CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX – March 26 2026

Thursday, March 26, 2026

⛔ ACTIVE WAR — DAY 27 OF OPERATION EPIC FURY

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴🔴 CATASTROPHIC OVERALL INDEX: 99/100 TREND: ⬆️ MAXIMUM — GROUND WAR EXPANDING; DIPLOMACY RACING AGAINST BOMBS

⛔ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY — MARCH 26, 2026

TODAY’S FIVE DEFINING FACTS:

1. IDF Sgt. Aviaad Volansky killed in south Lebanon today — confirmed by IDF, 4 other soldiers wounded — as Golani Brigade ground combat operations intensify
2. Trump delays Iran power plant deadline to April 6 — announced today on Truth Social — citing “Iranian Government request” amid Pakistan-mediated indirect talks via 15-point US peace plan vs. Iran’s 5-point counter
3. Lebanon has expelled Iran’s ambassador — declared Persona Non Grata on March 24 — the most dramatic Lebanese state action against Iran since the Islamic Revolution; 150+ Iranian nationals including diplomats have left Lebanon
4. Iran fires 7 missile salvos at Israel today — Kafr Qasim, Ganei Tikva, Tel Aviv all struck or impacted; 9 injured; many with cluster warheads
5. US “Operation Epic Fury” declared entering its “final phase” by House Speaker Mike Johnson — but Iran has rejected the US 15-point plan and filed counterproposal; IDF Chief says war “continuing with full force”

LEBANON-SPECIFIC TODAY:

• 1,094+ killed since March 2 (as of March 25 MoPH — rising today)
• 1.2 million displaced (22% of Lebanon’s entire population — new NPR figure)
• IDF Golani Brigade confirmed operating in south Lebanon today (IDF handout photo published)
• Hezbollah anti-tank commander Hassan Mohammad Bashir killed overnight in Hajir area
• Hezbollah launched more than 80 attacks on Wednesday — largest single daily total of the war
• Netanyahu declares Israel expanding buffer zone; Finance Minister Smotrich says Litani should be “new border”
• ISRAEL REPORTEDLY PLANS TO MOVE ITS BORDER TO TYRE’S OUTSKIRTS — Naharnet report (March 25)
• Lebanese government “stuck between Israel and Hezbollah in a war it didn’t want”
• Hezbollah Qassem urges government to reverse decisions; says talks under fire are “surrender”
• Lebanese media banned from calling Hezbollah “the resistance” — Information Minister’s order
• Chatham House: “Any Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon will work to Hezbollah’s advantage”

📅 KEY EVENTS: MARCH 21 → MARCH 26

🚨 BREAKING DEVELOPMENTS — THURSDAY MARCH 26, 2026

🔴 #1 — SGT. AVIAAD VOLANSKY KILLED IN SOUTH LEBANON TODAY; 4 SOLDIERS WOUNDED

[Times of Israel liveblog — published today, 3:01 AM; confirmed multiple sources]

The IDF has confirmed that Sergeant Aviaad Volansky was killed in combat in south Lebanon today, with four other soldiers wounded in the same engagement. The IDF’s Golani Brigade is confirmed operating in south Lebanon today — with an official IDF handout photograph of Golani Brigade troops in south Lebanon published this morning (March 26). This brings confirmed IDF fatalities in Lebanon to at least 3 soldiers killed in the ground operation since March 16, with dozens more wounded. Hezbollah has claimed more than 80 attacks in a single day (Wednesday) — the largest single-day operational total of the war — including attacks on Israeli forces in nine border communities and the targeting of Merkava tanks with anti-tank missiles.

🔴 #2 — TRUMP DELAYS IRAN POWER PLANT STRIKE DEADLINE TO APRIL 6 — ANNOUNCED TODAY

[NPR — published 20 minutes ago; Times of Israel — today; CBS News — confirmed]

President Trump posted on Truth Social today: “As per Iranian Government request, please let this statement serve to represent that I am pausing the period of Energy Plant destruction by 10 Days to Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 P.M., Eastern Time.” This is the second extension of the power plant ultimatum. The first was Monday (March 23, delaying 5 days to Friday March 28). Today’s extension pushes the deadline to April 6.

The diplomatic context: Pakistan is facilitating indirect US-Iran talks. US envoy Steve Witkoff presented a 15-point peace plan to Iran via Pakistan. Iran has formally rejected the US plan and filed a 5-point counterproposal demanding: (1) war reparations, (2) rights over the Strait of Hormuz, (3) lifting all economic sanctions, (4) legally binding international guarantees against US interference, and (5) an immediate ceasefire. Iran state TV confirms the counterproposal was submitted. Pakistan FM confirms the 15 points are “being deliberated upon.”

House Speaker Mike Johnson declared Wednesday that Operation Epic Fury is “almost done” and “wrapping up” — but Iran is still firing missiles at Israel and has not agreed to any terms. Trump said today: “I don’t know if we’ll be able to make a deal.”

🔴 #3 — IRAN FIRES 7 MISSILE SALVOS AT ISRAEL TODAY — TEL AVIV, KAFR QASIM, GANEI TIKVA, JERUSALEM

[Times of Israel liveblog — published today; AFP confirmed]

Iran launched seven missile salvos at Israel today — one of the most intense single-day barrages since the war began. Confirmed impact sites:

• Kafr Qasim — Iranian missile impact, security and rescue forces inspecting site (AFP photo confirmed March 26)
• Ganei Tikva — Iranian missile impact (AFP photo confirmed March 26)
• Tel Aviv — Home Front Command staff at Iranian missile impact site (AFP photo, March 26)
• Jerusalem — People taking cover in bomb shelters during Iranian ballistic missile attack (AFP photo, March 26)
• Nahariya (north Israel) — Hezbollah rocket attack kills 1 civilian, injures 3 (Magen David Adom confirmed)

Total injured in today’s barrages: 9 reported by Israeli emergency services so far. Many of the missiles carried cluster warheads — weapons that scatter submunitions over a wide area, creating a persistent unexploded ordnance hazard.

Iran’s senior military adviser Mohsen Rezaei: “The war will continue until Iran receives full compensation for damage. All economic sanctions must be lifted, and legally binding international guarantees obtained to prevent US interference.” He also claimed the war was effectively over more than a week ago and that the US was ready to stop, but Netanyahu “pushed to continue.”

🔴 #4 — LEBANON EXPELLED IRAN’S AMBASSADOR MARCH 24 — HISTORIC STATE ACTION

[Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War — confirmed; Al Jazeera confirmed]

In the most decisive Lebanese state action against Iran since the Islamic Revolution, the Lebanese government on March 24 declared Iranian Ambassador Mohammad Reza Raouf Sheibani Persona Non Grata and formally expelled him. The stated reason: “Iran continuing interference in Lebanon’s internal affairs.” Following the expulsion:

• 150+ Iranian nationals have left Lebanon, including diplomats
• President Aoun stated: “The state is the only one that can protect its citizens. No one expected the country to again become the arena for the wars of others”
• Information Minister Paul Morkos ordered all Lebanese media (TV, radio, national news agency) to stop calling Hezbollah “the resistance” — a major symbolic de-legitimisation of Hezbollah’s narrative
• PM Salam told Al-Hadath TV (March 22): “Iranian IRGC is directing Hezbollah in its war on Israel. This war was imposed on Lebanon. These were the Revolutionary Guards, who are present and, unfortunately, managing military operations in Lebanon — these people have fake passports and entered the country illegally”

Hezbollah condemned the government’s decisions as “aggressive measures against the Lebanese who reject the occupation.”

🔴 #5 — HEZBOLLAH ANTI-TANK COMMANDER HASSAN MOHAMMAD BASHIR KILLED OVERNIGHT

[Times of Israel — confirmed today]

The IDF confirmed that Hassan Mohammad Bashir, a senior Hezbollah commander in the group’s anti-tank missile unit, was killed in an IAF strike in the Hajir area overnight. The IDF stated: “Bashir had commanded and advanced hundreds of anti-tank missile attacks against Israeli troops and civilians in the past two years.” In recent months, he had been working with Hezbollah’s anti-tank forces north of the Litani River, involved in training operatives for operations in Phase 2 territory.

His death is particularly significant given Hezbollah’s most effective tactic against Israel’s ground forces — anti-tank missile attacks destroying Merkava tanks. Eliminating the commander of this capability while he was actively training forces north of the Litani directly degrades Hezbollah’s ability to resist the expanding ground operation.

🔴 #6 — 1,094+ KILLED; 3,119 WOUNDED; 1.2 MILLION DISPLACED — CONFIRMED FIGURES

[Lebanese MoPH March 25 / NPR March 26 / Naharnet — all confirmed]

The Lebanese Ministry of Public Health confirmed on March 25 that 1,094 people have been killed since March 2 — including 121 children and 81 women. 3,119 people have been wounded. NPR’s updated figure published today (March 26) states more than 1.2 million people have been forced out of their homes in Lebanon — in a country of fewer than 6 million people. This represents 22% of Lebanon’s entire population displaced. The daily rate of killing has been approximately 45 people per day throughout the war. The IDF claims “at least 700” of those killed were Hezbollah members — a figure analysts contest given the scope of plainly civilian targeting (gas stations, bridges, homes, churches, hospitals).

🔴 #7 — ISRAEL REPORTEDLY PLANNING TO MOVE BORDER TO TYRE’S OUTSKIRTS

[Naharnet — March 25; Finance Minister Smotrich — confirmed]

Israel is reportedly planning to move its effective border to the outskirts of Tyre — Lebanon’s third-largest city, population approximately 200,000. This is confirmed through two separate intelligence threads:

1. Naharnet’s direct report (March 25): “Israel plans to move its border to Tyre’s outskirts”
2. Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, speaking to Israeli radio: stated the Litani River “should be the new border with Israel” — the clearest statement yet of Israeli territorial intent — and confirmed to NPR that these are “the latest developments as Israel steps up its attacks”

Netanyahu has confirmed Israel is creating an “expanded buffer zone” pushing Hezbollah anti-tank missiles further from northern Israeli communities. The IDF has taken control of a strip up to the Litani River — approximately 20 miles inside Lebanon — and is pushing further.

Chatham House analysis (published today, March 26): “Any Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon will work to Hezbollah’s advantage” — warning that prolonged Israeli occupation mirrors the 18-year occupation (1982-2000) that created and empowered Hezbollah in the first place. “The Lebanese government has failed to effectively confront Hezbollah. But a prolonged Israeli incursion will only reenergize the group.”

🔴 #8 — HEZBOLLAH QASSEM: TALKS UNDER FIRE ARE “SURRENDER”; 80+ ATTACKS WEDNESDAY

[Al Jazeera — March 25; confirmed]

Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem stated Wednesday that “negotiating with Israel under fire amounts to imposing surrender on Lebanon” and urged the government to reverse its ban on Hezbollah’s military activities. Qassem’s statement directly contradicts the Lebanese government’s position and represents Hezbollah’s continued defiance of state authority during the war.

Separately, the IDF confirmed Hezbollah launched more than 80 attacks on Wednesday — the largest single daily number in the current war — including attacks on Israeli forces in nine border communities. Rocket trajectories from Lebanon toward Israel were photographed by AFP from Tyre on March 25.

🔴 #9 — SPAIN PM: ISRAEL WILL INFLICT “SAME DESTRUCTION AS IN GAZA” ON LEBANON

[Al Jazeera — March 25, confirmed]

Spain’s Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez stated publicly that Israel is going to inflict “the same destruction as in Gaza” on Lebanon — one of the most direct European condemnations of Israel’s Lebanon campaign from a sitting head of government. Sanchez has been among the few European leaders to consistently condemn Israeli military operations. His statement reflects a growing European alarm at Israeli officials’ repeated “do what we did in Gaza” language — confirmed by multiple senior Israeli officials and the Finance Minister’s Litani river border statement.

🔴 #10 — QADR-110 MISSILE EXPLODES OVER KESERWAN (MARCH 22) — CHRISTIAN AREA NORTH OF BEIRUT

[CBS News / AFP / Lebanese Army — confirmed March 22]

On March 22, a Qadr-110 Iranian intermediate-range ballistic missile — capable of striking any target in the Middle East — exploded over the Keserwan district north of Beirut, scattering fragments across multiple Christian villages far from any conflict zone. Lebanese military statement: “The missile burst at high altitude — it was either a technical malfunction or was hit by an interceptor in the Mediterranean.” Hezbollah stated the missile was “headed toward Cyprus” (to target British military bases there, consistent with March 11 drone attack). The fragments caused no deaths but widespread alarm — demonstrating that no part of Lebanon is physically safe from the trajectory of missiles fired by Hezbollah or by Iran.

🔴 #11 — US OPERATION “EPIC FURY” STATUS: IRAN DEGRADED BUT STILL FIGHTING

[CBS News / List25 Day 26 Analysis / NPR — all confirmed]

Day 27 of Operation Epic Fury. Key confirmed status assessments from US and Israeli military sources:

• 330 of Iran’s estimated 470 ballistic missile launchers destroyed or rendered inaccessible (70% degraded)
• Two-thirds of Iran’s arms manufacturing facilities destroyed (CENTCOM Admiral Cooper, March 24)
• 8,000+ military targets struck in Iran since February 28
• 130 Iranian naval vessels destroyed
• Two Iranian nuclear scientists killed by Israel (Netanyahu confirmed)
• Iran’s missile launch rate: “on steady decline” per Cooper — but 7 salvos fired today against Israel
• Strait of Hormuz: “Physically open” per Cooper (Monday) — but ships staying away due to Iranian threat
• Strait of Hormuz daily supply deficit: ~15 million barrels, triggering global fuel rationing

Iran’s position: Senior military adviser Rezaei says war will continue until full compensation received. Iran claims it can “sustain missile fire for weeks.” Iran death toll: 1,500+ (Iranian Health Ministry confirmed via PBS). Iran has 18,000+ wounded.

🔴 #12 — HOUTHIS THREATEN TO JOIN WAR; USS GERALD R. FORD WITHDRAWN FOR REPAIRS

[Times of Israel — today; CNN Day 24 — confirmed]

Yemen’s Houthi rebels have repeated their support for Iran and threatened to join the war — “any decision to join will be made independently and not dictated by Tehran.” Three Houthi officials told AP the group is “historically and religiously connected with Iran.” Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping during the Israel-Hamas war upended $1 trillion in annual trade. A renewed Houthi campaign could completely sever remaining Red Sea and Gulf of Aden commercial traffic. Meanwhile the USS Gerald R. Ford — one of two US aircraft carriers in the operation — has withdrawn to Greece for maintenance and repairs after a non-combat fire in the ship’s laundry room. The USS Abraham Lincoln remains operational in the region.

🔴 #13 — WEST BANK: ISRAEL REDEPLOYING A BATTALION FROM LEBANON BORDER — SETTLER VIOLENCE SURGE

[CNN Day 24 — confirmed]

Israel is diverting a combat battalion from its northern Lebanon border to the occupied West Bank amid a wartime surge in settler violence against Palestinians — an average of 10 settler attacks per day on Palestinians since the beginning of March. IDF Chief of Staff Zamir condemned settler violence. This redeployment is a remarkable decision given that Israel is simultaneously expanding ground operations in south Lebanon — reflecting the extent to which Israeli military resources are being stretched across multiple active fronts (Iran, Lebanon, West Bank, potential Houthi).

🌡️ GOVERNORATE SECURITY INDEX — MARCH 26, 2026

🏙️ BEIRUT

Index: 97/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: War-Level Sustained

Beirut is operating under four simultaneous pressure layers today. Politically, the Lebanese government has taken its most dramatic action of the war — expelling Iran’s ambassador, banning the word “resistance” from media, and PM Salam publicly stating IRGC officers are directing Hezbollah with fake passports. Diplomatically, the April 6 Trump deadline extension represents the first real pause in escalatory pressure since the war began — but Iran has rejected the US 15-point plan and filed counter-conditions. Militarily, Dahiyeh continues to absorb strikes. Socially, 1.2 million displaced are stretching the capital’s resources to the absolute limit.

The Qadr-110 missile fragments over Keserwan (March 22) demonstrated that no part of Lebanon — including Christian communities far from the conflict — is safe from debris of missiles fired toward Cyprus. Sectarian cracks documented by CNN are widening as displaced Shi’ite populations struggle to find housing with landlords screening tenants.

The diplomatic track — Pakistan-mediated US-Iran indirect talks, Iran’s 5-point counterproposal, Trump’s April 6 deadline — is the most promising ceasefire pathway yet, but Iran has rejected the US plan and its counter-conditions are far from US acceptance. The Lebanon front will not pause while the Iran diplomatic track plays out.

🏞️ MOUNT LEBANON

Index: 87/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated — Missile Fragment Risk Added

Mount Lebanon is the primary displacement reception zone and is now also under confirmed Iranian missile debris risk following the Keserwan Qadr-110 incident. The Keserwan district — part of Mount Lebanon — received missile fragments from a malfunctioning Iranian IRBM on March 22. Collective shelters remain overwhelmed. The information that Israel is planning to push its effective border to Tyre’s outskirts will produce a new wave of displacement pressure from Tyre-area families northward through this governorate.

🌊 NORTH LEBANON & TRIPOLI

Index: 83/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated

North Lebanon continues to receive displaced people. Tripoli is at its infrastructure maximum. The 1.2 million displacement figure means approximately one in five Lebanese has left their home — the majority passing through or ending up in Tripoli and north Lebanon communities. NGO distribution continues but is far below required scale.

🌲 AKKAR

Index: 85/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated

Syrian border crossing continues as the primary humanitarian exit valve. The 125,000+ who have crossed from Lebanon into Syria — 93% Syrian returnees, 7% Lebanese — largely used Akkar-adjacent border crossings. Lebanese Army border operations continue. The Houthi threat to enter the war adds a potential new regional dimension that could affect shipping through the Mediterranean and Red Sea, with downstream supply chain impacts on Lebanon’s import-dependent economy.

🍇 BEQAA VALLEY

Index: 97/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: Maximum Danger — Ground Approach Confirmed

The Bekaa Valley remains at maximum danger. The IDF’s explicit strategy of cutting Hezbollah’s Bekaa supply lines from the south — with ground forces advancing from Khiam toward the Bekaa corridor — makes this the next primary theatre of ground operations. The killing of Hezbollah anti-tank commander Bashir north of the Litani overnight demonstrates that IDF targeting has already extended into the Bekaa-adjacent zone.

The Bekaa’s population is receiving threatening phone calls. The Iran diplomatic track — if successful — could pause Bekaa operations, but the April 6 deadline is 11 days away, and Iran has rejected the US plan. In the meantime, the Bekaa is an active and expanding IDF operational zone.

DO NOT REMAIN IN BEKAA VALLEY. LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF YOU HAVE RECEIVED THREATENING CALLS.

🕌 BAALBEK-HERMEL

Index: 98/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: Maximum — Active Strikes and Ground Approach

Baalbek-Hermel is the most intensely targeted non-southern governorate. The Hermel corridor to Syria — Hezbollah’s primary overland supply route from Iran — is now fully interdicted. With 330/470 of Iran’s ballistic missile launchers destroyed, Iran’s ability to resupply Hezbollah is dramatically reduced. The governorate is in the IDF’s direct operational sights as the next phase of ground operations targeting Hezbollah’s Bekaa infrastructure.

DO NOT BE IN BAALBEK-HERMEL. THIS IS AN ACTIVE WAR ZONE.

🏛️ KESERWAN-JBEIL

Index: 82/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated — NEW: Missile Fragment Risk Confirmed

The Qadr-110 missile fragments over Keserwan on March 22 established a new risk category for this governorate: Iranian IRBM debris. The Lebanese Army confirmed no interceptor platforms exist in Lebanese territory — meaning any Iranian missile fired from Lebanon toward Cyprus or Israel that malfunctions or is intercepted can drop debris anywhere in Lebanon. This is an uncontrolled and unpredictable threat that requires all Keserwan-Jbeil residents to be aware of bomb shelter locations and to follow civil defence guidance for ballistic missile alerts.

🌴 SOUTH LEBANON

Index: 99/100 🔴🔴 | Status: ACTIVE GROUND WAR — GOLANI BRIGADE CONFIRMED TODAY

South Lebanon is a full active war zone with IDF Golani Brigade confirmed operating today. An IDF soldier killed (Sgt. Volansky) and four others wounded in today’s combat. Zibbikin airstrike photographed by AP/Hussein Malla today with smoke visible from Tyre. Hezbollah claiming Merkava tank destructions and 80+ attacks daily. Hezbollah’s anti-tank commander Bashir eliminated overnight.

Israel reportedly planning to move its effective border to Tyre’s outskirts. Finance Minister Smotrich says the Litani should be the “new border.” Netanyahu confirms expanding “buffer zone.” The IDF has already destroyed all Litani River bridges — severing south Lebanon from the rest of the country. Ground forces hold territory up to the Litani.

1,094+ killed, 3,119 wounded, 1.2 million displaced from Lebanon — 22% of the entire country. There is no safe location in South Lebanon.

⛪ NABATIEH

Index: 99/100 🔴🔴 | Status: Active Ground Combat — IDF Targeting Expanded North of Litani

Nabatieh remains under the most intense ground combat of any Lebanese governorate. All three districts — Bint Jbeil, Marjayoun, Nabatieh — are active IDF operational zones. The killing of Bashir north of the Litani signals IDF targeting is expanding beyond the south toward Nabatieh’s northern fringe. Evacuation orders for Nabatieh city (35,000+) remain in force. The 80+ Hezbollah attacks in a single day — many from within Nabatieh — demonstrate the group’s continued operational intensity despite command degradation.

The entirety of Nabatieh Governorate is an active combined-arms war zone. No civilian presence is safe.

📊 LEBANON WAR DASHBOARD — MARCH 26, 2026

🎯 CRITICAL INTELLIGENCE BRIEF — MARCH 26, 2026

⚠️ THREE DEFINING QUESTIONS FOR THE NEXT 11 DAYS (TO APRIL 6):

1. WILL IRAN AND THE US REACH A DEAL BEFORE APRIL 6? Iran rejected the US 15-point plan and filed a 5-point counter including war reparations and Hormuz rights — positions far from US acceptance. Pakistan is mediating. Trump says “I don’t know if we can make a deal.” Iran’s adviser says war continues until full compensation. Assessment: No deal before April 6 is highly probable. Trump will face the choice of following through on the power plant threat (escalation) or extending again (credibility loss).

2. WILL ISRAEL PUSH GROUND FORCES TO TYRE? Finance Minister Smotrich says the Litani should be the new border. Naharnet reports Israel is planning to move to Tyre’s outskirts. Netanyahu confirms buffer zone expanding. Chatham House warns this mirrors the 1982-2000 occupation that created Hezbollah. Assessment: Ground advance toward Tyre is the next operational phase. Timeline: days to weeks.

3. WILL HEZBOLLAH’S BASE CONTINUE TO FRACTURE? Washington Post and CNN have documented Hezbollah’s Shi’ite base blaming the group. Qassem is urging the government to reverse its decisions — a sign of Hezbollah’s awareness of political vulnerability. The expulsion of Iran’s ambassador and the media ban on “resistance” are state actions targeting Hezbollah’s legitimacy narrative. Assessment: Hezbollah’s domestic political position is deteriorating. However, a prolonged Israeli occupation — per Chatham House — may reverse this trend and re-legitimise Hezbollah’s resistance narrative.

📱 EMERGENCY GUIDANCE — MARCH 26, 2026

🚨 TODAY’S IMMEDIATE SAFETY PRIORITIES:

SOUTH LEBANON: IDF Golani Brigade active. Sgt. Volansky killed today. Do not enter. Do not attempt return. All bridges over the Litani destroyed. If you are south of the Zahrani River and have not left: leave now via whatever route remains available. Contact Civil Defence (125) immediately.

BEKAA VALLEY / BAALBEK-HERMEL: Ground advance toward Bekaa corridor is the next confirmed IDF operational phase. Hezbollah anti-tank commander killed north of Litani overnight. Leave immediately. Move northwest toward Zahle, then north.

NABATIEH CITY: Evacuation order remains active. 80+ Hezbollah attacks launched from within this governorate Wednesday. IDF response will continue at maximum intensity.

KESERWAN AND ALL OF LEBANON: Qadr-110 IRBM fragments scattered across Keserwan on March 22. Know your nearest bomb shelter. When air raid sirens sound anywhere in Lebanon — including areas far from the conflict — take shelter immediately. Iranian missiles fired toward Cyprus or Israel can malfunction and fall anywhere.

BEIRUT: Monitor Dahiyeh for strikes. Raouche, Aicha Bakkar, Bashoura, Zuqaq al-Blat — all previously struck. IDF precision targeting continues. If hosting any IRGC-linked persons in your building: contact authorities. The 150+ Iranian nationals who have left Lebanon included IRGC personnel — those who remain are targets.

AMERICAN CITIZENS: US Embassy emergency alerts remain active. MEA flights from Rafic Hariri Airport. Call +1-202-501-4444.

🚗 MARCH 26 TRAVEL STATUS

🛡️ CIS SECURITY — MAXIMUM WAR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 | “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional” Lebanon’s Most Reviewed Security Company | 35+ Years

MARCH 26 PRIORITY SERVICES:

🚨 SOUTH LEBANON EXTRACTION — URGENT All Litani bridges destroyed. Alternative crossing point identification and coordination. Golani Brigade active — ground combat zones mapped in real time. Sgt. Volansky killed today — active firefight zones confirmed.

🛡️ BEKAA VALLEY GROUND ADVANCE WARNING Bashir killed north of Litani overnight. Ground advance toward Bekaa is the next phase. Immediate evacuation coordination from Baalbek, Nabi Sheet, Hermel, and Bekaa corridor communities.

☢️ BALLISTIC MISSILE FRAGMENT ALERT Keserwan Qadr-110 incident established whole-Lebanon missile debris risk. Shelter location mapping and civil defence coordination for all Lebanese governorates — including those far from the conflict.

📡 DIPLOMATIC TRACK MONITORING Trump April 6 deadline. Pakistan indirect talks. Iran 5-point counter. Any ceasefire development will require immediate operational guidance updates. CIS monitors all diplomatic tracks 24/7.

📞 EMERGENCY CONTACTS — MARCH 26, 2026

CIS Security 24/7: +961-3-539900 | www.cissecurity.net US Embassy Emergency: +1-202-501-4444 | BeirutACS@state.gov Lebanese Red Cross: 1760 | Civil Defence: 125 | ISF: 112

⚠️ FINAL ASSESSMENT — MARCH 26, 2026

Day 27. Lebanon has now recorded 1,094+ killed, 3,119 wounded, and 1.2 million displaced — 22% of its entire population. Iran’s ambassador has been expelled. Hezbollah has been banned from being called “the resistance.” The IDF is planning to move its effective border to Tyre’s outskirts. A US soldier was killed in Lebanon today. Iran fired seven missile salvos at Israeli cities.

The single most important diplomatic development: Trump has extended the Iran power plant deadline to April 6 — creating an 11-day window in which indirect US-Iran talks via Pakistan could potentially produce a framework agreement. If that framework includes a Lebanon component — Hezbollah disarmament, IDF withdrawal, Lebanese Army deployment — then April 6-10 could be the turning point of this war.

If talks fail and Trump strikes Iranian power plants on April 6, Iran will retaliate massively, the Strait of Hormuz will close, and Lebanon will face another wave of Israeli escalation in response to Hezbollah’s next barrage.

Lebanon’s fate is being decided in indirect talks between Washington and Tehran, via Islamabad, with an 11-day countdown. Lebanon itself has no seat at that table.

CIS Lebanon Security Index™ | Thursday, March 26, 2026 | ACTIVE WAR — DAY 27 Sources published today (March 26, 2026): NPR — “Trump grants Iran another extension” (20 minutes ago); Times of Israel liveblog March 26 (3:01am + throughout day, 2 hours ago); CBS News Iran war live (16 hours ago); Washington Post “Lebanese fear another occupation” (11 hours ago); Al Jazeera “Iran to Lebanon: 4 million displaced” (9 hours ago); Pravda.en Lebanon-Israeli border (5 hours ago). Sources from last 1-5 days: Naharnet — multiple March 25-26 headlines; Al Jazeera “Hezbollah chief urges unity” (March 25, 1 day ago); Al Jazeera “Spain PM” (March 25, 1 day ago); Al Jazeera “Strike near Roman ruins” (March 24); Antiwar.com/Naharnet MoPH figures (March 25);

Chatham House analysis (March 25, published today); Times of Israel March 25 liveblog; CNN Day 24 Iran war live (March 23); List25 Day 26 analysis (1 day ago); PBS NewsHour (March 22 Hormuz); Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War (20 hours ago); Wikipedia Timeline 2026 Lebanon War (1 day ago). All Lebanese casualty figures from Lebanese MoPH. All displacement figures from NPR/UNHCR/Social Affairs Ministry. All military data from IDF, CENTCOM, and named news correspondents. Index compiled: Thursday, March 26, 2026 — 23:59 Beirut time.