CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX – March 28 2026

Saturday, March 28, 2026

⛔ ACTIVE WAR — DAY 29 | ONE MONTH SINCE OPERATION EPIC FURY BEGAN

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴🔴 CATASTROPHIC OVERALL INDEX: 99/100 TREND: ⬆️ MAXIMUM — WAR ENTERING SECOND MONTH; HOUTHIS NOW IN

⛔ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY — MARCH 28, 2026

TODAY MARKS ONE MONTH SINCE THE US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN BEGAN (FEBRUARY 28, 2026).

In 29 days this war has killed over 1,189 Lebanese, 1,900+ Iranians, 19 Israelis, 13 Americans, and at least 99 Iraqis. 1.2 million Lebanese — a quarter of the country’s population — are displaced. Today, the war has entered a new and more dangerous phase:

THE HOUTHIS HAVE ENTERED THE WAR. Yemen’s Houthi rebels fired two missiles at Israel today — the first Houthi attacks since the war began on February 28. This is the most significant single escalation since the war started — opening a third missile-launching front against Israel, threatening Red Sea shipping, and potentially dragging US forces into a conflict on a fourth simultaneous front.

THREE JOURNALISTS WERE KILLED in an Israeli strike in south Lebanon today. The Lebanese Presidency called it “a blatant crime.” It is the most significant press freedom atrocity of the Lebanon war.

FIVE IDF DIVISIONS ARE INSIDE LEBANON — with a sixth (the elite 98th paratrooper/commando division) being prepared. The Gaza model is being implemented, confirmed by NBC News satellite imagery showing five Israeli military bases reinforced inside Lebanese territory.

NINE PARAMEDICS KILLED IN FIVE SEPARATE ATTACKS in southern Lebanon today — confirmed by the WHO — one of the deadliest days for healthcare workers of the entire war.

US RUBIO: WAR COULD END “IN A MATTER OF WEEKS.” IDF Spokesman Defrin: Iran’s critical military production sites will be completed “within a few days.” G7 foreign ministers meeting in France formally called for an immediate halt to attacks.

📅 KEY EVENTS: MARCH 26 → MARCH 28

🚨 BREAKING — ALL CONFIRMED TODAY, MARCH 28, 2026

🔴 #1 — HOUTHIS ENTER THE WAR: TWO MISSILES FIRED AT ISRAEL — WAR NOW HAS FOUR FRONTS

[Washington Post — 40 minutes ago; Axios — 10 hours ago; Reuters/Irish Times — 8 hours ago; IDF confirmed]

Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels today fired two ballistic missiles at Israel — the first Houthi attacks since Operation Roaring Lion began on February 28. The Houthi military spokesperson Brig. Gen. Yahya Saree confirmed both attacks via Al-Masirah satellite TV, stating: “We conducted our first military operation in support of Iran and the resistance fronts in Lebanon, Iraq, and the Palestinian territories.” The Houthis launched the missiles “toward sensitive military targets in southern Israel” in response to Israeli attacks on infrastructure targets in Iran. Saree stated attacks “will continue until the war against Iran ends.”

The Houthis had previously said they would enter under certain conditions — if new allies join the US-Israel coalition, or if the Red Sea is used to launch attacks on Iran. The IDF confirmed it “identified the launch of a missile from Yemen toward Israeli territory” — the first such statement of the war.

Why this changes everything for Lebanon: The Houthi entry to the war now gives the “Axis of Resistance” three simultaneous missile-launch fronts against Israel: Iran, Hezbollah (Lebanon), and Yemen. The Houthis demonstrated during 2023-2024 their ability to disrupt Red Sea shipping on a massive scale. If they resume that campaign, the last remaining global trade route to Asia — already severely disrupted — faces total shutdown. Lebanon’s import-dependent economy, already devastated, would face a complete supply cutoff.

🔴 #2 — THREE JOURNALISTS KILLED IN ISRAELI STRIKE IN SOUTH LEBANON — “BLATANT CRIME”

[CNN — 36 minutes ago; RTÉ — 8 hours ago; Lebanese Presidency statement — confirmed]

Three journalists were killed in an Israeli airstrike in south Lebanon today. The dead include a Lebanese journalist working for Al-Manar — Hezbollah’s television network. Lebanese President Aoun’s office issued a statement calling the attack “a blatant crime.” The Israeli military accused one of the journalists of being “a terrorist” operating “under the guise of a journalist” — citing his affiliation with Al-Manar as justification. Press freedom organisations internationally condemn targeted strikes on journalists regardless of employer affiliation. This brings the total number of journalists killed in Lebanon during this war to at least four — one of the most lethal press environments for journalists since the 2006 Lebanon war.

🔴 #3 — 9 PARAMEDICS KILLED IN FIVE SEPARATE ATTACKS — WHO CONFIRMED TODAY

[CNN — 36 minutes ago; WHO Lebanon statement — confirmed]

The World Health Organization confirmed that nine paramedics were killed and seven wounded in five separate attacks in southern Lebanon on Saturday (today). This is one of the single deadliest days for healthcare workers of the entire war — compounding the previous toll of 40 healthcare workers killed since March 2. The WHO has consistently documented Israeli strikes on clearly marked ambulances and civil defence vehicles throughout the Lebanon war. Combined with the previously reported 40 healthcare workers killed, the total now stands at at least 49 healthcare workers killed in Lebanon since March 2. Lebanon’s entire emergency medical response capacity in the south is being systematically destroyed.

🔴 #4 — 1,189 KILLED; 124 CHILDREN; 1.2 MILLION DISPLACED — CONFIRMED TODAY

[CNN Lebanon MoPH update — 36 minutes ago; PBS — 7 hours ago]

Lebanon’s Ministry of Public Health confirmed today: 1,189 people killed since March 2 — including 124 children. More than 1.2 million people have been forced out of their homes, according to the United Nations — in a country of fewer than 6 million — representing roughly one in five Lebanese. Al Jazeera’s feature published today states: “About a quarter of Lebanon’s population has been displaced.” UNFPA representative Anandita Philipose: “Now is significantly different in the scale and speed and number of people impacted. The mass evacuation orders are new. The scale of displacement is new. The fact that civilian infrastructure was targeted is new.”

Three in five Lebanese already screened positive for depression, anxiety, or PTSD before March 2, according to Lebanon’s National Mental Health Programme. The war has driven this to uncharted territory. The National Lifeline 1564 is Lebanon’s suicide prevention and emotional support hotline — operational and receiving a surge in calls.

🔴 #5 — FIVE IDF DIVISIONS IN SOUTH LEBANON; 6TH (ELITE 98TH) BEING PREPARED; SATELLITE IMAGES CONFIRM FIVE BASES

[Times of Israel — 2 days ago, confirmed; NBC News — 5 hours ago, satellite imagery; PBS — 7 hours ago]

The IDF has confirmed that five divisions are now operating inside Lebanon:

• 162nd Division — raid in western sector (expanding buffer zone)
• 146th Division — deployed defensively, western sector
• 91st and 36th Divisions — raids in eastern sector
• 210th Division — stationed at Mount Dov area

A sixth division — the 98th — an elite formation of paratroopers and commando units — is being prepared for deployment in southern Lebanon as part of establishing the new security zone. NBC News satellite imagery (published today) confirms five Israeli military bases have been reinforced inside Lebanese territory at Markaba, Aitaroun, and other locations — with visible tank concentrations. At least seven Litani River bridges have been struck by Israeli forces per satellite imagery.

IDF Defence Minister Katz confirmed the IDF will control a “security zone” up to the Litani River until the Hezbollah threat is removed. Over 800 Hezbollah operatives have been killed by the IDF since March 2 — confirmed by the Times of Israel today.

🔴 #6 — IDF CONFIRMS IRAN MILITARY PRODUCTION TARGETING “COMPLETE WITHIN DAYS”

[Times of Israel — IDF Spokesman Defrin press conference, published today]

IDF Spokesman Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin stated today at a press conference: “Within a few days, the military will complete targeting all of the ‘critical’ assets of Iran’s military production industries. This means we will destroy most of the military production capabilities, and it will take the regime a long time to restore them.” Iran’s defense industry includes numerous military bodies and private companies manufacturing ballistic missiles, air defenses, naval weapons, cyber capabilities, and spy satellites. The IDF has targeted approximately 70% of Iran’s military industry assets so far.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio, in parallel, said he expects the military campaign against Iran to end “in a matter of weeks.” This is the clearest US timeline statement yet — and aligns with IDF Chief’s “halfway” assessment from March 21.

🔴 #7 — IRAN KILLS ONE IN TEL AVIV; CLUSTER MUNITIONS IN RAMAT GAN; STRIKE IN SAUDI AIRBASE

[Times of Israel — 4 hours ago; Irish Times — 8 hours ago; Reuters/PBS — confirmed]

Today’s confirmed Iranian attacks:

• Tel Aviv commercial street — Iranian missile kills 1 civilian, wounds several
• Ramat Gan — Iranian missile fragments/cluster munition scatters across residential area (AFP photo confirmed)
• Jerusalem — Sirens; bomb shelter activation; explosions heard in Jericho (occupied West Bank)
• Eshtaol area (central Israel) — Missile impact site confirmed (Reuters drone photo, March 28)

Prince Sultan Air Base, Saudi Arabia (yesterday, March 27): Iranian missile and drone attack wounded 15 US soldiers (5 seriously — updated from initial “12” report). The Wall Street Journal reports refuelling aircraft were damaged in the attack. Over 300 US military personnel have now been wounded since February 28. Iran struck the base with “at least one missile and several drones,” with soldiers inside a building at the time.

🔴 #8 — IRAN AGREES TO 20 PAKISTANI SHIPS THROUGH HORMUZ — DIPLOMATIC SIGNAL

[CNN — 36 minutes ago; Pakistan FM Ishaq Dar — X post confirmed]

Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar announced that Iran has agreed to allow 20 Pakistani-flagged ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz — with two ships crossing daily. FM Dar: “This is a welcome and constructive gesture by Iran and deserves appreciation. It is a harbinger of peace and will help usher stability in the region.” The United Nations has separately established a new task force led by Jorge Moreira da Silva specifically to ensure ships carrying fertiliser and raw materials can safely cross the strait — warning that maritime trade disruptions could “severely affect global agricultural production and humanitarian needs.”

This is the single most significant diplomatic signal in the war so far: Iran allowing Pakistani ships through Hormuz — even a token number — signals it is prepared to eventually open the strait as part of a deal. Pakistan’s mediation role is growing: Pakistan FM confirmed Pakistan is facilitating indirect US-Iran talks (Steve Witkoff confirmed Thursday). Egypt is also shuttling messages, reporting “mutual desire for calm and exploration of negotiations” from both sides.

🔴 #9 — TODAY’S CONFIRMED LEBANON STRIKES — DEIR AL-ZAHRANI; ZAWTAR; HAWTA AL-GHADIR; LABAYA (BEKAA)

[LiveUAMap / AFP / RTÉ / Times of Israel — all confirmed today]

Confirmed strikes in Lebanon on March 28:

South Lebanon / Nabatieh:

• Deir al-Zahrani — Israeli airstrike (AFP photo from Marjayoun shows smoke, March 28)
• Zawtar al-Sharqiya — Two people killed in Israeli airstrike on a house
• Hawta al-Ghadir — Dawn strike: two citizens killed
• Sajd outskirts — Israeli airstrike after warning issued to residents
• Khayzaran — Airstrike on coastal road between Sarafand and Siksikiyah (Sidon district)
• Mansouri — Two airstrikes (southern Tyre); artillery on Bayada and Mansouri outskirts
• Saksakiyeh — Building destroyed (AP photo: Hassan Badran stands beside ruins)

Bekaa Valley:

• Labaya outskirts — Israeli airstrike in the Bekaa Valley (LiveUAMap confirmed)

Beirut:

• Dahiyeh — IDF wave of strikes (AFP photo shows portrait of slain Supreme Leader Khamenei beside rubble, March 28)

Israeli forces:

• An Israeli army officer and soldier seriously wounded in an “operational accident” during an encounter with Hezbollah in south Lebanon overnight — taken to hospital, families notified

🔴 #10 — HEZBOLLAH CLAIMS 82 OPERATIONS IN 24 HOURS; IDF SAYS 800+ OPERATIVES KILLED

[Al Jazeera — 2 days ago; Times of Israel — today]

Hezbollah confirmed it conducted 82 operations against Israeli forces in a 24-hour period — consistent with its sustained operational tempo. IDF confirms it has killed over 800 Hezbollah operatives since March 2. Hezbollah Secretary-General Qassem vowed to continue fighting “without limits.” Hezbollah’s Shi’ite and Amal allies boycotted Lebanon’s cabinet session this week in protest over the expulsion of Iran’s ambassador — the cabinet met regardless, with one independent Shi’ite minister attending. The cabinet boycott is the most formal expression yet of Hezbollah’s political confrontation with the Lebanese state.

🔴 #11 — G7 FOREIGN MINISTERS CALL FOR IMMEDIATE HALT; RUBIO SAYS WEEKS TO END

[PBS — 7 hours ago; Reuters — confirmed]

G7 foreign ministers, meeting Friday in France, formally called for an immediate halt to attacks against populations and infrastructure — the first unified G7 call for a halt since the war began. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio separately said he expects the military campaign against Iran to end “in a matter of weeks.” Vance stated the war will continue “a little while longer.” The convergence of G7 pressure, Pakistan/Egypt mediation, Iran’s Hormuz gesture, and Rubio’s “weeks” timeline represents the most coherent ceasefire signal environment since the war began. However, Houthi entry today and ongoing Iranian barrages complicate any immediate ceasefire framework.

🔴 #12 — ANTI-WAR PROTESTS IN ISRAEL — 1,200 AT HABIMA SQUARE; 18 ARRESTED

[Times of Israel — today; CNN — 36 minutes ago]

Anti-war protesters gathered at Habima Square in Tel Aviv tonight — estimated at 1,200 people by protest organiser Itamar Greenberg (a law student who has organised protests since late February). Police arrested at least 18 people — 13 in Tel Aviv, 5 in Haifa. Protests also held in Jerusalem and Beersheba. The protest was described as “the largest yet” and, critically, was the first to include anti-government groups — not just left-wing activists. One protester’s sign: “Millions of children are growing up in bomb shelters.” This represents the first signs of significant domestic Israeli opposition to the war, a political factor that could affect Netanyahu’s calculus over the coming weeks.

🔴 #13 — ONE-MONTH WAR TOLL: GLOBAL CASUALTIES CONFIRMED

[CNN — 36 minutes ago; PBS — 7 hours ago; Irish Times — 8 hours ago]

One month into the war, the confirmed death toll across all fronts:

Global economic damage: 82,000 civilian buildings damaged in Iran; 180,000 Iranians homeless; Red Sea shipping near collapse; oil $100+/barrel; G7 energy emergency ongoing; 6,000-8,000 tonnes of East African tea ($24m value) stuck at Kenya’s Mombasa port.

🌡️ GOVERNORATE SECURITY INDEX — MARCH 28, 2026

🏙️ BEIRUT

Index: 97/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: Sustained Maximum

Beirut enters the second month of the war in a state of complete exhaustion. AFP photographs published today show displaced families in tented encampments in central Beirut — men, women, and children living in makeshift shelters on streets that weeks ago were commercial thoroughfares. The AFP image of a portrait of slain Supreme Leader Khamenei placed beside rubble in Dahiyeh captures the psychological dimension: Hezbollah’s fighters are mourning and fighting simultaneously.

The Houthi entry to the war today adds an existential new dimension for Beirut’s diplomatic situation: if Houthi missiles cause casualties in Israel, Israeli retaliation against Houthi infrastructure in Yemen will further inflame the regional dynamic, making a Lebanon ceasefire more, not less, difficult. Iran’s Hormuz gesture (20 Pakistani ships) is the most concrete peace signal yet — but the Houthi entry pulls in the opposite direction.

The Lebanese government expelled Iran’s ambassador. Banned “resistance” from media. Arrested Hezbollah rocket launchers. Three journalists were killed in a south Lebanon Israeli strike today — the Lebanese Presidency called it a “blatant crime.” The diplomatic and human cost of this war on Lebanon’s own institutions is now incalculable.

🏞️ MOUNT LEBANON

Index: 87/100 🔴 | Trend: Sustained — Quarter of Lebanon Displaced

Mount Lebanon is receiving approximately a quarter of Lebanon’s displaced population. Al Jazeera confirms “about a quarter of Lebanon’s population has been displaced.” The mental health toll — three in five Lebanese already positive for depression, anxiety, or PTSD before March 2 — is now in crisis territory. The National Lifeline 1564 is operational and overwhelmed. Mount Lebanon is the primary destination for families who cannot afford to flee to the north and are not sheltering in formal collective shelters.

🌊 NORTH LEBANON & TRIPOLI

Index: 83/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated

North Lebanon continues absorbing displaced people at maximum capacity. Tripoli’s collective shelters are at breaking point. Norwegian Refugee Council Secretary General Jan Egeland warned: “If this war continues, we risk a far wider humanitarian disaster. Millions could be forced to flee across borders, placing immense pressure on an already overstretched region.”

🌲 AKKAR

Index: 85/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated

Akkar’s Syria border crossings continue as the primary humanitarian exit route. The Houthi entry today could affect maritime security in the Mediterranean — relevant to Lebanese import routes — if the Houthis resume Red Sea attack patterns and expand their operational area.

🍇 BEQAA VALLEY

Index: 97/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: Active — Bekaa Now Struck Today

The Bekaa Valley was struck today — an Israeli airstrike confirmed on the outskirts of Labaya in the Bekaa Valley (LiveUAMap). This confirms the geographic expansion of the Israeli air campaign into Bekaa civilian communities beyond the Baalbek area. With five IDF divisions in the south and a sixth being prepared, the Bekaa ground corridor remains the next operational phase. The IDF’s explicit strategic objective — cutting Hezbollah’s Bekaa supply lines — has not changed.

BEKAA VALLEY IS AN ACTIVE STRIKE ZONE. IF YOU ARE IN THE BEKAA, LEAVE NOW.

🕌 BAALBEK-HERMEL

Index: 98/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: Maximum Danger

Baalbek-Hermel continues under the most intensive non-southern targeting in Lebanon. The Hermel corridor is fully interdicted. With Defrin stating Iran’s critical military production will be “complete within days,” and Hezbollah’s supply pipeline from Iran already severely degraded, Baalbek-Hermel’s strategic importance as a Hezbollah arms stockpile and transit zone makes it a primary IDF target for the endgame phase.

🏛️ KESERWAN-JBEIL

Index: 81/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated

Receiving displaced populations. No direct strikes. Missile debris risk from any future Iranian IRBM malfunction (precedent: Qadr-110 over Keserwan, March 22). Know your nearest shelter.

🌴 SOUTH LEBANON

Index: 99/100 🔴🔴 | Status: TOTAL ACTIVE WAR ZONE — 5 IDF DIVISIONS + 6TH FORMING

South Lebanon is today the most dangerous territory on earth for civilians. Confirmed today: Deir al-Zahrani struck (AFP); Zawtar al-Sharqiya (2 killed); Hawta al-Ghadir (2 killed at dawn); Sajd (evacuation warning + strike); Khayzaran (coastal road strike); Mansouri (2 strikes); Bayada (artillery); Saksakiyeh (building destroyed). An Israeli officer and soldier seriously wounded in overnight “operational accident” with Hezbollah. Nine paramedics killed in five separate WHO-confirmed attacks. Three journalists killed.

Five IDF divisions — with satellite imagery confirming five military bases reinforced — are conducting combined air, artillery, and ground operations across the entirety of the south. A sixth elite division is being prepared. NBC News satellite imagery confirms seven Litani River bridges destroyed. No part of south Lebanon is accessible, habitable, or safe.

1,189+ killed. 124 children. 1.2 million displaced. One month of war. The second month begins today.

⛪ NABATIEH

Index: 99/100 🔴🔴 | Status: Active Ground Combat — Multiple Strikes Confirmed Today

Nabatieh Governorate is under simultaneous ground and air assault. Today’s confirmed strikes: Deir al-Zahrani, Zawtar al-Sharqiya (2 killed), Hawta al-Ghadir (2 killed), Saksakiyeh (building destroyed), Mansouri (multiple strikes). Israeli officer and soldier “seriously wounded” in overnight engagement with Hezbollah. Nine paramedics killed across Nabatieh and south Lebanon in five separate WHO-documented attacks. Hezbollah’s 82 operations in 24 hours — many mounted from Nabatieh — continue to target IDF forces advancing through the governorate.

This is an active combined-arms war zone. No civilian presence is safe anywhere in Nabatieh Governorate.

📊 LEBANON WAR DASHBOARD — ONE MONTH MARK — MARCH 28, 2026

🎯 CRITICAL INTELLIGENCE BRIEF — MARCH 28, 2026

⚠️ THE FIVE DEFINING QUESTIONS AS THE WAR ENTERS MONTH TWO

1. WILL HOUTHI ENTRY COLLAPSE CEASEFIRE PROSPECTS? Houthi entry creates a new front Israel must address. If Israel strikes Yemen, it risks re-opening the Red Sea conflict that paralysed global trade in 2023-2024. Any Israeli response also risks Houthi resumption of Red Sea shipping attacks — devastating to Lebanon’s import-dependent economy. The Houthi entry pulls the region further from ceasefire, even as Pakistan/Egypt mediation and the Hormuz gesture push toward peace. Assessment: Ceasefire timeline pushed out. The Iran Hormuz gesture is real; the Houthi entry is equally real. Both happened today.

2. WILL “WITHIN DAYS” IDF DEADLINE MEAN AN END TO KINETIC OPERATIONS AGAINST IRAN? IDF Defrin says Iran’s critical military production will be targeted “within days.” Rubio says war ends “in weeks.” This creates a potential endgame timeline for the Iran air campaign — but not for the Lebanon ground operation, which has its own logic and trajectory. Assessment: The air campaign against Iran may wind down; the Lebanon ground war will continue regardless.

3. WILL SIX IDF DIVISIONS ADVANCE TO TYRE? Five divisions are inside Lebanon now. A sixth — elite paratroopers and commandos — is forming. Finance Minister Smotrich says Litani = new border. Naharnet says Israel is planning to move to Tyre’s outskirts. Assessment: The six-division ground operation toward the Litani line (including Tyre on the coast) is the IDF’s next operational phase. Timeline: within days to one week.

4. WILL THE 1,200-STRONG TEL AVIV PROTEST GROW INTO A POLITICAL FORCE? The first anti-government groups joining anti-war protests is a politically significant milestone. Israel is heading toward elections later in 2026. Netanyahu’s war popularity base — which was near-unanimous in the first weeks — is beginning to fracture. The one-month mark is a psychological turning point for Israeli domestic opinion. Assessment: Protests will grow; political impact will depend on ceasefire prospects and casualty trajectory.

5. WHAT DOES IRAN’S HORMUZ GESTURE MEAN? Twenty Pakistani ships at two per day is symbolically significant but operationally trivial. However, it signals Iran’s willingness to use Hormuz access as a negotiating chip — which is exactly what Pakistan, Egypt, and the US need to build a framework deal. Combined with Rubio’s “weeks” timeline and the G7 halt demand, the contours of a deal are visible: Iran stops Hormuz blockade; US stops bombing; Lebanon gets to negotiate with Israel; Hezbollah faces post-war disarmament. Assessment: The diplomatic architecture of a deal exists. Execution is the challenge.

📱 EMERGENCY GUIDANCE — MARCH 28, 2026

🚨 TODAY’S IMMEDIATE PRIORITIES:

SOUTH LEBANON — DO NOT ENTER: Five IDF divisions conducting combined operations. Deir al-Zahrani, Zawtar, Hawta al-Ghadir, Mansouri, Saksakiyeh all struck today. Nine paramedics killed in five separate WHO-documented attacks. Three journalists killed. This is a total war zone.

BEKAA VALLEY — LEAVE NOW: Labaya outskirts struck today — the Bekaa is now confirmed as an active Israeli air strike zone beyond Baalbek. IDF strategy explicitly targets Bekaa supply corridor. Leave immediately.

DAHIYEH AND SOUTH BEIRUT: Wave of IDF strikes confirmed overnight. Evacuation order remains active. Do not return.

NATIONAL MENTAL HEALTH CRISIS: Three in five Lebanese positive for depression/anxiety/PTSD before March 2. If you or someone you know is in psychological distress, call Lebanon’s National Lifeline: 1564 — available 24 hours, confidential.

HOUTHI ENTRY — RED SEA SHIPPING: Any disruption to Red Sea shipping from Houthi entry will further restrict Lebanon’s import supply chains. Businesses should immediately assess import dependencies and stockpile critical goods (food, medicines, fuel) while supply remains available.

🚗 MARCH 28 TRAVEL STATUS

🛡️ CIS SECURITY — MONTH TWO WAR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 | “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

ONE-MONTH ANNIVERSARY EMERGENCY SERVICES:

🚨 SOUTH LEBANON AND BEKAA EXTRACTION Labaya struck today — Bekaa is now confirmed active strike zone. All Litani bridges destroyed (7 confirmed by satellite). Safe extraction routing from south Lebanon and Bekaa. Contact CIS immediately: +961-3-539900.

🚢 HOUTHI/RED SEA SUPPLY CHAIN EMERGENCY Houthi entry to the war today threatens Red Sea shipping resumption. Lebanon’s import-dependent economy is highly vulnerable. CIS is monitoring supply chain disruption and advising clients on stockpiling strategies and alternative supply routes.

🧠 MENTAL HEALTH EMERGENCY COORDINATION Three in five Lebanese screened positive for depression/anxiety/PTSD before March 2. War has dramatically worsened this. CIS coordinates with National Lifeline 1564, Embrace NGO, and mental health providers for client support.

📡 ONE-MONTH WAR INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT Comprehensive one-month threat assessment for all Lebanese governorates. Ceasefire scenario planning (Iran Hormuz gesture; Rubio “weeks”; Pakistan mediation). Houthi escalation scenarios. Six-division IDF ground operation trajectory mapping.

📞 ALL EMERGENCY CONTACTS — MARCH 28, 2026

CIS Security 24/7: +961-3-539900 | www.cissecurity.net US Embassy Emergency: +1-202-501-4444 | BeirutACS@state.gov Lebanese Red Cross: 1760 | Civil Defence: 125 | ISF: 112 National Lifeline (Mental Health): 1564 (24 hours, confidential) UNHCR Lebanon: Active all governorates Norwegian Refugee Council / Anera: Active in Bekaa, North Lebanon, Mount Lebanon

⚠️ FINAL ASSESSMENT — ONE MONTH OF WAR — MARCH 28, 2026

One month ago today — February 28, 2026 — the US and Israel launched Operation Roaring Lion against Iran.

In 29 days:

• 1,189 Lebanese killed; 124 of them children
• 1,900+ Iranians killed; 19 Israelis; 13 Americans; 99+ Iraqis; 20+ in Gulf states
• 1.2 million Lebanese displaced — a quarter of the country
• Nine paramedics killed in five attacks today alone
• Three journalists killed today
• Five IDF divisions inside Lebanon; a sixth forming
• Seven Litani River bridges destroyed
• Iran’s ambassador expelled from Lebanon
• Hezbollah banned from being called “the resistance”
• The Houthis have entered the war — today
• Iran allowed 20 Pakistani ships through Hormuz — today
• Anti-war protests in Israel — 1,200 people; 18 arrested — today
• Rubio says war ends “in weeks.” Houthi entry says otherwise.

Lebanon at one month stands at the most painful crossroads of its modern history. The ceasefire architecture exists: Pakistan/Egypt mediation, Iran Hormuz signal, Rubio “weeks” statement, G7 halt demand, Kushner-Boulos engagement. The obstacles exist equally: Houthi entry, 800+ Hezbollah operatives still fighting, five IDF divisions advancing, Iran still firing missiles at Tel Aviv, 1,189 Lebanese dead.

Lebanon did not choose this war. Lebanon cannot end this war alone. And one month in, Lebanon is paying the heaviest price of any country in the conflict — in lives, in displacement, and in a devastation that will take decades to repair.

Eid Mubarak to all Lebanese families — wherever you are sleeping tonight.

CIS Lebanon Security Index™ | Saturday, March 28, 2026 | ONE MONTH MARK | ACTIVE WAR — DAY 29 All sources published today March 28, 2026: CNN live updates (36 minutes ago — MoPH 1,189; Houthi confirmed; 9 paramedics; 3 journalists; Pakistan Hormuz); Washington Post (40 minutes ago — Houthi claim); Times of Israel liveblog (4 hours ago — IDF Defrin; anti-war protests; Habima 1,200; 18 arrested; Iran Tel Aviv kill; IDF 5 divisions + 98th forming); NBC News (5 hours ago — satellite imagery 5 bases; 7 bridges; Gaza model confirmed); PBS (7 hours ago — Houthis; MoPH 1,100+; global toll); RTÉ (8 hours ago —

Prince Sultan US wounded; Houthis; journalist deaths); Irish Times (8 hours ago — journalist deaths; Houthi missiles; 15 US wounded); Axios (10 hours ago — Houthi claim confirmed; Saree statement); Al Jazeera features (18 hours ago — quarter displaced; UNFPA; mental health); LiveUAMap Lebanon (real-time — Labaya Bekaa; Deir al-Zahrani; Zawtar; all March 28 strikes); Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War (8 hours ago); Times of Israel March 26 liveblog (2 days ago — 5 divisions detail; 98th preparing). All Lebanese casualty figures from Lebanese Ministry of Public Health. All displacement from UNHCR/Social Affairs Ministry. All military data from IDF, CENTCOM, and named news correspondents. Index compiled: Saturday, March 28, 2026 — 23:59 Beirut time.