CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025

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📊 TODAY’S CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025 READING

CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025

INDEX LEVEL: 🟠 HIGH (70–89)

TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 85/100

TREND ANALYSIS: 📈 RISING

🌡️ GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

• Index Reading: 72/100 🟠
• Status: The capital is on high alert. The major Israeli escalation in the Beqaa Valley has significantly increased national tensions. The city is the focal point for the diplomatic fallout, with Lebanese officials receiving the U.S. response to their disarmament counter-proposal today.
• Key Factor: Extreme national-level tension following major Israeli strikes in the Beqaa; risk of political fallout and civil unrest.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

• Index Reading: 48/100 🟢
• Status: While kinetically calm, the governorate’s stability is increasingly fragile. The strikes deep in the Bekaa shatter any illusion of contained conflict, raising anxiety and the potential for new waves of displacement.
• Key Factor: Indirect but severe impact from the major escalation in the Beqaa and the deteriorating national security environment.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

• Index Reading: 93/100 🔴
• Status: The security situation remains critical. The July 8 strike near Tripoli established the region as an active front, and the new, deeper strikes in the Beqaa reinforce the assessment that Israel is willing to operate far from the southern border.
• Key Factor: Aftermath of the recent assassination, now compounded by a new precedent for deep strikes elsewhere in the country.

AKKAR 🌲

• Index Reading: 95/100 🔴
• Status: The risk level is extreme and rising. Violent sectarian clashes in Sweida, Syria, on the governorate’s border, and subsequent Israeli intervention there, create a new and highly unpredictable vector for spillover.
• Key Factor: Extreme threat from border porosity, now acutely heightened by the violent instability and Israeli military action in Syria’s Sweida province.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

• Index Reading: 90/100 🔴
• Status: The risk level has escalated to critical. While the primary strikes occurred in the adjacent Baalbek-Hermel governorate, the entire valley is now considered a high-threat area for Israeli military action, as it serves as a strategic rear base and logistical corridor for Hezbollah.
• Key Factor: Proximity to major Israeli airstrikes and its strategic value as a Hezbollah logistics hub.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

• Index Reading: 98/100 🔴
• Status: The governorate is now an active and primary conflict zone. Israel conducted a wave of approximately 16 airstrikes targeting what it identified as Hezbollah Radwan Force training camps, marking a major strategic escalation.
• Key Factor: Major, deep-penetration Israeli airstrikes targeting strategic Hezbollah infrastructure.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

• Index Reading: 41/100 🟢
• Status: This remains the calmest governorate, but the illusion of safety is eroding. Israeli warplanes were reported overflying the Jbeil area at low altitude in connection with the Beqaa strikes.
• Key Factor: No direct threats, but risks are rising due to the expanding geographic scope of Israeli air operations.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

• Index Reading: 97/100 🔴
• Status: The region remains an extreme-risk conflict zone. While the last 24 hours saw a lull in kinetic activity, this is assessed as a temporary shift in operational focus by Israel, not a de-escalation. The threat of air and ground operations is constant.
• Key Factor: Active conflict zone with persistent Israeli air and ground operations; temporary lull does not reduce overall risk.

NABATIEH ⛪

• Index Reading: 98/100 🔴
• Status: Remains the most intense and consistent conflict zone. The absence of strikes in the last 24 hours is tactical, not strategic. The region is saturated with targets and the threat of targeted killings remains exceptionally high.
• Key Factor: The most consistent kinetic theater for targeted assassinations and military strikes.

🎯 TODAY’S SECURITY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

🔥 HIGH-RISK AREAS TO MONITOR:

• Location 1: Baalbek-Hermel Governorate (Shmustar, Bodai, Taraya): Site of major, deep-penetration Israeli airstrikes on July 15.
• Location 2: Akkar Border Region: High risk of spillover from violent sectarian clashes and Israeli military intervention in Sweida, Syria.
• Location 3: South of the Litani River: Remains an active war zone despite a temporary lull in activity.

✅ SECURE ZONES:

• Area 1: Jbeil & Batroun Districts: Continue to be the most stable areas, though subject to Israeli overflights.
• Area 2: Central Mount Lebanon: Kinetically calm but experiencing high tension and increased security presence.
• Area 3: Central Beirut Neighborhoods: Suitable for operations with high vigilance; avoid all protests or large gatherings.

⚠️ AVOID TODAY:

• The entire Baalbek-Hermel Governorate – This is now an active, primary conflict zone.
• The Lebanese-Syrian border in Akkar – High risk of spillover from the conflict in Sweida.
• All areas south of the Litani River – An ongoing, unpredictable war zone.

📱 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY GUIDANCE – CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025

🏠 FOR RESIDENTS:

• Situational Awareness: The conflict has entered a new, more dangerous phase with deep strikes in the Beqaa. No region can be considered entirely safe from air threats.
• Home Security: Ensure shelter-in-place kits are stocked for a minimum of 10 days. The LAF’s recent operations in Baalbek-Hermel indicate a state attempt to assert control, which could also lead to internal friction.
• Movement Guidance: Avoid all non-essential travel. The strikes in the Beqaa occurred near major transport arteries, making daytime travel on highways a potential risk.

🏢 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025 FOR BUSINESSES:

• Supply Chain Collapse: The targeting of the Beqaa Valley, a critical agricultural and logistical hub, will have severe and immediate impacts on supply chains nationwide. Activate all contingency plans.
• Staff Safety: Suspend all operations and staff travel to the Baalbek-Hermel and Bekaa governorates immediately, in addition to all other high-risk zones.
• Business Continuity: The strategic nature of the recent strikes increases the likelihood of a significant, and possibly delayed, Hezbollah response. All businesses should be on maximum alert for a rapid deterioration of the security situation.

🚗 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025 FOR TRAVELERS:

• DO NOT TRAVEL: The security situation is extremely volatile and dangerous. All foreign government advisories recommend against any travel to Lebanon. Commercial flights could be suspended with no notice.
• New Air Threat: The deep strikes in the Beqaa demonstrate that Israeli air operations can occur anywhere in the country, at any time, far from the southern border.
• Border Instability: The Syrian border in the north and east is now a major flashpoint. Do not approach these areas under any circumstances.

🔮 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025 24-HOUR SECURITY FORECAST

• Predicted Index Reading: 88/100
• Forecast Trend: ⚡ VOLATILE
• Expected Factors: The primary variable is Hezbollah’s response to the major Israeli strikes on its strategic assets in the Beqaa. The lack of an immediate response is not indicative of de-escalation; a delayed or asymmetric retaliation remains a strong possibility. The diplomatic track is under extreme pressure.
• Preparation Recommendation: All residents and organizations must prepare for a potential, rapid escalation to a wider conflict. This is a critical 24-48 hour period.

📊 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025 WEEKLY SECURITY ANALYSIS

• This Week’s Average: 90/100
• Change from Last Week: +12 points
• Monthly Trend: Deteriorating. The security situation has sharply deteriorated. The Israeli strikes on Hezbollah’s strategic depth in the Beqaa Valley represent the most significant escalation since the November 2024 ceasefire, fundamentally changing the nature of the conflict from border management to a direct campaign against Hezbollah’s core capabilities.
• Seasonal Assessment: Not applicable. The situation is driven entirely by military and political factors.

🛡️ ABOUT THE CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025

The CIS Lebanon Security Index™ represents Lebanon’s first professional daily security assessment tool. Powered by CIS Security’s 35+ years of trusted protection services, this intelligence platform converts real-time security data into clear, actionable guidance for residents, businesses, and organizations.

Intelligence Sources:

• Verified security incidents and threat reports
• Military and government security alerts
• Regional political and security developments
• Environmental and weather-related security factors
• Real-time field intelligence from CIS operations
• Professional threat analysis and assessment

📞 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES

Emergency Contact: +961-3-539900

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Professional Hub: www.cissecurity.pro

Available 24/7:

• ✅ Professional Security Guards – Trained, uniformed personnel
• ✅ Emergency Building Protection – Rapid deployment services
• ✅ Executive Protection Services – VIP escort and personal security
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🚨 ESSENTIAL LEBANON EMERGENCY CONTACTS

Government Emergency Services:

• 🚑 Lebanese Red Cross: 140
• 🚓 Internal Security Forces (Police): 112
• 🔥 Civil Defense (Fire/Rescue): 175
• 🏥 Emergency Medical Services: 140
• ⚡ Electricité du Liban (EDL): 1707
• 💧 Water Emergency: 1594
• 🛣️ Traffic Control: 1717

Military & Security:

• 🪖 Lebanese Armed Forces: 1701
• 🛡️ General Security: 1717
• 🔒 State Security: 1717
• 🌊 Maritime Security: 1625

Specialized Services:

• ☎️ Telecom Emergency: 110
• 🏦 Banking Emergency: 1702
• 🆘 General Emergency: 999
• 📞 Directory Assistance: 120

🔗 STAY INFORMED

• 📊 Daily Index: 8:00 AM Lebanon Time on Instagram
• 📰 Professional Intelligence: cissecurity.pro
• 💬 Private Consultations: DM for confidential security assessments
• 🔔 Emergency Alerts: Real-time security notifications

🛡️ CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025: LEBANON’S PREMIER SECURITY AUTHORITY

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The CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 15 2025 is a proprietary intelligence tool developed by CIS Security, Lebanon’s most trusted security service provider since 1990. This index serves as a public service while demonstrating our commitment to community safety and professional security excellence.