🇱🇧 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX™ – Sunday, Jan 18 2026

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY INDEX READING

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL
TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 84/100
TREND ANALYSIS: ⚠️ WEEKEND ASSESSMENT – IDF DECLARES MISSION COMPLETE AS STRIKES CONTINUE

🚨 BREAKING: ISRAELI 91ST DIVISION COMPLETES TWO-MONTH OPERATION AS WEEKEND STRIKES CLAIM TWO MORE LIVES

CRITICAL DEVELOPMENTS – SUNDAY, JANUARY 18, 2026:

IDF MISSION “ACCOMPLISHED”: The Israeli Defense Forces announced Sunday that their 91st Division has completed a two-month ground mission in southern Lebanon. The operation focused on intelligence gathering and identifying sites they designated as Hezbollah infrastructure, though the IDF has continued strikes despite claiming mission completion.

WEEKEND CASUALTIES: Multiple Israeli drone strikes targeted southern Lebanon over the weekend, with fatal strikes in Mansouri and Mayfadun leaving two people killed. These deaths occurred Friday, January 16, continuing the pattern of ceasefire violations.

BEKAA VALLEY OPERATIONS: Israel also carried out strikes in the eastern Bekaa Valley over the weekend, expanding operations beyond the 91st Division’s stated operational area in the south.

UNIFIL INCIDENT: On Friday near Odaisseh, an IDF drone dropped a hand grenade on UN peacekeepers who were in the process of detonating a found explosive device. UNIFIL reported no casualties but condemned the action as a violation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701.

VIOLATION COUNT CONTINUES: The pattern of near-daily strikes persists despite the ceasefire agreement, with UNIFIL documenting more than 10,000 ceasefire violations by Israel, including 7,500 airspace violations and 2,500 ground violations since November 2024.

HEZBOLLAH’S HARDENED STANCE: Following Saturday’s televised speech by Hezbollah chief Sheikh Naim Qassem stating disarmament cannot be discussed while sovereignty is violated, the group maintains its position that Israeli withdrawal and ceasefire compliance must come first.

GOVERNMENT PRESSURE INTENSIFIES: Lebanese government officials continue condemning Hezbollah’s resistance to disarmament, with multiple ministers calling the group’s stance threats to state authority and national stability.

NO SIGNS OF DE-ESCALATION: Despite the IDF declaring its ground mission complete, there is no indication that Israeli strikes will slow. The weekend violence demonstrates continued military pressure coinciding with political demands for comprehensive Hezbollah disarmament.

🌡️ COMPREHENSIVE GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

Index Reading: 81/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Ongoing Political Deadlock

The capital experiences relative calm Sunday following Saturday’s absence of strikes, but the fundamental political crisis between government and Hezbollah remains unresolved. The IDF’s announcement of completing its 91st Division mission does not appear to signal de-escalation, as weekend strikes continued in the south.

President Joseph Aoun’s coordination with security chiefs continues as the government insists on comprehensive state arms monopoly. Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea’s support for disarmament efforts reflects Christian community backing for governmental authority, though fears of internal conflict remain high.

The economic activities proceed cautiously with businesses monitoring for demonstrations or street mobilizations that Hezbollah has threatened if disarmament pressure continues beyond the Litani. Israeli drone surveillance over Beirut and southern suburbs maintains psychological pressure despite Sunday’s relative operational calm.

International diplomatic efforts continue, but the gap between governmental demands for disarmament and Hezbollah’s sovereignty-first preconditions shows no signs of narrowing.

Key Factor: Sunday calm following IDF mission completion announcement, but weekend casualties and continued Bekaa strikes demonstrate no fundamental de-escalation despite stated mission goals achieved.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

Index Reading: 77/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Civil Conflict Anxiety

Mount Lebanon communities assess the weekend developments with cautious relief at Sunday’s relative calm, but deep concern about the IDF’s stated mission completion not ending strikes. The pattern of Friday casualties followed by operational announcements creates uncertainty about Israel’s next moves.

Christian political leadership’s support for state arms monopoly remains firm, with Lebanese Forces and other parties backing Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s readiness for “phase two” disarmament beyond the Litani. However, memories of civil war create powerful resistance to any confrontation with Hezbollah.

Business operations continue with growing uncertainty. The IDF’s completion of its two-month mission might suggest tactical assessment before next phase, or simply reorganization of ongoing operations. Economic planning remains paralyzed by fundamental political uncertainty.

Infrastructure development proceeds under governmental framework while the region continues hosting displaced populations. The escalating crisis compounds existing humanitarian challenges.

Key Factor: IDF mission completion announcement not producing expected de-escalation, with weekend strikes demonstrating continued Israeli military pressure regardless of stated operational milestones.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

Index Reading: 79/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Economic Fragility

Tripoli and surrounding areas monitor weekend developments with concern about the disconnect between IDF statements of mission completion and continued strikes. The pattern suggests Israeli military operations will persist regardless of stated milestones.

Cross-border dynamics with Syria remain stable, though regional tensions continue. The fundamental political crisis over disarmament overshadows positive developments like recent cooperation agreements with Jordan.

Economic conditions show vulnerability to any escalation. International support may be contingent on disarmament progress that Hezbollah explicitly rejects, creating impossible conditions for economic recovery.

Infrastructure projects face profound uncertainty as political confrontation intensifies despite weekend operational pause.

Key Factor: Economic vulnerability to sustained crisis as IDF mission completion fails to produce de-escalation, suggesting prolonged military and political confrontation ahead.

AKKAR 🌲

Index Reading: 80/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Border Security Under Political Pressure

Syrian border security operations continue effectively, but the Lebanese Armed Forces face impossible political situation. The weekend violence demonstrates that LAF’s claimed completion of phase one disarmament south of Litani has not ended Israeli operations.

The army remains caught between international demands for comprehensive disarmament and Hezbollah’s explicit threats of resistance. The IDF’s completion of its ground mission does not reduce pressure on LAF, which must now prepare for potential phase two operations north of Litani.

Greek military aid strengthens capabilities but doesn’t resolve fundamental political crisis. The weekend pause suggests all sides assessing next moves in deepening confrontation.

Key Factor: LAF in impossible position as weekend violence demonstrates disarmament efforts have not satisfied Israeli demands, while Hezbollah maintains hardened resistance to further operations.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

Index Reading: 88/100 🔴
Status: CRITICAL – Weekend Strikes Despite Mission Completion

Israel carried out strikes in the eastern Bekaa Valley over the weekend, demonstrating continued operations despite the 91st Division’s stated mission completion in the south. The geographic expansion of strikes beyond southern Lebanon shows comprehensive targeting regardless of operational announcements.

Hezbollah leader Qassem’s Saturday speech from Baalbek religious ceremony demonstrated the group’s continued authority and defiance in its heartland. The valley remains under Hezbollah influence despite military pressure and governmental disarmament demands.

Agricultural operations proceed cautiously following recent evacuation warnings and strikes. The pattern of expanded Israeli operations into Bekaa Valley creates dangerous escalation cycle as pressure intensifies for phase two disarmament.

International development projects face immediate threats from sustained strike pattern and deepening political crisis.

Key Factor: Weekend Bekaa strikes despite IDF mission completion announcement demonstrate comprehensive targeting strategy beyond stated southern operational area, expanding pressure throughout Lebanese territory.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

Index Reading: 87/100 🔴
Status: CRITICAL – Core Hezbollah Territory Under Pressure

The region faces extreme tension as Hezbollah’s stronghold potentially subject to expanded operations despite IDF’s claimed mission completion. Recent strikes on Hermel outskirts and weekend Bekaa operations demonstrate Israeli willingness to target throughout this governorate.

Infrastructure faces direct threats from expanded strike pattern that continues regardless of stated operational milestones. Hezbollah’s deep roots and continued authority in Baalbek-Hermel complicate any governmental disarmament efforts.

The regional security dynamics create existential concerns for communities viewing Hezbollah as defenders. Qassem’s Saturday appearance in Baalbek demonstrates group’s determination to maintain presence despite all pressure.

Key Factor: Hezbollah heartland under sustained pressure as weekend strikes demonstrate Israeli operations continuing beyond stated mission completion, while group maintains defiant presence and authority.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

Index Reading: 73/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Weekend Calm Amid Sustained Crisis

The coastal governorate experiences Sunday calm following Saturday’s operational pause, but profound anxiety about escalating crisis continues. IDF mission completion announcement has not produced expected de-escalation, with weekend casualties demonstrating sustained pressure.

Tourism infrastructure faces challenges as security situation deters visitors despite relative safety from direct strikes. Business operations continue with growing uncertainty about Lebanon’s trajectory.

Christian populations support state authority and governmental disarmament demands but deeply fear civil conflict if confrontation escalates. The weekend pattern suggests possible tactical pause rather than strategic de-escalation.

Key Factor: Relative security from strikes but intense anxiety about political crisis trajectory as IDF mission completion fails to end military operations, suggesting prolonged confrontation ahead.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

Index Reading: 89/100 🔴
Status: CRITICAL – Mission “Complete” But Violence Continues

The IDF issued a statement that their 91st Division had successfully completed a ground mission in southern Lebanon, but weekend drone strikes continued. Fatal strikes in Mansouri and Mayfadun left two people killed on Friday, demonstrating no operational de-escalation despite stated mission completion.

The 91st Division’s two-month operation focused on intelligence collection, locating enemy infrastructure, and assisting in dismantling what Israel designated as terrorist infrastructure. However, the mission’s completion has not ended strikes, suggesting Israeli operations will continue indefinitely.

Civilian populations continue experiencing casualties with more than 300 people killed by Israeli strikes since the November 2024 ceasefire. The Friday victims in Mansouri and Mayfadun add to this toll, with operations showing no signs of slowing despite completed missions.

Israel maintains five strategic positions inside Lebanese territory despite ceasefire requirements. The Lebanese Armed Forces’ claimed completion of phase one disarmament has not satisfied Israeli demands or ended violations.

Key Factor: IDF’s 91st Division mission completion announced Sunday, but weekend casualties and continued strikes demonstrate no de-escalation, with operations expected to persist regardless of stated milestones.

NABATIEH ⛪

Index Reading: 87/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Friday Fatality in Ongoing Pattern

The governorate experienced one of Friday’s fatalities in Mayfadun, continuing the pattern of ceasefire violations. The victim, Walid Olleik, was a taxi driver known for driving Lebanese Army and security forces personnel free of charge, demonstrating ongoing civilian toll.

Infrastructure restoration efforts face constant disruption. The LAF’s claimed establishment of arms monopoly south of Litani has not ended Israeli operations, and the IDF’s completion of its 91st Division mission has not produced expected reduction in strikes.

Civilian populations balance reconstruction needs with ongoing threats. Hezbollah’s Saturday position that disarmament cannot be discussed while Israel violates sovereignty resonates in areas experiencing continued operations.

Key Factor: Friday’s Mayfadun fatality demonstrating sustained violation pattern despite IDF mission completion, with operations continuing against civilians and infrastructure throughout governorate.

🎯 CRITICAL SECURITY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF – MISSION COMPLETE, VIOLENCE CONTINUES

🔥 CURRENT HIGH-RISK AREAS:

Priority Level 1 – Recent Violence/Operational Zones:

1. Mansouri & Mayfadun – Two killed Friday in weekend strikes despite mission completion
2. Eastern Bekaa Valley – Struck over weekend beyond 91st Division operational area
3. Odaisseh – Friday UNIFIL incident with IDF grenade drop
4. All Areas South of Litani – 91st Division operational area, strikes continuing
5. Israeli-Occupied Positions – Five hilltop locations inside Lebanon

Priority Level 2 – Political Crisis & Expansion Zones: 6. Beirut Political Centers – Government-Hezbollah deadlock deepening 7. Baalbek – Qassem spoke Saturday demonstrating authority despite pressure 8. Areas North of Litani – Next disarmament battleground, Bekaa already struck 9. Beirut Southern Suburbs – Drone surveillance continuing 10. LAF Deployment Areas – Army caught between impossible demands

✅ RELATIVELY LOWER RISK (BUT STILL CRITICAL):

Sunday Calm Areas:

• Keserwan-Jbeil – No strikes but crisis anxiety high
• Northern Coastal Areas – Relative calm but economically vulnerable
• Syrian Border Areas – Cross-border security maintained
• Central Business Districts – Operating cautiously amid uncertainty

⚠️ IDF MISSION COMPLETION IMPLICATIONS:

91st Division Operation – November to January 2026:

• Two-month ground mission in southern Lebanon
• Intelligence gathering and infrastructure targeting
• Mission declared complete Sunday, January 19
• Critical Assessment: Completion has NOT ended strikes
• Weekend casualties demonstrate continued operations
• No indication of operational de-escalation despite milestone

Strategic Analysis:

• IDF mission completion appears tactical, not strategic end
• Strikes continuing in south, expanding to Bekaa
• UNIFIL attacked despite peacekeeping mission
• 10,000+ violations documented, pattern persisting
• Israeli occupation of five positions continuing

📱 CURRENT SECURITY GUIDANCE – SUNDAY ASSESSMENT

🏠 GUIDANCE FOR RESIDENTS:

CURRENT CRISIS ASSESSMENT: Lebanon experiences Sunday calm following IDF’s announcement that its 91st Division completed two-month mission in southern Lebanon, but weekend casualties demonstrate military operations continue regardless of stated milestones. Fundamental political crisis between government disarmament demands and Hezbollah sovereignty-first position remains unresolved.

WEEKEND & SUNDAY DEVELOPMENTS:

• IDF Mission Complete: 91st Division two-month operation ended, but strikes continue
• Friday Casualties: Two killed in Mansouri and Mayfadun despite mission completion
• UNIFIL Attacked: Friday grenade drop on peacekeepers near Odaisseh
• Bekaa Strikes: Weekend operations beyond southern mission area
• Political Deadlock: Qassem’s Saturday sovereignty-first speech vs government condemnation

IMMEDIATE SAFETY CONSIDERATIONS:

• Mission Completion Misleading: IDF announcement has not ended operations
• Weekend Pattern: Casualties Friday, operations Sunday despite “complete” mission
• Southern Areas: Evacuation warning systems remain critical
• Bekaa Vulnerability: Strikes expanding beyond traditional southern focus
• Emergency Readiness: Maintain supplies and plans given sustained crisis

🏢 BUSINESS OPERATIONS GUIDANCE:

SUNDAY ENVIRONMENT:

• IDF Announcement: Mission completion has not produced de-escalation
• Weekend Casualties: Friday deaths demonstrate continued operational tempo
• Geographic Expansion: Bekaa strikes show comprehensive targeting
• Political Crisis: Government-Hezbollah deadlock deepening with no compromise
• International Pressure: 10,000+ violations affecting perceptions and aid

OPERATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS:

• Mission completion announcement does not signal safety
• Emergency evacuation plans essential given continued strike pattern
• Political crisis creates profound investment uncertainty
• Weekend casualties demonstrate sustained military pressure
• Monitor for demonstrations following Hezbollah Saturday speech

🚗 TRAVEL ADVISORY – SUNDAY STATUS:

CURRENT TRAVEL CONDITIONS: Sunday calm following IDF mission completion announcement, but weekend casualties (Friday’s two deaths in Mansouri/Mayfadun) demonstrate operations continuing. More than 300 people have been killed by Israeli strikes since the November 2024 ceasefire, with UNIFIL documenting over 10,000 violations.

SUNDAY TRAVEL ASSESSMENT:

• Mission “Complete”: IDF announcement misleading – strikes continue
• Southern Areas: Exercise extreme caution despite operational milestone
• Bekaa Valley: Now targeted regularly beyond southern focus
• UNIFIL Zones: Even peacekeepers attacked, civilian risk remains high
• Evacuation Warnings: Can come with minimal notice despite mission claims

📊 SUNDAY, JANUARY 19, 2026 SECURITY ANALYSIS

Today’s Assessment: IDF Mission Complete But Violence Persists
91st Division: Two-month operation ended, strikes continuing regardless
Weekend Toll: Two killed Friday, Bekaa struck, UNIFIL attacked
Political Status: Hezbollah sovereignty-first vs government arms monopoly deadlock

Critical Analysis: Sunday, January 19, 2026, marks a day when the Israeli Defense Forces announced completion of their 91st Division’s two-month ground mission in southern Lebanon, but weekend violence demonstrates this operational milestone has not produced any de-escalation in military operations or progress toward resolving the fundamental political crisis.

The 91st Division’s Multi-Dimensional Unit conducted operations over the past two months in southern Lebanon, focusing on intelligence collection, locating enemy infrastructure, directing fire, and assisting in dismantling terrorist infrastructure. The IDF claims significant Hezbollah infrastructure was destroyed and operatives neutralized during this mission.

However, Israeli drone strikes continued to target southern Lebanon over the weekend after the IDF issued its mission completion statement. The disconnect between declared mission success and continued operations suggests the completion announcement represents a tactical milestone rather than strategic end to Israeli military pressure.

Multiple strikes were reported over the weekend, including fatal strikes in Mansouri and Mayfadun which left two killed on Friday. These deaths occurred just before the mission completion announcement, demonstrating that Israeli operations continue at similar tempo regardless of stated objectives being achieved.

Israel also carried out strikes in the eastern Bekaa Valley over the weekend, which would have been outside the purview of the 91st Division’s southern Lebanon operation. This geographic expansion shows comprehensive Israeli targeting strategy that transcends individual division missions and operational areas.

A particularly concerning incident occurred Friday near Odaisseh. A UNIFIL patrol was in the process of detonating a found explosive device when an IDF drone dropped a grenade on them. While no casualties were reported among the peacekeepers, UNIFIL condemned the action as violating UN Security Council Resolution 1701 and endangering peacekeepers and civilians.

The continued pattern of violations shows no signs of abating despite mission milestones. The United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon has documented more than 10,000 ceasefire violations by Israel, including 7,500 airspace violations and 2,500 ground violations since the November 2024 ceasefire agreement.

Israeli attacks have killed more than 300 people in Lebanon since the November 2024 ceasefire, with Friday’s casualties in Mansouri and Mayfadun adding to this toll. The victim in Mayfadun on Thursday night was identified as Walid Olleik, a taxi driver known for his community service in driving Lebanese Army and internal security forces personnel free of charge.

The political crisis remains unresolved following Saturday’s developments. Hezbollah chief Sheikh Naim Qassem delivered a televised speech stating that disarmament cannot be discussed when there’s zero sovereignty and Israel continues violating the ceasefire agreement. He urged the government to carry out its responsibility in maintaining the country’s sovereignty before addressing weapons issues.

Lebanese government officials condemned Qassem’s position. Justice Minister Adel Nassar accused the Hezbollah leader of contradicting himself, noting he had previously accepted the ceasefire agreement and endorsed the ministerial statement on state arms monopoly. Multiple ministers characterized Hezbollah’s stance as threats to state authority and national stability.

The Lebanese Armed Forces announced on January 8 that it had completed the first phase of its disarmament plan south of the Litani River, claiming to have established state monopoly on arms “in an effective and tangible way.” However, Israel has called those efforts “far from sufficient” and claims Hezbollah is “rearming faster than it is disarming”.

Israel maintains five strategic positions inside Lebanese territory despite ceasefire requirements for complete withdrawal. This ongoing occupation provides Hezbollah with continued justification for refusing further disarmament discussions until Israeli forces leave and violations cease.

The IDF’s completion of its 91st Division mission does not signal any change in this fundamental dynamic. While the IDF issued a statement about completing the mission, there is no reason to expect that strikes will start to slow now that they consider the mission accomplished.

Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has stated Lebanon is ready to move to “phase two” – confiscating weapons north of the Litani River – based on Lebanese Army plans. However, Hezbollah’s senior political official Mahmoud Qmati warned on Wednesday that pursuing state monopoly on arms beyond the south would be “the biggest crime committed by the state” and could lead to “instability, chaos and perhaps even civil war.”

Regional Context: The mission completion announcement comes amid reports that US President Donald Trump gave Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu support for continued pressure on Hezbollah. The Trump-Netanyahu meeting last week suggested American backing for Israeli demands for comprehensive disarmament regardless of Lebanese government capacity or Hezbollah resistance.

Tactical vs Strategic: The 91st Division’s mission completion appears to be a tactical reorganization rather than strategic shift. Israeli operations continue in the south, have expanded to the Bekaa, and show no signs of reduction. The weekend casualties demonstrate business-as-usual military pressure coinciding with political demands.

Impossible Positions: Lebanon faces the same impossible choice: attempt comprehensive disarmament risking civil conflict, or accept Hezbollah’s armed presence facing continued Israeli strikes and international isolation. The IDF’s mission completion changes nothing in this fundamental equation.

UNIFIL Vulnerability: Friday’s grenade drop on UN peacekeepers demonstrates that even international forces implementing the ceasefire are targeted by Israeli operations. This creates additional complications for any ceasefire monitoring or enforcement mechanisms.

Long-term Outlook: Sunday’s relative calm following mission completion announcement may represent brief assessment period before next phase of operations. Weekend casualties and Bekaa strikes suggest Israeli military pressure will continue regardless of stated mission achievements. Without compromise mechanisms between government disarmament demands and Hezbollah sovereignty preconditions, escalation pathways remain multiple and dangerous.

🛡️ CIS SECURITY: SUNDAY MONITORING & MISSION COMPLETION ASSESSMENT

📡 CONTINUOUS MONITORING DURING POST-MISSION PERIOD

CIS Security maintains 24/7 monitoring and crisis response capabilities following IDF’s Sunday announcement of 91st Division mission completion, recognizing that weekend casualties and continued strikes demonstrate no operational de-escalation despite stated milestone achievements.

SUNDAY SECURITY SERVICES:

Mission Completion Analysis:

• 91st Division Assessment – Evaluating implications of two-month operation conclusion
• Weekend Violence Review – Analyzing Friday Mansouri/Mayfadun casualties, UNIFIL incident
• Bekaa Expansion Monitoring – Tracking strikes beyond southern operational area
• Tactical vs Strategic – Determining if completion signals pause or reorganization

Sustained Threat Assessment:

• Continued Operations – No evidence of reduced strike tempo despite mission end
• Geographic Expansion – Bekaa strikes demonstrating comprehensive targeting
• UNIFIL Vulnerability – Friday grenade incident showing escalated risk
• Political Deadlock – Government-Hezbollah confrontation deepening

Operational Readiness:

• All-Area Coverage – Maintained capabilities for South, Bekaa, potential expansion
• Evacuation Coordination – Ready for warnings requiring rapid extraction
• UNIFIL Zone Security – Enhanced protection in peacekeeping areas
• 24/7 Command Center – Continuous monitoring despite mission completion claims

SPECIALIZED SUNDAY SERVICES:

Government & Diplomatic Protection:

• Security for President Aoun’s ongoing coordination efforts
• Protection for ministers facing Hezbollah criticism
• Diplomatic mission security during sustained crisis
• International organization security in operational zones

Business Continuity Management:

• Sunday operations security following mission completion announcement
• Emergency response planning for continued strike risk
• Geographic risk assessment for Bekaa expansion
• Insurance documentation for weekend incidents

Residential & Family Security:

• Enhanced home security during deepening crisis
• Sunday monitoring for demonstration risks post-Qassem speech
• Emergency communication systems throughout operational areas
• Family safety protocols recognizing mission completion hasn’t ended threats

📞 SUNDAY OPERATIONS COORDINATION

24/7 SECURITY HOTLINE: +961-3-539900
Continuous monitoring recognizing mission completion has not ended operations

SUNDAY SERVICES: Sustained threat assessment and readiness
MISSION ANALYSIS: IDF completion evaluated – strikes continuing
EMERGENCY RESPONSE: Immediate capabilities maintained

Sunday Operations Centers:

• Intelligence Analysis: Mission completion vs operational reality assessment
• Weekend Violence Review: Mansouri, Mayfadun, Bekaa, UNIFIL incidents
• Geographic Tracking: Expansion beyond traditional southern focus
• 24/7 Coordination: Maintained emergency response throughout crisis

Following IDF’s Sunday announcement of 91st Division mission completion, CIS Security’s continuous monitoring recognizes that weekend casualties (Friday’s two deaths), Bekaa strikes, and UNIFIL attack demonstrate no operational de-escalation despite stated milestone, requiring sustained vigilance and readiness as military pressure and political crisis continue regardless of tactical announcements.

⚠️ SUNDAY STATUS ALERT – MISSION COMPLETE BUT VIOLENCE PERSISTS

MISSION COMPLETION NOTICE: Israeli Defense Forces announced Sunday, January 19, 2026, that 91st Division completed two-month ground mission in southern Lebanon, but weekend violence demonstrates operations continuing regardless of stated milestone.

Weekend Casualties: Friday strikes in Mansouri and Mayfadun killed two people, with victim Walid Olleik in Mayfadun known for community service to Lebanese Army personnel, demonstrating continued civilian toll despite mission achievements.

UNIFIL Attack: Friday incident near Odaisseh saw IDF drone drop grenade on UN peacekeepers detonating explosive device, demonstrating escalated risk even in peacekeeping zones with no respect for international force status.

Bekaa Expansion: Weekend strikes in eastern Bekaa Valley beyond 91st Division southern operational area show comprehensive Israeli targeting strategy transcending individual mission boundaries.

Violation Pattern: UNIFIL documentation of 10,000+ Israeli violations (7,500 airspace, 2,500 ground) since ceasefire demonstrates systematic non-compliance continuing regardless of operational milestones.

Political Deadlock Unchanged: Saturday’s Qassem sovereignty-first speech vs government condemnation shows fundamental positions incompatible, with IDF mission completion changing nothing in political equation.

CIS Assessment: Mission completion represents tactical milestone, not strategic shift – operations continuing at similar tempo with geographic expansion, requiring sustained monitoring and readiness regardless of IDF announcements.

Outlook Critical: No indication of de-escalation despite mission completion, with weekend pattern suggesting brief assessment before continued or intensified operations as political crisis deepens.

🔍 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES – CIS SECURITY LEBANON

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 – “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

Following IDF’s Sunday announcement of 91st Division mission completion after two months in southern Lebanon, with weekend casualties (Friday’s two deaths in Mansouri/Mayfadun), UNIFIL grenade attack near Odaisseh, Bekaa Valley strikes expanding operations, political deadlock unchanged after Saturday’s Qassem sovereignty-first speech vs government condemnation, and UNIFIL documentation of 10,000+ violations demonstrating systematic non-compliance, trust CIS Security’s 35+ years crisis management expertise providing continuous 24/7 monitoring recognizing mission completion has not produced de-escalation. As Lebanon’s most reviewed security company, we maintain operational readiness understanding weekend violence demonstrates operations continuing regardless of stated milestones, with 300+ killed since ceasefire, no visible compromise mechanisms, and sustained military pressure requiring professional vigilance despite tactical announcements.

CIS Security Sunday Operations:

• 24/7 Monitoring – Continuous intelligence post-mission announcement
• Mission Completion Analysis – Assessing tactical vs strategic implications
• Weekend Violence Review – Mansouri, Mayfadun, UNIFIL, Bekaa incidents
• Geographic Tracking – Expansion beyond southern operational areas
• Political Crisis Assessment – Unchanged deadlock despite IDF milestone
• Sustained Readiness – No de-escalation despite completion claims
• UNIFIL Zone Security – Enhanced protection after grenade attack

Why Choose CIS During Mission Completion Period: ✓ 35+ Years Crisis Experience – Understanding tactical vs strategic realities
✓ Continuous Operations – 24/7 monitoring regardless of IDF announcements
✓ Pattern Recognition – Mission completion hasn’t ended violence
✓ Rapid Response – Immediate capabilities as operations continue
✓ Geographic Coverage – South Lebanon and expanding Bekaa operations
✓ Political Intelligence – Tracking unchanged government-Hezbollah deadlock

Sunday Security Services: 📞 24/7 Hotline: +961-3-539900 – MISSION ANALYSIS & MONITORING
💬 All Operations: Residential, commercial, VIP, emergency response maintained
🌐 Crisis Management: www.cissecurity.net – Professional post-mission assessment
📧 Sustained Readiness: Operations continuing regardless of IDF claims

Serving all Lebanese governorates during post-mission completion period. CIS Security – Your trusted partner maintaining continuous monitoring and operational readiness recognizing IDF’s 91st Division mission completion announcement has not produced de-escalation, with weekend casualties (2 killed Friday), UNIFIL attack, Bekaa strikes, 10,000+ documented violations, and fundamental political deadlock unchanged requiring sustained professional vigilance as military pressure continues regardless of stated tactical milestones.

📈 RECENT ESCALATION TIMELINE – JANUARY 15-19, 2026

THURSDAY, JANUARY 15 – BEKAA EXPANSION:

• Israeli strikes on Sohmor and Mashghara (4 buildings)
• Hermel outskirts targeted
• Geographic expansion established
• Index: 88/100

FRIDAY, JANUARY 16 – CONTINUED VIOLATIONS:

• Two killed: Mansouri (Tyre) and Mayfadun (Nabatieh)
• Victim Walid Olleik known for helping security forces
• UNIFIL grenade attack near Odaisseh
• Index: 86/100

SATURDAY, JANUARY 17 – POLITICAL HARDENING:

• Qassem televised speech: sovereignty first
• Government officials condemn Hezbollah stance
• No strikes reported suggesting assessment period
• Index: 87/100

SUNDAY, JANUARY 19 – MISSION COMPLETE, VIOLENCE CONTINUES:

• IDF announces 91st Division mission completion
• Weekend casualties confirmed (Friday deaths)
• Bekaa strikes expanding beyond southern focus
• UNIFIL attacked demonstrating escalated risk
• Political deadlock unchanged
• Index: 84/100

ASSESSMENT:

IDF Mission Completion:

• Two-month 91st Division operation ended
• Intelligence gathering and infrastructure targeting completed
• Critical Reality: Operations continuing regardless
• Weekend violence demonstrates no de-escalation

Political Status:

• Hezbollah: Sovereignty first, no disarmament discussions
• Government: State arms monopoly non-negotiable
• No Compromise: Positions remain incompatible
• Mission completion changes nothing politically

Operational Reality:

• 10,000+ UNIFIL-documented violations continuing
• 300+ killed since ceasefire, Friday added two more
• Geographic expansion: Bekaa regularly targeted now
• UNIFIL attacked: Even peacekeepers at risk

Outlook Critical: Mission completion appears tactical milestone, not strategic shift. Operations continuing at similar or expanded tempo. Political deadlock unchanged. Multiple escalation pathways remain active:

1. Continued/intensified Israeli strikes
2. Hezbollah street demonstrations
3. Government pressure for phase two disarmament
4. Potential internal confrontation

*CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX™ – Professional security intelligence for Sunday, January 19, 2026.