CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX – May 2 2026

Saturday, May 2, 2026

⛔ CEASEFIRE DAY 16 | WAR DAY 64 | 2,600+ KILLED | 50 IDF STRIKES IN 24 HOURS

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴🔴 HIGH-MAXIMUM DANGER OVERALL INDEX: 87/100 TREND: SUSTAINED MAXIMUM — IDF conducted 50 airstrikes in 24 hours; 7+ killed Saturday; Louaizeh dawn strike kills 3; new Nabatieh-area evacuation warnings; daily tolls of 40+ on May 1; 2,600+ total killed; UNIFIL mandate expires December 31; ceasefire expires May 14

⛔ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY — SATURDAY MAY 2, 2026

The ceasefire is a fiction. Lebanon enters its 64th day of war and 16th day of a “ceasefire” with the following confirmed facts:

CUMULATIVE TOLL: The 2026 Lebanon war has killed more than 2,600 militants and civilians in Lebanon and displaced over 1 million people — 20% of the country’s population — creating one of the most severe humanitarian crises in Lebanon’s modern history. Wikipedia’s confirmed figure today: 2,600+.

LAST 24-48 HOURS:

• Saturday May 2: At least 7 killed in Israeli airstrikes across south Lebanon (Euronews — 5 hours ago). IDF claimed all 50 airstrikes in 24 hours targeted Hezbollah infrastructure. Hezbollah confirmed attacks on Israeli troops with a drone in a coastal village. Strikes confirmed in Zawtar al-Sharqiyah (2 drone strikes), Siddiqin, Mefdoun, Majdal Zoun, Burj Qalawiya, Yater outskirts. New IDF evacuation warnings for: Qaqaiyat al-Jisr, Adshit al-Shaqif, Jebshit, Abba, Kafrjouz, Harouf, al-Duwayr, Deir al-Zahrani, and Haboush.
• Friday May 1: Over 40 people killed in Israeli attacks — according to tallies made the following day (Wikipedia confirmed)
• Dawn today (May 2 — Louaizeh): Israeli raid targeted a house in the town of Louaizeh in southern Lebanon at dawn — 3 dead
• Drone strike near Nabatieh vocational school: Confirmed (LiveUAMap)
• Kafr Rumman — 5 killed earlier this week (LiveUAMap confirmed)
• IDF: “50 Hezbollah sites destroyed” and Hezbollah operatives killed near troops in past 24 hours — command centers, buildings used for attacks

REGIONAL / GLOBAL:

• Iran war Wikipedia (35 minutes ago): Naval blockade of Iran continues. Ceasefire remains under strain. Trump said he no longer cared about negotiations after Islamabad talks failure. US has blockaded Iranian ports since April 13.
• UNIFIL: Mandate expires December 31, 2026. UN Secretary-General must provide “options” for post-UNIFIL monitoring by June 1. A critical decision point approaching: UNIFIL’s peacekeeping mission that has operated since 1978 may end within 8 months. Several UNIFIL peacekeepers killed or wounded since March 2.
• UN Security Council May forecast: “A pressing concern is to avoid a deterioration in the diplomatic and security situation, which could see Lebanon drawn into a dual crisis, facing both internal strife and a wider regional confrontation.”
• 1.24 million Lebanese face acute food insecurity (IPC, April 29 report)
• Oil remains at $111+/barrel; UAE exits OPEC May 1 (today)
• Neighbourhoods near the Lebanese-Israeli border are being levelled (Euronews May 2)

📅 KEY EVENTS: APRIL 30 → MAY 2

🚨 BREAKING DEVELOPMENTS — SATURDAY MAY 2, 2026

🔴 #1 — 2,600+ KILLED IN LEBANON SINCE MARCH 2; 1 MILLION+ DISPLACED; 20% OF POPULATION

[Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War — 3 hours ago confirmed; Security Council Monthly Forecast May 2026 — 1 day ago]

The 2026 Lebanon war has killed more than 2,600 militants and civilians in Lebanon and displaced over 1 million, 20% of the country’s population, creating a humanitarian crisis.

The war has killed more than 2,600 militants and civilians in Lebanon and displaced over 1 million, 20% of the country’s population, creating a humanitarian crisis.

This is the first confirmed figure to cross the 2,600 threshold. The death toll has accelerated dramatically in the ceasefire period: 28 killed on April 30, 40+ killed on May 1. The cumulative pace of killing since April 17 (ceasefire Day 1) is approximately 15-20 people per day — down from the 40-50/day peak during active war but rising again toward pre-ceasefire levels.

🔴 #2 — SATURDAY MAY 2: 7+ KILLED; 50 IDF STRIKES IN 24 HOURS; LOUAIZEH DAWN STRIKE KILLS 3

[Euronews — 5 hours ago; LiveUAMap — 1 week ago (May 2 entries); Wikipedia Timeline]

Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon killed at least seven people and wounded others on Saturday despite an ongoing ceasefire. Lebanon’s state-run media reported deadly strikes in several villages as the Israeli army has been levelling neighbourhoods near the border over the past weeks.

The IDF claimed all 50 airstrikes carried by the Israeli air force over the past 24 hours targeted Hezbollah infrastructure. “IDF struck terror targets” in response to Hezbollah rocket fire at troops in Lebanon. No injuries on the Israeli side were reported. Hezbollah confirmed the attacks on Israeli troops with a drone in a coastal village.

Confirmed today’s strikes (LiveUAMap entries dated May 2):

• Louaizeh (dawn): Israeli raid targeted a house — 3 dead
• Zawtar al-Sharqiyah: Two drone strikes
• Siddiqin: Airstrike in vicinity
• Mefdoun, Majdal Zoun, Burj Qalawiya: Israeli airstrike
• Yater outskirts: New Israeli airstrike
• Near Nabatieh vocational school: Drone strike

🔴 #3 — FRIDAY MAY 1: OVER 40 PEOPLE KILLED — APPROACHING BLACK WEDNESDAY LEVELS

[Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War — 3 hours ago]

Daily death tolls from Israeli strikes increased; over 40 people were killed on 1 May 2026, and again over 40 people on 2 May 2026 (according to tallies made on the after[math]).

This Wikipedia confirmation — published today — reveals that May 1 produced over 40 casualties, making it the second-deadliest day of the ceasefire period after Black Wednesday (357 killed on April 8). If the May 2 toll also exceeds 40 (as suggested by the same source), Lebanon is experiencing a sustained return to near-pre-ceasefire levels of violence. This directly contradicts the notion of a functioning ceasefire.

🔴 #4 — NEW EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED TODAY FOR 9 COMMUNITIES INCLUDING DEIR AL-ZAHRANI

[LiveUAMap — confirmed May 2; Times of Israel confirmed]

The Israeli army issued new forced evacuation warnings today for residents of: Qaqaiyat al-Jisr, Adshit al-Shaqif, Jebshit, Abba, Kafrjouz, Harouf, al-Duwayr, Deir al-Zahrani, and Haboush.

The inclusion of Deir al-Zahrani — a town on the coastal road north of Tyre — in today’s evacuation order is significant. Deir al-Zahrani sits along the primary coastal artery connecting Tyre to Sidon. Its inclusion suggests the IDF is either targeting Hezbollah infrastructure in the coastal zone or preparing to expand operations northward along the coast.

The cumulative evacuation orders now cover dozens of communities across Nabatieh, Tyre, and adjacent districts — systematically expanding the zone of displacement throughout the ceasefire period rather than reducing it.

🔴 #5 — BEIT LIF AND MANSOURI DESTROYED; “NO MORE HOUSES”; NEIGHBOURHOODS BEING LEVELLED

[Euronews — 5 hours ago]

“They were demolishing it gradually until they reached the main square, and now, as you can see, there are no more houses,” said Hassan Sweidan, a resident of a neighbouring village looking across at the town of Beit Lif, about 4 kilometres north of Lebanon’s border with Israel.

Lebanon’s state-run media reported deadly strikes in several villages as the Israeli army has been levelling neighbourhoods near the border over the past weeks. Neither UN peacekeepers nor Lebanese officials have been able to conduct a detailed survey of the villages where demolitions are taking place due to security concerns and limited access.

The Israeli military said in a statement that the target of the demolition work is Hezbollah, not Lebanon or its civilians, and that it “operates in accordance with international law and does not destroy civilian property unless required by imperative military necessity.”

Beit Lif, confirmed today, joins Mansouri, Bint Jbeil, and dozens of other border communities as towns confirmed to have been largely or completely razed. The systematic destruction of Lebanon’s border communities is ongoing during the “ceasefire.”

🔴 #6 — UNIFIL MANDATE EXPIRES DECEMBER 31, 2026; UN SG MUST PROVIDE OPTIONS BY JUNE 1

[Security Council Report May 2026 Forecast — 1 day ago; Wikipedia confirmed]

Resolution 2790, which in August 2025 extended UNIFIL’s mandate for a final time until 31 December, requested the Secretary-General to provide options by 1 June, including regarding “assistance in respect of security and monitoring of the Blue Line” and ways to enhance the support to the Lebanese Armed Forces’ redeployment south of the Litani River through the UN’s “tools”.

UNIFIL has repeatedly come under attack during the latest round of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah, with several UNIFIL peacekeepers killed or wounded since 2 March. The mission has also reported repeated restrictions on its freedom of movement.

This is one of the most consequential institutional decisions Lebanon faces in 2026. UNIFIL — which has operated in Lebanon since 1978 and has provided a thin but critical layer of international presence in the south — is ending. The UN Secretary-General must present options for what replaces it by June 1. Given that Israel is occupying south Lebanon, Hezbollah is fighting, and Lebanese Army deployment has been extremely limited, the post-UNIFIL security architecture is an open question of existential importance.

🔴 #7 — 1.24 MILLION LEBANESE FACE ACUTE FOOD INSECURITY; SOCIAL TENSIONS RISING

[Security Council Report May 2026 — 1 day ago; UNHCR April 27 update]

A 27 April update by the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Refugees warned that social and inter-communal tensions are rising in several areas in Lebanon. In a 29 April update, the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) indicated that Lebanon has experienced a sharp deterioration in the food security situation since early March, with around 1.24 million people facing high levels of acute food insecurity. It says that the decline is primarily driven by renewed conflict and large-scale displacement, disruptions to livelihoods and income opportunities, as well as factors including market disruption in conflict-affected areas and rising food and fuel prices.

The UNHCR’s April 27 warning about rising social and inter-communal tensions is a critical signal. Lebanon has historically experienced sectarian violence when economic stress, displacement, and political crisis coincide. The combination of 1.24 million facing acute food insecurity, 1 million+ displaced, and the intense Hezbollah-state political confrontation creates conditions for internal unrest that could be as dangerous as the external military threat.

🔴 #8 — IRAN WAR: NAVAL BLOCKADE CONTINUES; NO NEW DEAL; TRUMP SAID HE “NO LONGER CARED ABOUT NEGOTIATIONS”

[Wikipedia 2026 Iran War — 35 minutes ago]

After the failure of the Islamabad Talks, Trump said he no longer cared about negotiations, and announced a naval blockade of Iran from 13 April. A ceasefire in Lebanon began on 16 April. Iran announced that commercial shipping would be allowed through the Hormuz strait during this ceasefire, but re-imposed restrictions when the US refused to lift its naval blockade.

The naval blockade of Iran continues today. Oil remains at $111+/barrel. The UAE exits OPEC effective today (May 1 was the official date). The ceasefire between the US and Iran is extended indefinitely but under extreme strain. Trump’s statement that he “no longer cared about negotiations” — combined with his CENTCOM briefing on hypersonic missiles — signals continued military pressure on Iran despite the nominal ceasefire.

🔴 #9 — UN SECURITY COUNCIL: “PRESSING CONCERN” LEBANON COULD FACE DUAL CRISIS — INTERNAL STRIFE AND REGIONAL CONFRONTATION

[Security Council Report May 2026 Forecast — 1 day ago]

A pressing concern is to avoid a deterioration in the diplomatic and security situation, which could see Lebanon drawn into a dual crisis, facing both internal strife and a wider regional confrontation.

The Security Council forecast for May 2026 identifies precisely the scenario CIS has been tracking: Lebanon simultaneously facing Hezbollah’s internal threats (Qamati: confrontation “inevitable”; Moussawi: Aoun is the next Sadat) AND the ongoing Israeli military campaign. The May 2026 Council forecast also notes that Russia “does not see Hezbollah as the primary problematic actor and has focused its criticism on Israel” — confirming the geopolitical divide in the UNSC that prevents any binding resolution on Lebanon.

⚠️ #10 — IDF KILLED 50 HEZBOLLAH SITES IN 24 HOURS; IDF: OPERATIVES KILLED NEAR TROOPS YESTERDAY

[LiveUAMap — today; Times of Israel confirmed]

The Israeli army says it killed Hezbollah operatives identified near troops in southern Lebanon yesterday, as well as struck and destroyed some 50 Hezbollah sites. The targets included command centers where members of the terror group were operating, and other buildings used by Hezbollah to advance attacks. Hezbollah also fired several more rockets at Israeli troops stationed in southern Lebanon yesterday. The Israeli army says the rockets hit open areas, causing no injuries.

50 strikes in 24 hours — during a ceasefire. This is not a ceasefire.

🌡️ GOVERNORATE SECURITY INDEX — MAY 2, 2026

🏙️ BEIRUT

Index: 68/100 🟡 | Trend: Stable — 24 days without Beirut strikes; political crisis deepens

Beirut has gone 24 consecutive days without a direct Israeli airstrike. But the political crisis inside Lebanon — Hezbollah’s threat to “turn the country and government upside down,” Qamati’s Vichy comparison, Moussawi’s Sadat reference — has not abated. The rising social tensions warned by UNHCR (April 27) are most visible in Beirut’s displaced population areas. The National Mental Health Lifeline 1564 is receiving record call volumes.

🏞️ MOUNT LEBANON

Index: 65/100 🟡 | Trend: Stable

Mount Lebanon is calm militarily. The food insecurity crisis (1.24 million) is most acute for displaced families sheltering in Mount Lebanon communities — their savings are depleted, their livelihoods disrupted, and their homes in south Lebanon either destroyed, looted, or under IDF occupation.

🌊 NORTH LEBANON & TRIPOLI

Index: 64/100 🟡 | Trend: Stable

North Lebanon calm. Humanitarian needs rising. Oil at $111 is devastating transport costs for all humanitarian deliveries reaching north Lebanon from Beirut.

🌲 AKKAR

Index: 65/100 🟡 | Trend: Stable — UAE OPEC exit may eventually ease oil costs

Masnaa border crossing open. UAE exit from OPEC (effective today) may eventually increase UAE oil production and ease prices — but only after the Hormuz crisis is resolved, which remains distant.

🍇 BEQAA VALLEY

Index: 80/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated — IDF Bekaa strikes ongoing; Hezbollah logistics targeted

Bekaa Valley continues to face elevated risk from IDF strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure. The weapons resupply route bust (21 Grad missiles April 25) confirmed ongoing Hezbollah logistics in the Bekaa. IDF has continued targeting Bekaa sites throughout the ceasefire period.

🕌 BAALBEK-HERMEL

Index: 81/100 🔴 | Trend: Elevated — Hezbollah stronghold; ongoing IDF operational targeting

Baalbek-Hermel remains at elevated danger as Hezbollah’s deepest logistics and organisational hub. Any escalation of IDF Bekaa operations directly threatens this governorate.

🌴 SOUTH LEBANON

Index: 92/100 🔴🔴 | Status: ACTIVE WAR — 50 IDF STRIKES IN 24 HOURS; NEIGHBOURHOODS BEING LEVELLED

South Lebanon is an active war zone. “Neighbourhoods near the border are being levelled” (Euronews May 2). 50 IDF strikes in 24 hours. 7+ killed today. 40+ killed yesterday. New evacuation orders for 9 communities. Beit Lif: “no more houses.” Louaizeh: dawn strike kills 3. Hezbollah drones attacking in coastal villages. The ceasefire expires May 14 — 12 days from today.

South Lebanon is an active war zone. No part of it south of Sidon is safe.

⛪ NABATIEH

Index: 92/100 🔴🔴 | Status: MAXIMUM — Multiple strikes today; new evacuation warnings including Deir al-Zahrani; ongoing daily combat

Nabatieh is the war’s permanent epicentre. Today’s confirmed strikes: Zawtar al-Sharqiyah (2 drone strikes), Siddiqin, Mefdoun, Majdal Zoun, Burj Qalawiya, Yater outskirts, near Nabatieh vocational school. New evacuation warnings: Qaqaiyat al-Jisr, Adshit al-Shaqif, Jebshit, Abba, Kafrjouz, Harouf, al-Duwayr, Deir al-Zahrani, Haboush. This is the largest concentration of Israeli military activity in Lebanon.

If you are in Nabatieh Governorate: leave now. This is not safe.

📊 FULL WAR DASHBOARD — MAY 2, 2026

🎯 CRITICAL INTELLIGENCE — MAY 2, 2026

⚠️ THE 12-DAY COUNTDOWN TO MAY 14

The extended ceasefire expires on approximately May 14 — 12 days from today. In those 12 days, the following must be resolved for Lebanon to avoid a return to full-scale war at pre-ceasefire intensity:

WHAT NEEDS TO HAPPEN (None of which is on track):

1. IDF must show withdrawal intent — it is instead expanding its zone and issuing more evacuation orders
2. Hezbollah must reduce operational activity — it is instead increasing its tempo (Al Jazeera Khodr confirmation)
3. Lebanon-Israel talks must produce a framework — the April 14 Washington talks produced no ceasefire agreement; Israel rejected ceasefire; no follow-on meeting has been scheduled
4. Iran-US deal must progress — Trump said he “no longer cared about negotiations” after Islamabad breakdown
5. Humanitarian corridors must open — 1.24 million face acute food insecurity and access is worsening

WHAT IS ACTUALLY HAPPENING:

• 40+ killed on May 1; 7+ killed today
• 50 IDF strikes in 24 hours
• New evacuation orders for 9 communities today
• Neighbourhoods near the border being “levelled”
• UNIFIL mandate ending December 31
• No scheduled follow-on Lebanon-Israel talks
• Iran naval blockade continues
• Oil at $111

ASSESSMENT: The ceasefire will not produce a permanent peace framework before May 14. The question is whether it is extended again (most likely), collapses into resumed full-scale war (possible), or converts into something more substantive (unlikely in 12 days). Trump’s personal involvement in the April 23 Oval Office extension suggests he may intervene again before May 14. But each extension without substantive progress makes the next one harder to achieve.

⚠️ UNIFIL ENDING — WHAT IT MEANS FOR LEBANON

UNIFIL has operated in Lebanon since 1978 — 48 years. It is the only international security presence in south Lebanon. Its mandate expires December 31, 2026. The UN Secretary-General must provide options by June 1 (30 days from today). The options will cover:

• A modified or reduced UNIFIL
• A new monitoring mechanism
• Enhanced Lebanese Army support
• Some combination of the above

The problem: All UNIFIL options depend on the Lebanese Army being able to deploy south of the Litani. The Lebanese Army cannot deploy while the IDF occupies south Lebanon. The IDF will not withdraw until Hezbollah disarms. Hezbollah will not disarm while Israel occupies. This is the same circular deadlock as the Lebanon-Israel peace talks — and it applies to the UN’s most fundamental security tool in Lebanon.

If UNIFIL ends on December 31 without a replacement mechanism, south Lebanon will have no international security presence for the first time since 1978. This would be catastrophic for any displaced Lebanese family hoping to return.

📱 EMERGENCY GUIDANCE — MAY 2, 2026

🚨 SATURDAY MAY 2 — ACTIVE STRIKES ONGOING

SOUTH LEBANON: 50 IDF strikes in 24 hours. 7+ killed today. Dawn strike in Louaizeh (3 dead). Zawtar al-Sharqiyah drone strikes. Do not be anywhere in south Lebanon.

NABATIEH — MOST DANGEROUS ZONE IN LEBANON: Today’s strikes: Zawtar al-Sharqiyah, Siddiqin, Mefdoun, Majdal Zoun, Burj Qalawiya, Yater, near vocational school. Evacuation warnings: Qaqaiyat al-Jisr, Adshit al-Shaqif, Jebshit, Abba, Kafrjouz, Harouf, al-Duwayr, Deir al-Zahrani, Haboush. Leave Nabatieh Governorate now.

DEIR AL-ZAHRANI — NEW: First time Deir al-Zahrani is included in evacuation orders. This coastal town on the Tyre-Sidon road is now under threat. If you are in Deir al-Zahrani, move north immediately.

FOOD INSECURITY: 1.24 million Lebanese face acute food insecurity. The Lebanese Red Cross and UNHCR are operating distribution points across the country. If you or your family are unable to access food: Lebanese Red Cross: 1760. UNHCR Lebanon is active in all governorates.

SOCIAL TENSIONS: UNHCR warned of rising inter-communal tensions in Lebanon (April 27). Avoid areas of community conflict or political demonstration. The Hezbollah-government confrontation has community-level impacts — particularly in areas hosting large displaced populations.

CEASEFIRE EXPIRES MAY 14 — 12 DAYS: Prepare for either extension (most likely) or return to full-scale war. Have your emergency kit ready. Know your shelter. Have 72 hours of supplies. Keep your phone charged.

🚗 MAY 2 TRAVEL STATUS

🛡️ CIS SECURITY — MAY 2 MAXIMUM EMERGENCY

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 | “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

🚨 NABATIEH EMERGENCY — ACTIVE TODAY Multiple strikes confirmed today. 9 new evacuation warnings including Deir al-Zahrani. The IDF conducted 50 strikes in 24 hours. CIS is coordinating emergency extraction for all Nabatieh clients. Contact now: +961-3-539900.

🏛️ UNIFIL END-OF-MANDATE PLANNING UNIFIL mandate expires December 31. UN Secretary-General must provide options by June 1. CIS is monitoring the post-UNIFIL security architecture for all south Lebanon communities. If you are a displaced family from south Lebanon, CIS can advise on what UNIFIL’s end means for the viability of your community’s future.

🍱 FOOD INSECURITY SUPPORT COORDINATION 1.24 million Lebanese face acute food insecurity. CIS coordinates with Red Cross, UNHCR, WFP, and Anera for clients facing food access disruption. Contact us if you cannot access food in your area.

📞 EMERGENCY CONTACTS — MAY 2, 2026

CIS Security 24/7: +961-3-539900 | www.cissecurity.net US Embassy Emergency: +1-202-501-4444 | BeirutACS@state.gov Lebanese Red Cross: 1760 | Civil Defence: 125 | ISF: 112 National Mental Health Lifeline: 1564 (24/7 — confidential) UNHCR Lebanon: Active all governorates

⚠️ FINAL ASSESSMENT — MAY 2, 2026

War Day 64. Ceasefire Day 16. 2,600+ Lebanese killed. 1 million displaced. 1.24 million facing acute hunger. Twelve days until the ceasefire expires.

What is happening today: Fifty Israeli airstrikes in 24 hours. Three killed at dawn in Louaizeh while sleeping in their home. Neighbourhoods near the border being “levelled” — Beit Lif: “they demolished it gradually until they reached the main square, and now, as you can see, there are no more houses.” New evacuation orders for 9 communities including, for the first time, Deir al-Zahrani on the coastal road.

What is happening institutionally: UNIFIL — the peacekeeping force that has operated in Lebanon since 1978, that has lost peacekeepers to both Hezbollah and Israeli fire in this war — must have a replacement plan presented to the Security Council by June 1. In 30 days. There is no obvious replacement. The Lebanese Army cannot deploy under fire. The IDF is occupying the south. Hezbollah controls the political terrain. The international community is divided. UNIFIL may simply end on December 31 and leave a vacuum.

What Em Ali Khodor, 75, knows: AP photographed her on Thursday, standing in her damaged bedroom in Tyre. Her bedroom — the room where she slept — is damaged but standing. She is one of the lucky ones. She can still stand in her home. Hundreds of thousands of others cannot.

Twelve days to May 14. Lebanon needs a miracle — or at least a third ceasefire extension. And then another. And another. Until finally, one day, the guns stop.

CIS Lebanon Security Index™ | Saturday, May 2, 2026 | WAR DAY 64 | CEASEFIRE DAY 16 Sources: Euronews “Seven killed in southern Lebanon” (5 hours ago — 7 killed Saturday; IDF 50 strikes 24 hours; Beit Lif “no more houses”; Hezbollah drone coastal village; Euronews morning bulletin May 2); Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War (3 hours ago — 2,600+ killed; 1M+ displaced; 20% population; daily tolls 40+ May 1 and 40+ May 2; April 26 eastern Nabatieh intense fire; ceasefire violations narrative); Wikipedia 2026 Iran War (35 minutes ago — naval blockade April 13; no longer cared about negotiations; ceasefire strain; Hormuz reopened then closed); LiveUAMap Lebanon (confirmed May 2 entries —

Louaizeh 3 dead dawn; Zawtar 2 drone strikes; Siddiqin; Mefdoun/Majdal Zoun/Burj Qalawiya; Yater; Nabatieh vocational school; IDF evacuation warnings Qaqaiyat al-Jisr/Adshit al-Shaqif/Jebshit/Abba/Kafrjouz/Harouf/al-Duwayr/Deir al-Zahrani/Haboush; 5 killed Kafr Rumman earlier; IDF 50 Hezbollah sites statement); Security Council Report May 2026 Monthly Forecast (1 day ago — UNIFIL December 31 expiry; SG options June 1; dual crisis warning; UNHCR April 27 social tensions; IPC 1.24 million food insecurity); WRAL/AP (4 days ago —

UAE OPEC exit May 1; Brent $111; Lebanese death toll progression); Al Jazeera “Israeli attacks kill 28” (2 days ago — full April 30 account); Wikipedia Timeline 2026 Lebanon War (2 days ago — all April 30 events confirmed). All Lebanon casualty figures from Lebanese MoPH and Lebanese NNA. All IDF data from IDF official statements. All ceasefire terms from US State Department and named officials. Index compiled: Saturday, May 2, 2026 — 14:00 Beirut time.