🇱🇧 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX July 31 2025

📊 TODAY’S LEBANON SECURITY INDEX READING

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴 CRITICAL

TODAY’S OVERALL INDEX: 97/100

TREND ANALYSIS: ⚡ VOLATILE

🌡️ GOVERNORATE-BY-GOVERNORATE SECURITY ASSESSMENT

BEIRUT 🏙️

Index Reading: 75/100 🟠

Status: The capital is at the center of a severe diplomatic crisis. The US has issued an ultimatum, stating that envoy Thomas Barrack will not return for negotiations until the Lebanese cabinet passes a formal decision committing to disarm Hezbollah. This has led to fears that a failure to comply could trigger escalated Israeli strikes, potentially including on Beirut. President Aoun addressed the nation on Army Day, reiterating calls for a state monopoly on weapons, while Hezbollah’s leadership has rejected any demands for disarmament as “serving Israel”. The southern suburbs remain high-risk “no-go” zones.

Key Factor: High-stakes diplomatic standoff and the explicit threat of wider military escalation.

MOUNT LEBANON 🏞️

Index Reading: 45/100 🟢

Status: While remaining the calmest governorate in terms of direct kinetic activity, the security situation is tense due to the national crisis. The major Israeli strikes in the nearby Bekaa Valley demonstrate that no region is immune from attack.1 The area remains under frequent aerial surveillance by Israeli reconnaissance aircraft.

Key Factor: Localized calm is entirely contingent on the fragile national security situation.

NORTH LEBANON 🌊

Index Reading: 88/100 🟠

Status: High. The city of Tripoli is considered an active operational theater following recent Israeli strikes targeting Hamas personnel in the area. Deep socio-economic distress and sectarian fault lines create a fertile ground for violent civil unrest, with a significant risk of spillover from the conflict in Syria.2 Foreign governments advise against all travel to the city.

Key Factor: Active conflict risk combined with a high potential for large-scale civil unrest.

AKKAR 🌲

Index Reading: 92/100 🔴

Status: Critical. The security situation is extremely volatile due to the porous and unstable border with Syria. The Lebanese Army is conducting ongoing security raids in the governorate. Active smuggling networks continue to operate, creating a direct and immediate risk of cross-border conflict.

Key Factor: Extreme threat from a porous and actively contested border with Syria.

BEQAA VALLEY 🍇

Index Reading: 95/100 🔴

Status: Critical. On July 31, Israel launched a massive series of air raids targeting towns in the Bekaa Valley, including the outskirts of Brital and Nasiriyah.1 The Israeli Defence Minister stated the attack targeted “the largest site for the production of precision missiles belonging to Hezbollah in Lebanon”. The region is a high-probability target for further military action.

Key Factor: Active and significant Israeli military operations targeting strategic weapons infrastructure.

BAALBEK-HERMEL 🕌

Index Reading: 98/100 🔴

Status: Critical. This is a primary conflict zone. The governorate was targeted in the widespread Israeli air raids on July 31, specifically in the Brital Heights and the surroundings of Nabi Sreij.1 The risk of further mass-casualty airstrikes, similar to the deadly July 15 event, remains exceptionally high.

Key Factor: Assessed as a primary active conflict zone with a high risk of major military strikes.

KESERWAN-JBEIL 🏛️

Index Reading: 35/100 🟢

Status: Remains the calmest governorate with minimal local security threats beyond petty crime and traffic associated with tourism.4 However, this local stability is highly deceptive. The entire country is under a “Do Not Travel” advisory from multiple foreign governments due to the risk of a sudden, country-wide conflict escalation.

Key Factor: Localized calm that is entirely dependent on the fragile national security situation.

SOUTH LEBANON 🌴

Index Reading: 99/100 🔴

Status: Critical. An active war zone. On July 31, Israeli strikes targeted the Ghaziyeh area and the vicinity of Jarmak in Jezzine district.1 The Lebanese Army’s Intelligence Directorate recently arrested a multi-national terrorist cell in Sidon, adding an internal threat layer to the external conflict.

Key Factor: Active and ongoing Israeli military operations compounded by internal terrorist threats.

NABATIEH ⛪

Index Reading: 99/100 🔴

Status: Critical. An active war zone with ongoing kinetic activity. On July 28, an Israeli drone strike on a motorcycle in Bint Jbeil killed one person and injured four others. The entire governorate is a primary theater for Israeli military operations.

Key Factor: Strategic importance for non-state actors makes it a central front for ongoing hostilities and targeted assassinations.

🎯 TODAY’S SECURITY INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

🔥 HIGH-RISK AREAS TO MONITOR:

• Location 1: The Bekaa Valley and Baalbek-Hermel, particularly the outskirts of Brital and Nasiriyah, following major Israeli strikes on July 31.¹
• Location 2: The entire southern border region, including Nabatieh and South Lebanon, due to daily kinetic activity.
• Location 3: The Lebanese-Syrian border in Akkar, due to active smuggling and ongoing security force operations.
• Location 4: The city of Sidon (South Lebanon), following the arrest of a multi-national terrorist cell.

✅ RELATIVELY LOWER-RISK ZONES (WITH EXTREME CAUTION):

• Area 1: The Jbeil (Byblos) and Batroun coastal cities. Caveat: Stability is not guaranteed in a nationwide escalation.
• Area 2: The Metn district’s primary residential and commercial zones. Caveat: Subject to risks from a nationwide escalation and ongoing aerial surveillance.
• Area 3: Beirut Central District. Caveat: Avoid all demonstrations and maintain high awareness of opportunistic crime.

⚠️ AVOID TODAY:

• DO NOT TRAVEL TO LEBANON. The security situation is extremely volatile. The collapse of diplomatic talks and widespread Israeli strikes on July 31 indicate a high risk of further escalation. Beirut’s airport could close at any time.
• All travel to South Lebanon, Nabatieh, Baalbek-Hermel, Beqaa, Akkar, and Tripoli governorates.
• Any non-essential movement. The July 31 strikes deep into the Bekaa Valley demonstrate that Israeli air operations can occur anywhere in the country, at any time.¹

📱 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY GUIDANCE

🏠 FOR RESIDENTS:

• The risk of a major escalation is extremely high due to the breakdown of US-mediated talks and the major Israeli strikes on July 31. Prepare for a rapid deterioration of the security situation.
• Maintain emergency supplies (food, water, medicine) and a “go-bag” with essential documents.
• Know the location of the nearest shelter and have a shelter-in-place plan. Verify information from official sources before sharing.

🏢 FOR BUSINESSES:

• Immediately suspend all operations and staff travel to the Baalbek-Hermel, Beqaa, South Lebanon, and Nabatieh governorates.
• Review and test emergency plans for evacuation and sheltering in place. Establish clear communication protocols and alert systems for all staff.
• Anticipate severe supply chain disruptions, particularly for goods transiting the Beqaa Valley and the Syrian border.

🚗 FOR TRAVELERS:

• DO NOT TRAVEL TO LEBANON. Multiple governments, including the US, UK, Canada, and Australia, advise their citizens not to travel to Lebanon and have stated that their ability to provide consular assistance or evacuation is extremely limited. Commercial flights may be cancelled and the airport could close without notice.

🔮 24-HOUR SECURITY FORECAST

• Predicted Index Reading: 96/100
• Forecast Trend: ⚡ VOLATILE
• Expected Factors: The collapse of US-mediated talks and Washington’s ultimatum have created a dangerous political vacuum. The risk of further Israeli military escalation is now extremely high. A critical cabinet session to discuss the disarmament issue is expected on August 5.
• Preparation Recommendation: All residents and organizations must maintain a maximum state of alert and prepare for a potential, rapid escalation to a wider conflict.

📊 WEEKLY SECURITY ANALYSIS

• This Week’s Average: 80/100
• Change from Last Week: +18 points
• Monthly Trend: Rapidly Deteriorating
• Seasonal Assessment: The security environment is dictated by the active, low-intensity conflict and a high-stakes diplomatic standoff. The November 2024 ceasefire is effectively non-existent on the ground, with near-daily Israeli strikes and a persistent state of war across multiple fronts.

🛡️ ABOUT THE CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX™

The CIS Lebanon Security Index™ represents Lebanon’s first professional daily security assessment tool. Powered by CIS Security’s 35+ years of trusted protection services, this intelligence platform converts real-time security data into clear, actionable guidance for residents, businesses, and organizations.

Intelligence Sources:

• Verified security incidents and threat reports
• Military and government security alerts
• Regional political and security developments
• Environmental and weather-related security factors
• Real-time field intelligence from CIS operations
• Professional threat analysis and assessment

📞 PROFESSIONAL SECURITY SERVICES

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🚨 ESSENTIAL LEBANON EMERGENCY CONTACTS

Government Emergency Services:

• 🚑 Lebanese Red Cross: 140 ⁶
• 🚓 Internal Security Forces (Police): 112 ⁶
• 🔥 Civil Defense (Fire/Rescue): 125 or 175 ⁷
• 🏥 Emergency Medical Services: 140 ⁶
• ⚡ Electricité du Liban (EDL): 1707
• 💧 Water Emergency: 1594
• 🛣️ Traffic Control: 1717Military & Security:
• 🪖 Lebanese Armed Forces: 1701
• 🛡️ General Security: 1717
• 🔒 State Security: 1717
• 🌊 Maritime Security: 1625Specialized Services:
• ☎️ Telecom Emergency: 110
• 🏦 Banking Emergency: 1702
• 🆘 General Emergency: 999
• 📞 Directory Assistance: 120

🔗 STAY INFORMED

• 📊 Daily Index: 8:00 AM Lebanon Time on Instagram
• 📰 Professional Intelligence: cissecurity.pro
• 💬 Private Consultations: DM for confidential security assessments
• 🔔 Emergency Alerts: Real-time security notifications

🛡️ CIS SECURITY: LEBANON’S PREMIER SECURITY AUTHORITY

Since 1990, CIS Security has established itself as Lebanon’s most trusted and comprehensive security service provider, delivering unparalleled protection across all nine governorates with a proven track record that spans over three decades. Our professional security guards represent the gold standard in Lebanese security services, meticulously trained, uniformed, and licensed to handle every security challenge from residential building protection to high-stakes diplomatic missions. What sets CIS Security apart is our deep understanding of Lebanon’s unique security landscape, cultural nuances, and the specific threats that face our communities daily.

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The CIS Lebanon Security Index™ represents just one facet of our comprehensive security ecosystem, demonstrating our commitment to community safety through intelligence sharing and threat awareness. Our security guards are not merely personnel; they are highly skilled professionals who serve as the first line of defense for businesses, residential communities, and high-profile individuals across Lebanon. From the bustling streets of Beirut to the strategic border regions of South Lebanon and Nabatieh, our guards maintain constant vigilance, providing both visible deterrence and discreet protection services tailored to each client’s specific needs.

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The CIS Lebanon Security Index™ is a proprietary intelligence tool developed by CIS Security, Lebanon’s most trusted security service provider since 1990. This index serves as a public service while demonstrating our commitment to community safety and professional security excellence.