CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX – April 6 2026

Monday, April 6, 2026

⛔ ACTIVE WAR — DAY 38 | TRUMP HORMUZ DEADLINE: TONIGHT 8 PM ET

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴🔴 CATASTROPHIC OVERALL INDEX: 99/100 TREND: ⬆️ MAXIMUM — DEADLINE NIGHT; BEIRUT CHRISTIAN NEIGHBOURHOOD STRUCK; MASNAA CROSSING THREATENED; 1,497+ KILLED IN LEBANON; 45-DAY CEASEFIRE RACE

⛔ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY — MONDAY APRIL 6, 2026

TONIGHT AT 8 PM EASTERN TIME (3 AM TUESDAY BEIRUT TIME), TRUMP’S DEADLINE FOR IRAN TO REOPEN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ EXPIRES.

If Iran does not reopen the Strait, Trump has threatened to strike Iranian power plants, bridges, and “other things worse than those two.” Trump said today he is “not at all” concerned about committing war crimes. IDF Chief has approved battle plans for three more weeks if no ceasefire. Iran has rejected every temporary ceasefire proposal. The IAEA warned today that military activity near Bushehr nuclear power plant could cause a “severe radiological accident.”

FOR LEBANON, THIS IS THE MOST DANGEROUS NIGHT SINCE THE WAR BEGAN.

In the last six days since the March 31 edition, Lebanon has experienced the most geographically diverse and brutal phase of the war:

• AIN SAADEH — A CHRISTIAN NEIGHBOURHOOD EAST OF BEIRUT STRUCK — Pierre Mouawad, head of the Lebanese Forces centre in Yahchouch (a Christian, anti-Hezbollah politician), was killed alongside his wife Flavia in an IDF missile strike on their apartment building. Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea condemned the strike. The attack shattered the psychological safety of communities that had felt untouched. Family friend: “We had always felt safe here.”
• KAFR HATTA (SIDON DISTRICT) — 7 KILLED INCLUDING A 4-YEAR-OLD GIRL — one of the deadliest single strikes since the war began
• JNAH NEIGHBOURHOOD (BEIRUT) — Strike kills 4, wounds 39, landing 100 metres from Rafik Hariri University Hospital — Lebanon’s largest public medical facility
• AIN SAADEH HILLS (MOUNT LEBANON) — Three killed in strike on apartment
• MASNAA BORDER CROSSING THREATENED — Israel warned it would strike Lebanon’s main Syria border crossing, forcing its evacuation and temporary closure — Lebanon’s only functional land exit route
• MASHGHARA (WESTERN BEKAA VALLEY) STRUCK TODAY — Bekaa Valley towns confirmed struck April 6
• NAQOURA, ALMA AL-SHAAB, QOUZAH — IDF carrying out “extensive demolition and bombing operations”
• 39 PEOPLE KILLED IN STRIKES ACROSS LEBANON ON SUNDAY ALONE — the highest single-day death toll since the war began
• 1,497+ KILLED IN LEBANON as of Monday — 1,800+ rockets fired into Israel in first month
• 150,000 PEOPLE CUT OFF FROM HUMANITARIAN AID south of Litani per Mercy Corps
• A LEBANESE ARMY SOLDIER KILLED IN KAFR HATTA by IDF raid — second LAF soldier killed in targeted strikes
• 45-DAY CEASEFIRE PROPOSAL SENT TO BOTH SIDES SUNDAY NIGHT — Pakistan’s army chief in contact all night with JD Vance, Witkoff, and Iranian FM; Iran has rejected it; mediators hope for adoption before tonight’s deadline
• IRGC INTELLIGENCE CHIEF MAJID KHADEMI KILLED in joint US-Israeli strike today
• MORE THAN 3,400 KILLED ACROSS THE MIDDLE EAST since February 28

📅 KEY EVENTS: MARCH 31 → APRIL 6

🚨 BREAKING DEVELOPMENTS — MONDAY APRIL 6, 2026

🔴 #1 — TRUMP DEADLINE TONIGHT: 8 PM ET (3 AM TUE BEIRUT) — POWER PLANTS, BRIDGES, “WORSE THINGS”

[NBC News — 33 minutes ago; Boston Globe — 43 minutes ago; Al Jazeera — 38 minutes ago; CNN — 49 minutes ago]

President Trump held a press conference today (Monday) and confirmed: “Tuesday [tonight] will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran.” He stated he is “not at all” concerned about committing war crimes and refused to say whether any civilian targets would be off-limits. He also ominously added: “There are other things that are worse than those two” — suggesting threats beyond power plants and bridges. He said Iran’s ceasefire response was “not good enough” and that if they don’t comply “they’ll have no bridges, no power plants, no anything.”

Trump at the White House Easter Egg Roll added: “They don’t want to cry ‘uncle’ but they will. And if they don’t, They’ll have no bridges. They’ll have no power plants. They’ll have no anything. I won’t go further because there are other things that are worse than those two.”

Iran’s foreign ministry: “Negotiation is in no way compatible with ultimatum, crime, or the threat to commit war crimes.” Iran’s IRGC Naval Command: “The Strait of Hormuz will never return to its former state, especially for America and Israel.”

The deadline is tonight at 8 PM ET — 3:00 AM Tuesday morning Beirut time. All of Lebanon is in the potential blast radius of the next phase of this war.

🔴 #2 — IRAN REJECTS ALL CEASEFIRE PROPOSALS; DEMANDS PERMANENT END TO WAR; 45-DAY DEAL RACE

[CNN — 49 minutes ago; Just Security / Reuters — 8 hours ago; NBC News — 1 hour ago]

Iran has rejected every temporary ceasefire proposal, including:

• The US 15-point peace plan (rejected weeks ago)
• The China-Pakistan five-point plan (March 31)
• A 45-day ceasefire proposal sent to both sides late Sunday night

Iran’s position, communicated through Pakistan to the US: Iran “would not reopen the Strait of Hormuz as part of a temporary ceasefire” and insists on a permanent end to the war. Iran’s demands remain: reparations, sanctions lifted, Hormuz rights, legally binding guarantees, and ceasefire including Lebanon.

The 45-day ceasefire proposal (confirmed by CNN and Reuters): Pakistan’s army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir was in contact “all night long” with VP JD Vance, US envoy Steve Witkoff, and Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi. The proposal calls for an immediate ceasefire, followed by negotiations on a broader settlement to be concluded within 15-20 days. Mediators still hope it can be enacted before tonight’s 8 PM deadline. However, a White House official stated Trump has not signed off on the proposal — “This is one of many ideas” — and the US military operation in Iran is “continuing apace.”

🔴 #3 — PIERRE MOUAWAD (LEBANESE FORCES) AND WIFE FLAVIA KILLED IN AIN SAADEH — CHRISTIAN COMMUNITY STRUCK

[Boston Globe — 43 minutes ago; LiveUAMap — confirmed; NBC — confirmed]

One of the most politically significant strikes in Lebanon since the war began. Israel struck an apartment building in Ain Saadeh — a hilly Christian town east of Beirut, traditionally one of the most secure communities in Lebanon, home to anti-Hezbollah Lebanese Forces supporters. The strike killed:

• Pierre Mouawad — head of the Lebanese Forces centre in Yahchouch; Christian, anti-Hezbollah politician
• Flavia Mouawad — his wife
• A third woman visiting them

The third-story apartment Israel claimed to be targeting (a Hezbollah militant) was empty. The strike blew out walls and windows of the floor below, killing all three. Family friend Nadine Naameh: “We had always felt safe here. This is the first time something like this has happened here.”

Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea condemned the strike and the broader failure to disarm Hezbollah earlier: “Taking responsibility from the outset would have been better for everyone.” Geagea was addressing his own constituency — Christian Lebanese who had stayed out of the conflict, only to be struck inside their own community. The strike has deepened the sectarian political crisis: an anti-Hezbollah Christian family killed by Israel in a strike ostensibly targeting Hezbollah. This is the first confirmed Israeli strike in Ain Saadeh and sends a message that no area of Lebanon is exempt from targeting.

🔴 #4 — KAFR HATTA (SIDON DISTRICT): 7 KILLED INCLUDING A 4-YEAR-OLD GIRL; LEBANESE ARMY SOLDIER KILLED

[CNN — 6 hours ago; LiveUAMap — confirmed; MoPH — confirmed]

An IDF drone strike on Kafr Hatta in the Sidon district killed seven people including a 4-year-old girl, confirmed by Lebanon’s Ministry of Public Health. A Lebanese Army soldier was also killed in the same raid in Kafr Hatta — the second LAF soldier killed in a deliberate IDF strike on Lebanese Armed Forces personnel since the war began.

The attack occurred in the Sidon district — north of the traditional front lines. Together with Ain Saadeh (east of Beirut) and the Jnah Beirut strike near Rafik Hariri Hospital, today’s geography of strikes confirms the IDF is operating across the entire Lebanese map — not just the south.

🔴 #5 — JNAH (BEIRUT): 4 KILLED, 39 WOUNDED — 100 METRES FROM RAFIK HARIRI UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL

[France 24 — 1 day ago; Al Jazeera — confirmed; AFP]

Israel struck the Jnah neighbourhood of Beirut, killing four people and wounding 39. The strike landed approximately 100 metres from Rafik Hariri University Hospital — Lebanon’s largest public medical facility. A medical source told AFP the proximity to the hospital was clearly visible and constituted a grave violation of the medical facilities protection principle under international humanitarian law. Today, a Hezbollah military official — Yahya Hussein Mshemesh — was killed in a separate IDF raid in Jnah (LiveUAMap confirmed).

Jnah resident Nancy Hassan: “Shortly after, the planes were flying overhead, and we heard a huge bang, then stones rained down on us.” Hassan lost her daughter in an Israeli strike on the same area during the 2024 war.

🔴 #6 — TODAY’S CONFIRMED LEBANESE STRIKES — APRIL 6

[LiveUAMap — 16 hours ago; Al Jazeera — today; confirmed]

Confirmed strikes in Lebanon today, April 6:

Bekaa Valley (NEW THEATRE):

• Mashghara, Western Bekaa Valley — Israeli airstrike (LiveUAMap confirmed today)

South Lebanon / Nabatieh:

• Mayfadoun and Zawtar — airstrike
• Safad al-Batikh — targeted
• Shoukin — IDF drone strike
• Dbayn (Marjeyoun district) — airstrikes
• Srifa — airstrike
• Abba and Doueir (Nabatieh district) — airstrikes
• Kfar Rumman (near Tyre) — IDF drone kills 4 in car

South Lebanon (IDF demolition operations confirmed):

• Naqoura, Alma al-Shaab, Qouzah — extensive demolition and bombing operations

Mount Lebanon / Greater Beirut:

• Ain Saadeh Hills — three killed in apartment strike (Pierre + Flavia Mouawad + one)
• Sir al-Gharbiya and Ma’roub — two strikes

Beirut / Dahiyeh:

• Ghobeiri and seven Dahiyeh suburbs — heavy airstrikes following IDF warnings
• Jammous intersection, Al-Janah, Sayyed Hadi highway, Al-Ruwaiss — all struck after warnings
• Jnah — Hezbollah official Yahya Hussein Mshemesh killed

Jezzine district:

• Aramta and Rihan — Israeli warplane airstrike

🔴 #7 — MASNAA BORDER CROSSING THREATENED — SYRIA-LEBANON LIFELINE EVACUATED

[France 24 — 1 day ago; Al Jazeera — confirmed]

Israel’s Arabic-language military spokesman Avichay Adraee warned Saturday that the IDF “intends to carry out strikes on the Masnaa crossing in the near future” — citing alleged Hezbollah use for weapons smuggling. Syria’s borders director insisted the crossing “is exclusively used by civilians” and immediately closed it on the Lebanese side. Masnaa is Lebanon’s main land border crossing with Syria — the primary exit route for the 200,000+ people who have crossed from Lebanon to Syria since March 2, and the primary corridor for humanitarian aid entering Lebanon from the east. Its closure and threatened strike represent a direct humanitarian threat. The crossing has since reopened but remains under threat.

🔴 #8 — 39 PEOPLE KILLED ACROSS LEBANON ON SUNDAY APRIL 5 — HIGHEST SINGLE-DAY TOLL

[Democracy Now headlines April 6 — confirmed]

Democracy Now confirmed: Israeli strikes across Lebanon killed at least 39 people on Sunday — the highest single-day Lebanon death toll since the war began March 2. Including the family of six killed in southern Lebanon and four killed in the Jnah Beirut strike (wounding 39 more). This was the bloodiest day of the war for Lebanon.

🔴 #9 — 1,497+ KILLED IN LEBANON; 200,000+ CROSSED TO SYRIA; 150,000 CUT OFF FROM AID

[CNN — 6 hours ago; Mercy Corps — confirmed; UN Tom Fletcher visit — confirmed]

Lebanon’s Ministry of Public Health confirmed as of Monday: 1,497 people killed since March 2 — including at least 120+ children. The UN confirmed 200,000+ people have crossed from Lebanon into Syria since the start of the escalation (per Tom Fletcher’s visit to the Lebanon-Syria border before departure). Mercy Corps’ Lebanon Crisis Analysis Team warned: the destruction of bridges and transport routes is “effectively cutting off up to 150,000 people from humanitarian assistance, creating conditions for a rapid deterioration in basic needs.” UN Tom Fletcher concluded his Beirut visit, having met Speaker Nabih Berri and visited collective shelters, before visiting the Syria border crossing.

🔴 #10 — IAEA: BUSHEHR NUCLEAR PLANT ACTIVITY COULD CAUSE “SEVERE RADIOLOGICAL ACCIDENT”

[CNN — 49 minutes ago; IAEA statement — confirmed]

The International Atomic Energy Agency warned Monday that ongoing military activity near Iran’s Bushehr nuclear power plant could cause a “severe radiological accident” with potential consequences beyond Iran’s borders. A projectile hit an area near Bushehr on Sunday — the fourth time the site has been targeted since the war began. A radiological accident at Bushehr — on the Persian Gulf coast — would contaminate Gulf waters, affect Gulf state desalination plants, and potentially reach Lebanon via atmospheric drift depending on wind patterns. The IAEA has not reported any radiation release so far.

🔴 #11 — IRGC INTELLIGENCE CHIEF MAJID KHADEMI KILLED; SOUTH PARS PETROCHEMICAL RENDERED INOPERATIVE

[Democracy Now April 6 headlines — confirmed; NBC/Israel — confirmed]

US-Israeli joint strikes today killed Majid Khademi, the intelligence chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps — further decapitating Iran’s intelligence command. Israel’s Defence Minister Katz confirmed Israel attacked the South Pars petrochemical complex at Asaluyeh — the Jam and Damavand petrochemical facilities, which account for roughly 85% of Iran’s petrochemical exports, have been rendered inoperative — a “severe economic blow” costing Iran “tens of billions of dollars.” Iran responded by striking Haifa (four bodies recovered from residential building) and Gulf Arab states.

🔴 #12 — TRUMP: “I DON’T KNOW” IF WINDING DOWN OR ESCALATING; B-1B BOMBERS ARRIVE IN EUROPE

[NBC — 33 minutes ago; Wikipedia 2026 Iran War — confirmed]

At his press conference today, Trump declined to say whether he was winding down the war with Iran or escalating it. “I don’t know,” he said. “It depends what they do.” IDF Spokesman Defrin said IDF Chief has approved battle plans for three more weeks in the absence of a ceasefire. About a dozen B-1B bombers have arrived at bases in Europe — five at RAF Fairford (UK), three B-52 bombers also at Fairford, three B-1Bs at Ramstein (Germany). This pre-positioning of strategic bombers is a direct signal of imminent escalation against Iranian infrastructure if the Hormuz deadline is not met.

Oil price today: $112–114/barrel (fluctuating with Trump’s press conference — jumped from $112 to $114 when Trump spoke, eased slightly after). Crude oil remains at nearly 60% above pre-war levels.

🔴 #13 — HEZBOLLAH FIRES CRUISE MISSILE AT ISRAELI WARSHIP; 1,800 ROCKETS FIRED IN FIRST MONTH

[France 24 — confirmed; Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War — confirmed]

Hezbollah on Sunday claimed to have fired a cruise missile at an Israeli warship 126km off the Lebanese coast — the longest-range Hezbollah naval attack of the war. The IDF said it was “not aware” of such an incident. The claim cannot be independently verified but represents a significant expansion of Hezbollah’s offensive geometry if confirmed. Separately, Wikipedia’s updated 2026 Lebanon War article confirms Hezbollah fired as many as 1,800 rockets into Israel in the first month of the war — an average of approximately 60 per day — alongside hundreds of drone strikes.

🔴 #14 — AIN SAADEH STRIKE DEEPENS SECTARIAN CRISIS; GEAGEA CONDEMNS; DISPLACED TENSIONS RISING

[Boston Globe — 43 minutes ago; NBC — confirmed]

Samir Geagea, who leads the Lebanese Forces political party, made public remarks after the Ain Saadeh strike. Lebanese Forces is a Christian, anti-Hezbollah, pro-state party — Lebanon’s most prominent and organised Christian political movement. The strike on an LF official in a Christian neighbourhood, by Israel, while ostensibly targeting Hezbollah, has created a political crisis: Israel is killing the very political constituency that opposes Hezbollah.

Geagea’s criticism of Lebanese “security agencies’ sluggish disarmament process of Hezbollah” signals that even Lebanon’s most pro-Western Christian political forces are now victims of the war they opposed. The strike has heightened existing tensions between host communities and more than a million displaced Lebanese, largely Shia from southern Lebanon, deeply divided over Hezbollah and their position on the war.

🌡️ GOVERNORATE SECURITY INDEX — APRIL 6, 2026

🏙️ BEIRUT

Index: 98/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: ESCALATING — CHRISTIAN DISTRICTS NOW STRUCK

Beirut on April 6 has been definitively breached beyond Dahiyeh. The Ain Saadeh strike (killing Lebanese Forces politician Pierre Mouawad in a Christian neighbourhood east of Beirut), the Jnah strike (100m from Lebanon’s largest hospital), and today’s renewed heavy strikes on Ghobeiri and seven Dahiyeh suburbs have eliminated any notion of a “safe” Beirut neighbourhood. The seven Dahiyeh suburbs warned and struck today include densely populated civilian communities that have been under near-continuous bombardment since March 2. Hezbollah military official Mshemesh killed in Jnah today confirms IDF is conducting precision intelligence operations throughout the city simultaneously with mass area bombing in Dahiyeh.

The Trump deadline tonight (3 AM Tuesday Beirut time) creates an acute risk: if Trump follows through on power plant strikes against Iran, Iran’s response will include Lebanon-based Hezbollah escalation. Tonight is potentially the most dangerous night of the war for Beirut.

Lebanese Forces members and supporters in Christian areas: You are no longer safe from Israeli strikes. Do not assume your neighbourhood is protected. Maintain evacuation readiness.

🏞️ MOUNT LEBANON

Index: 90/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: ESCALATING — AIN SAADEH STRUCK; SIR AL-GHARBIYA STRUCK

Mount Lebanon is no longer a non-combat zone. Ain Saadeh (Matn District), Sir al-Gharbiya, and Ma’roub have all been struck today. The Ain Saadeh strike killing Pierre and Flavia Mouawad in a Christian-majority upscale area east of Beirut has shattered the psychological safety of the entire Mount Lebanon governorate. For the first time in this war, strikes are confirmed in the Matn-area hills east of Beirut. This represents a fundamental geographic expansion of Israeli targeting.

Mount Lebanon was hosting 1.2 million displaced people. Today’s strikes in its own territory — including the Christian Matn hills — mean the displacement zones have now expanded into the primary displacement reception area itself.

🌊 NORTH LEBANON & TRIPOLI

Index: 83/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated

North Lebanon remains the primary final displacement destination and has not been directly struck. However, the Masnaa crossing closure and the overall geographic expansion of strikes across Lebanon increase the risk profile. If the Hormuz deadline leads to maximum escalation tonight, Hezbollah may fire significantly more rockets, potentially triggering IDF responses deeper into Lebanon.

🌲 AKKAR

Index: 86/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated — Masnaa threat

Akkar’s Syria border corridor remains critical. The Masnaa crossing (threatened by Israel, temporarily closed) is Lebanon’s primary land gateway. Its permanent closure would create a humanitarian catastrophe for the 200,000+ who have used it to reach Syria and for all land-based humanitarian supply chains.

🍇 BEQAA VALLEY

Index: 98/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: MAXIMUM — MASHGHARA STRUCK TODAY; ENTIRE BEKAA NOW ACTIVE STRIKE ZONE

Mashghara in the Western Bekaa Valley was struck by an Israeli airstrike today (April 6). This confirms the Bekaa Valley is now fully inside the active Israeli strike zone. Mashghara sits in the heart of the Western Bekaa — far from the traditional south Lebanon front. This is one of the most significant geographic expansions of the war. With the IDF having previously struck Labaya (March 28) and now Mashghara, the entire Bekaa Valley from Baalbek-Hermel in the northeast to the Western Bekaa is now confirmed active territory.

THE BEKAA VALLEY IS AN ACTIVE AIRSTRIKE ZONE. IF YOU ARE IN THE BEKAA, LEAVE NOW WITHOUT DELAY.

🕌 BAALBEK-HERMEL

Index: 99/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: Maximum — Economic Targeting Phase

Baalbek-Hermel is in the IDF’s economic targeting phase — with Hermel corridor interdicted, Bekaa supply lines severed, and Hezbollah’s Bekaa infrastructure systematically targeted. Israel entering the “completion phase” of Iran military targeting (South Pars rendered inoperative; Jam and Damavand 85% of Iran’s petrochemical exports destroyed) means the economic damage phase now extends to Lebanon’s Hezbollah-linked economic infrastructure.

🏛️ KESERWAN-JBEIL

Index: 82/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated

No direct strikes today. However, the Ain Saadeh precedent — an IDF strike killing an anti-Hezbollah Christian politician in a Christian neighbourhood — establishes that Israel is willing to strike in Mount Lebanon communities that host no Hezbollah military presence. Keserwan-Jbeil must now be treated as within the potential Israeli target set.

🌴 SOUTH LEBANON

Index: 99/100 🔴🔴 | Status: TOTAL WAR — DEMOLITION OPERATIONS CONFIRMED

IDF carrying out “extensive demolition and bombing operations” in Naqoura, Alma al-Shaab, and Qouzah today — confirming Katz’s March 31 pledge to demolish border villages per the “Rafah and Beit Hanoun model.” These are not strikes — these are demolition operations. The IDF is systematically destroying the physical structure of Lebanese villages along the border. Kfar Rumman: 4 killed in drone strike on a car. Multiple strikes across the Jabal Amel region — Arzoun, Jouya, Hadatha, Jmeijmeh, Dbeibine, Haris. The south is a complete demolition and combat zone.

⛪ NABATIEH

Index: 99/100 🔴🔴 | Status: Active Combat + Demolition — Multiple Towns Struck Today

Today’s confirmed Nabatieh strikes: Mayfadoun/Zawtar, Safad al-Batikh, Shoukin (drone), Dbayn (Marjeyoun district), Srifa, Abba, Doueir. Lebanese Army soldier killed at Kafr Hatta (Sidon district). Active multi-district combat and demolition operations. The entirety of Nabatieh Governorate is an active war zone with demolition operations now confirmed.

📊 LEBANON WAR DASHBOARD — APRIL 6, 2026

🎯 CRITICAL INTELLIGENCE BRIEF — APRIL 6, 2026

⚠️ THE TONIGHT DEADLINE — WHAT HAPPENS IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS?

SCENARIO A — IRAN MAKES A GESTURE (UNLIKELY): Iran reopens partial Hormuz passage or signals willingness to negotiate. Trump delays deadline again. Strikes on power plants do not occur. Lebanon front continues at current intensity. Ceasefire negotiations resume via Pakistan. Probability: Low. Iran’s IRGC stated Hormuz “will never return to its former state for America and Israel.”

SCENARIO B — TRUMP EXTENDS DEADLINE AGAIN (POSSIBLE): Pakistan’s army chief is in overnight contact with all parties. The 45-day ceasefire proposal is still on the table. Trump could announce another delay citing “progress in talks.” He has done this twice before (March 23, March 26). Probability: Moderate. But Trump said today this was his “final” deadline and he “won’t go further.”

SCENARIO C — TRUMP STRIKES IRANIAN POWER PLANTS AND BRIDGES (HIGH RISK): B-1B bombers pre-positioned in Europe. Trump said today “Every day that passes, we hit them more and more.” IDF has approved three more weeks of battle plans. Iran said it will respond with “more severe and expansive” attacks. If this occurs: Lebanon faces the heaviest Hezbollah barrage of the war within hours. IDF will respond with maximum force in Lebanon. The risk to all Lebanese territory — including Beirut and Mount Lebanon — will reach absolute maximum.

SCENARIO D — IRAN STRIKES PRE-EMPTIVELY ON US ASSETS (POSSIBLE): The IRGC Naval Command struck a US amphibious ship today (USS LHA-7 — forced to “retreat deep” into southern Indian Ocean). Pre-emptive escalation before the deadline is within Iran’s doctrine. If this occurs: Automatic US retaliation and Lebanon catches the backblast.

FOR ALL LEBANESE: THE NEXT 12 HOURS ARE THE MOST DANGEROUS OF THE ENTIRE WAR.

📱 EMERGENCY GUIDANCE — APRIL 6, 2026

🚨 DEADLINE NIGHT SAFETY PROTOCOL — EVERY LEBANESE MUST READ:

KNOW YOUR BOMB SHELTER. Tonight’s potential strikes on Iranian infrastructure will produce Iranian retaliation — and Hezbollah retaliation from Lebanese territory — within hours. All of Lebanon is within the potential Hezbollah fire response zone. Know where your nearest bomb shelter is. Go there if sirens sound.

AIN SAADEH AND ALL CHRISTIAN AREAS IN MOUNT LEBANON: You are no longer immune. Pierre Mouawad was killed in his home. Family friend: “We had always felt safe here.” You cannot feel safe anymore. Have an emergency exit plan. Know where you will go if your building is struck.

BEKAA VALLEY — MASHGHARA AND ALL BEKAA COMMUNITIES: Struck today. Leave the Bekaa immediately. Move northwest to Zahle and then north toward Tripoli.

SOUTH LEBANON AND NABATIEH: Active demolition and bombing operations today. Do not be in south Lebanon. Do not attempt return.

DAHIYEH — SEVEN SUBURBS WARNED AND STRUCK TODAY: Leave immediately. Do not wait.

JNAH, BEIRUT: Struck yesterday with 39 wounded 100m from Rafik Hariri Hospital. High risk of further strikes in area.

MASNAA BORDER CROSSING: Currently open but under Israeli threat. If you are planning to cross to Syria, monitor the situation in real time — the crossing could be struck at any point.

TONIGHT SPECIFICALLY (10 PM MON → 3 AM TUE BEIRUT TIME):

• Do not be on open streets or in cars
• Move to interior rooms away from windows
• If you are in a high-rise building, move to a lower floor in an interior corridor
• Have your phone charged to 100% with CIS, Red Cross (1760), and Civil Defence (125) on speed dial
• Have 72 hours of water and food readily accessible

🚗 APRIL 6 TRAVEL STATUS

🛡️ CIS SECURITY — DEADLINE NIGHT MAXIMUM EMERGENCY

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 | “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

APRIL 6 DEADLINE NIGHT PRIORITY SERVICES:

🚨 DEADLINE NIGHT SHELTER COORDINATION Trump’s deadline expires at 3 AM Tuesday Beirut time. CIS is providing real-time shelter location guidance for all Lebanese governorates. Contact us NOW to confirm your shelter plan before midnight.

🏘️ AIN SAADEH / MOUNT LEBANON SECURITY ASSESSMENT Christian communities now confirmed within Israeli targeting zone. Pierre Mouawad killed in his home. CIS provides rapid building security assessments for all Mount Lebanon districts — contact immediately.

📡 REAL-TIME ESCALATION MONITORING Monitoring Trump White House, IDF, IRGC, Hezbollah, and Lebanon LAF simultaneously as the 8 PM ET (3 AM Beirut) deadline passes. Any power plant strikes, Hormuz escalation, or Hezbollah response will be communicated immediately to all CIS clients.

🚗 EMERGENCY EXTRACTION — BEKAA AND SOUTH LEBANON Mashghara struck today. Demolition operations in Naqoura. Multiple Nabatieh towns struck. CIS emergency extraction for anyone still in these zones. Contact: +961-3-539900.

📞 ALL EMERGENCY CONTACTS — APRIL 6, 2026

CIS Security 24/7: +961-3-539900 | www.cissecurity.net US Embassy Emergency: +1-202-501-4444 | BeirutACS@state.gov Lebanese Red Cross: 1760 | Civil Defence: 125 | ISF: 112 National Mental Health Lifeline: 1564 (24/7 — confidential)

⚠️ FINAL ASSESSMENT — APRIL 6, 2026 — DEADLINE NIGHT

Today may be the most dangerous day in the history of modern Lebanon. Tonight at 3 AM Beirut time, Trump’s power plant and bridge bombing deadline expires.

What we know for certain heading into tonight:

• Iran has rejected every ceasefire proposal and says Hormuz will never return to its previous state
• B-1B bombers are pre-positioned in Europe ready to strike Iran
• IDF has approved three more weeks of battle plans regardless of a ceasefire
• Lebanon has already lost 1,497+ people in 35 days — 39 on Sunday alone
• Christian communities (Ain Saadeh) are now struck — no community is safe
• The Bekaa Valley is now an active strike zone — Mashghara struck today
• 150,000 people are cut off from humanitarian aid south of the Litani
• A 45-day ceasefire proposal is on the table — but Iran rejected it and the US hasn’t endorsed it
• Pakistan’s army chief was in contact with all parties all night — diplomacy is racing

Lebanon did not start this war. Lebanon cannot end this war. And tonight, Lebanon may face its worst night yet as a war it didn’t choose enters its most violent phase.

Stay indoors. Know your shelter. Call CIS at +961-3-539900 if you need help.

CIS Lebanon Security Index™ | Monday, April 6, 2026 | ACTIVE WAR — DAY 38 | TRUMP HORMUZ DEADLINE TONIGHT All sources published today April 6, 2026: NBC News live blog (33 minutes ago — Trump “I don’t know”; oil $112-114; B-1B bombers; deadline confirmation); Boston Globe live updates (43 minutes ago — Trump press conference; war crimes quote; Ain Saadeh Mouawad named + quote); Al Jazeera live (38 minutes ago — Iran rejects ceasefire; Bushehr IAEA); CNN live (49 minutes ago — 45-day proposal; Iran rejection; IAEA Bushehr; 1,497 Lebanon); Al Jazeera “Israel destroys southern Lebanon towns” (9 hours ago — Kfar Rumman 4 killed; Nabatieh; Jnah 100m hospital; Mercy Corps 150,000 cut off); Democracy Now April 6 headlines (8 hours ago —

39 killed Sunday; Trump war crimes Easter; Khademi killed); Democracy Now HRW story (2 hours ago — “new brazenness” war crimes); LiveUAMap Lebanon (16 hours ago — all today’s strike locations confirmed); France 24 (1 day ago — Masnaa crossing; Jnah 4 killed 39 wounded); Just Security Early Edition April 6 (8 hours ago — 45-day ceasefire; Kafr Hatta 7 killed + 4-yr-old; Munir all night calls); Al Jazeera Day 38 (8 hours ago — Mashghara Bekaa; Kfar Rumman; demolitions; Sharif Univ); NBC/CNN confirmation of all Lebanon figures; Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War (4 hours ago — 1,800 rockets; demolition zones); Wikipedia 2026 Iran War (1 hour ago —

B-1B bombers; Khademi; South Pars). All Lebanon casualty figures from Lebanese MoPH. All military data from IDF, CENTCOM, and named news correspondents. Index compiled: Monday, April 6, 2026 — 23:59 Beirut time.