CIS Lebanon Security Index July 13 2025

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY METER READING

METER LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL (90–100): Avoid non-essential travel

• TODAY’S OVERALL READING: 93/100
• TREND: ⚡ VOLATILE – Rapidly shifting conditions

CIS Lebanon Security Index July 13 2025 -🌡️ REGIONAL SECURITY TEMPERATURE CHECK

Governorate-by-Governorate Breakdown

BEIRUT 🏙️

• Reading: 68/100 🟡
• Status: The capital remains tense following President Joseph Aoun’s definitive statements ruling out normalization with Israel. The Lebanese Army’s warning about Israeli intelligence using mobile apps to recruit collaborators remains a key concern.
• Key Factor: High national political tension and active counter-intelligence warnings.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

• Reading: 45/100 🟢
• Status: Conditions are relatively calm. The Lebanese Army continues internal security operations, arresting seven undocumented Syrian nationals in the Metn district on July 11. The governorate continues to host the largest percentage of internally displaced persons (37%), straining local resources.
• Key Factor: General stability, though impacted by the national security and economic crises.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

• Reading: 91/100 🔴
• Status: The security situation remains critical following the July 8 Israeli drone strike near Tripoli that killed three people and wounded thirteen. The Lebanese Army is conducting ongoing raids, arresting 49 undocumented individuals in the Koura and Batroun districts on July 11.
• Key Factor: Aftermath of the recent assassination and the establishment of a new, active conflict zone far from the southern border.

AKKAR 🌲

• Reading: 93/100 🔴
• Status: The risk level is critical due to the governorate’s proximity to the Tripoli strike and the porous border with Syria. The July 8 attack validates long-standing intelligence about the presence of extremist elements and high potential for instability.
• Key Factor: Extreme latent threat validated by the nearby assassination; high risk from border porosity and armed group presence.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

• Reading: 82/100 🟠
• Status: No new strikes were reported in the last 24 hours, but the region remains a high-risk zone due to its strategic military importance, the confirmed presence of non-state armed groups, and recent Israeli strikes on July 7.
• Key Factor: High concentration of Hezbollah infrastructure and proximity to the Syrian border.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

• Reading: 85/100 🟠
• Status: High risk persists following Israeli strikes on July 7. The area is a known hub for illicit activities and contains a heavy presence of armed groups, making it highly volatile.
• Key Factor: Recent Israeli military activity and entrenched presence of non-state actors.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

• Reading: 38/100 🟢
• Status: This remains the calmest governorate with no specific security incidents reported. It is considered relatively safe for normal activities.
• Key Factor: No direct threats; primary risks are indirect and related to national instability.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

• Reading: 98/100 🔴
• Status: Active and intensifying conflict zone. An Israeli strike on a home in Wata al-Khiam on Saturday, July 12, killed one person. The IDF later confirmed the strike, stating it targeted a member of Hezbollah’s anti-tank missile unit. This follows the fatal drone strike in Mansouri on July 10.
• Key Factor: Ongoing targeted assassinations and active Israeli military operations.

NABATIEH ⛪

• Reading: 97/100 🔴
• Status: Active conflict zone. The fatal Israeli drone strike on a car near al-Numairiya on Friday, July 11, which killed one person and wounded five, remains the most recent major kinetic event in the governorate.
• Key Factor: Direct and continuous Israeli military operations targeting personnel.

🎯 CIS Lebanon Security Index July 13 2025 – TODAY’S SECURITY SNAPSHOT

🔥 HOTSPOTS TO WATCH:

• Location 1: Wata al-Khiam (South Lebanon): Site of a fatal Israeli strike on a home on July 12.
• Location 2: Al-Numairiya (Nabatieh): Site of a fatal drone strike on a car on July 11.
• Location 3: Tripoli Area (North Lebanon): Aftermath of the July 8 strike continues to create high tension and a heavy security presence.

✅ SAFE ZONES:

• Area 1: Jbeil & Batroun: Coastal cities north of Beirut remain calm with no reported incidents.
• Area 2: Central Mount Lebanon: Stable, aside from internal security operations targeting undocumented individuals.
• Area 3: Achrafieh & Hamra (Beirut): These central neighborhoods remain operational but require heightened situational awareness due to national tensions.

⚠️ AVOID TODAY:

• All areas south of the Litani River: An active and unpredictable war zone with assassinations, ground incursions, and civil-military clashes.
• All of North Lebanon and Akkar Governorates: The security environment is extremely volatile following the recent deadly airstrike.
• The Bekaa Valley: High risk of military activity and presence of armed groups.

📱 CIS Lebanon Security Index July 13 2025 – SECURITY TIPS FOR TODAY

🏠 FOR RESIDENTS:

• Nationwide: Be aware of Israeli intelligence efforts to recruit collaborators through suspicious mobile applications. The Lebanese Army has issued a specific warning on this matter.
• In the South: The threat is confirmed to be both air and ground-based. With ongoing Israeli ground operations and targeted killings, the risk is extreme.
• Internal Security: The Lebanese Army is conducting widespread raids and arrests of undocumented individuals across multiple governorates, including North Lebanon and Mount Lebanon. Be prepared for increased checkpoint activity.

🏢 FOR BUSINESSES:

• Ground Operations Alert: The confirmation of Israeli ground incursions adds a new layer of risk to all operations in the South. All physical assets and personnel are at extreme risk.
• Supply Chain Collapse: Logistics through the North, South, and Bekaa are critically compromised. Activate all contingency plans and expect severe, prolonged disruptions.
• Staff Safety: Immediately halt all travel for staff to North, Akkar, South, Nabatieh, and Bekaa governorates. Reinforce emergency communication protocols.

🚗 FOR TRAVELERS:

• Do Not Travel: All foreign government advisories recommend against any travel to Lebanon. The situation is volatile and can escalate without warning.
• UNIFIL Incident: The clash between civilians and UNIFIL peacekeepers on July 10 highlights the extreme risk to any international personnel on the ground, even those with a peacekeeping mandate.
• No Safe Corridors: With ground incursions in the south and airstrikes in the far north, no travel routes can be considered safe.

🔮 CIS Lebanon Security Index July 13 2025 – TOMORROW’S FORECAST

• Predicted Meter Reading: 94/100
• Forecast Trend: ⚡ VOLATILE
• Expected Factors: The security situation remains at a tipping point. The primary drivers will be potential retaliation for the continued Israeli strikes in the South. Political tensions will remain high following President Aoun’s statements on normalization and the US approval of a potential arms sale to the Lebanese Army.
• Preparation Tip: Prepare for a prolonged period of high-intensity conflict. Ensure you have a minimum of 10 days of essential supplies (food, water, medicine, fuel) and a tested communication plan with family and contacts.

📊 WEEKLY SECURITY TRENDS

• This Week’s Average: 91/100
• Change from Last Week: +13 points
• Monthly Trend: Worsening. The security situation is in a state of rapid decline. The conflict has expanded from a contained southern front to include assassinations in the far north and now, officially admitted Israeli ground incursions in the south. This marks a systematic dismantling of the November 2024 ceasefire and a move towards a wider, more unpredictable conflict.

🛡️ ABOUT THE CIS Lebanon Security Index July 13 2025

The CIS Lebanon Security Index is Lebanon’s first daily, data-driven security assessment. Powered by 35+ years of trusted protection, this tool converts real-time intelligence into a clear, accessible security index.

Based on:

• Verified security incidents
• Military & government alerts
• Regional political factors
• Environmental conditions
• Real-time field intelligence
• Professional threat analysis

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