CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX – Dec 16 2025

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY INDEX READING

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL – THREE KILLED SUNDAY & 380+ HEZBOLLAH ELIMINATED SINCE CEASEFIRE
TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 86/100
TREND ANALYSIS: ➡️ SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS – 1,900+ CEASEFIRE BREACHES DOCUMENTED

🚨 BREAKING: TUESDAY DECEMBER 16 – ONGOING STRIKES & LAF COOPERATION QUESTIONED

IMMEDIATE CRITICAL DEVELOPMENTS:

SUNDAY DECEMBER 14: THREE HEZBOLLAH MEMBERS KILLED: Israeli strikes Sunday eliminated three operatives including senior terrorist Zakaria Yahya al-Hajj in Jwaya, one in Yater, and Hezbollah local representative in Bint Jbeil – marking continued targeting despite 13-month ceasefire.

380+ HEZBOLLAH OPERATIVES KILLED SINCE CEASEFIRE: IDF reports eliminating over 380 Hezbollah members, hitting hundreds of sites, and conducting 1,200+ raids and operations in southern Lebanon since November 27, 2024 ceasefire – demonstrating systematic continuing military operations.

ISRAEL CLAIMS 1,900+ HEZBOLLAH CEASEFIRE VIOLATIONS: Israeli military accuses Hezbollah of breaching ceasefire arrangement more than 1,900 times since November 2024 agreement, stating violations justify continuing strikes under US bilateral guarantees.

SATURDAY DECEMBER 13: UNPRECEDENTED LAF-IDF COOPERATION: Israeli military issued warning for Yanouh strike then postponed operation after Lebanese Armed Forces requested access to search site via ceasefire monitoring mechanism – marking rare example of coordination preventing escalation.

FRIDAY DECEMBER 12: RADWAN FORCE TRAINING FACILITY STRUCK: IDF targeted elite Radwan Force “training and qualification compound” plus other Hezbollah sites in wave of southern Lebanon airstrikes, stating drills violate Israel-Lebanon understandings.

40 TERRORISTS KILLED SINCE OCTOBER IN 30 LOCATIONS: Israeli military reports eliminating approximately 40 operatives rebuilding Hezbollah infrastructure across 30 different southern Lebanon locations since beginning of October demonstrating concentrated operations.

IRAN PLEDGES “RESOLUTE SUPPORT” FOR HEZBOLLAH: Iranian Supreme Leader adviser stated December 15 Iran will “resolutely support” Hezbollah while group’s representative in Iran voiced defiant stances against disarmament demands.

US REINING IN ISRAEL’S STRIKES: Reports indicate US administration currently preventing Israel from escalating strikes in Lebanon, pressing for limited attacks to preserve regional stability as President Aoun coordinates negotiations.

🌡️ COMPREHENSIVE GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

Index Reading: 78/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Systematic Strikes and President Aoun’s Coordination Efforts. The capital coordinates complex environment as President Joseph Aoun (former LAF Commander) works on ceasefire implementation while 380+ Hezbollah killed since November demonstrates continuing operations.

Government facilities manage President Aoun’s emphasis on “national unity especially in negotiations” while Sunday’s three deaths and 1,900+ documented ceasefire violations show systematic breaches.

The combination of President Aoun’s sovereignty pledges, 380+ Hezbollah eliminated, Iran’s “resolute support” statement, and US efforts to limit escalation creates critical environment.

Economic activities face mixed signals from President Aoun’s stability efforts while Sunday’s strikes and 1,900+ ceasefire violations demonstrate continuing security challenges.

Security coordination advances with President Aoun’s national unity push while managing Sunday’s three deaths and systematic violations pattern.

Key Factor: Capital coordinating under President Aoun’s leadership despite 380+ Hezbollah eliminated and 1,900+ ceasefire violations since November.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

Index Reading: 59/100 🟠
Status: Elevated with Systematic Strikes Pattern. The governorate observes President Aoun’s coordination efforts while processing 380+ Hezbollah killed since ceasefire.

Tourism sector experiences cautious improvement from President Aoun’s stability focus while Sunday’s three deaths maintain elevated concerns.

Local businesses express measured optimism from national unity emphasis while 1,900+ ceasefire violations and continuing strikes demonstrate ongoing challenges.

Regional communities observe President Aoun’s negotiation efforts with hope while 380+ eliminated operatives indicate systematic operations persisting.

Key Factor: Regional cautious environment from President Aoun’s leadership despite 380+ Hezbollah killed since ceasefire.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

Index Reading: 66/100 🟠
Status: Elevated with Continuing Violations. Tripoli and surrounding areas face measured concern from 1,900+ documented ceasefire breaches while President Aoun coordinates stability efforts.

The region observes President Aoun’s emphasis on sovereignty while 380+ Hezbollah eliminated demonstrates systematic operations continuing.

Port operations experience cautious environment from President Aoun’s coordination while Sunday’s strikes and 1,200+ raids underscore fragile situation.

Cross-border dynamics face complexity from national unity push while 1,900+ violations and Iran’s support pledge indicate challenges persisting.

Key Factor: Regional measured concern from 1,900+ ceasefire violations while President Aoun coordinates stability.

AKKAR 🌲

Index Reading: 63/100 🟠
Status: Elevated with Border Context. The Syrian border region faces cautious outlook from President Aoun’s sovereignty emphasis while processing systematic southern strikes.

Local communities observe national unity efforts with measured optimism while 380+ Hezbollah eliminated demonstrates operations continuing.

Border security operations monitor President Aoun’s coordination while 1,900+ ceasefire violations and Sunday’s strikes demonstrate systematic pattern.

Agricultural activities proceed with improved outlook from stability focus while Friday’s Radwan facility strikes maintain elevated concerns.

Key Factor: Border area cautious environment from President Aoun’s leadership despite 380+ eliminated and 1,900+ violations.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

Index Reading: 84/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Systematic Strikes Pattern Amid Violations. The valley faces maximum crisis from being among strike zones while 380+ Hezbollah eliminated since ceasefire demonstrates systematic operations.

Israeli operations continue targeting valley locations as part of 1,200+ raids and strikes conducted since November ceasefire agreement.

Agricultural activities face uncertainty from systematic strikes pattern while President Aoun’s coordination offers potential stabilization path.

Local communities navigate environment where 380+ operatives eliminated and 1,900+ violations documented show operations persisting.

The convergence of systematic strikes, 380+ eliminated, 1,900+ violations, and Iran’s support pledge creates critical environment.

Key Factor: Valley experiencing critical status from being among 380+ elimination operations and systematic violations zones.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

Index Reading: 83/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Regional Strike Pattern. The region faces maximum tensions from being among systematic operations zones while 380+ Hezbollah eliminated demonstrates continuing targeting.

The region observes territory among areas where IDF conducts 1,200+ raids and operations since ceasefire showing systematic pattern.

Infrastructure development faces complex environment from President Aoun’s coordination while Friday’s strikes and 380+ eliminated demonstrate continuing operations.

Cultural sites experience tension from regional targeting while national unity emphasis offers potential stabilization path.

Traditional community structures observe President Aoun’s sovereignty pledges with cautious hope while systematic operations continue.

Key Factor: Maximum tension from being among 380+ elimination zones despite President Aoun’s coordination efforts.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

Index Reading: 60/100 🟠
Status: Elevated with President Aoun’s Leadership. The coastal governorate processes President Aoun’s national unity emphasis while managing 1,900+ documented ceasefire violations.

Tourism activities face improved outlook from President Aoun’s stability coordination while Sunday’s three deaths maintain elevated concerns.

Local businesses express measured optimism from sovereignty emphasis while 380+ Hezbollah eliminated demonstrates systematic operations continuing.

The region experiences cautious stabilization from President Aoun’s leadership while 1,900+ violations show ongoing challenges.

Key Factor: Local cautious improvement from President Aoun’s coordination despite 380+ eliminated and systematic violations.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

Index Reading: 94/100 🔴
STATUS: ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM CRISIS – SUNDAY’S 3 DEATHS & 380+ ELIMINATED SINCE CEASEFIRE. The south faces ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM DANGER from Sunday’s three killings, 380+ total Hezbollah eliminated, 1,200+ raids conducted, and 1,900+ ceasefire violations documented.

SUNDAY’S THREE DEATHS occurred in Jwaya (Zakaria Yahya al-Hajj), Yater (infrastructure rebuilder), and Bint Jbeil (local representative) demonstrating continued targeting of operations and leadership.

380+ HEZBOLLAH OPERATIVES ELIMINATED by IDF since November 27, 2024 ceasefire with hundreds of sites hit and 1,200+ raids conducted demonstrating systematic military operations.

Emergency services operate under ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM THREAT coordinating response to Sunday’s three deaths, Friday’s Radwan facility strikes, systematic 380+ elimination campaign while processing President Aoun’s coordination efforts.

Civilian populations face ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM VULNERABILITY from 380+ eliminated, 1,200+ raids, Sunday’s three deaths, and continuing systematic operations pattern.

SATURDAY’S LAF-IDF COOPERATION in Yanouh where Lebanese Army accessed site via monitoring mechanism preventing strike demonstrates rare coordination success.

The combination of Sunday’s three deaths, 380+ total eliminated, 1,200+ raids, 1,900+ violations, and Saturday’s LAF coordination creates ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM danger.

Key Factor: ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM CRISIS from Sunday’s three deaths within 380+ systematic elimination campaign and 1,900+ documented violations.

NABATIEH ⛪

Index Reading: 92/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Bint Jbeil Death Sunday Plus Systematic Operations. The governorate faces maximum security crisis from Sunday’s elimination of Hezbollah local representative in Bint Jbeil within its territory.

Sunday’s Bint Jbeil strike killed terrorist responsible for resident communication and seizing private property for terror use within governorate boundaries.

Community services face extreme pressure from Sunday’s territorial strike, 380+ total eliminated, and systematic 1,200+ raids pattern.

Medical facilities coordinate emergency response while managing environment from President Aoun’s coordination and systematic operations continuing.

Local communities experience maximum vulnerability from Sunday’s Bint Jbeil death, 380+ eliminated campaign, and 1,900+ violations amid national unity efforts.

Key Factor: Maximum vulnerability from Sunday’s Bint Jbeil death within governorate plus 380+ elimination systematic campaign.

🎯 CURRENT SECURITY ASSESSMENT – SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS CONTINUING

🔴 CRITICAL IMMEDIATE DEVELOPMENTS:

Sunday December 14:

1. THREE HEZBOLLAH KILLED – Zakaria Yahya al-Hajj (Jwaya), one in Yater, one in Bint Jbeil
2. SENIOR TERRORIST ELIMINATED – Al-Hajj activated agents within Lebanon security systems
3. LOCAL REPRESENTATIVE KILLED – Bint Jbeil operative seizing private property
4. INFRASTRUCTURE REBUILDER TARGETED – Yater operative reestablishing capabilities
5. SYSTEMATIC PATTERN – Three separate strikes in less than one hour

Saturday December 13:

1. LAF-IDF COORDINATION – Unprecedented cooperation in Yanouh prevented strike
2. LEBANESE ARMY REQUESTED ACCESS – Via ceasefire monitoring mechanism
3. IDF POSTPONED STRIKE – After issuing warning allowed LAF to search site
4. UNIFIL PRESENT – UN forces also at Yanouh site during cooperation
5. RARE COOPERATION SUCCESS – First known prevention of strike after public warning

Friday December 12:

1. RADWAN TRAINING FACILITY STRUCK – Elite force compound targeted
2. MULTIPLE HEZBOLLAH SITES HIT – Wave of airstrikes across southern Lebanon
3. SECOND STRIKE THIS WEEK – Tuesday also saw Radwan site targeted
4. DRILLS VIOLATION CITED – Holding military training breaches understandings
5. SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS – Continuing pattern of infrastructure targeting

Since November 27, 2024 Ceasefire:

1. 380+ HEZBOLLAH ELIMINATED – IDF reports systematic elimination campaign
2. HUNDREDS OF SITES HIT – Widespread targeting across southern Lebanon
3. 1,200+ RAIDS CONDUCTED – Small operations and ground activities
4. 1,900+ VIOLATIONS CLAIMED – Israel accuses Hezbollah of breaching ceasefire
5. 40 KILLED SINCE OCTOBER – In approximately 30 different locations

🔴 SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS FACTORS:

Unprecedented Campaign:

1. 380+ Operatives Eliminated – Since November 27, 2024 ceasefire
2. Sunday’s 3 Deaths – Including senior terrorist and local representative
3. 1,900+ Violations – Israel claims Hezbollah ceasefire breaches
4. 1,200+ Raids – Systematic small operations since ceasefire
5. Saturday LAF Cooperation – Rare coordination prevented Yanouh strike

⚠️ COMPLEX ASSESSMENT:

• 380+ Hezbollah Eliminated – Systematic campaign since November ceasefire
• 1,900+ Violations Claimed – Israel accuses Hezbollah of systematic breaches
• Sunday’s 3 Deaths – Senior terrorist, local representative, infrastructure rebuilder
• Saturday LAF Cooperation – Unprecedented coordination in Yanouh
• President Aoun Coordination – Former LAF commander emphasizing national unity

📱 CURRENT SECURITY GUIDANCE – SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS PERIOD

🏠 RESIDENT SECURITY RECOMMENDATIONS:

CRITICAL SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS – 380+ ELIMINATED & 1,900+ BREACHES: Lebanon experiences critical environment with 380+ Hezbollah operatives eliminated, hundreds of sites hit, and 1,200+ raids conducted since November 27, 2024 ceasefire, while Sunday’s three deaths and 1,900+ documented violations demonstrate systematic pattern continuing under President Aoun’s coordination efforts.

IMMEDIATE SECURITY ACTIONS:

• SOUTHERN LEBANON EXTREME CAUTION – 380+ eliminated, 1,200+ raids zone
• JWAYA/YATER/BINT JBEIL VIGILANCE – Sunday’s three death locations
• RADWAN FACILITIES AWARENESS – Friday’s training compound strikes
• LAF COORDINATION RECOGNITION – Saturday’s Yanouh cooperation success
• PRESIDENT AOUN’S UNITY EFFORTS – National coordination advancing

INFRASTRUCTURE ABSOLUTE VULNERABILITY: 380+ Hezbollah eliminated, hundreds of sites hit, 1,200+ raids conducted since ceasefire demonstrates systematic operations while President Aoun coordinates stability.

🏢 BUSINESS OPERATION RECOMMENDATIONS:

SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS PROTOCOLS:

• SOUTHERN OPERATIONS MAXIMUM CAUTION – 380+ eliminated, 1,200+ raids zone
• HEZBOLLAH AREAS AVOIDANCE – Sites targeted across southern Lebanon
• RADWAN FACILITIES VIGILANCE – Training compounds strike pattern
• LAF COORDINATION MONITORING – Saturday’s Yanouh cooperation model
• PRESIDENT AOUN DEVELOPMENTS TRACKING – National unity coordination

🚗 TRAVEL SECURITY STATUS:

MAXIMUM CAUTION – 380+ ELIMINATED & SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS: President Aoun’s coordination efforts advancing while 380+ Hezbollah eliminated and 1,200+ raids require MAXIMUM CAUTION.

ABSOLUTE DANGER ZONES:

• ENTIRE SOUTHERN LEBANON – 380+ eliminated, 1,200+ raids systematic zone
• JWAYA (TYRE) – Sunday’s senior terrorist elimination
• YATER AREA – Sunday’s infrastructure rebuilder death
• BINT JBEIL – Sunday’s local representative killing
• RADWAN FACILITIES – Friday’s training compound strikes zone

🔮 24-HOUR SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS FORECAST

Predicted Index Reading: 84/100
Forecast Trend: ⬇️ CAUTIOUS STABILIZATION – PRESIDENT AOUN COORDINATION

Systematic Operations Probability:

1. Additional Strikes (75% probability) – 380+ elimination pattern continuing
2. LAF Coordination Examples (70% probability) – Saturday’s Yanouh model
3. Hezbollah Infrastructure Targeting (80% probability) – Systematic operations
4. President Aoun Unity Efforts (85% probability) – National coordination advancing
5. US Escalation Limits (90% probability) – Administration pressing restraint

Critical Monitoring Factors: Additional strikes, LAF-IDF coordination, President Aoun’s national unity efforts, US pressure on Israel, Iran’s support statements.

Stabilization Factors: President Aoun’s coordination success, LAF-IDF cooperation increase, strikes reduction, US escalation prevention, ceasefire implementation.

📊 SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS ANALYSIS

Today’s Security Level: Critical – 380+ Eliminated Since Ceasefire Amid Coordination Efforts
Change from Previous Assessment: -1 point (Slight improvement from President Aoun coordination)
Crisis Trend: Systematic Violations with National Unity Coordination
Assessment: Lebanon experiences critical environment with Israeli military eliminating 380+ Hezbollah operatives, hitting hundreds of sites, and conducting 1,200+ raids since November 27, 2024 ceasefire while claiming 1,900+ violations by Hezbollah, as President Joseph Aoun coordinates national unity emphasizing sovereignty “especially in negotiations” following Sunday’s three deaths demonstrating systematic pattern persisting.

Strategic Systematic Violations Analysis: Sunday December 14 Israeli strikes eliminated three Hezbollah members including senior terrorist Zakaria Yahya al-Hajj in Jwaya who activated agents within Lebanon’s security systems, one in Yater involved in infrastructure rebuilding, and local representative in Bint Jbeil responsible for resident communication and seizing private property.

Israeli military reports killing around 40 terrorists operating to rebuild Hezbollah’s infrastructure in approximately 30 different locations across southern Lebanon since beginning of October, while since November 2024 ceasefire IDF has killed over 380 Hezbollah operatives, hit hundreds of sites, and conducted over 1,200 raids and small operations in southern Lebanon.

Israel accused Hezbollah of repeatedly breaching ceasefire arrangement, claiming group has violated agreement more than 1,900 times, stating violations justify continuing strikes under bilateral US guarantees recognizing “Israel’s right to respond to Hezbollah threats”.

Saturday December 13 marked unprecedented cooperation when IDF issued warning for Yanouh strike then postponed operation after Lebanese Armed Forces requested access via ceasefire monitoring mechanism to search site, with IDF deciding to allow this – rare example where public warning led to strike cancellation.

Friday December 12 IDF carried out wave of airstrikes targeting Hezbollah sites including Radwan Force “training and qualification compound” used to plan attacks against Israel, stating holding military drills violates understandings between Israel and Lebanon.

Iranian Supreme Leader adviser stated December 15 Iran will “resolutely support” Hezbollah while Hezbollah’s representative in Iran voiced defiant stances, as reports indicate US administration currently preventing Israel from escalating strikes, pressing for limited attacks to preserve regional stability.

President Joseph Aoun announced Monday “domestic and external contacts are ongoing to consolidate security and stability in South” emphasizing importance of “national unity especially in negotiations”, as former LAF Commander coordinates implementation efforts.

The convergence of 380+ Hezbollah eliminated, Sunday’s three deaths, 1,200+ raids conducted, 1,900+ violations claimed, Saturday’s LAF-IDF cooperation, Friday’s Radwan strikes, Iran’s support pledge, and President Aoun’s national unity coordination creates critical systematic violations environment requiring maximum security protocols.

🛡️ CIS SECURITY: SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS MAXIMUM PROTOCOLS

🔴 CRITICAL ALERT – 380+ ELIMINATED & PRESIDENT AOUN COORDINATION

During Lebanon’s critical environment with 380+ Hezbollah eliminated, 1,200+ raids, and President Aoun’s national unity coordination, CIS Security maintains maximum protocols.

SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS SERVICES:

Sunday’s Operations Response:

• Jwaya Security – Senior terrorist elimination zone coordination
• Yater/Bint Jbeil Protection – Sunday’s two deaths areas security
• 380+ Elimination Tracking – Systematic campaign documentation
• 1,900+ Violations Monitoring – Claimed breaches pattern analysis

President Aoun Coordination Support:

• National Unity Initiatives – Coordination efforts monitoring
• LAF-IDF Cooperation – Saturday’s Yanouh model tracking
• Sovereignty Emphasis – President’s negotiation coordination
• US Escalation Prevention – Administration restraint efforts

🔴 SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS CONTACT – MAXIMUM ALERT

EMERGENCY COMMAND CENTER: +961-3-539900
Maximum protocols for 380+ eliminated and systematic violations period

PRESIDENT AOUN COORDINATION: National unity efforts monitoring
380+ ELIMINATION TRACKING: Systematic campaign security
SUNDAY’S DEATHS RESPONSE: Three casualties zones coordination

During Lebanon’s systematic violations environment with President Aoun coordination, CIS Security provides maximum protection.

⚠️ SYSTEMATIC VIOLATIONS NOTICE

CRITICAL ALERT: Lebanon experiences unprecedented systematic violations environment with Israeli military eliminating 380+ Hezbollah operatives, hitting hundreds of sites, and conducting 1,200+ raids since November 27, 2024 ceasefire while claiming 1,900+ violations by Hezbollah, as President Joseph Aoun coordinates national unity emphasizing sovereignty “especially in negotiations” following Sunday’s three deaths (senior terrorist Zakaria Yahya al-Hajj, infrastructure rebuilder, local representative) and Saturday’s unprecedented LAF-IDF cooperation in Yanouh preventing strike requiring maximum security protocols.

Update Frequency: Real-time monitoring during systematic violations period. Alerts: Immediate updates for strikes and President Aoun coordination.

380+ ELIMINATED NOTICE: IDF systematic campaign since November ceasefire eliminating operatives, hitting hundreds of sites, conducting 1,200+ raids.

SUNDAY’S THREE DEATHS: Senior terrorist in Jwaya, infrastructure rebuilder in Yater, local representative in Bint Jbeil demonstrating continuing pattern.

Professional Statement: CIS Security maintains maximum capabilities during systematic violations environment with 380+ Hezbollah eliminated, 1,200+ raids conducted, 1,900+ violations claimed, and President Aoun’s national unity coordination. Our commitment to all personnel safety remains absolute during critical period with Sunday’s three deaths and systematic operations continuing.

🔍 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES – CIS SECURITY LEBANON

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 – “Protection During Systematic Violations Period”

During Lebanon’s systematic violations environment with 380+ eliminated and President Aoun’s coordination, trust CIS Security’s 35+ years expertise.

CIS Security Systematic Violations Services:

• 380+ Elimination Tracking – Systematic campaign monitoring
• Sunday’s Deaths Response – Three casualties zones security
• LAF-IDF Cooperation – Saturday’s Yanouh model coordination
• President Aoun Support – National unity efforts tracking
• 1,900+ Violations Analysis – Claimed breaches documentation

Systematic Violations Consultation: 📞 24/7 Emergency Command: +961-3-539900
💬 Maximum Alert WhatsApp: Real-time systematic violations coordination
🌐 Emergency Website: www.cissecurity.net

During Lebanon’s systematic violations with 380+ eliminated and President Aoun’s coordination, CIS Security provides absolute maximum protection.