targeted strategic Hezbollah infrastructure.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

• Index Reading: 42/100 🟢
• Status: This remains the calmest governorate, but the illusion of safety is eroding. Israeli warplanes were reported overflying the Jbeil area at low altitude in connection with the Beqaa strikes, demonstrating a nationwide operational reach.
• Key Factor: No direct threats, but risks are rising due to the expanding geographic scope of Israeli air operations.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

• Index Reading: 97/100 🔴
• Status: The region remains an extreme-risk conflict zone. While the last 24-48 hours saw a tactical shift in Israeli operational focus to the Beqaa, the South remains saturated with military forces and targets. The threat of air and ground operations is constant.
• Key Factor: Active conflict zone with persistent Israeli air and ground operations; a temporary lull does not reduce the overall risk.

NABATIEH ⛪

• Index Reading: 98/100 🔴
• Status: Remains the most intense and consistent conflict zone. The lack of strikes in the last 24 hours is tactical, not strategic. The region is the primary theater for targeted killings and is on a knife-edge pending Hezbollah’s response to the Beqaa escalation.
• Key Factor: The most consistent kinetic theater for targeted assassinations and military strikes.

🎯 TODAY’S SECURITY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF – CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025

🔥 HIGH-RISK AREAS TO MONITOR:

• Location 1: Baalbek-Hermel Governorate (Shmustar, Bodai, Taraya): Aftermath of major, deep-penetration Israeli airstrikes with a death toll of 12. The area is extremely volatile.
• Location 2: Akkar Border Region: High risk of spillover from the unabated, violent clashes in Sweida, Syria, where the death toll has reached 248.
• Location 3: South of the Litani River: Remains an active war zone. The lack of recent kinetic activity is tactical and should not be mistaken for de-escalation.

✅ SECURE ZONES:

• Area 1: Jbeil & Batroun Districts: Continue to be the most stable areas, though subject to Israeli overflights.
• Area 2: Central Mount Lebanon: Kinetically calm but experiencing high tension and increased security presence due to the national crisis.
• Area 3: Central Beirut Neighborhoods: Suitable for operations with extreme vigilance; avoid all protests or large gatherings as the political situation is explosive.

⚠️ CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025 – AVOID TODAY:

• The entire Baalbek-Hermel Governorate – This is an active, primary conflict zone and the site of a mass-casualty event.
• The Lebanese-Syrian border in Akkar – High risk of spillover from the violent conflict in Sweida, Syria.
• All areas south of the Litani River – An ongoing, unpredictable war zone.

📱CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025 – PROFESSIONAL SECURITY GUIDANCE

🏠 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025 – FOR RESIDENTS:

• Situational Awareness: The conflict has entered a new, more dangerous phase with deep, mass-casualty strikes in the Beqaa. No region can be considered entirely safe from air threats.
• Home Security: Ensure shelter-in-place kits are stocked for a minimum of 10 days. The LAF’s recent operations in Baalbek-Hermel indicate a state attempt to assert control, which could also lead to internal friction.
• Movement Guidance: Avoid all non-essential travel. The strikes in the Beqaa occurred near major transport arteries, making daytime travel on highways a potential risk.

🏢 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025 – FOR BUSINESSES:

• Supply Chain Collapse: The targeting of the Beqaa Valley, a critical agricultural and logistical hub, will have severe and immediate impacts on supply chains nationwide. Activate all contingency plans.
• Staff Safety: Suspend all operations and staff travel to the Baalbek-Hermel and Bekaa governorates immediately, in addition to all other high-risk zones.
• Business Continuity: Hezbollah has issued a strong statement condemning the attack but has not yet retaliated kinetically. This period of strategic ambiguity is extremely dangerous. All businesses must be on maximum alert for a rapid deterioration of the security situation.

🚗 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025 – FOR TRAVELERS:

• DO NOT TRAVEL: The security situation is extremely volatile and dangerous. All foreign government advisories recommend against any travel to Lebanon. Commercial flights could be suspended with no notice.
• New Air Threat: The deep strikes in the Beqaa demonstrate that Israeli air operations can occur anywhere in the country, at any time, far from the southern border.
• Border Instability: The Syrian border in the north and east is now a major flashpoint. Do not approach these areas under any circumstances.

🔮 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025 – 24-HOUR SECURITY FORECAST

• Predicted Index Reading: 90/100
• Forecast Trend: ⚡ VOLATILE
• Expected Factors: The primary variable is Hezbollah’s response to the major Israeli strikes on its strategic assets in the Beqaa. Hezbollah has now issued a strong condemnation, calling the attack a “terrible massacre” and putting pressure on the Lebanese government to act. The lack of an immediate military response is not indicative of de-escalation; a delayed or asymmetric retaliation remains a strong possibility. This is a critical 24-48 hour period.
• Preparation Recommendation: All residents and organizations must prepare for a potential, rapid escalation to a wider conflict. Review shelter-in-place plans and ensure a minimum of 10 days of essential supplies are on hand.

📊 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025 – WEEKLY SECURITY ANALYSIS

• This Week’s Average: 91/100
• Change from Last Week: +13 points
• Monthly Trend: Deteriorating. The security situation has sharply deteriorated. The Israeli strikes on Hezbollah’s strategic depth in the Beqaa Valley, resulting in 12 fatalities, represent the most significant escalation since the November 2024 ceasefire. This fundamentally changes the nature of the conflict from border management to a direct campaign against Hezbollah’s core capabilities.
• Seasonal Assessment: Not applicable. The situation is driven entirely by military and political factors.

🛡️ ABOUT THE CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 16 2025

The CIS Lebanon Security Index™ represents Lebanon’s first professional daily security assessment tool. Powered by CIS Security’s 35+ years of trusted protection services, this intelligence platform converts real-time security data into clear, actionable guidance for residents, businesses, and organizations.

Intelligence Sources:

• Verified security incidents and threat reports
• Military and government security alerts
• Regional political and security developments
• Environmental and weather-related security factors
• Real-time field intelligence from CIS operations
• Professional threat analysis

📞 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES

Emergency Contact: +961-3-539900

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Available 24/7:

• ✅ Professional Security Guards – Trained, uniformed personnel
• ✅ Emergency Building Protection – Rapid deployment services
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🚨 ESSENTIAL LEBANON EMERGENCY CONTACTS

Government Emergency Services:

• 🚑 Lebanese Red Cross: 140
• 🚓 Internal Security Forces (Police): 112
• 🔥 Civil Defense (Fire/Rescue): 175
• 🏥 Emergency Medical Services: 140
• ⚡ Electricité du Liban (EDL): 1707
• 💧 Water Emergency: 1594
• 🛣️ Traffic Control: 1717

Military & Security:

• 🪖 Lebanese Armed Forces: 1701
• 🛡️ General Security: 1717
• 🔒 State Security: 1717
• 🌊 Maritime Security: 1625

Specialized Services:

• ☎️ Telecom Emergency: 110
• 🏦 Banking Emergency: 1702
• 🆘 General Emergency: 999
• 📞 Directory Assistance: 120

🔗 STAY INFORMED

• 📊 Daily Index: 8:00 AM Lebanon Time on Instagram
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• 💬 Private Consultations: DM for confidential security assessments
• 🔔 Emergency Alerts: Real-time security notifications

🛡️ CIS SECURITY: LEBANON’S PREMIER SECURITY AUTHORITY

Since 1990, CIS Security has established itself as Lebanon’s most trusted and comprehensive security service provider, delivering unparalleled protection across all nine governorates with a proven track record that spans over three decades. Our professional security guards represent the gold standard in Lebanese security services, meticulously trained, uniformed, and licensed to handle every security challenge from residential building protection to high-stakes diplomatic missions. What sets CIS Security apart is our deep understanding of Lebanon’s unique security landscape, cultural nuances, and the specific threats that face our communities daily.

Our elite security guards undergo rigorous training programs that encompass threat assessment, emergency response protocols, advanced surveillance techniques, and cultural sensitivity training, ensuring they can seamlessly integrate into any environment while maintaining the highest standards of professionalism. Whether protecting embassies in Beirut, securing commercial complexes in Mount Lebanon, or providing executive protection services across North Lebanon and Akkar, our guards are equipped with state-of-the-art communication systems and backed by our 24/7 operational command center that coordinates rapid response teams throughout the country.

The CIS Lebanon Security Index™ represents just one facet of our comprehensive security ecosystem, demonstrating our commitment to community safety through intelligence sharing and threat awareness. Our security guards are not merely personnel; they are highly skilled professionals who serve as the first line of defense for businesses, residential communities, and high-profile individuals across Lebanon. From the bustling streets of Beirut to the strategic border regions of South Lebanon and Nabatieh, our guards maintain constant vigilance, providing both visible deterrence and discreet protection services tailored to each client’s specific needs.

As Lebanon’s security landscape continues to evolve, CIS Security remains at the forefront of innovation, continuously updating our protocols, expanding our service offerings, and enhancing our guard training programs to meet emerging threats. Our success is measured not only by the safety of our clients but also by our contribution to Lebanon’s overall security infrastructure, working in harmony with government agencies while providing superior private security solutions that complement national security efforts.

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The CIS Lebanon Security Index™ is a proprietary intelligence tool developed by CIS Security, Lebanon’s most trusted security service provider since 1990. This index serves as a public service while demonstrating our commitment to community safety and professional security excellence.