CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 28 2025

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY INDEX READING

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL

TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 96/100

TREND ANALYSIS: ⚡ VOLATILE

🌡️ GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

Index Reading: 70/100 🟠

Status: The capital is the center of intense diplomatic pressure, with US Envoy Tom Barrack warning that the Lebanese government’s credibility depends on matching its principles on state sovereignty with practical action.1 While central districts are heavily secured, the southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) remain high-risk “no-go” zones and potential targets for Israeli airstrikes. The underlying economic crisis continues to fuel a high rate of opportunistic crime.4

Key Factor: High-stakes diplomatic pressure coinciding with a divided risk profile between secured central zones and high-risk southern suburbs.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

Index Reading: 45/100 🟢

Status: The governorate remains outwardly calm but is subject to the risks of the national crisis, including opportunistic crime and infrastructure strain. The area is not immune to a nationwide escalation and is under frequent aerial surveillance by Israeli reconnaissance aircraft.4

Key Factor: Localized calm is entirely contingent on the fragile national security situation and can be disrupted without warning.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

Index Reading: 88/100 🟠

Status: High. The city of Tripoli is considered an active operational theater following recent Israeli strikes targeting Hamas personnel in the area.5 Deep socio-economic distress and sectarian fault lines create a fertile ground for violent civil unrest, with a significant risk of spillover from the conflict in Syria.7 Foreign governments advise against all travel to the city.6

Key Factor: Active conflict risk combined with a high potential for large-scale civil unrest fueled by economic desperation.

AKKAR 🌲

Index Reading: 92/100 🔴

Status: Critical. The security situation is extremely volatile due to the porous and unstable border with Syria. Active smuggling networks in areas like Wadi Khaled traffic goods, fuel, and potentially weapons, leading to periodic clashes.8 The unstable situation in Syria creates a direct and immediate risk of cross-border conflict.

Key Factor: Extreme threat from a porous and actively contested border with Syria.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

Index Reading: 85/100 🟠

Status: High. The region is a high-probability target for Israeli military action aimed at disrupting logistical hubs and strategic assets for non-state actors, as demonstrated by recent strikes.9 Pervasive illicit economies, tribal disputes, and a high threat of armed robbery and carjackings on secondary roads persist, making travel outside of main urban centers dangerous.10

Key Factor: High probability of Israeli deep-interdiction strikes and significant, pervasive criminal activity.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

Index Reading: 98/100 🔴

Status: Critical. This is a primary conflict zone and one of the most dangerous regions in Lebanon. The risk of further mass-casualty airstrikes, similar to the deadly July 15 event, remains exceptionally high. The dominant presence of non-state actors and active smuggling corridors make it a focal point for both Israeli strikes and clashes related to the Syrian conflict.13

Key Factor: Assessed as a primary active conflict zone with a high risk of major military strikes.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

Index Reading: 35/100 🟢

Status: Remains the calmest governorate with minimal local security threats beyond petty crime and traffic associated with tourism. However, this local stability is highly deceptive. The entire country, including this governorate, is under a “Do Not Travel” advisory from multiple foreign governments due to the risk of a sudden, country-wide conflict escalation with no warning.15

Key Factor: Localized calm that is entirely dependent on the fragile national security situation.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

Index Reading: 99/100 🔴

Status: Critical. An active war zone. On July 26, Israeli drone strikes in the Tyre district killed three people. One strike targeted a vehicle, killing a senior Hezbollah commander, Ali Abd al-Qader Ismail. A second strike on a house in the town of Debaal killed two others, later identified by Israel as members of Hezbollah’s elite Radwan force.

Key Factor: Active and ongoing targeted killings by Israeli forces, creating an extremely high risk of retaliatory action and further escalation.

NABATIEH ⛪

Index Reading: 99/100 🔴

Status: Critical. The security dynamics are inseparable from South Lebanon, functioning as a single, active conflict theater. The commander killed on July 26, Ali Abd al-Qader Ismail, operated in the Bint Jbeil sector of this governorate. On the morning of July 28, Israeli forces opened fire from the Raheb outpost towards the outskirts of Aita al-Shaab, confirming ongoing hostilities.3

Key Factor: Strategic importance for non-state actors makes it a central front for ongoing hostilities and targeted assassinations.

🎯 TODAY’S SECURITY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

🔥 HIGH-RISK AREAS TO MONITOR:

• Location 1: The entire Tyre District (South Lebanon) and Bint Jbeil District (Nabatieh), following the targeted killing of a senior Hezbollah commander and two Radwan operatives on July 26.
• Location 2: The entire Baalbek-Hermel governorate, which remains a primary target for major Israeli airstrikes.
• Location 3: The Lebanese-Syrian border region in Akkar, due to active smuggling and risk of spillover conflict.⁸
• Location 4: The city of Tripoli, due to the risk of further strikes and high potential for civil unrest.⁵

✅ RELATIVELY LOWER-RISK ZONES (WITH EXTREME CAUTION):

• Area 1: The Jbeil (Byblos) and Batroun coastal cities. Caveat: Stability is not guaranteed in a nationwide escalation.
• Area 2: The Metn district’s primary residential and commercial zones. Caveat: Subject to risks from a nationwide escalation and ongoing aerial surveillance.⁴
• Area 3: Beirut Central District. Caveat: Avoid all demonstrations and maintain high awareness of opportunistic crime.⁴

⚠️ AVOID TODAY:

• DO NOT TRAVEL TO LEBANON. The security situation is extremely volatile. The conflict could escalate or spread to other areas with little to no warning. Beirut’s airport could close at any time.¹⁵
• All travel to South Lebanon, Nabatieh, Baalbek-Hermel, Beqaa, Akkar, and Tripoli governorates.⁶
• Any non-essential movement. As demonstrated by the July 26 strikes, Israeli air operations targeting vehicles and individuals can occur anywhere in the country, at any time.¹⁸

📱 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY GUIDANCE

🏠 FOR RESIDENTS:

• The targeted killing of a senior Hezbollah commander significantly increases the risk of retaliatory action and further escalation. Prepare for a rapid deterioration of the security situation.
• Maintain emergency supplies (food, water, medicine) and a “go-bag” with essential documents.¹⁵
• Know the location of the nearest shelter and have a shelter-in-place plan. Verify information from official sources before sharing.

🏢 FOR BUSINESSES:

• Immediately suspend all operations and staff travel to the Baalbek-Hermel, Beqaa, South Lebanon, and Nabatieh governorates.
• Review and test emergency plans for evacuation and sheltering in place. Establish clear communication protocols and alert systems for all staff.
• Anticipate severe supply chain disruptions, particularly for goods transiting the Beqaa Valley and the Syrian border.

🚗 FOR TRAVELERS:

• DO NOT TRAVEL TO LEBANON. Multiple governments, including the US, UK, Canada, and Australia, advise their citizens not to travel to Lebanon and have stated that their ability to provide consular assistance or evacuation is extremely limited.¹⁵ Commercial flights may be cancelled and the airport could close without notice.¹⁵

🔮 24-HOUR SECURITY FORECAST

• Predicted Index Reading: 96/100
• Forecast Trend: ⚡ VOLATILE
• Expected Factors: High potential for retaliatory actions following the killing of a Hezbollah commander. Continued Israeli military operations across the south are expected, with gunfire reported this morning.³ The political situation is extremely tense, with US envoy Barrack increasing pressure on the government as Hezbollah publicly states it will not disarm while Israeli “aggression continues”.¹
• Preparation Recommendation: All residents and organizations must maintain a maximum state of alert and prepare for a potential, rapid escalation to a wider conflict.

📊 WEEKLY SECURITY ANALYSIS

• This Week’s Average: 95/100
• Change from Last Week: +33 points
• Monthly Trend: Rapidly Deteriorating
• Seasonal Assessment: The security environment is dictated by the active, low-intensity conflict. The November 2024 ceasefire is effectively non-existent on the ground, with near-daily Israeli strikes and a persistent state of war across multiple fronts.¹⁸

🛡️ ABOUT THE CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX™

The CIS Lebanon Security Index™ represents Lebanon’s first professional daily security assessment tool. Powered by CIS Security’s 35+ years of trusted protection services, this intelligence platform converts real-time security data into clear, actionable guidance for residents, businesses, and organizations.

Intelligence Sources:

• Verified security incidents and threat reports
• Military and government security alerts
• Regional political and security developments
• Environmental and weather-related security factors
• Real-time field intelligence from CIS operations
• Professional threat analysis and assessment

📞 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES

Emergency Contact: +961-3-539900

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Website: www.cissecurity.net

Professional Hub: www.cissecurity.pro

Available 24/7:

• ✅ Professional Security Guards – Trained, uniformed personnel
• ✅ Emergency Building Protection – Rapid deployment services
• ✅ Executive Protection Services – VIP escort and personal security
• ✅ Rapid Response Teams – Immediate security intervention

🚨 ESSENTIAL LEBANON EMERGENCY CONTACTS

Government Emergency Services:

• 🚑 Lebanese Red Cross: 140
• 🚓 Internal Security Forces (Police): 112
• 🔥 Civil Defense (Fire/Rescue): 125 or 175
• 🏥 Emergency Medical Services: 140
• ⚡ Electricité du Liban (EDL): 1707
• 💧 Water Emergency: 1594
• 🛣️ Traffic Control: 1717Military & Security:
• 🪖 Lebanese Armed Forces: 1701
• 🛡️ General Security: 1717
• 🔒 State Security: 1717
• 🌊 Maritime Security: 1625Specialized Services:
• ☎️ Telecom Emergency: 110
• 🏦 Banking Emergency: 1702
• 🆘 General Emergency: 999
• 📞 Directory Assistance: 120

🔗 STAY INFORMED

• 📊 Daily Index: 8:00 AM Lebanon Time on Instagram
• 📰 Professional Intelligence: cissecurity.pro
• 💬 Private Consultations: DM for confidential security assessments
• 🔔 Emergency Alerts: Real-time security notifications

🛡️ CIS SECURITY: LEBANON’S PREMIER SECURITY AUTHORITY

Since 1990, CIS Security has established itself as Lebanon’s most trusted and comprehensive security service provider, delivering unparalleled protection across all nine governorates with a proven track record that spans over three decades. Our professional security guards represent the gold standard in Lebanese security services, meticulously trained, uniformed, and licensed to handle every security challenge from residential building protection to high-stakes diplomatic missions. What sets CIS Security apart is our deep understanding of Lebanon’s unique security landscape, cultural nuances, and the specific threats that face our communities daily.

Our elite security guards undergo rigorous training programs that encompass threat assessment, emergency response protocols, advanced surveillance techniques, and cultural sensitivity training, ensuring they can seamlessly integrate into any environment while maintaining the highest standards of professionalism. Whether protecting embassies in Beirut, securing commercial complexes in Mount Lebanon, or providing executive protection services across North Lebanon and Akkar, our guards are equipped with state-of-the-art communication systems and backed by our 24/7 operational command center that coordinates rapid response teams throughout the country.

The CIS Lebanon Security Index™ represents just one facet of our comprehensive security ecosystem, demonstrating our commitment to community safety through intelligence sharing and threat awareness. Our security guards are not merely personnel; they are highly skilled professionals who serve as the first line of defense for businesses, residential communities, and high-profile individuals across Lebanon. From the bustling streets of Beirut to the strategic border regions of South Lebanon and Nabatieh, our guards maintain constant vigilance, providing both visible deterrence and discreet protection services tailored to each client’s specific needs.

As Lebanon’s security landscape continues to evolve, CIS Security remains at the forefront of innovation, continuously updating our protocols, expanding our service offerings, and enhancing our guard training programs to meet emerging threats. Our success is measured not only by the safety of our clients but also by our contribution to Lebanon’s overall security infrastructure, working in harmony with government agencies while providing superior private security solutions that complement national security efforts.

When you choose CIS Security, you’re not just hiring guards – you’re partnering with Lebanon’s most experienced security professionals who understand that your safety truly isn’t optional. Contact us today at +961-3-539900 or visit www.cissecurity.net to discover how our professional security guards can enhance your personal, residential, or commercial security posture with the reliability and expertise that only comes from 35+ years of dedicated service to Lebanon’s security needs.

The CIS Lebanon Security Index™ is a proprietary intelligence tool developed by CIS Security, Lebanon’s most trusted security service provider since 1990. This index serves as a public service while demonstrating our commitment to community safety and professional security excellence.