🇱🇧 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX™ – Saturday, Jan 24 2026

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY INDEX READING

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL
TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 85/100
TREND ANALYSIS: ⚠️ TENSE STABILITY – MAJOR DIPLOMATIC DEVELOPMENTS AMID CONTINUED VIOLATIONS

🚨 BREAKING: MULTI-PARTY NEGOTIATIONS IN OMAN & RECENT ESCALATION

CRITICAL DEVELOPMENTS – SATURDAY, JANUARY 24, 2026:

HISTORIC OMAN NEGOTIATIONS: Report: US, Vatican, Israel and Iran discussing Hezbollah in Oman. This unprecedented four-party dialogue represents a significant diplomatic breakthrough involving the United States, Vatican, Israel, and Iran discussing the future of Hezbollah and Lebanon’s security framework.

RECENT MAJOR ESCALATION (January 22): More Israeli strikes pound southern Lebanon after day of attacks. Israel bombed four Syria-Lebanon border crossings, saying they were used by Hezbollah to smuggle weapons, following earlier attacks on southern Lebanon that killed at least two people and injured almost 20.

PRESIDENTIAL CONDEMNATION: Lebanese President Joseph Aoun blasts Israeli ‘policy of systematic aggression’ that directly targets civilians. “Once again, Israel is pursuing a policy of systematic aggression by carrying out air strikes on inhabited Lebanese villages, in a dangerous escalation that directly targets civilians,” Aoun said in a statement late on Wednesday.

SPECIFIC RECENT STRIKES (January 22): Israeli warplanes bombed buildings in several south Lebanon villages and towns, including al-Kharayeb, al-Ansar, Qanarit, Kfour and Jarjouh, after issuing warnings. An Israeli strike on a vehicle in Zahrani (Sidon district) killed one person, and another strike targeting a vehicle in Bazuriyeh (Tyre district) killed another person.

DISARMAMENT MILESTONE DISPUTED: Lebanon says Hezbollah disarmed in south; Israel: Efforts ‘encouraging’ but insufficient. The Lebanese army announced Thursday (January 8) that it had completed the first phase of its plan to disarm Hezbollah south of the Litani River, but Israel says Hezbollah is “rearming faster than it is being disarmed.”

ONGOING VIOLATIONS: Dozens of families fled a targeted village after an Israeli warning was issued, with drone activity in the area. Israel claims the drone attack on a car targeted a Hezbollah member. Analysts believe Hezbollah will not accept the disarmament’s second phase as long as Israel continues attacking Lebanon.

POLITICAL TENSIONS: Pro-Hezbollah journalists summoned over anti-Aoun remarks, indicating domestic political tensions between the government and pro-Hezbollah media amid disarmament pressures.

POSITIVE GOVERNMENT COORDINATION: Berri after meeting Aoun: Our meetings are always excellent. Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri said Friday, after meeting with President Joseph Aoun, that his meetings with Aoun are “always excellent,” demonstrating constructive government-legislative coordination.

BAALBEK INCIDENT: Drone strikes miss car twice in southwest Baalbek (January 23), demonstrating continued targeting operations in areas beyond traditional southern conflict zones.

DEPOSITOR PROTECTION: Lebanon’s cabinet has passed a draft law aimed at repaying depositors up to $100,000 of their own money, addressing the ongoing banking crisis affecting Lebanese citizens.

🌡️ COMPREHENSIVE GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

Index Reading: 79/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Historic Diplomatic Engagement. The capital experiences unprecedented diplomatic activity with Report indicating US, Vatican, Israel and Iran discussing Hezbollah in Oman. This four-party dialogue represents Lebanon’s most significant international engagement on security matters in recent history.

President Joseph Aoun’s administration actively condemns Israeli “systematic aggression” while engaging in historic international negotiations. His statement that Israel “directly targets civilians” demonstrates firm governmental position defending Lebanese sovereignty while pursuing diplomatic solutions.

The constructive meeting between President Aoun and Parliament Speaker Berri, with Berri stating meetings are “always excellent,” demonstrates strong domestic governmental coordination essential for implementing complex security arrangements and international commitments.

The cabinet’s passage of draft law to repay depositors up to $100,000 shows governmental focus on economic recovery alongside security challenges, addressing the banking crisis that has devastated Lebanese citizens’ savings.

Enhanced security continues around government buildings and diplomatic missions, though the Oman negotiations represent potential breakthrough requiring careful governmental coordination and public communication.

Key Factor: Historic four-party Oman negotiations (US, Vatican, Israel, Iran) creating unprecedented diplomatic opportunity while governmental coordination (Aoun-Berri) and depositor protection demonstrate institutional functionality.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

Index Reading: 76/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Cautious Optimism. The governorate benefits from the Oman negotiations potentially creating framework for long-term stability, though recent January 22 escalation killing two and injuring 20 demonstrates ongoing immediate threats.

Business operations continue with awareness of both diplomatic opportunities (Oman talks) and continued security risks (recent strikes). The banking depositor protection law provides some economic hope for Lebanese families affected by financial collapse.

Tourism sector shows mixed indicators as Oman negotiations create potential stability framework while continued violations eliminate immediate recovery prospects. The Elie Saab Pre-fall 2026 collection described as “A Love Letter to Beirut” demonstrates cultural resilience and international fashion industry confidence.

The region serves as displacement destination for families fleeing recent January 22 strikes on multiple southern villages, creating ongoing humanitarian and resource management challenges.

Key Factor: Oman diplomatic breakthrough creating hope while recent January 22 escalation (2 killed, 20 injured) demonstrates ongoing immediate security threats requiring continued vigilance.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

Index Reading: 77/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Regional Stability Hopes. Tripoli and surrounding areas benefit from potential Oman negotiations framework while maintaining awareness of continued ceasefire violations affecting overall national security.

Economic conditions show cautious optimism as diplomatic engagement (Oman) and depositor protection law create some recovery prospects, though systematic violations continue limiting business confidence.

Cross-border dynamics remain stable with Syrian authorities despite January 22 Israeli strikes on four Syria-Lebanon border crossings that Israel claimed targeted “Hezbollah weapons smuggling routes.”

Key Factor: Oman negotiations creating potential regional stability while January 22 border crossing strikes demonstrate continued cross-border targeting affecting regional security.

AKKAR 🌲

Index Reading: 78/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Border Security Focus. The Syrian border situation faces direct impact from January 22 Israeli strikes on four Syria-Lebanon border crossings, demonstrating continued targeting of cross-border infrastructure.

Lebanese Armed Forces continue border operations despite Israeli strikes on crossing points, maintaining governmental authority in challenging conditions. The Oman negotiations involving Iran (major regional player) may create framework for improved border security coordination.

Key Factor: January 22 strikes on four border crossings demonstrating continued cross-border targeting while Oman negotiations (including Iran) may create regional coordination framework.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

Index Reading: 82/100 🔴
Status: Critical with Strategic Concerns. The valley experiences January 23 incident where drone strikes missed car twice in southwest Baalbek, demonstrating continued targeting operations extending beyond traditional southern conflict zones.

The Lebanese army’s announcement of first-phase disarmament completion south of Litani creates regional implications, though Israel’s assessment that Hezbollah “rearming faster than being disarmed” indicates continued security concerns.

Agricultural operations continue under challenging conditions as targeting extends to previously secure areas (Baalbek drone incident) while Oman negotiations may create framework for reduced operations.

Key Factor: January 23 Baalbek drone strikes demonstrating targeting expansion while first-phase disarmament completion claims face Israeli dispute about Hezbollah rearming pace.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

Index Reading: 84/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Enhanced Monitoring. This region experiences direct security incident with January 23 drone strikes missing car twice in southwest Baalbek, demonstrating active targeting operations in the area.

The region’s strategic importance creates ongoing monitoring requirements while Oman negotiations involving Iran (Hezbollah sponsor) may create framework for reduced targeting and improved security arrangements.

Key Factor: January 23 direct targeting incident (drone strikes) while Oman four-party talks including Iran may create security framework affecting regional operations.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

Index Reading: 73/100 🟡
Status: Elevated with Diplomatic Optimism. The coastal governorate benefits from cultural resilience demonstrated by Elie Saab Pre-fall 2026 collection “A Love Letter to Beirut” showing international fashion confidence.

Tourism sector shows potential improvement prospects from Oman negotiations while banking depositor protection law provides economic confidence for local businesses and residents.

Key Factor: Cultural resilience (Elie Saab international collection) and diplomatic opportunities (Oman talks) creating optimism while depositor protection supports economic confidence.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

Index Reading: 89/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Active Violation Zone. The south experiences most intense recent escalation with January 22 multiple village strikes (al-Kharayeb, al-Ansar, Qanarit, Kfour, Jarjouh) after evacuation warnings, plus fatal vehicle strikes in Zahrani and Bazuriyeh killing two people.

The Lebanese army’s announcement of first-phase disarmament completion south of Litani represents major governmental claim, with UN Special Coordinator Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert stating “great to see” army “assumed operational control south of Litani” as “undeniable progress.”

However, Israel’s assessment that efforts are “encouraging but insufficient” and Hezbollah “rearming faster than being disarmed” creates ongoing tension. Dozens of families fled targeted villages after Israeli warnings, demonstrating continued civilian displacement.

Analysts believe Hezbollah will not accept disarmament’s second phase as long as Israel continues attacking Lebanon, creating implementation impasse despite Lebanese army claims of first-phase completion.

Key Factor: January 22 multiple strikes (2 killed, 20 injured) and continued violations despite Lebanese army first-phase disarmament claims creating implementation crisis.

NABATIEH ⛪

Index Reading: 87/100 🔴
Status: Critical – Recent Targeting. The governorate experienced January 22 strikes including Zahrani vehicle attack killing one and operations in nearby areas creating ongoing civilian protection concerns.

The region benefits from Lebanese army disarmament implementation south of Litani but faces continued Israeli operations despite governmental compliance efforts, creating impossible security conditions.

Key Factor: January 22 Zahrani killing and nearby strikes demonstrating continued operations despite Lebanese army disarmament completion claims.

🎯 CRITICAL SECURITY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

🔄 DIPLOMATIC BREAKTHROUGH AREAS:

Priority Level 1 – Historic Negotiations:

1. Oman Talks – US, Vatican, Israel, Iran discussing Hezbollah future and Lebanon security framework
2. Presidential Diplomacy – Aoun condemning violations while engaging international partners
3. UN Recognition – UNIFIL acknowledging Lebanese army operational control south of Litani as “undeniable progress”
4. Government-Legislative Coordination – Aoun-Berri excellent meetings enabling policy implementation

🔥 RECENT HIGH-RISK INCIDENTS (January 22-23):

Priority Level 1 – Recent Escalation:

1. Four Border Crossings – January 22 Israeli strikes on Syria-Lebanon crossings
2. Multiple Southern Villages – al-Kharayeb, al-Ansar, Qanarit, Kfour, Jarjouh struck January 22
3. Zahrani (Sidon) – January 22 vehicle strike killed one person
4. Bazuriyeh (Tyre) – January 22 vehicle strike killed another person
5. Southwest Baalbek – January 23 drone strikes missed car twice

Priority Level 2 – Ongoing Challenges: 6. Displaced Families – Dozens fled targeted villages after warnings 7. Disarmament Disputes – Israel claims Hezbollah “rearming faster than disarmed” 8. Vehicle Targeting – Continued pattern of strikes on cars 9. Evacuation Warnings – Israeli advance notifications creating civilian displacement 10. Media Tensions – Pro-Hezbollah journalists summoned over anti-Aoun remarks

✅ POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS:

Major Progress Indicators:

• Oman Negotiations – Four-party talks (US, Vatican, Israel, Iran) on Hezbollah
• Disarmament Milestone – Lebanese army claims first-phase completion south of Litani
• UN Recognition – UNIFIL acknowledges army operational control as progress
• Government Coordination – Aoun-Berri excellent cooperation
• Depositor Protection – Cabinet passes law to repay up to $100,000
• Cultural Resilience – International fashion confidence (Elie Saab Beirut collection)

⚠️ CONTINUED MONITORING REQUIRED:

Ongoing Challenge Areas:

• Discrepancy between Lebanese disarmament claims and Israeli assessments
• Continued violations despite first-phase completion announcements
• Implementation of second-phase disarmament amid ongoing attacks
• Border crossing security following January 22 strikes
• Civilian displacement from evacuation warnings

📱 CURRENT SECURITY GUIDANCE

🏠 GUIDANCE FOR RESIDENTS:

HISTORIC DIPLOMATIC OPPORTUNITY: The Oman negotiations involving US, Vatican, Israel and Iran represent unprecedented international engagement potentially creating comprehensive security framework for Lebanon’s future.

CURRENT MIXED ENVIRONMENT:

• Diplomatic Progress: Four-party Oman talks, UN recognition of army control, government coordination
• Recent Escalation: January 22 strikes killing 2, injuring 20, targeting multiple villages and border crossings
• Ongoing Violations: Continued operations despite disarmament claims and ceasefire framework
• Economic Progress: Depositor protection law addressing banking crisis

SAFETY RECOMMENDATIONS:

• Southern Areas: Enhanced caution despite army operational control claims due to continued violations
• Border Regions: Awareness of January 22 crossing strikes affecting cross-border movement
• Vehicle Travel: Continued risk from targeting pattern (Zahrani, Bazuriyeh incidents)
• Evacuation Warnings: Heed Israeli advance notifications despite displacement hardship
• Optimistic Planning: Oman negotiations may create framework for long-term stability

🏢 BUSINESS OPERATIONS GUIDANCE:

BALANCED ENVIRONMENT:

• Diplomatic Opportunities: Oman talks creating potential stability framework for long-term planning
• Economic Support: Depositor protection law enabling some financial recovery
• Continued Risks: Recent January 22-23 strikes demonstrating ongoing operational environment
• Government Stability: Aoun-Berri coordination providing institutional reliability

OPERATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS:

• Monitor Oman negotiation developments for long-term planning frameworks
• Implement banking law provisions for depositor fund recovery
• Maintain security protocols for southern and border area operations
• Plan for potential stability improvements from diplomatic breakthrough

🚗 TRAVEL ADVISORY:

NUANCED ASSESSMENT: Current conditions show both diplomatic progress (Oman negotiations) and continued violations (January 22-23 strikes) requiring careful risk assessment.

TRAVEL CONSIDERATIONS:

• Diplomatic Progress: Four-party talks may herald stability improvements
• Recent Incidents: January 22 multiple strikes and January 23 Baalbek targeting demonstrate risks
• Southern Areas: Army operational control south of Litani vs. continued Israeli operations
• Border Crossings: January 22 strikes on four crossings affecting cross-border travel

📊 CURRENT SITUATION ANALYSIS

Today’s Assessment: Historic Diplomatic Engagement Amid Continued Violations
Oman Negotiations: Unprecedented four-party talks (US, Vatican, Israel, Iran) on Hezbollah
Recent Escalation: January 22 strikes (2 killed, 20 injured, four border crossings)
Disarmament Status: Lebanese claims vs. Israeli assessments creating implementation debate

Critical Analysis: Lebanon experiences historic diplomatic moment with Oman four-party negotiations potentially creating comprehensive security framework. The participation of US, Vatican, Israel, and Iran represents unprecedented international engagement addressing Hezbollah’s role and Lebanon’s security architecture.

President Aoun’s firm condemnation of Israeli “systematic aggression directly targeting civilians” while engaging diplomatic solutions demonstrates balanced governmental approach. His excellent coordination with Parliament Speaker Berri provides domestic institutional strength for implementing complex international arrangements.

The Lebanese army’s announcement of first-phase disarmament completion south of Litani receives UN recognition with UNIFIL calling it “undeniable progress.” However, Israel’s assessment that Hezbollah is “rearming faster than being disarmed” creates implementation challenges requiring continued international monitoring.

Recent January 22 escalation with strikes on multiple villages (al-Kharayeb, al-Ansar, Qanarit, Kfour, Jarjouh), fatal vehicle attacks (Zahrani, Bazuriyeh), and four border crossing strikes demonstrates that violations continue despite disarmament progress, creating ongoing civilian protection concerns.

The cabinet’s depositor protection law (up to $100,000 repayment) addresses banking crisis affecting Lebanese citizens, demonstrating governmental focus on both security and economic recovery challenges.

Diplomatic Significance: The Oman negotiations represent potential breakthrough requiring careful implementation. The Vatican’s participation adds moral authority while US-Israel-Iran trilateral engagement with Lebanese interests creates framework for comprehensive regional security arrangements.

Implementation Challenges: Analysts’ assessment that “Hezbollah will not accept disarmament’s second phase as long as Israel continues attacking Lebanon” highlights core challenge: Lebanese compliance amid Israeli violations creates unsustainable framework requiring diplomatic resolution through mechanisms like Oman negotiations.

🛡️ CIS SECURITY: DIPLOMATIC TRANSITION SECURITY SERVICES

🕊️ HISTORIC DIPLOMATIC OPPORTUNITY SECURITY SUPPORT

Following Oman four-party negotiations and Lebanese army first-phase disarmament completion, CIS Security provides comprehensive protection during this critical diplomatic transition period amid continued violations.

DIPLOMATIC TRANSITION SPECIALIZED SERVICES:

Oman Negotiations Period Security:

• International Coordination Security – Professional protection for diplomatic engagement and implementation
• Government Protection Enhancement – Security for Aoun administration during historic negotiations
• Implementation Monitoring Security – Protection for disarmament verification and compliance operations
• Transition Period Operations – Comprehensive security during potential framework changes

Recent Escalation Response:

• January 22-23 Incident Response – Professional assessment of multiple strikes and targeting patterns
• Civilian Protection Protocols – Enhanced security following recent casualties (2 killed, 20 injured)
• Evacuation Warning Coordination – Professional response to displacement from targeting warnings
• Vehicle Security Enhancement – Alternative transportation following continued vehicle targeting

Banking Recovery Security:

• Depositor Protection Services – Security for banking operations implementing $100,000 repayment law
• Financial Institution Security – Enhanced protection during depositor fund distribution
• Economic Recovery Support – Comprehensive security enabling financial sector recovery
• Cash Transaction Security – Professional protection for large-scale depositor payments

SPECIALIZED DIPLOMATIC PERIOD SERVICES:

Four-Party Framework Security:

• Professional assessment of Oman negotiations implications for Lebanese security
• Security coordination with international partners implementing new frameworks
• Government protection during diplomatic engagement and policy implementation
• International liaison for security arrangements under potential new agreements

Disarmament Implementation Security:

• Professional support for Lebanese army operations south of Litani
• Security coordination with UNIFIL verification and monitoring activities
• Compliance verification protection and documentation security
• Implementation phase security despite continued violation environment

Cultural Resilience Support:

• Security for international events (Elie Saab collections, cultural activities)
• Tourism recovery security as diplomatic progress creates stability prospects
• International visitor protection during transition period
• Economic activity security enabling recovery during diplomatic opportunities

📞 DIPLOMATIC TRANSITION COORDINATION SERVICES

OMAN FRAMEWORK HOTLINE: +961-3-539900
Professional security supporting historic diplomatic engagement and implementation

DISARMAMENT IMPLEMENTATION SECURITY: Protection for Lebanese army operations south of Litani
DEPOSITOR PROTECTION SERVICES: Enhanced security for banking recovery and fund distribution
INTERNATIONAL COORDINATION: Professional liaison during four-party framework implementation

Specialized Transition Centers:

• Diplomatic Security Division: Professional protection for international negotiations and implementation
• Disarmament Support Center: Security coordination with Lebanese army and UNIFIL operations
• Banking Recovery Security: Protection for depositor fund distribution and financial sector recovery
• Cultural Resilience Support: Security enabling international events and tourism recovery

During Lebanon’s historic Oman negotiations (US, Vatican, Israel, Iran) and Lebanese army first-phase disarmament completion, CIS Security’s professional services support diplomatic transition while maintaining protection amid continued violations, enabling governmental implementation of security frameworks and economic recovery initiatives.

⚠️ DIPLOMATIC TRANSITION OPERATIONAL NOTICE

HISTORIC OPPORTUNITY ALERT: Unprecedented Oman negotiations involving US, Vatican, Israel and Iran discussing Hezbollah future represent Lebanon’s most significant diplomatic engagement potentially creating comprehensive security framework.

Transition Period Complexity: Lebanese army first-phase disarmament completion south of Litani receives UN recognition while Israel assesses Hezbollah “rearming faster than disarmed,” requiring continued professional security during implementation debates.

Recent Escalation Context: January 22 strikes (2 killed, 20 injured, multiple villages, four border crossings) and January 23 Baalbek targeting demonstrate continued violations requiring professional protection despite diplomatic progress.

Economic Recovery Support: Cabinet depositor protection law (up to $100,000) enables banking recovery requiring professional security for implementation alongside diplomatic and military transitions.

Professional Commitment: CIS Security provides comprehensive protection during this historic diplomatic opportunity, supporting governmental implementation of international frameworks, disarmament operations, and economic recovery while maintaining civilian protection amid continued violation environment.

🔍 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES – CIS SECURITY LEBANON

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 – “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

During Lebanon’s historic Oman four-party negotiations and Lebanese army disarmament milestone, trust CIS Security’s 35+ years of proven expertise in diplomatic transition security, international coordination, and implementation protection. As Lebanon’s most reviewed security company, we provide comprehensive transition period security including diplomatic engagement protection, disarmament operation support, banking recovery security, and continued violation response. Our trained, uniformed, and licensed security personnel deliver 24/7 protection during historic diplomatic opportunities and complex implementation challenges.

CIS Security Diplomatic Transition Services:

• Oman Framework Security – Professional protection for four-party negotiations implementation and policy coordination
• Disarmament Support – Security coordination with Lebanese army operations south of Litani and UNIFIL verification
• Banking Recovery Protection – Comprehensive security for depositor fund distribution up to $100,000
• Recent Escalation Response – Professional assessment and protection following January 22-23 strikes
• Government Coordination Security – Protection for Aoun-Berri excellent cooperation and policy implementation
• Cultural Resilience Support – Security enabling international events and tourism recovery during transition

Why Choose CIS During Diplomatic Transition: ✓ 35+ Years Transition Experience – Proven security during historic diplomatic periods and framework implementations
✓ International Coordination – Professional liaison with US, Vatican, UN partners during Oman framework development
✓ Disarmament Support – Security coordination with Lebanese army and UNIFIL operations south of Litani
✓ Banking Recovery Expertise – Professional protection for depositor fund distribution and financial sector recovery
✓ Violation Response – Continued protection despite recent strikes demonstrating ongoing operational environment
✓ Government Partnership – Professional support for Aoun administration during historic diplomatic engagement

Diplomatic Transition Security: 📞 Oman Framework Coordination: +961-3-539900
💬 Disarmament Support: Professional security for Lebanese army operations and UNIFIL coordination
🌐 Transition Services: www.cissecurity.net – Comprehensive protection during diplomatic framework implementation
📧 Banking Recovery: Professional security for depositor fund distribution and financial sector recovery

Serving all Lebanese governorates during historic Oman negotiations (US, Vatican, Israel, Iran), Lebanese army disarmament milestone south of Litani, and banking recovery initiatives. CIS Security – Your trusted partner supporting diplomatic breakthrough implementation, governmental security operations, and economic recovery while maintaining comprehensive protection amid continued violation environment during this critical transition period for Lebanon’s future.