🇱🇧 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX™ – Saturday, Dec 28 2025

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY INDEX READING

INDEX LEVEL: 🟡 ELEVATED
TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 76/100
TREND ANALYSIS: ⬇️ CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM – DIPLOMATIC PROGRESS AMID CONTINUED VIOLATIONS

🚨 BREAKING: MAJOR ECONOMIC REFORM & DIPLOMATIC BREAKTHROUGH

CRITICAL DEVELOPMENTS – SUNDAY, DECEMBER 28, 2025:

HISTORIC FINANCIAL REFORM APPROVED: Lebanon’s government on Friday approved a draft law to distribute financial losses from the 2019 economic crisis that deprived many Lebanese of their deposits despite strong opposition from political and banking officials. The cabinet passed the draft bill with 13 ministers in favour and nine against. It stipulates that each of the state, the central bank, commercial banks and depositors will share the losses accrued as a result of the financial crisis.

INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT FOR REFORMS: France welcomed the passing of the law by the cabinet, calling it “an essential first step towards restoring the confidence of the Lebanese people in Lebanon’s banking system”. Paris lauds Lebanese govt.’s approval of financial gap bill, demonstrating international recognition of Lebanon’s reform efforts.

PRESIDENT AOUN’S DIPLOMATIC SUCCESS: Lebanese President Joseph Aoun expressed optimism Thursday that diplomatic efforts will prevent Israel from embarking on another major military operation in Lebanon. “Diplomatic contacts to push back the specter of war have not stopped,” Aoun said. “I tell you that the specter of war has been pushed away from Lebanon, and matters will head in a positive direction, God willing.”

DIRECT NEGOTIATIONS PROGRESS: Last week, Israeli and Lebanese officials met directly in the southern Lebanon town of Naqoura, the second such meeting this month, as the two enemy states look to maintain the year-old ceasefire in the Israel-Hezbollah war.

DISARMAMENT IMPLEMENTATION ADVANCING: Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam said that the country was close to completing the disarmament of Hezbollah south of the Litani River, and that the government was now moving towards confiscating weapons north of the Litani, “based on the plan prepared by the Lebanese army pursuant to a mandate from the government.”

TRUMP ADMINISTRATION SUPPORT: Report indicates Trump to ask Netanyahu to continue diplomacy with Lebanon, suggesting continued U.S. support for diplomatic resolution and Lebanese disarmament efforts.

RECENT VIOLATIONS CONTEXT: Despite ongoing diplomatic progress, Israeli strikes near the Syrian border and in the country’s south killed three people on Thursday. Lebanon said Israeli strikes killed two people in Hawsh al-Sayyed Ali in the Hermel district and one person in Majdal Selm in the south.

CHRISTMAS PERIOD DIPLOMACY: Aoun made his optimistic comments after a Christmas Day meeting with Maronite Patriarch Cardinal Mar Bechara Boutros Al-Rahi, who called for praying for the success of negotiations and the Lebanese Army’s success in collecting “illegal weapons.”

🌡️ COMPREHENSIVE GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

Index Reading: 70/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Major Reform Implementation. The capital experiences historic breakthrough as Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government successfully passes landmark financial crisis legislation. PM Salam told journalists after the session that the bill “is not ideal… and may not meet everyone’s aspirations” but is “a realistic and fair step on the path to restoring rights, stopping the collapse.”

The cabinet’s 13-9 approval demonstrates governmental functionality despite significant opposition, with President Joseph Aoun’s leadership providing political stability for difficult reforms. The International Monetary Fund’s close monitoring of the bill indicates strong international oversight and support for economic recovery.

France’s welcoming statement calling the law “an essential first step towards restoring the confidence of the Lebanese people in Lebanon’s banking system” provides crucial international legitimacy. Parliament passed banking secrecy reform in April and banking sector restructuring in June, creating momentum for comprehensive financial sector transformation.

Enhanced security around government buildings reflects both reform implementation oversight and ongoing diplomatic engagement. President Aoun’s Christmas Day statement that “the specter of war has been pushed away from Lebanon” demonstrates confidence in diplomatic progress.

The electricity situation continues improvement under stable governmental framework, while economic reforms attract international support and potential aid packages conditional on continued implementation progress.

Key Factor: Historic financial reform passage demonstrating governmental capacity while presidential diplomatic success creates optimistic atmosphere for economic recovery and international support.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

Index Reading: 68/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Economic Recovery Prospects. The governorate benefits significantly from financial reform approval as depositors await implementation of loss-sharing framework. Business confidence increases with governmental demonstration of reform capability and international support.

Tourism sector shows continued improvement as Christmas period activities generate economic activity while political stability under President Aoun and PM Salam creates predictable environment. The Patriarch’s Christmas message supporting negotiations and disarmament creates religious authority backing for governmental efforts.

Infrastructure improvements proceed systematically with international support following reform implementation. Economic activities expand as financial sector reform provides framework for banking system restoration and depositor rights addressing.

The region continues serving as economic hub with improved governmental functionality attracting business expansion and international partnership interest following reform demonstration and diplomatic progress.

Key Factor: Financial reform creating depositor rights framework while political stability under current government attracts business confidence and international economic support.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

Index Reading: 72/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Economic Stabilization. Tripoli and surrounding areas benefit from financial reform approval as banking sector restoration framework addresses economic crisis impacts. Port city commercial activities increase with governmental reform demonstration.

Cross-border dynamics with Syria remain stable with continued coordination despite regional changes. Economic conditions improve under stable governmental framework implementing international community-supported reforms.

Infrastructure projects proceed with international support following reform passage demonstrating governmental capacity. The region benefits from overall national stabilization and diplomatic progress creating business confidence.

Key Factor: Banking sector reform implementation providing economic recovery framework while governmental stability creates conditions for commercial activity expansion and international support.

AKKAR 🌲

Index Reading: 73/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Border Security Stability. The Syrian border situation remains stable despite regional changes, with Lebanese Armed Forces maintaining security coordination. Recent reports of detentions near Syria-Lebanon border indicate ongoing monitoring but within manageable security framework.

Cross-border security operations continue effectively with governmental authority maintained despite regional dynamics. The financial reform passage demonstrates governmental capacity affecting regional development prospects and international support potential.

Key Factor: Border security maintained during regional changes while governmental reform capacity creates international support framework for regional development and LAF operations.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

Index Reading: 75/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Disarmament Progress. The valley experiences continued disarmament implementation as PM Salam indicates completion nearing south of Litani with operations extending north. Agricultural operations benefit from improved security conditions and governmental stability.

International development projects proceed under stable framework with financial reforms attracting economic support. The region’s strategic importance in disarmament implementation creates ongoing monitoring requirements but within improving security context.

Key Factor: Disarmament implementation proceeding under governmental authority while financial reforms create economic development prospects and international support frameworks.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

Index Reading: 77/100 🔴
Status: Critical but Improving. This region experienced recent Israeli strikes, with two people killed Thursday in Hawsh al-Sayyed Ali near Syrian border. Israel claimed targeting IRGC Quds Force member, demonstrating continued security operations despite overall diplomatic progress.

Despite recent incident, governmental authority consolidation continues with infrastructure improvements proceeding. Financial reform passage provides framework for economic development despite security challenges from targeted operations.

Key Factor: Recent strike causing casualties balanced by governmental consolidation and economic reform implementation creating mixed but gradually improving conditions.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

Index Reading: 65/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Tourism Recovery. The coastal governorate benefits significantly from Christmas period activities and overall diplomatic progress. President Aoun’s optimistic statements about pushing back “specter of war” create tourism confidence.

Business operations expand with financial reform providing banking sector restoration framework. Infrastructure improvements proceed normally with international support following reform demonstration.

Tourism sector shows strong recovery with domestic and cautious international visitors attracted by political stability and diplomatic progress creating safety perceptions.

Key Factor: Tourism recovery accelerating from diplomatic optimism while financial reform creates business confidence and economic expansion opportunities.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

Index Reading: 81/100 🔴
Status: Critical but Stabilizing. The south experiences continued Israeli strikes, with one person killed Thursday in Majdal Selm, but benefits from active disarmament implementation and direct Lebanese-Israeli negotiations in Naqoura.

PM Salam’s statement about nearing completion of disarmament south of Litani demonstrates concrete progress despite continued violations. Israeli and Lebanese officials meeting directly in Naqoura twice this month creates diplomatic framework for conflict resolution.

UNIFIL operations continue supporting Lebanese Army deployment as ceasefire implementation framework despite Israeli retention of five strategic border positions. The Lebanese Army’s expanding presence provides governmental authority despite ongoing challenges.

Key Factor: Continued strikes causing casualties balanced by active disarmament progress, direct negotiations, and Lebanese Army deployment creating gradual stabilization despite ongoing violations.

NABATIEH ⛪

Index Reading: 79/100 🔴
Status: Critical but Improving. The governorate benefits from disarmament implementation progress and diplomatic engagement despite recent security incidents. Infrastructure restoration continues under governmental framework with international support.

Christmas period religious services proceeded with Patriarch’s message supporting negotiations and disarmament creating community backing for governmental efforts. Civilian populations experience gradual improvement despite ongoing violation concerns.

Key Factor: Disarmament progress and religious authority support creating community confidence while infrastructure restoration proceeds despite continued security challenges.

🎯 SECURITY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF – DIPLOMATIC PROGRESS ASSESSMENT

🔄 AREAS UNDER POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT:

Priority Level 1 – Major Breakthroughs:

1. Financial Reform Implementation – Historic draft law approved addressing 2019 crisis losses
2. Direct Lebanese-Israeli Negotiations – Second meeting in Naqoura this month
3. Disarmament Progress – PM Salam reports near-completion south of Litani
4. Presidential Diplomatic Success – Aoun says “specter of war pushed away from Lebanon”
5. International Support – France welcomes reforms, Trump reportedly supporting diplomacy

Priority Level 2 – Continued Progress: 6. Lebanese Army Deployment – Expanding presence south and preparing northern operations 7. Banking Sector Reform – Secrecy and restructuring laws passed creating comprehensive framework 8. Religious Authority Support – Patriarch backing negotiations and disarmament efforts 9. IMF Engagement – Close monitoring supporting reform implementation 10. International Aid Prospects – Conditional support becoming available through reforms

✅ SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED AREAS:

Major Stabilization Success:

• Government District Beirut – Historic reform passage demonstrating capacity
• Economic Policy Framework – Comprehensive financial sector transformation proceeding
• Diplomatic Channels – Direct Lebanese-Israeli engagement creating conflict resolution framework
• Disarmament Implementation – Concrete progress south of Litani with northern expansion planned

⚠️ CONTINUED MONITORING REQUIRED:

Ongoing Challenge Areas:

• Recent strikes in Hermel (2 killed Thursday) and Majdal Selm (1 killed Thursday)
• Israeli retention of five strategic border positions
• Parliamentary approval needed for financial reform legislation
• Disarmament implementation north of Litani requiring careful coordination

📱 CURRENT SECURITY GUIDANCE – REFORM & DIPLOMATIC PROGRESS

🏠 GUIDANCE FOR RESIDENTS:

HISTORIC REFORM IMPLEMENTATION: Lebanon achieves major breakthrough with financial crisis legislation addressing depositor losses while President Aoun’s diplomatic success pushes back “specter of war” creating most optimistic atmosphere since crisis began.

IMPROVED CONDITIONS:

• Financial Reform – Draft law creating framework for loss-sharing and depositor rights restoration
• Diplomatic Progress – Direct Lebanese-Israeli negotiations in Naqoura creating conflict resolution mechanism
• Disarmament Advancing – PM Salam reports near-completion south of Litani with northern expansion planned
• International Support – France welcoming reforms while Trump reportedly supporting diplomatic process
• Religious Backing – Patriarch supporting negotiations and disarmament creating community consensus

CONTINUED PRECAUTIONS:

• Monitor parliamentary approval process for financial legislation
• Awareness of continued strikes in border areas and Hermel region
• Banking system restoration requiring time despite reform framework
• Disarmament implementation requiring patience as operations extend north

🏢 BUSINESS OPERATIONS GUIDANCE:

SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT:

• Financial Sector Reform – Banking system restoration framework attracting international confidence
• Political Stability – Governmental reform capacity demonstration creating predictable environment
• International Support – Economic aid prospects improving through reform implementation
• Diplomatic Progress – Direct negotiations reducing military escalation risk

EXPANSION OPPORTUNITIES:

• Tourism sector recovery accelerating from diplomatic optimism and Christmas period success
• Financial services preparing for banking sector restoration following reform implementation
• International partnerships increasing with governmental capacity demonstration and IMF engagement
• Infrastructure projects expanding with international support following reform progress

🚗 TRAVEL ADVISORY – SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT:

NOTABLY IMPROVED CONDITIONS: President Aoun’s statement that “the specter of war has been pushed away from Lebanon” combined with financial reforms and direct negotiations creates most positive travel environment since crisis began.

CURRENT TRAVEL STATUS:

• Diplomatic Progress: Direct Lebanese-Israeli negotiations creating stability framework
• Economic Reforms: Financial legislation demonstrating governmental capacity and international support
• Political Stability: President Aoun and PM Salam providing consistent leadership through difficult reforms
• Christmas Period: Successful celebrations demonstrating improved security and community confidence

RECOMMENDED APPROACH:

• Business Travel: Increasingly viable with governmental capacity demonstration and reform implementation
• Tourism: Cautious resumption appropriate with diplomatic progress and improved security perceptions
• International Engagement: Economic and diplomatic activities expanding with reform implementation support
• Southern Areas: Enhanced caution still required despite disarmament progress and direct negotiations

📊 REFORM & DIPLOMATIC BREAKTHROUGH ANALYSIS

Today’s Assessment: Historic Financial Reform with Diplomatic Progress Creating Optimistic Atmosphere
Governmental Achievement: Financial crisis legislation passage demonstrating reform capacity
Diplomatic Success: President Aoun’s statement about pushing back “specter of war”
International Support: France welcoming reforms while Trump reportedly backing diplomacy

Critical Analysis: Lebanon achieves historic breakthrough as Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government successfully passes landmark financial crisis legislation addressing 2019 economic collapse losses. The cabinet’s 13-9 approval demonstrates governmental functionality despite significant opposition, creating framework for banking sector restoration and depositor rights.

France’s statement calling the law “an essential first step toward restoring the confidence of the Lebanese people in Lebanon’s banking system” provides crucial international legitimacy. Combined with previous banking secrecy (April) and sector restructuring (June) legislation, Lebanon demonstrates comprehensive financial sector transformation capacity.

President Joseph Aoun’s optimistic Christmas Day statement that “the specter of war has been pushed away from Lebanon” reflects diplomatic progress from direct Lebanese-Israeli negotiations in Naqoura. The second such meeting this month creates framework for maintaining year-old ceasefire while addressing implementation challenges.

Prime Minister Salam’s statement about nearing completion of Hezbollah disarmament south of Litani demonstrates concrete progress on key international community demands. Extension of operations north of Litani shows governmental commitment to comprehensive implementation despite political challenges.

Reports of Trump administration planning to ask Netanyahu to continue diplomacy with Lebanon suggests sustained U.S. support for negotiated resolution, providing crucial international backing for Lebanese governmental efforts.

Maronite Patriarch’s Christmas message supporting negotiations and disarmament creates religious authority backing, providing important community consensus for governmental reform and diplomatic efforts.

Recent Security Context: Despite significant diplomatic and reform progress, Israeli strikes killed three people Thursday (two in Hermel, one in Majdal Selm), demonstrating continued violations. However, these occur within improving overall context of direct negotiations and disarmament implementation rather than escalating conflict dynamics.

Long-term Prospects: The convergence of historic financial reform, direct Lebanese-Israeli negotiations, advancing disarmament implementation, and sustained international support creates Lebanon’s most positive outlook since crisis began. Parliamentary approval of financial legislation and continued disarmament progress will determine momentum sustainability.

🛡️ CIS SECURITY: REFORM IMPLEMENTATION & DIPLOMATIC PROGRESS SUPPORT

🏛️ HISTORIC REFORMS & DIPLOMATIC BREAKTHROUGH SECURITY SERVICES

CIS Security provides comprehensive protection during Lebanon’s historic financial reform implementation and diplomatic breakthrough period, enabling economic recovery and international engagement.

REFORM IMPLEMENTATION SPECIALIZED SERVICES:

Governmental Reform Security:

• Cabinet Meeting Protection – Security for historic financial legislation passage and reform implementation
• Parliamentary Security – Protection for upcoming legislative approval processes
• Banking Sector Security – Enhanced protection for financial institutions during restoration framework implementation
• International Coordination Security – Protection for IMF engagement and international supporter meetings

Diplomatic Progress Support:

• Naqoura Negotiation Security – Professional coordination for direct Lebanese-Israeli meetings
• Presidential Security – Enhanced protection during diplomatic engagement and reform implementation
• International Diplomatic Security – Services for foreign representative meetings supporting reforms
• Religious Authority Security – Protection for Patriarch and religious leader engagement in peace process

Economic Recovery Enablement:

• Business Expansion Security – Professional services for companies expanding during reform period
• Tourism Recovery Protection – Security supporting international visitor confidence during diplomatic progress
• Infrastructure Project Security – Protection for reconstruction and development projects under reform framework
• International Partnership Security – Services for foreign investment and cooperation during recovery

SPECIALIZED REFORM PERIOD SERVICES:

Financial Sector Restoration Support:

• Professional security for banking institutions implementing loss-sharing framework
• Protection for depositor rights restoration processes and customer service resumption
• Security coordination with international financial organizations supporting reforms
• Enhanced protection for financial sector personnel during transition period

Disarmament Implementation Coordination:

• Professional support for Lebanese Army operations south and north of Litani
• Security coordination with governmental disarmament implementation efforts
• Protection for international observers and monitoring committee operations
• Community security services during weapons collection and infrastructure dismantling

Diplomatic Engagement Security:

• Enhanced protection for direct Lebanese-Israeli negotiation venues and participants
• Security coordination for international mediator and supporter engagement
• Professional services for governmental diplomatic activities and foreign representative meetings
• Community confidence building through visible professional security during diplomatic progress

📞 REFORM & DIPLOMATIC PROGRESS COORDINATION

REFORM IMPLEMENTATION HOTLINE: +961-3-539900
Professional security enabling historic reforms and diplomatic breakthrough protection

FINANCIAL SECTOR SECURITY: Protection for banking restoration and depositor rights implementation
DIPLOMATIC ENGAGEMENT SECURITY: Professional services for negotiations and international coordination
ECONOMIC RECOVERY PROTECTION: Comprehensive security enabling business expansion and international partnership

Specialized Reform Centers:

• Government Reform Security: Protection for cabinet and parliamentary reform processes
• Diplomatic Progress Center: Professional services for Lebanese-Israeli negotiations and international engagement
• Economic Recovery Division: Security enabling business expansion and tourism recovery
• International Coordination Office: Protection for IMF, France, and other supporter engagement

During Lebanon’s historic financial reform passage and diplomatic breakthrough creating optimistic atmosphere, CIS Security’s professional services enable governmental reform implementation, international negotiations, and economic recovery while maintaining comprehensive protection for all stakeholders.

⚠️ HISTORIC REFORM & DIPLOMATIC BREAKTHROUGH NOTICE

POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT ALERT: Lebanon achieves historic breakthrough with financial crisis legislation passage (13-9 cabinet approval) while President Aoun declares “specter of war pushed away” through diplomatic progress, creating most optimistic atmosphere since crisis began.

Reform Implementation Success: Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government demonstrates capacity through difficult financial legislation addressing depositor losses, attracting France welcoming statement and international support for economic recovery.

Diplomatic Progress Achievement: Direct Lebanese-Israeli negotiations in Naqoura (second meeting this month) combined with PM Salam’s disarmament progress report creates framework for sustained ceasefire implementation and conflict resolution.

International Support Confirmed: France welcoming reforms, Trump reportedly supporting diplomacy, IMF close monitoring, and Patriarch backing negotiations create comprehensive international and domestic support for governmental efforts.

Professional Services Commitment: CIS Security provides comprehensive protection enabling historic reform implementation, diplomatic engagement, and economic recovery while maintaining security for governmental activities, international coordination, and business expansion during Lebanon’s most positive period since crisis began.

🔍 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES – CIS SECURITY LEBANON

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 – “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

During Lebanon’s historic financial reform breakthrough and diplomatic success under President Joseph Aoun and PM Nawaf Salam, trust CIS Security’s 35+ years of proven expertise in governmental reform protection, diplomatic engagement security, and economic recovery enablement. As Lebanon’s most reviewed security company, we provide comprehensive services including financial sector restoration security, direct negotiation protection, disarmament implementation support, and international coordination security. Our trained, uniformed, and licensed security personnel deliver 24/7 protection enabling Lebanon’s historic reform implementation and diplomatic breakthrough creating optimistic atmosphere for economic recovery.

CIS Security Reform & Diplomatic Breakthrough Services:

• Financial Reform Security – Professional protection for historic legislation implementation and banking sector restoration
• Diplomatic Negotiation Security – Comprehensive services for direct Lebanese-Israeli meetings in Naqoura
• Disarmament Support – Professional coordination with Lebanese Army operations south and north of Litani
• International Coordination Protection – Security for IMF, France, and international supporter engagement
• Economic Recovery Enablement – Services for business expansion, tourism recovery, and infrastructure projects
• Parliamentary Process Security – Protection for upcoming financial legislation approval

Why Choose CIS During Historic Reform Period: ✓ 35+ Years Governmental Experience – Proven security supporting Lebanon’s most important reform implementations
✓ Presidential Support – Professional coordination with Aoun administration’s diplomatic and reform efforts
✓ International Partnership – Security services for France, IMF, Trump administration, and other supporter engagement
✓ Economic Recovery Expertise – Professional protection enabling business confidence and international investment
✓ Diplomatic Security Capability – Specialized services for direct Lebanese-Israeli negotiations and peace process
✓ Comprehensive Reform Support – Security enabling financial sector, disarmament, and economic transformation

Reform & Diplomatic Breakthrough Support: 📞 Reform Implementation: +961-3-539900
💬 Diplomatic Security: Professional protection for historic Lebanese-Israeli direct negotiations
🌐 Economic Recovery: www.cissecurity.net – Comprehensive security enabling business expansion and tourism
📧 International Coordination: Professional services for IMF, France, and international supporter engagement

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