CIS Lebanon Security Index July 11 2025

CIS Lebanon Security Index July 11 2025

🇱🇧 CIS Lebanon Security Index – July 11, 2025

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY METER READING

METER LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL (90–100): Avoid non-essential travel

• TODAY’S OVERALL READING: 94/100
• TREND: 📈 RISING – Threat levels increasing

🌡️ REGIONAL SECURITY TEMPERATURE CHECK

Governorate-by-Governorate Breakdown – CIS Lebanon Security Index July 11 2025

Lebanon Security Index – BEIRUT 🏙️

• Reading: 68/100 🟡
• Status: The capital is on high alert due to severe national tensions. While no kinetic incidents occurred, the Lebanese Army issued a warning about Israeli intelligence using mobile apps to recruit collaborators, indicating a pervasive cyber and intelligence threat.¹
• Key Factor: High national tension and active counter-intelligence warnings.

CIS Lebanon Security Index July 11 2025 – MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

• Reading: 45/100 🟢
• Status: Conditions are outwardly calm, but the governorate is absorbing the impact of national instability and hosts the largest percentage of internally displaced persons (37%), straining local resources.²
• Key Factor: General stability, but highly susceptible to the country’s overarching security collapse.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

• Reading: 91/100 🔴
• Status: The security situation remains critical following the July 8 Israeli drone strike near Tripoli, which killed three people and wounded thirteen.³ The attack has established a new, active conflict zone far from the southern border.
• Key Factor: Aftermath of the recent assassination and the expansion of the conflict zone.⁴

AKKAR 🌲

• Reading: 93/100 🔴
• Status: The risk level is critical due to the governorate’s proximity to the Tripoli strike and the porous border with Syria. The July 8 attack validates long-standing intelligence about the presence of extremist elements and high potential for instability.⁴
• Key Factor: Extreme latent threat validated by the nearby assassination; high risk from border porosity and armed group presence.⁸

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

• Reading: 82/100 🟠
• Status: No new strikes were reported in the last 24 hours, but the region remains a high-risk zone due to its strategic military importance, the confirmed presence of non-state armed groups, and recent Israeli strikes on July 7.⁹
• Key Factor: High concentration of Hezbollah infrastructure and proximity to the Syrian border.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

• Reading: 85/100 🟠
• Status: High risk persists following Israeli strikes on July 7. The area is a known hub for illicit activities and contains a heavy presence of armed groups, making it highly volatile.⁹
• Key Factor: Recent Israeli military activity and entrenched presence of non-state actors.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

• Reading: 38/100 🟢
• Status: This remains the calmest governorate with no specific security incidents reported. It is considered relatively safe for normal activities.
• Key Factor: No direct threats; primary risks are indirect and related to national instability.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

• Reading: 98/100 🔴
• Status: Active and intensifying conflict zone. An Israeli drone strike on Thursday targeted a motorcycle near Mansouri (Tyre district), killing one person and injuring another.¹¹ This follows Israel’s admission of ground incursions and is compounded by rising local tensions, evidenced by a clash between residents and a UNIFIL patrol in Aitat on Thursday.⁶
• Key Factor: Active conflict with targeted killings, admitted ground incursions, and rising civil-military tensions.

NABATIEH ⛪

• Reading: 96/100 🔴
• Status: Active conflict zone. At dawn on Thursday, an Israeli drone launched an airstrike on a cafe and workshop in Yohmor al-Shaqif.⁶ Israeli forces also dropped incendiary flares over the plains of Khiam and other border villages overnight.⁴
• Key Factor: Direct and continuous Israeli military operations targeting infrastructure and personnel.

🎯 TODAY’S SECURITY SNAPSHOT – CIS Lebanon Security Index July 11 2025

🔥 HOTSPOTS TO WATCH:

• Location 1: Mansouri (Tyre District): Site of a fatal drone strike on a motorcycle on Thursday.¹¹
• Location 2: Aitat (Tyre District): Site of a clash between local residents and a UNIFIL patrol on Thursday, indicating rising ground-level tensions.⁶
• Location 3: Jabal Blat / Labbouneh: Areas of confirmed Israeli ground incursions, representing a major escalation and violation of the ceasefire.¹³

✅ SAFE ZONES:

• Area 1: Jbeil & Batroun: Coastal cities north of Beirut remain calm with no reported incidents.
• Area 2: Central Mount Lebanon: Core administrative and residential areas are currently stable.
• Area 3: Achrafieh & Hamra (Beirut): These central neighborhoods remain operational but require heightened situational awareness due to national tensions.

⚠️ AVOID TODAY:

• All areas south of the Litani River: An active and unpredictable war zone with assassinations, ground incursions, and civil-military clashes.
• All of North Lebanon and Akkar Governorates: The security environment is extremely volatile following the recent deadly airstrike.
• The Bekaa Valley: High risk of military activity and presence of armed groups.

📱 SECURITY TIPS FOR TODAY – CIS Lebanon Security Index July 11 2025

🏠 FOR RESIDENTS:

• In the South: The threat is now confirmed to be both air and ground-based. With ongoing Israeli ground operations, the risk is extreme. The clash with UNIFIL indicates that interactions with any military force are fraught with danger.⁶
• Nationwide: Be aware of Israeli intelligence efforts to recruit collaborators through suspicious mobile applications. The Lebanese Army has issued a specific warning on this matter.¹
• Property Crime: The severe economic crisis continues to fuel opportunistic crime. Secure homes and vehicles, and remain vigilant with personal belongings.⁷

🏢 FOR BUSINESSES:

• Ground Operations Alert: The confirmation of Israeli ground incursions adds a new layer of risk to all operations in the South. All physical assets and personnel are at extreme risk.
• Supply Chain Collapse: Logistics through the North, South, and Bekaa are critically compromised. Activate all contingency plans and expect severe, prolonged disruptions.
• Staff Safety: Immediately halt all travel for staff to North, Akkar, South, Nabatieh, and Bekaa governorates. Reinforce emergency communication protocols.

🚗 FOR TRAVELERS:

• Do Not Travel: All foreign government advisories recommend against any travel to Lebanon.¹⁵ The situation is volatile and can escalate without warning.
• UNIFIL Incident: The clash between civilians and UNIFIL peacekeepers highlights the extreme risk to any international personnel on the ground, even those with a peacekeeping mandate.⁶
• No Safe Corridors: With ground incursions in the south and airstrikes in the far north, no travel routes can be considered safe.

🔮 TOMORROW’S FORECAST

• Predicted Meter Reading: 95/100
• Forecast Trend: 📈 RISING / ⚡ VOLATILE
• Expected Factors: The security situation is expected to deteriorate further. The primary drivers will be Hezbollah’s response to the ongoing assassinations and the now-public Israeli ground operations. The clash with UNIFIL could also lead to further instability and alter the operational environment for international forces.⁶
• Preparation Tip: Prepare for a prolonged period of high-intensity conflict. Ensure you have a minimum of 10 days of essential supplies (food, water, medicine, fuel) and a tested communication plan with family and contacts.¹⁷

📊 WEEKLY SECURITY TRENDS

• This Week’s Average: 89/100
• Change from Last Week: +11 points
• Monthly Trend: Worsening. The security situation is in a state of rapid decline. The conflict has expanded from a contained southern front to include assassinations in the far north and now, officially admitted Israeli ground incursions in the south. This marks a systematic dismantling of the November 2024 ceasefire and a move towards a wider, more unpredictable conflict.¹³

🛡️ ABOUT THE CIS Lebanon Security Index July 11 2025

The CIS Lebanon Security Index is Lebanon’s first daily, data-driven security assessment. Powered by 35+ years of trusted protection, this tool converts real-time intelligence into a clear, accessible security index.

Based on:

• Verified security incidents
• Military & government alerts
• Regional political factors
• Environmental conditions
• Real-time field intelligence
• Professional threat analysis

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