🇱🇧 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX™ – Friday, Jan 2 2026

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY INDEX READING

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL
TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 89/100
TREND ANALYSIS: ⚡ SEVERE ESCALATION – TRUMP ADMINISTRATION GREEN LIGHT REPORTS

🚨 BREAKING: MAJOR ESCALATION REPORTS – INTENSIVE STRIKES ACROSS LEBANON

CRITICAL DEVELOPMENTS – FRIDAY, JANUARY 2, 2026:

TRUMP GREEN LIGHT REPORT: Israeli reports say Trump gave Netanyahu green light for potential strike on Hezbollah, marking a significant policy shift as the new U.S. administration begins. The Israeli army has raised its readiness level in anticipation of a potential attack on Hezbollah, according to Israeli media reports.

INTENSIVE STRIKES TODAY: Israeli Army: We targeted a training complex of the Radwan Force unit, along with military buildings and infrastructure in areas of southern Lebanon. Israeli Army: We continue carrying out attacks against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Israeli aircraft are flying over Baalbek and Tyre.

MASSIVE BOMBARDMENT CAMPAIGN: Watch: Over 16 Airstrikes Hit the South. Watch: Heavy Bombardment Strikes Ansar. Two raids targeted the area between Ansar and Al-Zarariyeh, north of the Litani River, with columns of smoke and flames rising.

HOUSE DEMOLITIONS CONTINUE: South Lebanon: Enemy Forces Demolish Houses in Kfarkela and Adaysah. Al-Manar correspondent: A new incursion by Israeli enemy at dawn into “Al-Masareb neighborhood” in the town of Adaysah, and bombed one of the houses.

CEASEFIRE MONITORING MEETING: Representatives from Israel and Lebanon, as well as US, French, UN officials to meet for second meeting on ceasefire. Talks come as Israel launches near-daily attacks across Lebanon in violation of 2024 ceasefire with Hezbollah.

HEZBOLLAH LEADER SPEECH EXPECTED: Hezbollah secretary-general to deliver speech today, likely addressing the escalation and Trump administration reports.

BORDER INCIDENT CONFUSION: Misidentification at Lebanon Border Causes Confusion in Israel. Israeli Army: The activation of sirens in the Bar’am area of the Upper Galilee was due to a misidentification. Reuters, citing a source close to Hezbollah: Hezbollah has no involvement in the incident on the border that caused the sirens to sound in Israel.

CONTINUED TARGETING: Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon are escalating amid warnings of a return to war. UNIFIL says an Israeli drone attacked its personnel in Kafr Kila with a bomb. The Israeli army said it killed Hezbollah leader Zein al-Abidin Hussein Futouni in an airstrike on the Jebchit area in southern Lebanon.

🌡️ COMPREHENSIVE GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

Index Reading: 84/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Major Policy Shift Impact. The capital faces unprecedented uncertainty following Israeli reports that Trump gave Netanyahu green light for potential strike on Hezbollah. This marks a fundamental shift in U.S. policy that could dramatically affect Lebanon’s security environment.

President Joseph Aoun’s government operates under extreme pressure as the new Trump administration’s reported green light creates conditions for potential major escalation. The government continues participating in ceasefire monitoring committee meetings with representatives from Israel and Lebanon, as well as US, French, UN officials, but negotiations proceed under shadow of potential large-scale military operations.

Enhanced security around government buildings and diplomatic missions reflects the gravity of the Trump administration policy shift. The second ceasefire monitoring meeting occurs amid intensive Israeli strikes across southern Lebanon, demonstrating the fragility of current arrangements.

Lebanese government officials brace for potential major escalation as the Israeli army has raised its readiness level in anticipation of a potential attack on Hezbollah. This creates impossible operational conditions for governmental planning and civilian protection.

The electricity situation and infrastructure improvements become secondary concerns as the reported Trump green light creates existential threat to stability and reconstruction efforts. International diplomatic engagement focuses on preventing escalation while managing current intensive strike campaign.

Key Factor: Trump administration’s reported green light for potential major strike creating existential threat to Lebanon’s stability while intensive current operations demonstrate immediate escalation.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

Index Reading: 81/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Major Escalation Concerns. The governorate faces severe anxiety from reports that Trump gave Netanyahu green light for potential strike on Hezbollah, creating fear of expanded military operations affecting all Lebanese regions.

Business operations contract significantly as Trump administration policy shift eliminates business confidence and economic planning viability. The reported green light for major strikes creates conditions where normal economic activities become impossible to sustain or plan.

The region serves as primary destination for populations potentially displaced by expanded military operations, creating massive resource strain concerns as the scale of potential escalation remains unclear but threatens to exceed previous conflict levels.

Tourism sector faces complete collapse as Trump administration’s reported policy shift eliminates any international confidence in Lebanon’s security stability. The intensive current strikes demonstrate immediate escalation while the green light report suggests potentially massive future operations.

Infrastructure improvements halt completely as the reported Trump green light creates uncertainty about Lebanon’s physical integrity and reconstruction viability under conditions of potential major military campaign.

Key Factor: Trump administration policy shift creating existential economic and security concerns while current intensive strikes demonstrate immediate escalation threatening all planning and recovery efforts.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

Index Reading: 82/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Regional Escalation Impact. Tripoli and surrounding areas face severe challenges from the Trump administration’s reported green light policy creating regional instability and potential for expanded military operations affecting northern regions.

Economic conditions deteriorate rapidly as the reported policy shift eliminates business confidence and trade security. The port city experiences significant commercial contraction as regional instability from potential major escalation threatens all economic activities.

Cross-border dynamics with Syria become extremely complex as the reported Trump green light creates conditions for potential refugee flows and regional instability affecting cross-border security and humanitarian coordination.

Infrastructure systems face potential targeting concerns as the reported policy shift suggests expanded military operations could affect regions previously considered relatively secure from direct military actions.

Key Factor: Trump administration policy shift creating regional instability concerns while current intensive strikes demonstrate escalation pattern threatening northern areas previously distant from direct operations.

AKKAR 🌲

Index Reading: 83/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Border Security Crisis Potential. The Syrian border situation faces extreme pressure from the Trump administration’s reported green light creating conditions for massive displacement and cross-border security challenges.

Lebanese Armed Forces operations face impossible conditions as the reported policy shift suggests potential major military campaign that could overwhelm LAF capacity and create massive humanitarian emergency requiring cross-border coordination.

Border security resources face potential overwhelming from displacement scenarios created by Trump administration policy shift enabling potential major military operations throughout Lebanese territory.

Cross-border humanitarian coordination becomes critical planning priority as the reported green light suggests potential for massive civilian displacement requiring regional cooperation and international humanitarian intervention.

Key Factor: Trump administration policy shift creating border security and humanitarian crisis potential while current operations demonstrate escalation requiring enhanced coordination and resource preparation.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

Index Reading: 87/100 🔴
Status: Critical – High Priority Target Zone. The valley faces extreme danger as Israeli aircraft are flying over Baalbek demonstrating active targeting interest while Trump administration’s reported green light suggests potential for major operations in strategic Beqaa region.

Agricultural operations face complete suspension as the intensive flyovers and reported policy shift create impossible security conditions for farming activities. The valley’s strategic importance makes it potential priority target under Trump administration’s reported green light for major operations.

Israeli aircraft are flying over Baalbek and Tyre demonstrates active operational planning and targeting preparation throughout strategic regions including the Beqaa Valley where Hezbollah maintains significant presence.

International development projects face complete halt as the Trump administration policy shift eliminates any security framework for continuing development or reconstruction activities in strategically significant regions.

Key Factor: Active flyovers demonstrating targeting preparation while Trump administration green light report suggests Beqaa Valley faces potential major military operations as strategic priority target.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

Index Reading: 88/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Maximum Target Priority. This region faces maximum danger as Israeli aircraft flying over Baalbek demonstrates active targeting while Trump administration’s reported green light suggests potential major operations in this strategic Hezbollah stronghold.

Infrastructure faces potential systematic targeting as the reported policy shift enables major military campaign that could target all regional infrastructure and civilian facilities in Hezbollah stronghold areas.

All civilian activities become impossible as the combination of active flyovers and reported Trump green light creates conditions where civilian protection becomes secondary to military objectives in strategic targeting priorities.

The region’s historical significance as Hezbollah center makes it maximum priority target under Trump administration’s reported policy enabling major military operations throughout Lebanon.

Key Factor: Active flyovers and Trump green light report creating maximum danger as strategic Hezbollah stronghold faces potential major military campaign with civilian infrastructure systematic targeting concerns.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

Index Reading: 77/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Spillover Escalation Concerns. The coastal governorate faces severe anxiety from Trump administration’s reported green light creating fear that expanded military operations could affect areas previously considered relatively secure.

Tourism sector collapses completely as the policy shift eliminates any international confidence in Lebanon’s security stability regardless of distance from traditional conflict zones. The reported green light for major operations creates nationwide security concerns.

Business operations contract as the Trump administration policy shift eliminates economic planning viability even in traditionally more stable coastal regions as potential major escalation threatens nationwide impacts.

The region prepares for potential massive displacement influx from expanded military operations enabled by Trump administration’s reported policy shift, creating resource strain and security management challenges.

Key Factor: Trump administration policy shift eliminating regional security distinctions while potential major escalation creates nationwide threat affecting even traditionally more stable coastal areas.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

Index Reading: 95/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Active Major Operations Zone. The south experiences maximum danger as Watch: Over 16 Airstrikes Hit the South and Watch: Heavy Bombardment Strikes Ansar demonstrate intensive current operations while Trump administration green light report suggests potential for massive escalation.

Israeli Army: We targeted a training complex of the Radwan Force unit, along with military buildings and infrastructure in areas of southern Lebanon. Israeli Army: We continue carrying out attacks against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. These statements combined with Over 16 Airstrikes demonstrate intensive ongoing campaign.

South Lebanon: Enemy Forces Demolish Houses in Kfarkela and Adaysah demonstrates systematic targeting of civilian infrastructure while intensive strikes continue throughout the governorate creating impossible conditions for civilian presence.

Two raids targeted the area between Ansar and Al-Zarariyeh, north of the Litani River, with columns of smoke and flames rising, demonstrating operations extending beyond traditional border areas into deeper Lebanese territory.

The Israeli army said it killed Hezbollah leader Zein al-Abidin Hussein Futouni in an airstrike on the Jebchit area in southern Lebanon, demonstrating continuing targeted assassination campaign alongside infrastructure strikes.

Key Factor: Intensive current operations with over 16 airstrikes, heavy bombardment, house demolitions, and targeted assassinations while Trump green light report suggests potential for massive further escalation.

NABATIEH ⛪

Index Reading: 93/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Active Combat Operations. The governorate experiences severe military operations as part of intensive southern Lebanon strike campaign while Trump administration’s reported green light suggests potential for expanded operations.

Civilian infrastructure faces systematic targeting as house demolitions and intensive strikes throughout southern regions demonstrate military operations prioritizing infrastructure destruction regardless of civilian presence or protection concerns.

All civilian services operate under extreme danger as the combination of intensive current strikes and Trump administration policy shift creates conditions where civilian protection becomes impossible during major military operations.

Medical facilities struggle to provide services during intensive strike campaign while Trump administration green light report suggests conditions could dramatically worsen requiring massive emergency humanitarian intervention.

Key Factor: Active intensive military operations with house demolitions and multiple strikes while Trump administration policy shift suggests potential for massive escalation requiring immediate civilian protection measures.

🎯 CRITICAL SECURITY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF – MAJOR ESCALATION ALERT

🔥 IMMEDIATE EXTREME HIGH-RISK AREAS:

Priority Level 1 – Active Major Operations:

1. Ansar – Heavy bombardment captured on video demonstrating intensive current targeting
2. South Lebanon General – Over 16 airstrikes documented demonstrating massive current campaign
3. Area Between Ansar and Al-Zarariyeh – Two raids north of Litani River demonstrating expanded targeting
4. Kfarkela and Adaysah – House demolitions by Israeli forces demonstrating systematic infrastructure targeting
5. Jebchit Area – Targeted assassination of Hezbollah leader demonstrating continuing elimination campaign

Priority Level 2 – Strategic Targeting Zones: 6. Baalbek – Israeli aircraft flyovers demonstrating targeting preparation for strategic region 7. Tyre – Israeli aircraft flyovers demonstrating coastal targeting preparation 8. Radwan Force Training Complex – Confirmed Israeli targeting of training infrastructure 9. All Southern Military Buildings – Israeli army continuing attacks demonstrating systematic campaign 10. Kafr Kila – UNIFIL personnel attacked by Israeli drone demonstrating targeting of international forces

🚨 NO SAFE ZONES – NATIONWIDE ESCALATION THREAT:

Following Israeli reports that Trump gave Netanyahu green light for potential strike on Hezbollah and current intensive operations with over 16 airstrikes, Lebanon faces comprehensive escalation eliminating traditional security zone concepts.

Major Escalation Indicators:

• Trump administration reported green light for major Hezbollah strike
• Israeli army raised readiness level for potential attack
• Over 16 airstrikes hitting southern Lebanon in intensive campaign
• House demolitions demonstrating systematic infrastructure targeting
• Israeli aircraft flying over Baalbek and Tyre demonstrating expanded targeting preparation
• Hezbollah secretary-general speech expected today likely addressing escalation

⚠️ IMMEDIATE EMERGENCY EVACUATION REQUIRED:

• ALL SOUTHERN LEBANON – Intensive operations with over 16 strikes and house demolitions
• Strategic Beqaa Areas – Aircraft flyovers demonstrating targeting preparation
• All Hezbollah Strongholds – Trump green light report enabling major operations
• Areas Near UNIFIL – International forces under direct attack
• All Border Areas – Systematic targeting and house demolition operations

📱 EMERGENCY SECURITY GUIDANCE – MAJOR ESCALATION RESPONSE

🏠 CRITICAL SURVIVAL GUIDANCE:

IMMEDIATE EXISTENTIAL THREAT: Israeli reports that Trump gave Netanyahu green light for potential strike on Hezbollah combined with intensive current operations with over 16 airstrikes demonstrate Lebanon faces potential major military escalation requiring immediate protective action.

EMERGENCY SURVIVAL ACTIONS:

• EVACUATE SOUTHERN LEBANON IMMEDIATELY – Over 16 airstrikes and house demolitions creating combat zone
• AVOID ALL STRATEGIC AREAS – Israeli aircraft flying over Baalbek and Tyre demonstrating targeting preparation
• UNDERGROUND SHELTER ESSENTIAL – Intensive bombardment requiring maximum protection
• IMMEDIATE FAMILY EVACUATION – Trump green light enabling major operations threatening nationwide security
• INTERNATIONAL EVACUATION COORDINATION – Major escalation potential requiring international protection assistance

TRUMP POLICY SHIFT IMPLICATIONS: The reported green light from Trump administration fundamentally changes Lebanon’s security environment, enabling military operations of scale and intensity previously constrained by U.S. policy. This creates existential threat to Lebanese stability and civilian protection.

INTENSIVE CURRENT OPERATIONS: Over 16 airstrikes hitting the south, heavy bombardment strikes on Ansar, house demolitions in Kfarkela and Adaysah, and continuing attacks demonstrate immediate massive escalation already underway before potential major operation enabled by Trump green light.

🏢 EMERGENCY BUSINESS PROTOCOLS:

MANDATORY IMMEDIATE SHUTDOWN:

• COMPLETE EVACUATION – Trump green light and intensive strikes eliminating business operation viability
• EMPLOYEE PROTECTION PRIORITY – Immediate evacuation from all southern and strategic areas
• ASSET ABANDONMENT PROTOCOLS – Survival priority over business asset protection
• INTERNATIONAL COORDINATION – Corporate evacuation requiring diplomatic assistance

🚗 EMERGENCY EVACUATION STATUS:

ABSOLUTE EMERGENCY EVACUATION REQUIRED: LEBANON FACES POTENTIAL MAJOR MILITARY CAMPAIGN WITH INTENSIVE CURRENT OPERATIONS

Current emergency conditions:

• Trump Green Light – U.S. administration reportedly enabling major Hezbollah strike
• Over 16 Airstrikes – Intensive current operations demonstrating immediate massive escalation
• House Demolitions – Systematic infrastructure targeting in Kfarkela and Adaysah
• Aircraft Flyovers – Targeting preparation over Baalbek and Tyre strategic areas
• Hezbollah Leader Killed – Continuing assassination campaign alongside infrastructure strikes

🔮 CRITICAL 24-HOUR SECURITY FORECAST

Predicted Index Reading: 92/100
Forecast Trend: ⚡ IMMEDIATE MAJOR ESCALATION EXPECTED

Imminent Maximum Threats:

1. Major Military Operation Launch – Trump green light enabling large-scale campaign
2. Expanded Geographic Targeting – Aircraft over Baalbek/Tyre indicating expansion beyond south
3. Continued Intensive Strikes – Over 16 airstrikes pattern suggesting sustained campaign
4. Hezbollah Response – Secretary-general speech likely addressing escalation and response plans
5. Massive Civilian Displacement – Major operation potential creating humanitarian catastrophe

Critical Emergency Preparation: Trump administration’s reported green light combined with intensive current operations requires immediate international emergency response and comprehensive civilian evacuation coordination.

📊 MAJOR ESCALATION SECURITY ANALYSIS

Today’s Crisis Level: Major Military Escalation With U.S. Policy Shift
Change from Previous Period: +5 points (Severe deterioration from Trump green light and intensive strikes)
Escalation Trend: Major Military Campaign Imminent
Assessment: Lebanon faces potential major military campaign enabled by Trump administration policy shift with intensive current operations demonstrating immediate escalation.

Critical Analysis: The convergence of Israeli reports that Trump gave Netanyahu green light for potential strike on Hezbollah, intensive current operations with over 16 airstrikes hitting the south, heavy bombardment of Ansar, house demolitions in multiple towns, and Israeli aircraft flying over strategic areas creates conditions for major military campaign unprecedented since 2006.

The Israeli army has raised its readiness level in anticipation of a potential attack on Hezbollah, demonstrating operational preparation for major campaign. Current intensive strikes with over 16 documented airstrikes represent immediate massive escalation while Trump green light suggests potential for operations of much greater scale and geographic scope.

Representatives from Israel and Lebanon meeting with US, French, UN officials for second ceasefire monitoring meeting occurs during intensive violations demonstrating ceasefire framework collapse. Talks come as Israel launches near-daily attacks across Lebanon in violation of 2024 ceasefire with Hezbollah.

UNIFIL says an Israeli drone attacked its personnel in Kafr Kila with a bomb demonstrates targeting of international forces eliminating peacekeeping protection framework. The Israeli army said it killed Hezbollah leader Zein al-Abidin Hussein Futouni demonstrating continuing assassination campaign.

Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon are escalating amid warnings of a return to war. South Lebanon: Enemy Forces Demolish Houses in Kfarkela and Adaysah demonstrates systematic infrastructure destruction beyond military targeting.

Long-term Implications: Trump administration’s reported policy shift fundamentally changes regional security dynamics, potentially enabling military operations of scale not seen since 2006 Lebanon War. This creates existential threat to Lebanese stability and sovereignty requiring immediate international intervention.

🛡️ CIS SECURITY: MAJOR ESCALATION EMERGENCY RESPONSE

🚨 MAXIMUM EMERGENCY – POTENTIAL MAJOR MILITARY CAMPAIGN

Following Israeli reports of Trump green light and intensive operations with over 16 airstrikes, CIS Security activates maximum escalation emergency protocols.

IMMEDIATE MAJOR ESCALATION RESPONSE:

Trump Policy Shift Emergency Response:

• Political Analysis – Assessment of Trump administration green light implications for Lebanese security
• Escalation Forecasting – Professional evaluation of major campaign potential and scope
• International Coordination – Emergency liaison with diplomatic missions for evacuation planning
• Maximum Protection Protocols – Comprehensive security for existential threat environment

Intensive Operations Response:

• Real-time Strike Monitoring – Continuous assessment of 16+ airstrikes and ongoing campaign
• House Demolition Intelligence – Systematic targeting pattern analysis for civilian protection
• Evacuation Coordination – Professional extraction from Kfarkela, Adaysah, and intensive strike zones
• Underground Shelter Operations – Maximum protection during intensive bombardment

Major Campaign Preparation:

• International Evacuation – Comprehensive coordination for potential major military campaign
• Strategic Area Protection – Enhanced security for Baalbek, Tyre, and flyover target zones
• Emergency Supply Networks – Critical resource distribution for potential extended campaign
• Medical Emergency Coordination – Trauma response preparation for major operation casualties

🚨 IMMEDIATE MAJOR ESCALATION CONTACT

MAJOR ESCALATION HOTLINE: +961-3-539900
Direct connection to Trump green light assessment and intensive operations response coordinators

EVACUATION EMERGENCY: Comprehensive extraction from intensive strike zones and strategic targeting areas
INTERNATIONAL COORDINATION: Professional liaison for major campaign evacuation and protection
MAXIMUM PROTECTION: Underground shelter and comprehensive security during major escalation

Major Escalation Centers:

• Trump Policy Assessment: Professional analysis of green light implications
• Intensive Operations Response: Real-time monitoring of 16+ airstrikes campaign
• International Evacuation: Comprehensive coordination for major campaign protection
• Strategic Targeting Intelligence: Analysis of Baalbek/Tyre flyovers and expansion preparation

When Trump reportedly gives Netanyahu green light for major Hezbollah strike and over 16 airstrikes hit southern Lebanon with house demolitions and aircraft flyovers over strategic areas, CIS Security’s major escalation protocols provide comprehensive protection during potential major military campaign requiring immediate international evacuation and maximum protective measures.

🔍 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES – CIS SECURITY LEBANON

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 – “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

During Lebanon’s major escalation crisis with Trump administration green light reports and intensive operations with over 16 airstrikes, trust CIS Security’s 35+ years of proven expertise in major military campaign response and international evacuation coordination. As Lebanon’s most reviewed security company, we provide comprehensive major escalation security including Trump policy shift assessment, intensive strike response, house demolition area evacuation, strategic targeting intelligence, and international campaign protection coordination.

CIS Security Major Escalation Services:

• Trump Green Light Assessment – Professional analysis of U.S. policy shift enabling major Hezbollah strikes
• Intensive Operations Response – Real-time monitoring and protection during 16+ airstrikes campaign
• House Demolition Evacuation – Emergency extraction from Kfarkela, Adaysah systematic targeting
• Strategic Targeting Intelligence – Analysis of Baalbek/Tyre aircraft flyovers and expansion preparation
• International Campaign Coordination – Comprehensive evacuation for potential major military operations
• Maximum Protection Protocols – Underground shelter and comprehensive security during major escalation

Why Choose CIS During Major Escalation: ✓ 35+ Years Major Campaign Experience – Proven security during large-scale military operations
✓ Trump Policy Analysis – Professional assessment of green light implications and campaign scope
✓ Intensive Operations Response – Real-time protection during 16+ airstrikes and systematic targeting
✓ International Coordination – Comprehensive evacuation liaison with diplomatic missions
✓ Strategic Intelligence – Advanced analysis of targeting patterns and campaign preparation indicators
✓ Maximum Protection – Underground shelter operations and comprehensive security during major escalation

Major Escalation Emergency: 📞 Crisis Hotline: +961-3-539900
💬 Trump Policy Assessment: Professional analysis of green light implications for Lebanese security
🌐 Intensive Operations: www.cissecurity.net – Real-time response to 16+ airstrikes campaign
📧 International Evacuation: Comprehensive coordination for major campaign protection requirements

Serving all Lebanese governorates during major escalation crisis with Trump administration green light reports and intensive operations including over 16 airstrikes, heavy bombardment, house demolitions, and strategic area flyovers. CIS Security – Your trusted partner when potential major military campaign requires immediate international evacuation, maximum protective measures, and comprehensive security during unprecedented escalation threatening Lebanese sovereignty and civilian protection.