CIS Lebanon Security Index July 10 2025

🇱🇧 CIS Lebanon Security Index – July 10, 2025

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY METER READING

METER LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL (90–100): Avoid non-essential travel

• TODAY’S OVERALL READING: 92/100
• TREND: 📈 RISING – Threat levels increasing

CIS Lebanon Security Index July 10 2025

🌡️ REGIONAL SECURITY TEMPERATURE CHECK

CIS Lebanon Security Index July 10 2025 ,Governorate-by-Governorate Breakdown

BEIRUT 🏙️

• Reading: 68/100 🟡
• Status: While no direct incidents occurred, the capital is tense due to the severe escalation in the North and South. The risk of protests or civil unrest remains elevated in response to the deteriorating national security situation.¹
• Key Factor: High national tension and potential for spillover from active conflict zones.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

• Reading: 45/100 🟢
• Status: Conditions remain relatively calm. The governorate continues to host the largest number of internally displaced persons, placing a strain on local resources and infrastructure.
• Key Factor: General stability, but highly susceptible to the country’s overarching security collapse.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

• Reading: 90/100 🔴
• Status: The security situation remains critical following the July 8 Israeli drone strike near Tripoli that killed three people and wounded thirteen.⁴ The attack has expanded the conflict to a new, densely populated front.
• Key Factor: Aftermath of the recent assassination and the establishment of a new, active conflict zone far from the southern border.⁶

AKKAR 🌲

• Reading: 92/100 🔴
• Status: The risk level is critical due to the governorate’s proximity to the Tripoli strike and the porous border with Syria. The July 8 attack validates long-standing intelligence about the presence of extremist elements and high potential for instability.¹
• Key Factor: Extreme latent threat validated by the nearby assassination; high risk from border porosity and armed group presence.⁶

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

• Reading: 80/100 🟠
• Status: No new strikes were reported in the last 24 hours, but the region remains a high-risk zone due to its strategic military importance and the confirmed presence of non-state armed groups.⁶
• Key Factor: High concentration of Hezbollah infrastructure and proximity to the Syrian border.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

• Reading: 84/100 🟠
• Status: High risk persists following Israeli strikes on July 7. The area is a known hub for illicit activities and contains a heavy presence of armed groups, making it highly volatile.¹³
• Key Factor: Recent Israeli military activity and entrenched presence of non-state actors.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

• Reading: 38/100 🟢
• Status: This remains the calmest governorate with no specific security incidents reported. It is considered relatively safe for normal activities.¹⁶
• Key Factor: No direct threats; primary risks are indirect and related to national instability.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

• Reading: 97/100 🔴
• Status: Active and intensifying conflict zone. Today, an Israeli drone strike targeted a motorcycle near Mansouri (Tyre district), killing one person and injuring another.¹⁸ This follows an official Israeli admission on July 9 of ongoing ground incursions into areas like Jabal Blat and Labbouneh.²⁰ Tensions with the local population are rising, evidenced by a clash between residents and a UNIFIL patrol in Aaitit.¹⁹
• Key Factor: Active conflict with targeted killings, admitted ground incursions, and rising civil-military tensions.

NABATIEH ⛪

• Reading: 95/100 🔴
• Status: Active conflict zone. Overnight, an Israeli drone fired two missiles at a cafe in Yohmor al-Shaqif, though no casualties were reported.¹⁹ Israeli forces also dropped incendiary flares over the plains of Khiam and other border villages, aiming to start fires.¹⁹
• Key Factor: Direct and continuous Israeli military operations targeting both infrastructure and personnel.⁴

🎯 TODAY’S SECURITY SNAPSHOT

🔥 HOTSPOTS TO WATCH:

• Location 1: Mansouri (Tyre District): Site of a fatal drone strike on a motorcycle today.¹⁸
• Location 2: Aaitit (Tyre District): Site of a clash between local residents and a UNIFIL patrol, indicating rising ground-level tensions.¹⁹
• Location 3: Jabal Blat / Labbouneh: Areas of confirmed Israeli ground incursions, representing a major escalation and violation of the ceasefire.²¹

✅ SAFE ZONES:

• Area 1: Jbeil & Batroun: Coastal cities north of Beirut remain calm with no reported incidents.
• Area 2: Central Mount Lebanon: Core administrative and residential areas are currently stable.
• Area 3: Achrafieh & Hamra (Beirut): These central neighborhoods remain operational but require heightened situational awareness due to national tensions.

⚠️ AVOID TODAY:

• All areas south of the Litani River: An active and unpredictable war zone with assassinations, ground incursions, and civil-military clashes.
• All of North Lebanon and Akkar Governorates: The security environment is extremely volatile following the recent deadly airstrike.
• The Bekaa Valley: High risk of military activity and presence of armed groups.

📱 SECURITY TIPS FOR TODAY -CIS Lebanon Security Index July 10 2025

🏠 FOR RESIDENTS:

• In the South: The threat is no longer just from the air. With confirmed Israeli ground operations, the risk on the ground is extreme. Minimize all movement. The clash with UNIFIL indicates that interactions with any military force are fraught with danger.¹⁹
• Nationwide: The conflict is geographically widespread and intensifying. Review personal safety and shelter-in-place plans. Do not assume any region is completely safe.
• Property Crime: The severe economic crisis continues to drive opportunistic crime. Secure homes and vehicles, and remain vigilant with personal belongings.¹

🏢 CIS Lebanon Security Index July 10 2025 FOR BUSINESSES:

• Ground Operations Alert: The confirmation of Israeli ground incursions adds a new layer of risk to all operations in the South. All physical assets and personnel are at extreme risk.
• Supply Chain Collapse: Logistics through the North, South, and Bekaa are critically compromised. Activate all contingency plans and expect severe, prolonged disruptions.
• Staff Safety: Immediately halt all travel for staff to North, Akkar, South, Nabatieh, and Bekaa governorates. Reinforce emergency communication protocols.

🚗 CIS Lebanon Security Index July 10 2025 FOR TRAVELERS:

• Do Not Travel: All foreign government advisories recommend against any travel to Lebanon.¹ The situation is volatile and can escalate without warning.
• UNIFIL Incident: The clash between civilians and UNIFIL peacekeepers highlights the extreme risk to any international personnel on the ground, even those with a peacekeeping mandate.¹⁹
• No Safe Corridors: With ground incursions in the south and airstrikes in the far north, no travel routes can be considered safe.

🔮 TOMORROW’S FORECAST – CIS Lebanon Security Index July 10 2025

• Predicted Meter Reading: 94/100
• Forecast Trend: 📈 RISING / ⚡ VOLATILE
• Expected Factors: The security situation is expected to deteriorate further. The primary drivers will be Hezbollah’s response to the ongoing assassinations and the now-public Israeli ground operations. The clash with UNIFIL could also lead to further instability and alter the operational environment for international forces.²³
• Preparation Tip: Prepare for a prolonged period of high-intensity conflict. Ensure you have a minimum of 10 days of essential supplies (food, water, medicine, fuel) and a tested communication plan with family and contacts.¹

📊 WEEKLY SECURITY TRENDS

• This Week’s Average: 87/100
• Change from Last Week: +9 points
• Monthly Trend: Worsening. The security situation is in a state of rapid decline. The conflict has expanded from a contained southern front to include assassinations in the far north and now, officially admitted Israeli ground incursions in the south. This marks a systematic dismantling of the November 2024 ceasefire and a move towards a wider, more unpredictable conflict.²⁰

🛡️ ABOUT THE CIS Lebanon Security Index July 10 2025

The CIS Lebanon Security Index is Lebanon’s first daily, data-driven security assessment. Powered by 35+ years of trusted protection, this tool converts real-time intelligence into a clear, accessible security index.

Based on:

• Verified security incidents
• Military & government alerts
• Regional political factors
• Environmental conditions
• Real-time field intelligence
• Professional threat analysis

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