CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX – April 7 2026

Tuesday, April 7, 2026

⛔ ACTIVE WAR — DAY 39 | DEADLINE: 8 PM ET TONIGHT (3 AM WEDNESDAY BEIRUT)

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴🔴 CATASTROPHIC OVERALL INDEX: 99/100 TREND: 🚨 MAXIMUM EMERGENCY — TRUMP “WHOLE CIVILIZATION WILL DIE TONIGHT”; KHARG ISLAND STRUCK; 40+ TOWNS WARNED IN LEBANON; 1,530 KILLED

🚨 FLASH ALERT — 8 PM ET DEADLINE IS TONIGHT

TRUMP ON TRUTH SOCIAL THIS MORNING:

“A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will.”

The deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face the destruction of its power plants, bridges, and “worse things” expires tonight at 8 PM ET — 3:00 AM Wednesday, April 8 Beirut time.

The US has already struck Kharg Island military targets twice. Iran has formed human chains around power plants. Iran’s president wrote he is “willing to die defending Iran.” Iran stopped direct communications with the US. Pakistan’s ceasefire mediation has reportedly stalled. Iran’s 10-point counter-proposal — including a $2 million per-ship Hormuz fee, end to Lebanon war, reparations, and sanctions lifted — is far from US acceptance.

This is the most dangerous moment in the history of this war. All of Lebanon must be in emergency preparedness posture.

⛔ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY — TUESDAY APRIL 7, 2026

The Iran war has reached the edge of civilisational escalation. Within hours, Trump may order the destruction of Iranian power plants and bridges — constituting war crimes under international law per legal experts cited by NPR. Iran has threatened that if “red lines are crossed,” it will close Bab el-Mandeb through Yemen’s Houthis, cutting the last open maritime route. The IRGC has threatened to “deprive the United States and its allies of oil and gas in the region for years.”

For Lebanon today:

• 1,530 KILLED — updated by Lebanese MoPH today, confirmed by CNN. At least 130 children
• 11 ISRAELI SOLDIERS KILLED IN LEBANON — confirmed by Israeli military today
• Israel has warned more than 40 towns in southern Lebanon to evacuate immediately, fleeing north of the Zahrani River — the largest evacuation wave yet
• Hezbollah is clashing with Israeli troops in Bint Jbeil today — confirmed by Naharnet 13:28
• A Lebanese Army soldier was killed in an IDF strike on Kafr Hatta yesterday — second LAF soldier killed in Israeli strikes
• Vatican envoy’s aid convoy to south Lebanon retreated after taking fire — confirmed by Naharnet today
• US and Egypt are pushing Israel not to strike Masnaa border crossing — Naharnet 12:16 today
• Israel issued “urgent warning”: “Hezbollah activity is endangering vessels” off the Lebanese coast between Tyre and Ras Naqoura — maritime conflict dimension opening
• Sahmar (Bekaa Valley) struck at dawn today — confirmed LiveUAMap
• Hezbollah threatens Lebanese government with repeat of 7 May (2008) clashes — stated by Hezbollah official Wafiq Safa in interview
• Pope Leo slams threats to Iran as “unacceptable” — first papal condemnation of the war
• Pakistan PM Shehbaz Sharif urges Trump to extend deadline — calling for two-week ceasefire
• Iran rejects ceasefire — wants Lebanon included in any deal — Iran has conditioned ending the Iran war on ending the Lebanon war against Hezbollah

📅 KEY EVENTS: APRIL 6 → APRIL 7

🚨 BREAKING DEVELOPMENTS — TUESDAY APRIL 7, 2026

🔴 #1 — TRUMP: “A WHOLE CIVILIZATION WILL DIE TONIGHT” — DEADLINE 8 PM ET (3 AM WED BEIRUT)

[CNN — 27 minutes ago; NPR — 3 hours ago; CBS — 7 minutes ago; Washington Post — 2 minutes ago]

President Trump posted on Truth Social this morning: “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will.” He called tonight’s deadline “one of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the world.”

Trump added: “However, now that we have complete and total regime change, where different, smarter, and less radicalized minds prevail, maybe something revolutionarily wonderful can happen.” This suggests Trump may be looking for a final-hour Iranian gesture to avoid striking power plants.

VP JD Vance in Budapest confirmed the 8 PM ET deadline: “The deadline is 8 o’clock. What Iran is trying to do, because they’ve been defeated militarily, is they’re trying to extract as much economic pain on the world as possible.”

Legal experts cited by NPR: Wide-scale destruction of infrastructure without distinction between civilian and military objects would be considered a war crime under international and US law.

Pope Leo stated today that threats to inflict widespread damage on civilian targets in Iran were “unacceptable” and could breach international law — the first papal condemnation of the conflict.

🔴 #2 — US STRIKES KHARG ISLAND MILITARY TARGETS (SECOND TIME); IDF WARNS IRANIANS OFF TRAINS

[NPR — 3 hours ago; Time — 3 hours ago; OPB — 7 hours ago]

The US struck military targets on Iran’s Kharg Island — Iran’s primary oil export terminal on the Persian Gulf — for the second time. A White House official confirmed the strikes were on military (not oil) targets, described as “restrikes” on previously hit sites. The strikes mark a direct escalation in Kharg Island targeting that Trump previously threatened would include seizing the island.

The IDF separately warned all Iranians to refrain from using trains throughout Iran, stating: “Your presence on trains and near railway lines endangers your life” — between 8:20 AM and 9 PM local Iranian time on Tuesday. This constitutes a pre-strike warning for Iranian rail infrastructure — Israel is about to strike the Iranian rail network.

Iran’s IRGC counter-threatened: “We have not and will not be the initiators of attacks on civilian targets; but we will not hesitate to retaliate against the vile aggression. We will deprive the United States and its allies of oil and gas in the region for years.”

🔴 #3 — IRAN STOPS DIRECT COMMUNICATIONS WITH US; STALLS TALKS; FORMS HUMAN CHAINS AROUND POWER PLANTS

[CBS — 7 minutes ago; CNBC — 4 hours ago; NewsNation — 1 hour ago]

Iran has stopped direct communications with the US in response to Trump’s “whole civilization will die” post — reported by the Wall Street Journal. Iran’s Tehran Times said “diplomatic and indirect channels are not CLOSED” — suggesting Pakistan and Egypt mediation still active. Iran called on “all young people, athletes, artists, students, university students and their professors” to form human chains around power plants in preparation for potential strikes. Iranian state media published footage of Iranians forming a chain around the Kazerun combined cycle power plant in Fars province.

Iranian President Pezeshkian: “More than 14 million proud Iranians have so far registered to sacrifice their lives to defend Iran. I too have been, am, and will remain devoted to giving my life for Iran.”

Iran’s 10-point counter-proposal to the US (NYT, three senior Iranian officials): guarantee Iran will not be attacked again; end to Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon; removal of sanctions; reopening of Hormuz — with Iran imposing $2 million fee per ship passing through the strait. The US has not accepted this.

The New York Times reports Iran has stopped negotiation efforts with the US and told Pakistan it would end ceasefire talks. However, indirect channels remain technically open.

🔴 #4 — 1,530 KILLED IN LEBANON; 130 CHILDREN; 11 IDF SOLDIERS KILLED

[CNN — 27 minutes ago; Naharnet today; IDF confirmed]

Lebanon’s Ministry of Public Health confirmed today: 1,530 people killed in Israeli strikes in Lebanon since March 2. At least 130 children are among the dead. The Israeli military confirmed at least 11 Israeli soldiers have been killed in southern Lebanon since the war began. Oil and the Hormuz deadline dominate global media — but Lebanon is absorbing an average of 50 people killed per day in strikes that are now described as a systematic demolition and occupation operation.

🔴 #5 — ISRAEL WARNS MORE THAN 40 TOWNS IN SOUTH LEBANON; HEZBOLLAH CLASHING IN BINT JBEIL

[Naharnet — 12:36 and 13:28 today; LiveUAMap — today]

Israel struck south and east Lebanon after warning more than 40 towns today — the largest single warning batch of the entire war, covering both the Zahrani south zone and areas north of it. Hezbollah confirmed it is clashing with Israeli troops in Bint Jbeil as of 13:28 today — active urban combat in what was already among the most devastated towns of south Lebanon. IDF is attempting to advance northward past Bint Jbeil toward the Litani line.

Today’s confirmed Lebanon strikes (LiveUAMap):

• Sahmar (Bekaa Valley) — airstrike at dawn
• Mayfadoun and Zawtar — raid
• Deir al-Zahrani — airstrike
• Zibdin (Nabatieh district) — Israeli warplane airstrike
• Al-Duwayr — airstrike on residential building
• Ghobeiri (Dahiyeh) — airstrike
• Ma’rakah junction — drone strike
• Hanawiya (Tyre district) — airstrike site confirmed
• Dbayn (Marjeyoun district) — airstrikes
• Additional Nabatieh communities

Beaufort castle area: Israeli Channel 15 reporting an Israeli force attempted to cross a river in the Beaufort area — one of the deepest northern Nabatieh Litani-area advances attempted in the war.

🔴 #6 — IRAN REJECTS CEASEFIRE — WANTS LEBANON INCLUDED IN ANY DEAL

[Naharnet — 11:17 today; CNN — confirmed; Wikipedia 2026 Iran War — confirmed]

Iran rejected the ceasefire proposal today and wants Lebanon included in any deal — formally conditioning an end to the Iran-US war on a cessation of hostilities against Hezbollah in Lebanon. This is the formal articulation of what has been implicit for weeks: there is no Iran ceasefire that doesn’t include a Lebanon ceasefire. Israel has explicitly refused this condition, stating it will continue operations against Hezbollah regardless of any Iran deal. The diplomatic deadlock is now formally triangular: US-Iran-Lebanon, with Israel holding a de facto veto over the Lebanon component.

🔴 #7 — HEZBOLLAH THREATENS LEBANESE GOVERNMENT WITH REPEAT OF 7 MAY 2008 CLASHES

[Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War — confirmed]

In a profoundly alarming statement, Hezbollah official Wafiq Safa in an interview threatened the Lebanese government with the repeat of the 7 May 2008 clashes — when Hezbollah fighters took over West Beirut in a brief but violent internal armed confrontation that killed dozens and demonstrated Hezbollah’s ability to militarily dominate the capital. This threat — made while Israeli bombs fall on Lebanon’s south — is directed at President Aoun and PM Salam, who expelled Iran’s ambassador, banned Hezbollah’s military activity, and are pursuing direct talks with Israel. Hezbollah is signalling it will use force against the Lebanese state if pushed further. This is the most direct domestic threat to Lebanon’s political stability since the war began.

🔴 #8 — IRAN CONDITIONS CEASEFIRE ON ENDING LEBANON WAR — FORMAL LINKAGE CONFIRMED

[Wikipedia 2026 Iran War — confirmed; Naharnet — confirmed]

Iran has formally asserted that Lebanon must be included as part of any ceasefire deal with the United States and Israel — thereby making a ceasefire in the Iran war conditional on a cessation of hostilities against Hezbollah. This creates the following diplomatic lock:

• Iran will not accept a ceasefire unless Lebanon is included
• Israel will not accept any ceasefire in Lebanon unless Hezbollah disarms
• Hezbollah will not disarm unless Israel withdraws
• Israel will not withdraw unless security is guaranteed
• Security cannot be guaranteed without Lebanese Army deployment
• Lebanese Army will not deploy under fire

Every link in this chain is broken. There is no diplomatic path to a Lebanon ceasefire that all parties will accept simultaneously.

🔴 #9 — VATICAN ENVOY’S AID CONVOY TO SOUTH LEBANON RETREATS AFTER TAKING FIRE

[Naharnet — today]

An aid convoy organised by the Vatican envoy to Lebanon headed for Christian villages in the country’s south was forced to turn back today after taking fire. This is an extraordinary event: a Vatican-affiliated humanitarian convoy — operating in Christian communities — was shot at, preventing the delivery of aid to isolated communities in the south. The nationality of the fire (IDF or Hezbollah) is not confirmed. The incident demonstrates that even explicitly humanitarian, Vatican-coordinated convoys cannot access south Lebanon. The 150,000 people cut off from humanitarian aid south of the Litani (Mercy Corps) are now more isolated than at any point in the war.

🔴 #10 — US AND EGYPT PUSH ISRAEL NOT TO STRIKE MASNAA BORDER CROSSING

[Naharnet — 12:16 today]

The US and Egypt are actively pushing Israel not to strike the Masnaa border crossing — Lebanon’s primary land gateway to Syria. Israel threatened to strike Masnaa on April 5 (citing alleged Hezbollah weapons smuggling), forcing temporary closure. The crossing has since reopened but remains under threat. US and Egyptian diplomatic intervention to protect Masnaa reflects a shared understanding that its destruction would be catastrophic: the 200,000+ who have crossed to Syria via Masnaa and the thousands who use it daily for humanitarian supply chains would be permanently cut off.

🔴 #11 — ISRAEL ISSUES “URGENT WARNING” — “HEZBOLLAH ACTIVITY ENDANGERING VESSELS” OFF LEBANESE COAST

[CNN — 27 minutes ago]

Israel issued an “urgent warning” today stating that “Hezbollah activity is endangering vessels” off the coast of Lebanon between the cities of Tyre and Ras Naqoura. This warning — combined with Hezbollah’s claim on Sunday that it fired a cruise missile at an Israeli warship 126km offshore — opens a maritime conflict dimension to the Lebanon war. Vessels operating along Lebanon’s southern coast, including aid ships and commercial traffic, are now in a declared danger zone.

🔴 #12 — MOURNERS BURY PIERRE MOUAWAD; SISTER RAGES: FUNERAL OF LEBANESE FORCES OFFICIAL BECOMES POLITICAL MOMENT

[Naharnet — today; Al Jazeera — 19 hours ago]

Today’s funeral of Lebanese Forces official Pierre Mouawad (killed with his wife Flavia in the Ain Saadeh strike) at a church in the mountains east of Beirut became a political moment. His sister Raymonda Mouawad raged at the funeral, directing anger at both Israel and Hezbollah. Al Jazeera confirmed the three killed in Ain Saadeh were Pierre Mouawad (Lebanese Forces), Flavia Mouawad (his wife), and Roula Mattar (a visiting friend) — killed by two US-made GBU-39 bombs that crashed through the roof of the building directly facing a neighbour’s balcony. The GBU-39 identification (US-supplied small diameter bombs) is significant — it directly links US-supplied weapons to the killing of a Christian Lebanese politician opposed to Hezbollah.

Lebanese political analyst Michael Young: “Even if the attack in Ain Saadeh was a mistake, the Israelis are not likely going to clarify why they struck there.” The community’s shock is palpable — Ain Saadeh had never experienced an Israeli strike in the entire history of the Lebanon-Israel conflict.

🔴 #13 — SMOTRICH: ISRAEL SHOULD ANNEX TERRITORIES UP TO THE LITANI; KHIAM DETENTION CENTRE DEMOLISHED

[Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War — confirmed]

Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich stated that Israel, following the war, should annex territories up to the Litani River — the most explicit annexation demand yet from a serving Israeli cabinet minister. Separately, satellite imagery from March 23 confirmed the Khiam detention centre is being demolished by the IDF — the notorious former Israeli prison in south Lebanon used during the 1982-2000 occupation where Hezbollah and Lebanese prisoners were detained. Its demolition signals the IDF intends to physically remake the landscape of south Lebanon.

🔴 #14 — GLOBAL WAR TOLL: 23 ISRAELIS, 11 IDF IN LEBANON, 13 US KILLED, OIL AT $108 BRENT

[CNN — 27 minutes ago; OPB — today; EIA confirmed]

Today’s confirmed global toll: Lebanon 1,530 killed (130 children); Iran 1,900+ killed (20,000 wounded); Israel 23 civilians killed inside Israel; 11 IDF soldiers killed in south Lebanon; US 13 service members killed; Iraq 110 killed (15 in Kurdistan); Gulf states 20+; West Bank 4+. Total Middle East killed: 3,600+

Energy crisis: Brent crude above $108/barrel (+50% from pre-war). EIA forecasts US gas to peak at $4.30/gallon this month. Gulf states collectively shut in 7.5 million barrels/day in March — rising to 9.1 million barrels/day in April. The EIA assumes the war does not last past April and Hormuz “gradually resumes” — an assumption that is increasingly uncertain. Middle East oil production will not return “close” to pre-conflict levels until late 2026.

🌡️ GOVERNORATE SECURITY INDEX — APRIL 7, 2026

🏙️ BEIRUT

Index: 98/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: MAXIMUM — Hezbollah threatens May 7 scenario; maritime warning issued

Beirut on April 7 faces two simultaneous existential threats. First: the Trump 8 PM deadline tonight. If power plants are struck and Iran retaliates maximally, Hezbollah will fire its heaviest rocket barrages at Israel — and Israel will respond with maximum force in Lebanon, including central Beirut. Second: Hezbollah’s threat of a “May 7 repeat” — internal armed takeover — directed at the Lebanese government that expelled Iran’s ambassador. If Hezbollah executes this threat, Beirut could face simultaneous Israeli bombardment AND internal Hezbollah armed action against the state.

The maritime warning (“Hezbollah activity endangering vessels” between Tyre and Ras Naqoura) adds a new dimension — if Hezbollah fires on Israeli naval vessels, Israeli naval responses could affect the Lebanese coast from Tyre all the way up to Beirut.

Hezbollah’s threat to repeat May 7 must be taken with the utmost seriousness. If you are in Beirut: know your shelter; have 72 hours of supplies; maintain a family emergency contact protocol.

🏞️ MOUNT LEBANON

Index: 91/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: ESCALATING — Ain Saadeh buried today; psychological collapse

Mount Lebanon communities are burying Pierre and Flavia Mouawad today — the first time in decades that a Christian, anti-Hezbollah Lebanese politician has been killed by an Israeli strike inside a traditionally secure Christian neighbourhood. The political and psychological impact is profound. Lebanese Forces — a major Christian political party — is now publicly condemning both Israel (for the strike) and the Lebanese security services (for failing to disarm Hezbollah and prevent this war). The fracture between Lebanon’s communities deepens by the hour.

🌊 NORTH LEBANON & TRIPOLI

Index: 83/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated

North Lebanon remains the final destination for displaced populations. No direct strikes today. However, if tonight’s deadline produces maximum escalation, Hezbollah will fire its largest rocket barrage of the war — and some of those rockets could fall north of their intended targets, affecting north Lebanon communities.

🌲 AKKAR

Index: 87/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated — Masnaa diplomatic intervention active

US and Egypt actively protecting Masnaa crossing today. If the diplomatic intervention holds and Israel does not strike Masnaa, Akkar’s Syria border corridor remains functional. However, if tonight’s deadline produces maximum Israeli escalation, Masnaa could still be struck in a broader wave.

🍇 BEQAA VALLEY

Index: 98/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: MAXIMUM — SAHMAR STRUCK AT DAWN TODAY

Sahmar in the Bekaa Valley was struck at dawn today (April 7) — second Bekaa town struck in three days (Mashghara struck April 6). The Bekaa Valley is now a confirmed active daily Israeli strike zone. Iran’s formal demand that a ceasefire include an end to the Lebanon war — combined with tonight’s potential escalation — means the Bekaa will face its most intense bombardment yet if the deadline passes without a deal.

THE BEKAA VALLEY IS AN ACTIVE DAILY STRIKE ZONE. LEAVE IMMEDIATELY.

🕌 BAALBEK-HERMEL

Index: 99/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: Maximum

Maximum danger. All supply routes interdicted. IDF targeting economic and military infrastructure throughout the region. Hezbollah’s threat to repeat May 7 is most relevant in the Bekaa-Hermel zone where Hezbollah’s deep organisational infrastructure remains.

🏛️ KESERWAN-JBEIL

Index: 83/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated — Ain Saadeh precedent

The Ain Saadeh strike (GBU-39 bombs killing Lebanese Forces politician) establishes that Israel is willing to strike anti-Hezbollah Christian communities. The entire Matn-Keserwan-Jbeil coastal corridor must now treat itself as within the Israeli targeting set.

🌴 SOUTH LEBANON

Index: 99/100 🔴🔴 | Status: Total War — 40+ Town Warnings; Bint Jbeil Clashes; Vatican Convoy Retreats

South Lebanon today: 40+ towns warned and struck. Active urban combat in Bint Jbeil confirmed. Vatican aid convoy retreated under fire. Israeli force attempting to cross river near Beaufort. IDF demolition operations in Naqoura, Alma al-Shaab, Qouzah continue. Hezbollah issuing maritime threat off Tyre-Ras Naqoura coast. The south is a complete active demolition and combat zone.

⛪ NABATIEH

Index: 99/100 🔴🔴 | Status: Active Combat — Multiple Strikes Today; Beaufort Crossing Attempt

Today’s confirmed Nabatieh strikes: Sahmar (dawn), Mayfadoun/Zawtar, Deir al-Zahrani, Zibdin, Dbayn (Marjeyoun), Hanawiya (Tyre), Ma’rakah junction, Al-Duwayr. Active IDF force attempting river crossing near Beaufort. Hezbollah clashing with IDF in Bint Jbeil. This governorate is in the most intensive ground combat of the war.

📊 LEBANON WAR DASHBOARD — APRIL 7, 2026

🎯 CRITICAL INTELLIGENCE — TONIGHT’S DEADLINE

⚠️ FOUR SCENARIOS FOR TONIGHT — AND WHAT EACH MEANS FOR LEBANON

SCENARIO A — DEAL REACHED BEFORE 8 PM ET (BEST CASE FOR LEBANON) Iran makes a gesture — partial Hormuz opening or agrees to negotiate within 24 hours. Trump announces deal, delays deadline. Power plants not struck. Lebanon front continues at current intensity but does not escalate to maximum. Ceasefire negotiations resume. Probability: Low-Moderate. Iran stopped direct US communications. However, Pakistan and Egypt channels remain open.

SCENARIO B — TRUMP EXTENDS DEADLINE AGAIN (POSSIBLE) Pakistan PM Sharif is personally pushing for extension. Pope Leo condemned the threats. Trump has extended twice before. If Iran’s 10-point counter is described as a “significant step” (which Trump called it Monday), he may announce another extension. Probability: Moderate. Trump said this was his “final” deadline but he has said that before.

SCENARIO C — US STRIKES IRAN’S POWER PLANTS AND BRIDGES (HIGH RISK) B-1B bombers pre-positioned in Europe. Trump has said “it probably will” happen. Iran has not reopened Hormuz. Iran stopped direct US communications. If power plants are struck: Iran will retaliate against all US assets in the region AND order Hezbollah to fire maximum rockets at Israel. Lebanon in this scenario: Heaviest Hezbollah barrage of the war within 2-4 hours of any power plant strikes. IDF maximum response in Lebanon follows. All of Lebanon is at maximum risk.

SCENARIO D — IRAN PRE-EMPTIVELY ESCALATES (POSSIBLE) The IRGC has warned it will respond “beyond the region” if red lines are crossed. Iran has threatened to close Bab el-Mandeb through Yemen. An Iranian pre-emptive strike on a major US naval asset or Gulf infrastructure could trigger immediate escalation before Trump’s deadline. Probability: Low-Moderate.

ASSESSMENT: The most likely outcome tonight is a further Trump extension (Scenario B) or a limited escalation against Iranian rail/bridge infrastructure short of power plants (between Scenarios B and C). However, the probability of full power plant strikes (Scenario C) is higher than at any previous deadline.

📱 EMERGENCY GUIDANCE — APRIL 7, 2026

🚨 DEADLINE NIGHT PROTOCOL — FOR ALL LEBANESE — TONIGHT IS THE NIGHT

THE DEADLINE EXPIRES AT 3:00 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING BEIRUT TIME.

WHAT TO DO NOW (BEFORE 11 PM BEIRUT TIME):

1. Ensure all family members are home or in a safe location before 11 PM
2. Phone fully charged to 100% with CIS (+961-3-539900), Red Cross (1760), Civil Defence (125) saved
3. 72 hours of water and non-perishable food accessible without leaving the building
4. Know your building’s bomb shelter — if none, go to the lowest floor interior room
5. Do not be on open roads, balconies, or in cars from midnight onward
6. Have a family emergency meeting point agreed in advance

IF SIRENS SOUND TONIGHT:

• Go immediately to your designated shelter or lowest interior room
• Stay away from windows
• Do not use elevators
• Do not go outside to observe
• Monitor CIS, Red Cross, and Civil Defence for guidance

SPECIFIC HIGH-RISK ZONES TONIGHT:

• Dahiyeh / South Beirut — seven suburbs warned and struck today; maximum risk tonight
• South Lebanon — total war zone; 40+ towns warned today
• Bekaa Valley — Sahmar struck dawn today; Mashghara yesterday; maximum risk
• Beirut maritime zone (Tyre-Ras Naqoura coastline warning active) — stay off coast

HEZBOLLAH MAY 7 THREAT: Hezbollah official Safa threatened repeat of May 7 armed takeover. If Hezbollah follows through, do not approach checkpoints, armed men, or areas of visible confrontation. Stay home.

MASNAA CROSSING: Currently open. US/Egypt diplomacy protecting it. If tonight’s deadline passes without a deal, Masnaa could be struck. If you need to cross to Syria, do so before midnight.

🚗 APRIL 7 TRAVEL STATUS

🛡️ CIS SECURITY — DEADLINE NIGHT MAXIMUM EMERGENCY

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 | “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

TONIGHT’S PROTOCOL — APRIL 7 — EVERY CIS CLIENT MUST READ:

🚨 SHELTER-IN-PLACE PROTOCOL ACTIVE FROM 11 PM BEIRUT All CIS clients should be in their designated shelter locations by 11 PM Beirut time. CIS is providing real-time guidance on the 8 PM ET deadline and any escalation. Call +961-3-539900 for shelter guidance if you have not already identified one.

📡 REAL-TIME DEADLINE MONITORING CIS is monitoring all US, IDF, IRGC, and Hezbollah channels as the 8 PM ET deadline approaches. Any power plant strikes, Hezbollah barrage launches, or IDF Lebanon escalation will be communicated immediately via all available channels.

🏘️ HEZBOLLAH MAY 7 THREAT — INTERNAL SECURITY MONITORING Hezbollah official Safa threatened repeat of May 7 armed takeover. CIS is monitoring all Beirut flashpoint areas for signs of armed mobilisation. If internal security situation deteriorates, CIS will issue immediate guidance.

📞 ALL EMERGENCY CONTACTS — APRIL 7, 2026

CIS Security 24/7: +961-3-539900 | www.cissecurity.net US Embassy Emergency: +1-202-501-4444 | BeirutACS@state.gov Lebanese Red Cross: 1760 | Civil Defence: 125 | ISF: 112 National Mental Health Lifeline: 1564 (24/7 — confidential) MEA Airport Emergency: Check MEA website — last flights tonight

⚠️ FINAL ASSESSMENT — APRIL 7, 2026

The deadline is tonight. In hours, the war either takes a dramatic turn toward peace — or toward its most destructive phase yet.

What is certain:

• 1,530 Lebanese are already dead. 130 of them children.
• 11 IDF soldiers have died in Lebanon. Four in a single day.
• A Christian anti-Hezbollah politician was killed by a US-made bomb in his home in a Christian neighbourhood. His sister raged at his funeral today.
• A Vatican aid convoy was shot at trying to reach Christian villages in the south.
• Hezbollah is threatening internal armed action against the Lebanese government.
• Trump has written that a “whole civilization will die tonight.”
• Iran has said it is willing to die defending itself.
• The Khiam detention centre — symbol of 18 years of Israeli occupation — has been demolished by the IDF.
• 40+ Lebanese towns were warned and struck today.

If Trump strikes power plants tonight, Hezbollah will fire its heaviest barrage of the war within hours. Lebanon will face its most violent night since independence.

If Trump extends the deadline again, Lebanon gets another 24-48 hours — and another chance at a China-Pakistan-Pakistan-Egypt-brokered framework before April ends.

Either way, Lebanon is at war. And Lebanon needs to be in its shelter tonight.

CIS Security: +961-3-539900 | Red Cross: 1760 | Civil Defence: 125 | Mental Health: 1564

CIS Lebanon Security Index™ | Tuesday, April 7, 2026 | ACTIVE WAR — DAY 39 | DEADLINE NIGHT All sources published today April 7, 2026: CNN live (27 minutes ago — 1,530 killed; 11 IDF; maritime warning; Bahrain shelter-in-place); CBS live (7 minutes ago — Iran communication status; Iran 10-pt proposal NYT); NPR (3 hours ago — Kharg Island confirmed; war crimes analysis); Time (3 hours ago — Trump “whole civilization”; Smotrich annex Litani); OPB (7 hours ago — human chains; train warning; IDF rail strike warning); Washington Post (2 minutes ago — Trump warning confirmed); CNBC (4 hours ago —

45-day deal US rejected; Iran cut communications); NewsNation (1 hour ago — human chains; Pezeshkian quote); Naharnet (12:16, 11:17, 13:28, 14:33, 15:25 today — Hezbollah Bint Jbeil; Iran rejects ceasefire; Masnaa US/Egypt; IRGC red line warning; Trump civilisation warning); Al Jazeera (19 hours ago — Ain Saadeh GBU-39 bombs confirmed; social division analysis); LiveUAMap (today — Sahmar dawn; all April 7 Lebanon strikes); Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War (39 minutes ago — Smotrich annex; Khiam demolished; Wafiq Safa May 7 threat; Dallafa Bridge); Wikipedia 2026 Iran War (1 hour ago — Iran conditions ceasefire on Lebanon); Democracy Now (1 day ago); Pope Leo statement (Naharnet today). All Lebanese casualty figures from Lebanese MoPH.

All IDF casualties from IDF official statements. All war toll from CNN live compilation. Index compiled: Tuesday, April 7, 2026 — Live at 16:00 Beirut time. Updated continuously until deadline passes.