CIS Lebanon Security Index July 9 2025

🇱🇧 CIS Lebanon Security Index July 9 2025

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY METER READING

METER LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL (90–100): Avoid non-essential travel

• TODAY’S OVERALL READING: 91/100
• TREND: 📈 RISING – Threat levels increasing

🌡️ REGIONAL SECURITY TEMPERATURE CHECK

CIS Lebanon Security Index July 9 2025

Governorate-by-Governorate Breakdown

BEIRUT 🏙️ – CIS Lebanon Security Index July 9 2025

• Reading: 68/100 🟡
• Status: The capital remains on high alert amidst significant national political tension following the US envoy’s visit.¹ While no direct kinetic incidents occurred in the last 24 hours, the city is the focal point for diplomatic fallout, and the risk of civil unrest or protests remains elevated.³
• Key Factor: Extreme national-level tension and the potential for spillover from escalating conflict in other regions.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️ – CIS Lebanon Security Index July 9 2025

• Reading: 45/100 🟢
• Status: Conditions are relatively calm, though the governorate is impacted by the national crisis and hosts a large number of internally displaced persons, straining local resources.⁶
• Key Factor: General stability, but susceptible to the country’s overarching political and security deterioration.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊 – CIS Lebanon Security Index July 9 2025

• Reading: 90/100 🔴
• Status: A significant escalation has occurred. An Israeli drone strike targeted a vehicle in the Al-Ayrouniyeh area near Tripoli, killing three people and injuring thirteen, most of whom were bystanders.⁷ This is the first Israeli strike this far north since the November 2024 ceasefire.⁷
• Key Factor: Direct Israeli airstrike targeting a Hamas official, resulting in civilian casualties and expanding the conflict to a new geographic front.¹⁰

AKKAR 🌲 -CIS Lebanon Security Index July 9 2025

• Reading: 92/100 🔴
• Status: The risk level is critical due to the governorate’s direct proximity to the Tripoli strike. The incident validates long-standing intelligence about the presence of extremist elements and instability spilling over from the Syrian border.⁵
• Key Factor: Extreme latent threat validated by the nearby assassination; high risk from border porosity and armed group presence.⁴

CIS Lebanon Security Index July 9 2025

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

• Reading: 80/100 🟠
• Status: While no new strikes were reported in the last 24 hours, the region was targeted on July 7 and remains a high-risk zone due to its strategic military importance and the presence of non-state armed groups.¹
• Key Factor: High concentration of Hezbollah infrastructure and proximity to the Syrian border.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌 – CIS Lebanon Security Index July 9 2025

• Reading: 84/100 🟠
• Status: High risk persists following Israeli strikes on July 7.¹ The area is a known hub for illicit activities and contains a heavy presence of armed groups, making it highly volatile.¹⁹
• Key Factor: Recent Israeli military activity and entrenched presence of non-state actors.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️ – CIS Lebanon Security Index July 9 2025

• Reading: 38/100 🟢
• Status: This remains the calmest governorate with no specific security incidents reported. It is considered relatively safe for normal activities.²²
• Key Factor: No direct threats; primary risks are indirect and related to national instability.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

• Reading: 96/100 🔴
• Status: Active conflict zone. An Israeli airstrike in the town of Babliyeh (Sidon district) killed a Hezbollah official, Hussein Ali Mezher.⁷ On July 7, a senior commander in Hezbollah’s elite Radwan Force, Ali Abd al-Hassan Haidar, was killed in a strike in Deir Kifa.²⁸
• Key Factor: Ongoing targeted assassinations and active Israeli military operations.

NABATIEH ⛪

• Reading: 94/100 🔴
• Status: Active conflict zone. An Israeli airstrike on a residential apartment building in the city of Nabatieh killed one woman and wounded 11 others.³² Another Hezbollah operative was killed in a drone strike in Beit Lif on July 7.²⁸
• Key Factor: Direct targeting of civilian infrastructure in a major population center.

🎯 TODAY’S SECURITY SNAPSHOT

🔥 HOTSPOTS TO WATCH:

• Location 1: Al-Ayrouniyeh (near Tripoli): Site of the recent fatal drone strike, marking a major geographic expansion of the conflict.
• Location 2: Babliyeh (Sidon District): Site of a targeted assassination of a Hezbollah official.
• Location 3: Nabatieh City: A residential area was directly targeted, indicating high risk to civilians in urban centers.

✅ SAFE ZONES:

• Area 1: Jbeil & Batroun: Coastal cities north of Beirut remain calm with no reported incidents.
• Area 2: Central Mount Lebanon: Core administrative and residential areas are currently stable.
• Area 3: Achrafieh & Hamra (Beirut): These central neighborhoods remain operational but require heightened situational awareness due to national tensions.

⚠️ AVOID TODAY:

• All of North Lebanon and Akkar Governorates: Due to the recent deadly airstrike and unpredictable security environment.
• All areas south of the Litani River: This is an active and unpredictable war zone with ongoing assassinations and military operations.
• The Bekaa Valley: High risk of military activity and presence of armed groups.

📱 SECURITY TIPS FOR TODAY

🏠 FOR RESIDENTS:

• Nationwide: The conflict has expanded geographically. Re-evaluate personal safety plans and minimize all non-essential travel, particularly to the North, South, and Bekaa.
• In the North: The threat is now active and direct. Avoid the area of the recent strike near Tripoli. Be prepared to shelter in place.
• Property Crime: The ongoing economic crisis continues to fuel opportunistic crime. Secure homes and vehicles, and remain vigilant with personal belongings.³⁶

🏢 FOR BUSINESSES:

• Supply Chain Disruption: The strike in the North puts new pressure on supply chains. Activate contingency plans for logistics moving through North Lebanon, in addition to the South and Bekaa.
• Staff Safety: Immediately halt all non-essential travel for staff to North Lebanon and Akkar, in addition to existing high-risk zones. Review and reinforce safety protocols for all employees.
• Business Continuity: Ensure communication plans are robust and tested. Be prepared for potential disruptions to power and telecommunications, a known risk in areas near military strikes.

🚗 FOR TRAVELERS:

• Adhere to “Do Not Travel” Advisories: All foreign government advisories recommend against travel to Lebanon.³ The situation is volatile and can escalate without warning.
• Checkpoints & Security: Expect a significantly increased security presence and more checkpoints nationwide. Carry identification at all times and comply with instructions from authorities.⁵
• No Safe Haven: The strike near Tripoli demonstrates that geographic distance from the southern border no longer guarantees safety.

🔮 TOMORROW’S FORECAST

• Predicted Meter Reading: 93/100
• Forecast Trend: 📈 RISING / ⚡ VOLATILE
• Expected Factors: The security situation is at a critical juncture. The primary factor will be any potential retaliation for the targeted killings in the North and South. The optimistic diplomatic rhetoric from the US envoy’s visit is now starkly contrasted by a clear military escalation on the ground, creating a highly unpredictable environment.¹
• Preparation Tip: Assume the security situation will continue to worsen. Stock essential supplies (food, water, medicine) for an extended shelter-in-place scenario.³

📊 WEEKLY SECURITY TRENDS

• This Week’s Average: 85/100
• Change from Last Week: +7 points
• Monthly Trend: Worsening. The conflict is no longer contained to the south and east. The expansion of Israeli airstrikes to North Lebanon represents a major strategic shift and a significant deterioration of the national security environment. The pattern of targeted assassinations against Hezbollah and Hamas figures continues unabated.²⁸
• Seasonal Note: Not applicable.

🛡️ ABOUT THE CIS Lebanon Security Index

The CIS Lebanon Security Index is Lebanon’s first daily, data-driven security assessment. Powered by 35+ years of trusted protection, this tool converts real-time intelligence into a clear, accessible security index.

Based on:

• Verified security incidents
• Military & government alerts
• Regional political factors
• Environmental conditions
• Real-time field intelligence
• Professional threat analysis

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