🇱🇧 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX™ – Wednesday, Dec 31 2025 (New Year’s Eve)

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY INDEX READING

INDEX LEVEL: 🟡 ELEVATED
TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 78/100
TREND ANALYSIS: ➡️ CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM – NEW YEAR REFORMS AMID ONGOING CHALLENGES

🚨 NEW YEAR’S EVE ASSESSMENT: DIPLOMATIC PROGRESS & REFORM MOMENTUM

CRITICAL DEVELOPMENTS – WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2025:

PRESIDENT AOUN’S WAR PREVENTION: Lebanese President Joseph Aoun said diplomatic efforts had helped to keep Lebanon away from war, despite Israeli attacks. “Diplomatic contacts to push back the specter of war have not stopped,” Aoun said. “I tell you that the specter of war has been pushed away from Lebanon, and matters will head in a positive direction, God willing.”

NEW LEBANON VISION: President Aoun predicts “the birth of a new Lebanon” next year, promising a state of accountability and institutions over parties and sects, providing hopeful outlook as 2026 approaches.

DISARMAMENT PROGRESS: The Lebanese army says the first phase of Hezbollah’s disarmament near the southern border will finish by year-end, with later phases considering security and national interests. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam said that the country was close to completing the disarmament of Hezbollah south of the Litani River.

MAJOR DIPLOMATIC BREAKTHROUGH: Report: Arabs and Europeans agree with US on Lebanon-Israel solution. The days leading up to recent summit witnessed intensive contacts between several Arab and European countries on one side and Washington, indicating international consensus on Lebanese security arrangements.

EGYPT GAS DEAL: Lebanon signs deal to purchase natural gas from Egypt, representing significant economic development supporting energy security and infrastructure improvements.

WEAPONS COLLECTION CONTINUES: PLO hands over fifth batch of heavy weapons at Ain al-Hilweh refugee camp. The handover of Palestinian weapons resumed Tuesday as the Palestine Liberation Organization surrendered a fifth batch of heavy weapons, demonstrating ongoing disarmament implementation across multiple actors.

BANKING REFORM PROGRESS: Lebanon’s cabinet has passed a draft law aimed at repaying depositors up to $100,000 of their own money, addressing critical economic crisis affecting Lebanese families and businesses.

RECENT STRIKE INCIDENTS: Between December 22 and 28, 2025, Israeli operations in Lebanon killed six people, including five militants of various affiliations and one LAF soldier who was also an alleged Hezbollah operative. The IDF conducted operations in 22 Lebanese locales during this period.

ONGOING CEASEFIRE CHALLENGES: Israel has killed more than 300 people in Lebanon since last year’s ceasefire, including about 127 civilians, according to the United Nations. From January to late November, Israeli forces carried out nearly 1,600 strikes across Lebanon.

🌡️ COMPREHENSIVE GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

Index Reading: 72/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Reform Momentum. The capital enters 2026 with significant optimism under President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s leadership. Lebanon is navigating multiple concurrent challenges amidst signs of tentative stability. After a two-year political vacuum, the country has a new president, Joseph Aoun, and a new government led by Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, which won a parliamentary confidence vote in February 2025.

President Aoun’s New Year message promising “the birth of a new Lebanon” with accountability and institutions over parties and sects creates positive framework for 2026. His statement that “the specter of war has been pushed away from Lebanon” provides reassurance despite ongoing regional challenges.

The Egypt natural gas deal represents significant economic achievement supporting infrastructure development and energy security. This, combined with the banking reform law allowing depositors to recover up to $100,000, demonstrates governmental capacity to address economic crisis through practical solutions.

Enhanced security around government buildings proceeds normally as New Year’s Eve celebrations approach. The cultural scene in Beirut shows signs of revival, with galleries, theatres, and music venues reopening, reflecting characteristic Lebanese determination to maintain cultural vibrancy.

The electricity situation benefits from Egypt gas deal and continued infrastructure improvements, while diplomatic success in preventing war escalation creates environment for reconstruction and development.

Key Factor: Reform momentum and diplomatic success creating optimistic New Year outlook while practical achievements in energy and banking demonstrate governmental effectiveness.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

Index Reading: 70/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with New Year Optimism. The governorate participates in New Year’s Eve celebrations with improved confidence following President Aoun’s war prevention diplomacy and reform announcements. Patriarch Rahi’s Christmas Day message calling for successful negotiations and Lebanese Army weapons collection demonstrates religious leadership support.

Business operations show improvement as New Year approaches, with tourism sector preparing for celebrations despite ongoing regional challenges. The governorate serves as primary destination for New Year’s Eve cultural and recreational activities.

Infrastructure improvements continue under stable governmental framework, while Egypt gas deal promises better energy security supporting business operations and residential needs.

Economic activities benefit from banking reform allowing depositor recovery, creating consumer confidence improvement as 2026 approaches with reformed institutional framework.

Key Factor: New Year optimism supported by governmental reforms and diplomatic success creating improved business and consumer confidence.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

Index Reading: 73/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Economic Improvements. Tripoli and surrounding areas benefit from Egypt gas deal and banking reforms as New Year approaches. The port city’s commercial activities show improvement with governmental stability and international cooperation creating better business environment.

Cross-border dynamics with Syria remain stable following Assad regime fall in December 2024, introducing new regional dynamics that Lebanon navigates under stable governmental leadership.

Infrastructure projects proceed normally, while New Year’s Eve provides opportunity for economic activity and community celebrations reflecting improved security conditions.

Key Factor: Economic reforms and stable government creating improved business environment for New Year period.

AKKAR 🌲

Index Reading: 74/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Border Stability. The Syrian border situation remains stable with enhanced Lebanese Armed Forces coordination. The fall of Assad regime introduced new regional dynamics affecting Lebanon’s political landscape, but border security maintains effectiveness.

Cross-border security operations continue normally, while humanitarian coordination proceeds effectively under stable governmental framework.

The region benefits from governmental stability and LAF commitment to implementing disarmament near borders as confirmed by army chief to French officials.

Key Factor: Border security maintained through LAF effectiveness while new Syrian dynamics create opportunities for improved regional stability.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

Index Reading: 76/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Disarmament Implementation. The valley experiences ongoing disarmament implementation as Lebanese army commits to completing first phase by year-end. Agricultural operations continue with improved security framework.

International development projects proceed under governmental stability, while Egypt gas deal promises better energy security supporting agricultural and economic activities.

The region’s strategic importance in disarmament implementation creates ongoing monitoring requirements, though governmental authority and international support provide framework for peaceful progress.

Key Factor: Disarmament implementation proceeding under governmental authority while energy and economic improvements support regional development.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

Index Reading: 79/100 🔴
Status: Critical but Improving. This region experienced recent strike incidents, with Israeli operations targeting alleged Hezbollah assets. Between December 22-28, operations reached as far north as Hermel and Hawsh Sayyed Ali. However, governmental authority and disarmament implementation provide framework for gradual improvement.

Infrastructure improvements continue under stable government, while disarmament commitments create long-term security prospects despite current challenges.

Key Factor: Recent strike activity requiring vigilance while governmental authority and disarmament implementation provide improvement framework.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

Index Reading: 68/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with New Year Celebrations. The coastal governorate prepares for New Year’s Eve celebrations with improved confidence from President Aoun’s diplomatic success and reform momentum. Tourism activities benefit from New Year period with domestic and regional visitors.

Business operations proceed normally with banking reforms allowing depositor recovery creating improved consumer spending capacity. Infrastructure improvements continue supporting tourism and business sectors.

The region serves as primary destination for New Year cultural celebrations, benefiting from Lebanon’s characteristic resilience and cultural vibrancy.

Key Factor: New Year celebrations supported by improved security environment and economic reforms creating tourism and business opportunities.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

Index Reading: 82/100 🔴
Status: Critical but Stabilizing. The south experienced recent operations between December 22-28, with Israeli activities in 22 locales targeting alleged Hezbollah assets. However, Lebanese army commitment to completing disarmament first phase by year-end provides improvement framework.

Last week, Israeli and Lebanese officials met directly in Naqoura for the second such meeting, as the two enemy states look to maintain the year-old ceasefire while implementing disarmament obligations.

UNIFIL continues operations supporting Lebanese army deployment, while UN records show ongoing challenges with Israeli operations killing over 300 since ceasefire including 127 civilians.

The region benefits from Lebanese army redeployment described by UNIFIL as key to stability, while diplomatic mechanisms provide framework for addressing violations.

Key Factor: Ongoing operations requiring vigilance while direct Israeli-Lebanese meetings and disarmament implementation provide stabilization framework.

NABATIEH ⛪

Index Reading: 80/100 🔴
Status: Critical but Improving. The governorate experienced recent operations between December 22-28, with Israeli activities targeting alleged Hezbollah sites. Infrastructure restoration continues under governmental framework.

The civilian population benefits from Lebanese army deployment and disarmament implementation providing long-term security prospects, while diplomatic mechanisms address ongoing violations.

Key Factor: Recent operations requiring caution while disarmament progress and Lebanese army deployment provide improvement trajectory.

🎯 NEW YEAR’S EVE SECURITY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

🔄 AREAS UNDER POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT:

Priority Level 1 – Reform Implementation:

1. Beirut Government District – Banking reforms and Egypt gas deal implementation
2. All Lebanese Army Deployment Areas – Disarmament first phase completion by year-end
3. Ain al-Hilweh – Fifth batch weapons handover demonstrating PLO cooperation
4. Diplomatic Coordination Centers – Arab-European-US consensus on Lebanon solution
5. Energy Infrastructure – Egypt natural gas deal supporting grid improvements

Priority Level 2 – New Year Preparations: 6. Coastal Areas – New Year’s Eve celebration preparations 7. Cultural Centers – Revival of galleries, theatres, and venues 8. Tourism Areas – Domestic and regional visitor activities 9. Business Districts – Banking reform implementation supporting commerce 10. Religious Sites – Patriarch support for disarmament and negotiations

✅ SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED AREAS:

Positive Development Zones:

• Central Government – President Aoun’s war prevention diplomacy successful
• Banking System – Reform law allowing depositor recovery up to $100,000
• Energy Sector – Egypt natural gas deal securing energy supplies
• Disarmament Implementation – First phase completion by year-end confirmed
• International Relations – Arab-European-US consensus on Lebanese security

⚠️ CONTINUED MONITORING REQUIRED:

Ongoing Challenge Areas:

• Southern operational zones – Recent December 22-28 activities in 22 locales
• Baalbek-Hermel – Recent strike activity requiring vigilance
• Israeli positions – Five strategic points retained despite ceasefire
• Ceasefire violations – Over 300 killed since November 2024 agreement

📱 NEW YEAR’S EVE SECURITY GUIDANCE

🏠 GUIDANCE FOR RESIDENTS:

NEW YEAR’S EVE ENVIRONMENT: Lebanon enters 2026 with cautious optimism following President Aoun’s diplomatic success preventing war escalation and government reforms addressing economic crisis.

POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS:

• War Prevention: President Aoun confirms “specter of war pushed away” through diplomacy
• Banking Reform: Depositor recovery up to $100,000 providing economic relief
• Energy Security: Egypt gas deal supporting infrastructure and daily life
• Disarmament Progress: First phase completion by year-end as committed
• International Support: Arab-European-US consensus on Lebanese security

NEW YEAR CELEBRATIONS:

• Cultural Activities: Beirut revival with reopening galleries, theatres, music venues
• Public Safety: Enhanced security for New Year’s Eve gatherings and events
• Domestic Travel: Feasible with awareness of southern area sensitivities
• Community Events: Characteristic Lebanese resilience supporting celebrations

CONTINUED AWARENESS:

• Monitor southern developments – recent operations in 22 locales December 22-28
• Exercise caution near Israeli-retained positions along border
• Support governmental disarmament implementation and reform efforts
• Participate in New Year celebrations with normal security awareness

🏢 BUSINESS OPERATIONS GUIDANCE:

NEW YEAR BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT:

• Banking Access: Reform law providing depositor recovery supporting cash flow
• Energy Improvements: Egypt gas deal creating better operational conditions
• Tourism Opportunities: New Year celebrations generating economic activity
• International Confidence: Arab-European-US consensus improving business environment

2026 PLANNING:

• Improved governmental stability under President Aoun and PM Salam
• Banking reforms addressing economic crisis through practical solutions
• Energy security improvements supporting operational planning
• Disarmament implementation creating long-term security framework

🚗 NEW YEAR’S EVE TRAVEL ADVISORY:

IMPROVED TRAVEL CONDITIONS: Lebanon shows significant improvement with governmental stability, diplomatic success, and reform implementation creating better environment for 2026.

NEW YEAR TRAVEL:

• Domestic Celebration Travel: Feasible with normal precautions
• Southern Areas: Exercise enhanced caution near operational zones
• Coastal Areas: Normal travel for New Year celebrations
• Border Crossings: Standard security procedures maintained

📊 NEW YEAR’S EVE SECURITY ANALYSIS

Today’s Assessment: Cautious Optimism as Lebanon Enters 2026
Governmental Achievement: War prevention through diplomacy and reform implementation
Economic Progress: Banking reform and Egypt gas deal addressing critical needs
Security Framework: Disarmament first phase completion by year-end confirmed

Critical Analysis: Lebanon concludes 2025 with significant achievements under President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s leadership. President Aoun’s statement that “the specter of war has been pushed away from Lebanon” reflects successful diplomatic efforts despite ongoing challenges.

The government’s practical achievements demonstrate institutional effectiveness: banking reform allowing depositor recovery up to $100,000 addresses economic crisis, Egypt natural gas deal secures energy supplies, and Lebanese army commitment to completing disarmament first phase by year-end shows security framework implementation.

Lebanon is navigating multiple concurrent challenges amidst signs of tentative stability. After a two-year political vacuum, the new government demonstrates capacity to address economic crisis through practical reforms while maintaining diplomatic engagement preventing military escalation.

The international consensus reported between Arab, European, and American parties on Lebanese security solutions provides framework for sustained improvement. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s statement that disarmament south of Litani is nearly complete, with plans to address areas north of Litani, demonstrates systematic implementation of security arrangements.

Ongoing Challenges Context: Between December 22 and 28, Israeli operations in 22 Lebanese locales killed six people, including five militants and one LAF soldier. Since the November 2024 ceasefire, over 300 have been killed including 127 civilians, with nearly 1,600 strikes conducted through November. However, diplomatic mechanisms including direct Israeli-Lebanese meetings in Naqoura provide frameworks for addressing violations.

New Year Prospects: President Aoun predicts “the birth of a new Lebanon” in 2026, promising accountability and institutions over parties and sects. Combined with banking reforms, energy security, disarmament implementation, and international support, Lebanon enters 2026 with improved prospects despite ongoing challenges requiring continued vigilance and diplomatic engagement.

🛡️ CIS SECURITY: NEW YEAR’S EVE SECURITY SERVICES

🎆 NEW YEAR 2026 – PROFESSIONAL SECURITY DURING CELEBRATIONS

CIS Security provides comprehensive protection during New Year’s Eve celebrations while supporting Lebanon’s reform momentum and diplomatic success under President Aoun and PM Salam’s leadership.

NEW YEAR’S EVE SPECIALIZED SERVICES:

Celebration Security:

• Public Event Protection – Security for New Year gatherings, cultural activities, celebrations
• Venue Security – Protection for reopening galleries, theatres, music venues hosting events
• Hospitality Security – Professional services for hotels, restaurants, entertainment venues
• Crowd Management – Safe celebration coordination for large public gatherings

New Year Travel Security:

• Domestic Movement – Protection for New Year holiday travel and family visits
• Tourism Security – Services supporting domestic and regional visitors
• Transportation Security – Safe movement coordination during celebration period
• Emergency Response – Maintained capabilities despite holiday festivities

Reform Support Services:

• Banking Security – Protection for depositor recovery implementation facilities
• Energy Infrastructure – Security for Egypt gas deal implementation sites
• Governmental Facilities – Protection during reform implementation period
• International Coordination – Security for diplomatic engagement supporting Lebanese stability

SPECIALIZED NEW YEAR SERVICES:

Cultural Revival Support:

• Professional security enabling Beirut cultural scene revival
• Protection for galleries, theatres, and music venues reopening
• Security coordination for characteristic Lebanese cultural vibrancy
• Event security supporting community celebration resilience

Economic Recovery Security:

• Banking reform implementation facility protection
• Business security during depositor recovery period
• Commercial activity protection benefiting from reform improvements
• Tourism security supporting New Year economic opportunities

Governmental Authority Support:

• Security coordination with Lebanese Army disarmament implementation
• Protection for diplomatic engagement preventing war escalation
• Professional services supporting institutional effectiveness
• Emergency response coordination during transition period

📞 NEW YEAR’S EVE COORDINATION SERVICES

CELEBRATION SECURITY HOTLINE: +961-3-539900
Professional protection enabling safe New Year celebrations

EVENT SECURITY: Comprehensive services for public and private celebrations
TRAVEL COORDINATION: Safe domestic movement during holiday period
EMERGENCY RESPONSE: Maintained capabilities despite festivities

New Year Service Centers:

• Celebration Protection Center: Security for public events and gatherings
• Tourism Support Office: Professional services for visitor activities
• Reform Implementation Security: Protection for banking and energy improvements
• Emergency Response Center: 24/7 operations despite holiday period

As Lebanon enters 2026 with President Aoun’s reform vision and diplomatic success, CIS Security’s professional services enable safe New Year celebrations while supporting governmental effectiveness, banking reforms, energy security, and disarmament implementation creating improved prospects for the new year.

⚠️ NEW YEAR’S EVE OPERATIONAL NOTICE

NEW YEAR OPTIMISM ASSESSMENT: Lebanon concludes 2025 with significant achievements including President Aoun’s war prevention diplomacy, banking reform providing depositor recovery, Egypt natural gas deal, and Lebanese army commitment to completing disarmament first phase by year-end.

Holiday Period Awareness: New Year’s Eve celebrations proceed with improved confidence while maintaining normal security awareness for southern operational zones and ongoing regional challenges.

Reform Momentum: President Aoun’s vision of “the birth of a new Lebanon” in 2026 combined with practical achievements in banking, energy, and security demonstrates governmental effectiveness creating positive outlook as new year approaches.

Professional New Year Services: CIS Security provides comprehensive protection enabling safe celebrations while supporting Lebanon’s reform implementation, diplomatic success, and cultural revival under President Aoun and PM Salam’s leadership.

2026 Prospects: Banking reforms, energy security, disarmament implementation, and international consensus provide framework for improved stability while characteristic Lebanese resilience and cultural vibrancy support new year optimism despite ongoing challenges requiring continued vigilance.

🔍 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES – CIS SECURITY LEBANON

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 – “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

As Lebanon enters 2026 with President Aoun’s reform vision and PM Salam’s governmental effectiveness, trust CIS Security’s 35+ years of proven expertise in celebration security, reform support, and diplomatic transition protection. As Lebanon’s most reviewed security company, we provide comprehensive New Year services including event security, banking reform protection, energy infrastructure security, and cultural revival support. Our trained, uniformed, and licensed security personnel deliver 24/7 protection supporting Lebanon’s improved prospects while maintaining vigilance for ongoing challenges.

CIS Security New Year 2026 Services:

• Celebration Security – Professional protection for New Year’s Eve events, gatherings, cultural activities
• Banking Reform Support – Security for depositor recovery implementation up to $100,000
• Energy Infrastructure – Protection for Egypt gas deal implementation and improvements
• Disarmament Coordination – Professional support for Lebanese Army first phase completion
• Tourism Security – Services enabling domestic and regional visitor celebrations
• Cultural Revival Protection – Security for reopening galleries, theatres, music venues

Why Choose CIS for New Year 2026: ✓ 35+ Years Celebration Experience – Proven security supporting Lebanese cultural vibrancy and resilience
✓ Reform Implementation Support – Professional protection for banking and energy improvements
✓ Governmental Coordination – Security supporting President Aoun and PM Salam’s effectiveness
✓ Diplomatic Success Support – Protection enabling war prevention and international engagement
✓ Cultural Scene Security – Professional services for Beirut revival and characteristic Lebanese celebrations
✓ Emergency Readiness – Maintained response capabilities supporting safe New Year transition

New Year 2026 Security Support: 📞 Celebration Security: +961-3-539900
💬 Event Protection: Professional services for safe New Year gatherings and festivities
🌐 Reform Support: www.cissecurity.net – Banking and energy security coordination
📧 2026 Planning: Security supporting improved prospects under governmental effectiveness

Serving all Lebanese governorates during New Year 2026 transition with professional security for celebrations, banking reforms, energy improvements, and cultural revival. CIS Security – Your trusted partner supporting Lebanon’s “birth of a new Lebanon” vision as President Aoun’s diplomacy prevents war, practical reforms address economic crisis, and characteristic Lebanese resilience creates optimistic prospects for 2026 despite ongoing challenges requiring continued professional vigilance and protection.