🇱🇧 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX™ – Wednesday, Feb 11 2026

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY INDEX READING

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL
TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 85/100
TREND ANALYSIS: ⚠️ TENSE STABILITY – REGIONAL DIPLOMACY AMID WITHDRAWAL PLANNING

🚨 BREAKING: LAF CHIEF IN SAUDI ARABIA – UNIFIL ANNOUNCES MID-2027 WITHDRAWAL

CRITICAL DEVELOPMENTS – WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 11, 2026:

LAF COMMANDER IN SAUDI ARABIA TODAY: Army Commander General Rodolphe Haykal has arrived in Saudi Arabia where he will hold a series of meetings, Al-Jadeed television reported. This follows his recent February 3-5 Washington visit where Haykal met with CENTCOM and Congress, securing critical US military support.

UNIFIL ANNOUNCES WITHDRAWAL TIMELINE: The United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon plans to withdraw most of its troops by mid 2027, its spokesperson told AFP on Tuesday (yesterday). This confirms the transition timeline following the UN Security Council’s decision to renew UNIFIL’s mandate for the final time until end of 2026, followed by withdrawal in 2027.

US CENTCOM CONGRATULATES LAF: The United States Central Command congratulated the Lebanese Army for finding a Hezbollah tunnel in south Lebanon. CENTCOM shared Monday a statement praising LAF’s disarmament implementation efforts, demonstrating continued US support following Haykal’s Washington meetings.

SEVERE WEATHER AFFECTING LEBANON TODAY: Lebanon is being affected by a cold and rainy low-pressure system on Wednesday, February 11, 2026, accompanied by unstable weather conditions. Heavy to very heavy rainfall expected, especially in coastal areas, with hail showers and thunderstorms potentially leading to formation of torrents, flow of valleys, and rise in water levels.

ISRAELI OPERATIONS CONTINUE: Despite recent diplomatic developments, Israeli operations in Lebanon against Hezbollah continue (January 26–February 1, 2026), with near-daily attacks remaining the new normal nearly a year after the U.S.-brokered truce.

NETANYAHU-TRUMP MEETING: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Tuesday said he would prioritize discussions on Iran when he meets with U.S. President Trump during US visit, indicating regional strategic discussions affecting Lebanon’s security environment.

PHASE TWO DISARMAMENT STATUS: Following Haykal’s Washington visit and proposal to Cabinet in February, phase two implementation (Litani to Awali River) remains under discussion amid Hezbollah’s continued refusal to disarm north of Litani unless Israel abides by ceasefire.

🌡️ COMPREHENSIVE GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

Index Reading: 79/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Diplomatic Progress. The capital experiences improved conditions following LAF Commander Haykal’s successful diplomatic engagements. His February 3-5 Washington visit securing US military support, followed by today’s Saudi Arabia meetings, demonstrates active governmental diplomatic strategy under President Joseph Aoun.

US CENTCOM’s congratulations for LAF tunnel discovery yesterday indicates international confidence in Lebanese army’s disarmament implementation capabilities. This positive recognition follows Haykal’s meetings with CENTCOM and Congress, creating momentum for continued US support.

Yesterday’s UNIFIL announcement of mid-2027 withdrawal timeline provides predictable transition framework, allowing systematic planning for Lebanese army takeover of security responsibilities in southern Lebanon under LAF control.

Today’s severe weather (heavy rain, thunderstorms, hail) affects normal operations but provides brief pause from military operations as weather conditions impact aerial activities. Emergency services prepare for flooding, valley flows, and water level rises in low-lying areas.

The government manages complex diplomatic balance: securing international support (US, Saudi Arabia) for LAF enhancement while navigating Hezbollah’s refusal to accept phase two disarmament under continued Israeli attacks.

Key Factor: LAF Commander’s Saudi Arabia visit today following successful Washington meetings, UNIFIL withdrawal timeline announced yesterday, and US CENTCOM congratulations creating diplomatic momentum despite ongoing security challenges.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

Index Reading: 76/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Weather Impact. The governorate experiences today’s severe weather system bringing heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and potential flooding to coastal and mountainous areas.

Business operations face today’s weather disruptions while benefiting from improved diplomatic climate following Haykal’s successful international engagements. The LAF tunnel discovery recognition by US CENTCOM indicates progress in disarmament implementation.

Tourism sector shows cautious signs as UNIFIL’s mid-2027 withdrawal announcement provides predictable security transition timeline, though continued Israeli operations maintain visitor concerns.

Today’s severe weather requires emergency preparations for torrents, valley flows, and flooding in coastal areas and mountainous regions, affecting transportation and infrastructure systems.

Key Factor: Today’s severe weather creating operational challenges while diplomatic progress from Haykal’s visits and UNIFIL withdrawal timeline provide improved security framework.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

Index Reading: 78/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Weather and Regional Concerns. Tripoli and surrounding areas face today’s severe weather with heavy rainfall expected in coastal regions including Latakia and surroundings.

The port city’s commercial activities benefit from LAF Commander’s diplomatic successes – Washington visit securing US support followed by today’s Saudi Arabia meetings indicate regional confidence in Lebanese governmental strategy.

Today’s severe weather affects port operations and transportation with heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and potential flooding creating operational challenges requiring emergency preparedness.

Economic conditions show improvement potential as UNIFIL’s mid-2027 withdrawal timeline and LAF’s tunnel discovery recognition create framework for systematic security transition and international confidence building.

Key Factor: Today’s severe weather affecting operations while regional diplomatic engagement (Haykal in Saudi Arabia) and UNIFIL withdrawal planning creating improved framework.

AKKAR 🌲

Index Reading: 79/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Border Weather Concerns. The Syrian border situation remains stable while today’s severe weather brings heavy rainfall potentially affecting cross-border areas and border monitoring operations.

Lebanese Armed Forces border security benefits from US CENTCOM recognition of tunnel discovery and Haykal’s international diplomatic successes securing enhanced military support and equipment.

Today’s severe weather requires enhanced coordination as heavy rainfall and thunderstorms may affect border monitoring equipment and cross-border humanitarian operations.

The region benefits from systematic LAF enhancement through international support secured during Haykal’s Washington and Saudi Arabia visits, improving border security capabilities.

Key Factor: Today’s weather affecting border operations while LAF diplomatic successes securing international support for enhanced capabilities.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

Index Reading: 82/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Weather and Security Concerns. The valley experiences today’s severe weather while managing ongoing Israeli operations (January 26–February 1) despite recent diplomatic developments.

US CENTCOM congratulations for LAF tunnel discovery indicates progress in disarmament implementation, though Hezbollah maintains refusal to accept phase two (Litani to Awali) under continued Israeli attacks.

Today’s severe weather with heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and potential flooding affects agricultural operations and valley infrastructure requiring emergency preparedness for torrent formation.

The region’s strategic importance in disarmament discussions continues as phase two implementation remains under Cabinet consideration following Haykal’s Washington proposal.

Key Factor: Today’s severe weather affecting operations while ongoing Israeli attacks and phase two disarmament tensions create continued security concerns despite LAF diplomatic progress.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

Index Reading: 84/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Weather Impact. This region faces today’s severe weather while managing ongoing security concerns from Israeli operations and disarmament discussions.

Infrastructure operations adjust for today’s heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and potential flooding affecting essential services and transportation systems.

The region benefits indirectly from LAF’s enhanced international support secured through Haykal’s diplomatic engagements, though phase two disarmament discussions create ongoing political tensions.

Key Factor: Today’s severe weather creating operational challenges while disarmament tensions and ongoing Israeli operations maintain elevated security concerns.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

Index Reading: 73/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Weather Disruptions. The coastal governorate faces today’s severe weather with heavy to very heavy rainfall expected in coastal areas, hail showers, and thunderstorms.

Tourism sector operations disrupted by today’s weather including potential flooding in low-lying coastal areas and transportation challenges from heavy rainfall.

Business operations adjust for severe weather while benefiting from improved security framework created by UNIFIL’s mid-2027 withdrawal announcement and LAF’s international diplomatic successes.

Today’s weather conditions require emergency preparedness for coastal flooding, torrent formation, and water level rises affecting infrastructure and transportation.

Key Factor: Today’s severe coastal weather creating immediate operational challenges while improved diplomatic framework provides medium-term optimism.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

Index Reading: 89/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Active Monitoring Required. The south experiences ongoing Israeli operations (January 26–February 1) despite improved diplomatic framework from Haykal’s international meetings and UNIFIL withdrawal planning.

US CENTCOM congratulations for LAF tunnel discovery in south Lebanon demonstrates military cooperation progress and disarmament implementation advances despite continued Israeli attacks.

UNIFIL’s announced mid-2027 withdrawal timeline creates systematic transition framework, though peacekeepers currently face Israeli operations affecting patrol activities. UNIFIL forces reported Israeli operations affected patrol with gunfire and explosion impacting near their forces.

Today’s severe weather provides brief operational pause as heavy rainfall and thunderstorms affect aerial and ground military activities in southern regions.

Lebanese army operational control continues expanding in southern areas except five Israeli-occupied points, with LAF tunnel discovery demonstrating enhanced capabilities from US military support.

Key Factor: Ongoing Israeli operations despite LAF progress, UNIFIL withdrawal planning for mid-2027, and today’s severe weather affecting all operations.

NABATIEH ⛪

Index Reading: 87/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Weather and Security Concerns. The governorate faces today’s severe weather while managing ongoing security challenges from Israeli operations and infrastructure reconstruction needs.

Civilian infrastructure faces dual challenges: today’s heavy rainfall and thunderstorms potentially causing flooding, plus ongoing damage from Israeli attacks requiring continued reconstruction efforts.

Medical facilities prepare for weather-related emergencies (flooding, accidents) while maintaining capacity for casualties from ongoing Israeli operations.

LAF presence expands throughout region following disarmament phase one implementation and tunnel discovery demonstrating enhanced operational capabilities.

Key Factor: Today’s severe weather compounding ongoing security challenges while LAF capabilities improve through international support.

🎯 CURRENT SECURITY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

🔄 TODAY’S DIPLOMATIC AND WEATHER DEVELOPMENTS:

Priority Level 1 – Current Immediate Factors:

1. LAF Commander in Saudi Arabia – General Haykal holding meetings today following Washington success
2. Severe Weather Today – Heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, hail affecting all coastal and mountainous areas
3. UNIFIL Withdrawal Timeline – Mid-2027 announced yesterday providing transition framework
4. US CENTCOM Recognition – Monday’s congratulations for LAF tunnel discovery
5. Severe Flooding Risk – Today’s torrents, valley flows, water level rises in low-lying areas

Priority Level 2 – Ongoing Monitoring: 6. Israeli Operations – Continuing despite diplomatic progress (January 26–February 1) 7. Phase Two Disarmament – Cabinet discussions following Haykal’s Washington proposal 8. Hezbollah Position – Continued refusal to disarm north of Litani under Israeli attacks 9. Netanyahu-Trump Meeting – Iran discussions affecting regional security environment 10. Regional Weather – Syria and Palestine also affected by today’s weather system

✅ IMPROVED DIPLOMATIC FRAMEWORK:

Positive Developments:

• LAF International Support – Successful Washington visit followed by today’s Saudi Arabia meetings
• US Military Cooperation – CENTCOM congratulations and continued support
• UNIFIL Transition Plan – Mid-2027 withdrawal providing predictable timeline
• Disarmament Progress – LAF tunnel discovery demonstrating implementation capabilities

⚠️ TODAY’S IMMEDIATE CONCERNS:

Weather Emergency Factors:

• Heavy to very heavy rainfall in coastal areas
• Thunderstorms and hail showers
• Torrent formation and valley flows
• Water level rises in low-lying areas and roads
• Flooding risk in coastal and low-lying regions

📱 CURRENT SECURITY GUIDANCE

🏠 GUIDANCE FOR RESIDENTS:

TODAY’S WEATHER EMERGENCY: Lebanon experiences severe weather system today with heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and flooding risks requiring immediate preparedness for torrents, valley flows, and water level rises.

CURRENT CONDITIONS:

• LAF Diplomatic Success: Commander in Saudi Arabia today after Washington meetings
• UNIFIL Transition: Mid-2027 withdrawal announced providing systematic framework
• US Support: CENTCOM congratulations for tunnel discovery
• Weather Emergency: Heavy rain, thunderstorms, flooding risks today
• Israeli Operations: Continuing despite diplomatic progress

TODAY’S PROTECTIVE MEASURES:

• Flooding Preparedness: Emergency supplies for torrent formation and water rise
• Transportation Caution: Heavy rainfall affecting roads and low-lying areas
• Valley Awareness: Flow risks in valley areas during heavy rainfall
• Coastal Flooding: Particular attention to coastal area flooding risks
• Emergency Services: Preparations for weather-related incidents

🏢 BUSINESS OPERATIONS GUIDANCE:

TODAY’S WEATHER IMPACT:

• Operational Disruptions: Heavy rainfall, thunderstorms affecting normal business
• Coastal Business Caution: Flooding risks in coastal and low-lying areas
• Transportation Challenges: Heavy rainfall affecting supply chains and logistics
• Emergency Preparedness: Flooding response protocols activation

MEDIUM-TERM IMPROVEMENTS:

• LAF Support: Haykal’s diplomatic successes securing military enhancement
• UNIFIL Transition: Mid-2027 withdrawal providing planning timeline
• International Confidence: US and Saudi engagement improving framework
• Disarmament Progress: LAF tunnel discovery demonstrating capabilities

🚗 TRAVEL ADVISORY:

TODAY’S WEATHER TRAVEL WARNING: Severe weather conditions with heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and flooding risks affecting transportation throughout Lebanon, particularly coastal areas and valleys.

CURRENT TRAVEL STATUS:

• Weather Hazards: Heavy rain, thunderstorms, hail, flooding risks
• Road Conditions: Water level rises affecting low-lying roads
• Valley Areas: Torrent formation risks during heavy rainfall
• Coastal Routes: Flooding risks in coastal regions
• General Caution: Ongoing Israeli operations despite weather pause

📊 COMPREHENSIVE SECURITY ANALYSIS

Today’s Assessment: Diplomatic Progress Amid Severe Weather Emergency
LAF Commander: In Saudi Arabia today following successful Washington meetings
UNIFIL Announcement: Mid-2027 withdrawal timeline announced yesterday
US Support: CENTCOM congratulations Monday for tunnel discovery
Weather Emergency: Heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, flooding risks today
Israeli Operations: Continuing despite diplomatic developments

Critical Analysis: Lebanon experiences significant diplomatic progress as LAF Commander Haykal conducts strategic meetings in Saudi Arabia today, building on his successful February 3-5 Washington visit where he met with CENTCOM and Congress securing US military support.

Yesterday’s UNIFIL announcement of mid-2027 withdrawal timeline provides predictable transition framework for Lebanese army assuming full southern security responsibilities. This systematic planning allows LAF enhancement through international support secured during Haykal’s diplomatic engagements.

Monday’s US CENTCOM congratulations for LAF tunnel discovery demonstrates practical disarmament implementation progress and international confidence in Lebanese army capabilities despite ongoing Israeli operations.

However, today’s severe weather system creates immediate emergency conditions with heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and flooding risks throughout Lebanon, particularly coastal areas. Emergency services prepare for torrents, valley flows, and water level rises requiring immediate protective measures.

Disarmament Framework: Phase two discussions (Litani to Awali River) continue following Haykal’s Washington proposal to Cabinet, though Hezbollah maintains refusal to disarm under continued Israeli attacks. LAF’s enhanced capabilities from US support may facilitate implementation despite political resistance.

Regional Context: Netanyahu’s prioritization of Iran discussions with Trump affects broader regional security environment, while LAF’s engagement with Saudi Arabia demonstrates Lebanon’s active regional diplomatic strategy.

Long-term Prospects: The convergence of LAF international support (US, Saudi Arabia), UNIFIL systematic withdrawal planning (mid-2027), and practical disarmament progress (tunnel discovery) creates improved framework for Lebanon’s security transition despite ongoing Israeli operations and today’s weather emergency.

🛡️ CIS SECURITY: WEATHER EMERGENCY AND DIPLOMATIC SUPPORT SERVICES

⛈️ SEVERE WEATHER RESPONSE – DIPLOMATIC FRAMEWORK SUPPORT

CIS Security provides comprehensive protection during today’s severe weather emergency while supporting Lebanon’s improved diplomatic framework from LAF Commander’s international engagements.

TODAY’S IMMEDIATE SERVICES:

Severe Weather Emergency Response:

• Flooding Protection: Emergency response for torrents, valley flows, water rises
• Coastal Security: Enhanced protection for flooding risks in coastal areas
• Transportation Alternatives: Secure routing avoiding heavy rainfall and flooding zones
• Emergency Coordination: Professional response to weather-related incidents
• Infrastructure Protection: Facilities security during thunderstorms and flooding

LAF Diplomatic Support:

• Saudi Arabia Visit Monitoring: Tracking Haykal’s meetings and outcomes today
• Washington Follow-up: Implementation of US military support secured
• UNIFIL Transition Planning: Security coordination for mid-2027 withdrawal
• Tunnel Discovery Operations: Professional support for continued disarmament implementation
• International Coordination: Liaison with US, Saudi, and UN partners

Ongoing Operations Security:

• Israeli Operations Monitoring: Continued vigilance despite weather pause
• Phase Two Preparation: Security planning for Litani-Awali implementation
• Hezbollah Dynamics: Professional assessment of political tensions
• Regional Developments: Netanyahu-Trump meeting implications tracking

SPECIALIZED WEATHER AND DIPLOMATIC SERVICES:

Today’s Weather Protection:

• Emergency flooding response and rescue coordination
• Coastal area protection during heavy rainfall and water rises
• Valley monitoring for torrent formation risks
• Transportation security alternative routing
• Infrastructure protection during severe weather

LAF Enhancement Support:

• Professional coordination with LAF capabilities improvement
• US military support implementation assistance
• Saudi Arabia engagement outcome tracking
• UNIFIL withdrawal transition planning
• Disarmament operation security support

Regional Diplomatic Coordination:

• Saudi Arabia meeting outcome analysis
• US support implementation monitoring
• UNIFIL transition timeline coordination
• Regional security framework development

📞 COMPREHENSIVE COORDINATION SERVICES

WEATHER EMERGENCY HOTLINE: +961-3-539900
Immediate response for flooding, torrents, and severe weather incidents

DIPLOMATIC COORDINATION: LAF support tracking and international engagement monitoring
UNIFIL TRANSITION: Mid-2027 withdrawal planning and security coordination
DISARMAMENT SUPPORT: Professional assistance for LAF tunnel operations

Specialized Service Centers:

• Weather Emergency Center: Flooding response, rescue coordination, infrastructure protection
• LAF Diplomatic Support: Tracking Haykal’s Saudi meetings and US support implementation
• UNIFIL Transition Office: Mid-2027 withdrawal planning and coordination
• Disarmament Operations: Professional support for LAF capabilities enhancement

During today’s severe weather emergency (heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, flooding risks) and Lebanon’s diplomatic progress (LAF Commander in Saudi Arabia following Washington success, UNIFIL mid-2027 withdrawal announced, US CENTCOM congratulations), CIS Security provides comprehensive protection enabling normal operations during weather challenges while supporting governmental diplomatic strategy.

⚠️ COMPREHENSIVE OPERATIONAL NOTICE

TODAY’S WEATHER EMERGENCY: Lebanon experiences severe weather system with heavy to very heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, hail showers potentially leading to torrents, valley flows, and water level rises in coastal areas and low-lying regions requiring immediate emergency preparedness.

DIPLOMATIC PROGRESS: LAF Commander General Rodolphe Haykal in Saudi Arabia today conducting meetings following successful February 3-5 Washington visit, while UNIFIL announces mid-2027 withdrawal timeline and US CENTCOM congratulates LAF for tunnel discovery.

Professional Weather and Diplomatic Support: CIS Security maintains emergency response capabilities during today’s severe weather while supporting Lebanon’s diplomatic framework development through LAF international engagements and UNIFIL transition planning.

🔍 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES – CIS SECURITY LEBANON

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 – “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

During today’s severe weather emergency (heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, flooding risks) and Lebanon’s diplomatic progress (LAF Commander in Saudi Arabia, UNIFIL mid-2027 withdrawal announced, US CENTCOM congratulations), trust CIS Security’s 35+ years of proven expertise. As Lebanon’s most reviewed security company, we provide comprehensive protection including weather emergency response, flooding protection, diplomatic framework support, and LAF coordination. Our trained, uniformed, and licensed security personnel deliver 24/7 protection during severe weather emergencies and diplomatic developments.

CIS Security Today’s Services:

• Weather Emergency Response – Flooding protection, torrent response, coastal security during heavy rainfall
• LAF Diplomatic Support – Tracking Haykal’s Saudi Arabia meetings following Washington success
• UNIFIL Transition Coordination – Mid-2027 withdrawal planning and security support
• Disarmament Operations – Professional assistance for LAF tunnel discovery implementation
• Regional Coordination – US, Saudi, UN engagement monitoring and support
• Infrastructure Protection – Facilities security during thunderstorms and flooding

Why Choose CIS During Weather and Diplomatic Periods: ✓ 35+ Years Emergency Experience – Proven weather response and diplomatic support capabilities
✓ Today’s Weather Expertise – Professional flooding, torrent, and coastal protection
✓ LAF Coordination – Support for Haykal’s international diplomatic successes
✓ UNIFIL Transition – Mid-2027 withdrawal planning and security coordination
✓ US Support Implementation – Professional assistance for military enhancement
✓ Comprehensive Protection – Weather emergency and diplomatic framework support

Today’s Emergency and Diplomatic Support: 📞 Weather Emergency: +961-3-539900
💬 Flooding Response: Immediate torrent, valley flow, and coastal protection
🌐 LAF Support: www.cissecurity.net – Haykal Saudi meetings and UNIFIL transition tracking
📧 Coordination: Professional liaison with US, Saudi, UN partners

Serving all Lebanese governorates during today’s severe weather emergency (heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, flooding risks in coastal areas and valleys) and diplomatic developments (LAF Commander in Saudi Arabia following Washington success, UNIFIL mid-2027 withdrawal timeline, US CENTCOM congratulations for tunnel discovery). CIS Security – Your trusted partner providing weather emergency response and diplomatic framework support during Lebanon’s transitional period under President Aoun’s leadership.nd ground combat protection during Israel’s ground operations inside Lebanese territory with child casualties and official abductions.