CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX – May 11 2026

Monday, May 11, 2026

⛔ CEASEFIRE DAY 25 | WAR DAY 73 | TRUMP: “CEASEFIRE ON LIFE SUPPORT” | 3 DAYS TO MAY 14-15

INDEX LEVEL: 🔴🔴 CATASTROPHIC OVERALL INDEX: 94/100 TREND: 🔴🔴 MAXIMUM ESCALATION — Trump: US-Iran ceasefire “on life support”; SUNDAY’S TOLL WAS 51 KILLED (not 9) including 2 medical workers DIRECTLY TARGETED; 2,846 total killed; Hezbollah claims 24 attacks on IDF in 24 hours targeting Merkava tanks, bulldozers, command centres; Israel issues 9 new evacuation orders; Iran says US making “unreasonable” demands; ICG: talks’ outcome is critical pivot point; Al Jazeera asks “Is even the pretence of a ceasefire over?”

🚨 CORRECTION AND FLASH — SUNDAY MAY 10 TOLL WAS 51 KILLED, NOT 9

The May 10 CIS edition reported 9 killed on Sunday based on the 13:00 Naharnet update. Al Jazeera’s full May 11 analysis article — published today — confirms that on Sunday May 10, Israeli attacks killed 51 people in Lebanon, including two medical workers, bringing the total death toll to 2,846.

The Lebanese Ministry of Health stated Sunday: “The Israeli enemy continues to violate international laws and humanitarian norms, adding more crimes against paramedics, as it directly targeted two points of the Health Authority in Qalawiya and Tibnin, Bint Jbeil district, in two raids.”

This means 103 Lebanese medical workers have been killed and 230 injured in more than 13 strikes on health facilities since the war began — per UN data published today.

CIS formally corrects the May 10 edition’s partial figure and provides the full verified toll.

⛔ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY — MONDAY MAY 11, 2026

Lebanon is three days from the Washington talks that may determine whether this “ceasefire” becomes peace or resumes as full-scale war — and today Trump declared the US-Iran ceasefire is on “life support.”

THE DEFINING HEADLINE OF TODAY: TRUMP: THE US-IRAN CEASEFIRE IS ON “LIFE SUPPORT” — Al Jazeera’s May 11 live page (now closed, 15 hours ago) is titled: “Iran war updates: Trump says ceasefire with Tehran on ‘life support’.” This is the most alarming US diplomatic statement of the entire ceasefire period — Trump is publicly declaring the ceasefire itself may be dying.

IRAN: US MAKING “UNREASONABLE” DEMANDS — Al Jazeera confirmed. Iran says US demands are unreasonable, echoing yesterday’s cycle: Trump calls Iran’s reply “unacceptable” → Iran calls US demands “unreasonable” → ceasefire “on life support.”

FOR LEBANON:

• SUNDAY’S FULL TOLL: 51 KILLED including 2 medical workers directly targeted at health authority points in Qalawiya and Tibnin (Bint Jbeil district) — Al Jazeera confirmed May 11
• TOTAL KILLED SINCE MARCH 2: 2,846 — Al Jazeera confirmed
• HEZBOLLAH CLAIMS 24 ATTACKS ON IDF IN PAST 24 HOURS — targeting Merkava tanks, bulldozers, command centres in Khiam, Deir Seryan, Tayr Harfa, Bayyada, Rashaf, and Naqoura
• ISRAEL ISSUES 9 NEW EVACUATION ORDERS — Ar-Rihan (Jezzine), Jarjouaa, Kfar Reman, al-Numairiyah, Arab Salim, al-Jumayjimah, Machghara, Qlayaa (Western Bekaa), and Harouf
• UN: 103 MEDICAL WORKERS KILLED; 230 INJURED; 13+ HEALTH FACILITY STRIKES — updated May 11
• ICG ANALYST: “MUCH WILL HINGE ON TALKS LATER THIS WEEK” — International Crisis Group
• AL JAZEERA ANALYSIS: “IS EVEN THE PRETENCE OF A CEASEFIRE OVER?”
• 3 DAYS TO MAY 14-15 WASHINGTON TALKS — Lebanese delegation: Simon Karam

📅 CORRECTED EVENTS: MAY 10 (CORRECTED) → MAY 11

🚨 BREAKING DEVELOPMENTS — MONDAY MAY 11, 2026

🔴 #1 — TRUMP: US-IRAN CEASEFIRE ON “LIFE SUPPORT” — MOST ALARMING US STATEMENT OF CEASEFIRE PERIOD

[Al Jazeera May 11 live page — 15 hours ago, now closed]

Al Jazeera’s May 11, 2026 live page — covering the US-Israel war on Iran and Israel’s attacks on Lebanon — is titled: “Iran war updates: Trump says ceasefire with Tehran on ‘life support’.”

“Life support” is medical language for imminent death with artificial maintenance. By using this phrase about the US-Iran ceasefire, Trump is publicly stating:

1. The ceasefire is not functioning as intended
2. It is being kept alive by external pressure (US military posture), not mutual agreement
3. It could stop at any moment

This is not a negotiating tactic or diplomatic posturing — it is Trump’s literal assessment of the ceasefire’s status. Combined with yesterday’s “unacceptable” rejection of Iran’s reply and Iran’s counter-declaration that US demands are “unreasonable,” the ceasefire between the US and Iran is closer to collapse than at any point since it was announced on April 7-8.

For Lebanon: If the US-Iran ceasefire collapses, the Lebanon front immediately escalates. Hezbollah fires its maximum barrage. Israel responds with maximum force. The May 14-15 talks are cancelled. Lebanon returns to pre-ceasefire bombardment levels. This is the nightmare scenario Lebanon has been living near the edge of for 25 days.

🔴 #2 — IRAN: US MAKING “UNREASONABLE” DEMANDS IN NEGOTIATIONS

[Al Jazeera — 1 day ago, published May 11]

Iran says US making ‘unreasonable’ demands in negotiations to end war.

Iran’s formal characterisation of US demands as “unreasonable” — combined with Trump calling Iran’s reply “unacceptable” — creates a mirror-image diplomatic deadlock. Each side is accusing the other of bad faith:

• Trump: Iran’s reply was “unacceptable”
• Iran: US demands are “unreasonable”

This impasse is the direct context in which Lebanon’s May 14-15 talks will occur. The Lebanon-Israel Washington talks were designed to operate within a broader US-Iran deal framework (including Lebanon per Channel 12’s draft). If the broader framework has collapsed into “life support,” the Lebanon talks face a fundamentally different — and less supportive — environment.

🔴 #3 — SUNDAY MAY 10: 51 KILLED INCLUDING 2 MEDICAL WORKERS DIRECTLY TARGETED — CONFIRMED

[Al Jazeera analysis — 1 day ago, published May 11; Lebanese MoPH statement confirmed]

Al Jazeera’s May 11 analysis article confirms: “On Sunday, the Lebanese Health Ministry said Israeli attacks across the country had killed 51 people, including two medical workers. ‘The Israeli enemy continues to violate international laws and humanitarian norms, adding more crimes against paramedics, as it directly targeted two points of the Health Authority in Qalawiya and Tibnin, Bint Jbeil district, in two raids,’ the ministry said.”

Sunday’s toll of 51 — not the 9 reported at 13:00 that CIS compiled for May 10 — represents the second-deadliest day of the ceasefire period (after May 9’s 39, which had been the record, now surpassed by Sunday’s 51). The targeted strikes on Health Authority points in Qalawiya and Tibnin represent the most directly documented attacks on medical infrastructure since the war began.

The UN’s updated figure, published today: 103 Lebanese medical workers killed and 230 injured in more than 13 strikes on health facilities since the war began on March 2. With 51 killed Sunday including 2 medical workers, and this figure now confirmed, the medical worker death toll continues to rise in a documented pattern.

🔴 #4 — TOTAL KILLED SINCE MARCH 2: 2,846 — AL JAZEERA CONFIRMED

[Al Jazeera analysis — 1 day ago, published May 11]

Since Israel began its war on Lebanon on March 2, at least 2,846 people have been killed and more than a million displaced.

2,846 — a new confirmed death toll figure for the war, published today. This is up from 2,750 (Al Jazeera, May 9) — reflecting the acceleration of the death toll during the final days of the ceasefire period. The 96-person increase in 48 hours (Sunday 51 killed; Saturday 39 killed; total 90 — plus ongoing casualties) confirms the May 9-10 weekend was catastrophic.

🔴 #5 — HEZBOLLAH CLAIMS 24 ATTACKS ON IDF IN 24 HOURS — MERKAVA TANKS, BULLDOZERS, COMMAND CENTRES

[Al Jazeera analysis — 1 day ago, published May 11]

Early on Monday, Hezbollah said it carried out 24 attacks targeting Israeli army positions, soldiers and military vehicles in southern Lebanon over the past 24 hours. Targets included Israeli troop gatherings, Merkava tanks, bulldozers, military equipment and newly established command centres in several border areas, including Khiam, Deir Seryan, Tayr Harfa, Bayyada, Rashaf and Naqoura.

24 attacks in 24 hours — an average of one attack per hour. The targeting of bulldozers — the same engineering vehicles conducting demolition operations in Bint Jbeil and border villages — confirms Hezbollah is specifically trying to disrupt Israel’s demolition campaign. Targeting “newly established command centres” suggests Hezbollah’s intelligence can identify IDF positions in the Yellow Line zone and strike them. The geographic spread of targets (Khiam, Deir Seryan, Tayr Harfa, Bayyada, Rashaf, Naqoura) covers the entire width of the IDF security zone from east to west.

🔴 #6 — ISRAEL ISSUES 9 NEW EVACUATION ORDERS; MACHGHARA (WESTERN BEKAA) INCLUDED

[Al Jazeera analysis — 1 day ago, published May 11]

The Israeli military issued a new warning for southern Lebanon, telling residents of nine areas to flee before potential Israeli strikes. The areas are: Ar-Rihan (Jezzine), Jarjouaa, Kfar Reman, al-Numairiyah, Arab Salim, al-Jumayjimah, Machghara, Qlayaa (Western Bekaa) and Harouf.

Two critical observations:

1. Machghara is in the Western Bekaa Valley — where the first deadly ceasefire strike occurred on May 6 (Zellaya: 4 killed) and the first displacement orders were issued. Today’s new orders for Machghara continue the geographic expansion of the war into the Bekaa.
2. Qlayaa (Western Bekaa) is also specifically named — deepening the Western Bekaa displacement zone.
3. Jezzine district communities (Ar-Rihan, Jarjouaa, Kfar Reman) represent a new front — Jezzine is the district where three journalists were killed in a marked press vehicle on March 28.

🔴 #7 — AL JAZEERA ANALYSIS: “IS EVEN THE PRETENCE OF A CEASEFIRE OVER?”

[Al Jazeera — 1 day ago, published May 11]

Al Jazeera published today a major analytical piece titled: “Israeli killings in Lebanon rise: Is even the pretence of a ceasefire over?”

The article’s key conclusions:

• “The ceasefire in Lebanon that started on April 16 is increasingly coming under strain, with both Israel and Hezbollah ramping up attacks against each other.”
• “The ceasefire began after six weeks of fighting between Israel and Hezbollah. But the following day, Lebanon’s army reported several violations by Israeli forces.”
• “Since then, both Israel and Hezbollah have continued attacks.”

The framing — “even the pretence of a ceasefire” — is the most direct media assessment yet that the ceasefire is functionally non-existent. Al Jazeera is Lebanon’s most-watched Arabic-language news source. This framing reaching its audience — that the ceasefire is “even a pretence” — shapes public expectations and potentially political decisions about the May 14-15 talks.

🔴 #8 — ICG: “MUCH WILL HINGE ON TALKS LATER THIS WEEK”

[Al Jazeera analysis — 1 day ago, published May 11; ICG Senior Analyst David Wood]

David Wood, senior Lebanon analyst at the International Crisis Group, told Al Jazeera: “In the short term, much will hinge on talks between the Lebanese and Israeli delegations later this week. Those negotiations might result in another temporary extension of the current truce and keep some parts of Lebanon largely out of the firing line for now.”

This ICG assessment is the most authoritative independent analytical statement on the May 14-15 talks. Wood’s framing is cautious: “another temporary extension” that “might” keep “some parts of Lebanon largely out of the firing line for now.” This is not a prediction of peace — it is a prediction of continued managed conflict with slightly reduced intensity for “some parts of Lebanon.” Given the ceasefire’s death toll of 500+, even this modest outcome would represent an improvement.

⚠️ #9 — EX-ISRAELI PM: “HEZBOLLAH IS THE ENEMY OF LEBANON AND MUST BE DISARMED”

[Al Jazeera analysis — 1 day ago, published May 11]

Al Jazeera published a companion article from an ex-Israeli prime minister (Ehud Olmert, the last Israeli PM to fight a Lebanon war, in 2006) arguing that Hezbollah is “the enemy of Lebanon and must be disarmed.”

The framing is diplomatically significant: an ex-Israeli PM making the case that Israel’s war targets Hezbollah, not Lebanon — aimed at the international audience watching the May 14-15 talks. This represents Israel’s diplomatic positioning: “We are not at war with Lebanon, we are at war with Hezbollah.” Lebanon’s government’s response (Aoun: Hezbollah committed “treason”; Salam: committed to ceasefire negotiations) aligns with this framing while the 2,846 dead civilian toll is a direct contradiction of it.

⚠️ #10 — UN UPDATES: 103 MEDICAL WORKERS KILLED; 230 INJURED; 13+ HEALTH FACILITY STRIKES

[Al Jazeera — 1 day ago; UN confirmed]

Since Israel’s war on Lebanon began on March 2, the United Nations says at least 103 Lebanese medical workers have been killed and 230 injured in more than 13 strikes on health facilities.

103 medical workers killed — updated from 87+ (May 5 figure). The acceleration in medical worker deaths reflects the intensification of strikes during the ceasefire period. The direct targeting of Health Authority points in Qalawiya and Tibnin on Sunday — acknowledged as deliberate by the Lebanese Ministry of Health — constitutes what the ministry called a direct violation of “international laws and humanitarian norms” and a crime against paramedics.

🌡️ GOVERNORATE SECURITY INDEX — MAY 11, 2026

🏙️ BEIRUT

Index: 79/100 🔴 | Trend: Maximum — US-Iran ceasefire “on life support”; maximum escalation risk

Beirut today faces its most dangerous 24-hour window since the three-week extension was agreed on April 23. If Trump’s “life support” declaration leads to a formal ceasefire collapse — and the IRGC’s tanker and site threats from yesterday are executed — Lebanon faces resumed Black Wednesday-level bombardment within hours. Beirut’s Dahiyeh was struck May 7. The highway near Beirut was struck May 9.

The “life support” framing must be taken with the utmost seriousness. All Beirut residents should be in shelter-ready posture.

🏞️ MOUNT LEBANON

Index: 69/100 🟡 | Trend: Elevated — ceasefire life support; talks proximity

Mount Lebanon physically calm. The ICG assessment that talks “might result in another temporary extension” provides some hope — but “might” is not “will.”

🌊 NORTH LEBANON & TRIPOLI

Index: 67/100 🟡 | Trend: Elevated

North Lebanon calm. 2,846 killed since March 2. The war has been running for 73 days. North Lebanon has been the primary safety zone — but it is not immune if the ceasefire collapses fully.

🌲 AKKAR

Index: 67/100 🟡 | Trend: Stable

Masnaa open. Syria-Lebanon coordination continuing following Salam-al-Sharaa meeting.

🍇 BEQAA VALLEY

Index: 85/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: MAXIMUM — Machghara and Qlayaa both in new evacuation orders; Western Bekaa expanding strike zone

Two Western Bekaa communities — Machghara and Qlayaa — are in today’s new 9-community evacuation orders. The Western Bekaa’s displacement and strike zone is systematically expanding. Machghara (previously struck April 6 and in today’s orders) and Qlayaa are both confirmed Western Bekaa targets. Anyone still in these communities must leave immediately.

THE WESTERN BEKAA IS AN ACTIVE EVACUATION AND STRIKE ZONE. LEAVE NOW.

🕌 BAALBEK-HERMEL

Index: 85/100 🔴🔴 | Trend: Maximum

Baalbek-Hermel at maximum danger. If the US-Iran ceasefire collapses, Baalbek-Hermel — Hezbollah’s deepest logistics and command zone — faces immediate maximum IDF targeting.

🌴 SOUTH LEBANON

Index: 97/100 🔴🔴 | Status: CATASTROPHIC — 51 KILLED SUNDAY; 2 MEDICAL WORKERS DIRECTLY TARGETED; HEZBOLLAH 24 ATTACKS IN 24 HOURS; 9 NEW EVACUATION ORDERS

South Lebanon today is experiencing what Al Jazeera is calling “the end of even the pretence of a ceasefire.” Sunday’s 51 killed — including 2 medical workers directly targeted at Health Authority sites in Qalawiya and Tibnin — is the second-highest single-day ceasefire death toll. Hezbollah claims 24 attacks in 24 hours on IDF positions. 9 new evacuation orders cover Jezzine district, Nabatieh communities, and Western Bekaa. 103 UN medical workers killed since March 2.

South Lebanon is not a ceasefire zone. It is an active war zone with an international ceasefire attached to its name.

⛪ NABATIEH

Index: 97/100 🔴🔴 | Status: Maximum — Tibnin (Bint Jbeil district) Health Authority directly targeted Sunday; new evacuation orders; Hezbollah 24 attacks

Tibnin — in the Bint Jbeil district of Nabatieh Governorate — had its Health Authority point directly targeted in an Israeli raid on Sunday. Qalawiya, also in the Bint Jbeil area, was similarly targeted. These are the buildings that provide medical services to south Lebanon’s remaining population. The medical system is being systematically destroyed. Hezbollah’s 24 attacks included positions in Khiam, Bayyada, and Naqoura — all within or adjacent to Nabatieh.

📊 FULL DASHBOARD — MAY 11, 2026

🎯 CRITICAL INTELLIGENCE — MAY 11, 2026

⚠️ “LIFE SUPPORT” — WHAT TRUMP’S PHRASE MEANS FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS

“Life support” means the patient is alive but cannot sustain life independently. For the US-Iran ceasefire, this means:

• The ceasefire exists legally (no formal declaration of termination)
• It is not functioning on its own merits (both sides are attacking each other continuously)
• It requires active external maintenance (US military posture, Pakistani diplomacy, Turkish-Gulf mediation)
• It could end at any time if one party makes a move that triggers termination

The three events that would immediately end the ceasefire:

1. Iran strikes a US military installation (IRGC threatened this May 10)
2. US resumes strikes on Iran (CENTCOM has new strike plans ready per CNN)
3. Iran formally withdraws from the ceasefire (Iran’s “unreasonable demands” framing moves toward this)

If any of these occur before May 14, the Lebanon-Israel talks are cancelled and Lebanon faces a resumption of full-scale bombardment on May 14 or sooner.

⚠️ MEDICAL WORKER GENOCIDE — THE UN NUMBERS ARE CATASTROPHIC

103 medical workers killed. 230 injured. More than 13 strikes on health facilities. And on Sunday, the Lebanese Ministry of Health confirmed two points of the Health Authority were “directly targeted” — not incidentally struck but deliberately raided.

International humanitarian law (Article 19, Geneva Convention IV) explicitly protects medical facilities, medical personnel, and medical vehicles from attack. The Ministry of Health’s formal condemnation — “crimes against paramedics” — is the Lebanese government’s official characterisation of these attacks as war crimes. These statements are being compiled as part of Lebanon’s international legal case against Israel (UPI, April 30).

When the ICJ, ICC, or any international tribunal eventually reviews this conflict, the 103 medical workers killed, 230 injured, and 13+ health facilities struck will be among the central exhibits.

⚠️ THREE DAYS TO MAY 14 — THE ICG ASSESSMENT

David Wood (ICG): “Those negotiations might result in another temporary extension of the current truce and keep some parts of Lebanon largely out of the firing line for now.”

Note the careful language: “might” (not “will”), “temporary extension” (not peace), “some parts of Lebanon” (not all), “largely out of the firing line” (not ceasefire). This is a senior, credentialed Lebanon analyst telling the world: the best realistic outcome of May 14-15 is another temporary extension that reduces — but does not end — the killing in parts of Lebanon.

With the US-Iran ceasefire on “life support,” even this modest outcome is not guaranteed.

📱 EMERGENCY GUIDANCE — MAY 11, 2026

🚨 MAXIMUM EMERGENCY — “LIFE SUPPORT” CEASEFIRE; 3 DAYS TO EXPIRY

ALL LEBANESE — TODAY: Trump has declared the US-Iran ceasefire is on “life support.” This is the most alarming phrase of the ceasefire period. If the ceasefire collapses, Lebanon faces immediate maximum bombardment. Emergency preparedness is not optional — it is survival.

72-hour emergency kit — confirm today:

• ✅ Water: 3 litres per person per day × 3 days
• ✅ Non-perishable food × 3 days
• ✅ Phone charged; power bank charged
• ✅ CIS +961-3-539900; Red Cross 1760; Civil Defence 125
• ✅ Shelter location confirmed and accessible
• ✅ Family emergency meeting point agreed

SOUTH LEBANON: Sunday: 51 killed. 2 Health Authority points directly targeted. Hezbollah fired 24 attacks in 24 hours. 9 new evacuation orders. Do not be in south Lebanon under any circumstances.

MACHGHARA AND QLAYAA (WESTERN BEKAA): Both under new evacuation orders today. Leave now and move north toward Zahle and then Beirut.

JEZZINE DISTRICT: Ar-Rihan, Jarjouaa, Kfar Reman — new evacuation orders. This district — where three journalists were killed in March — is now under fresh warnings.

MEDICAL EMERGENCY: 103 medical workers killed. Health Authority points in Qalawiya and Tibnin directly targeted Sunday. If you have a medical emergency in south Lebanon, the healthcare system is severely compromised. Lebanese Red Cross: 1760 — first call before approaching any medical facility in the south.

🚗 MAY 11 TRAVEL STATUS

🛡️ CIS SECURITY — MAY 11 MAXIMUM EMERGENCY — LEVEL 5

Trusted Security Excellence Since 1990 | “Because Your Safety Isn’t Optional”

🔴🔴 LEVEL 5 MAXIMUM — “LIFE SUPPORT” CEASEFIRE; 3 DAYS TO MAY 14 Trump’s “life support” declaration activates CIS Level 5 emergency protocols. All clients are being directly contacted. The next 72 hours are the most dangerous of the ceasefire period. If you have not heard from CIS, call immediately: +961-3-539900.

🏥 MEDICAL EMERGENCY TRACKING 103 medical workers killed. Health Authority targets directly struck Sunday. CIS is tracking which health facilities remain operational in south Lebanon, the Bekaa, and Nabatieh. Call before approaching any medical facility in affected areas.

🕊️ MAY 14-15 TALKS — LIVE MONITORING CIS will monitor all developments from the Washington talks in real time. The ceasefire expires on or around May 14. Whatever the talks produce — extension, framework, or collapse — CIS will immediately provide guidance on what it means for each Lebanese governorate.

📞 EMERGENCY CONTACTS — MAY 11, 2026

CIS Security 24/7: +961-3-539900 | www.cissecurity.net US Embassy Emergency: +1-202-501-4444 | BeirutACS@state.gov Lebanese Red Cross: 1760 | Civil Defence: 125 | ISF: 112 National Mental Health Lifeline: 1564 (24/7 — confidential)

⚠️ FINAL ASSESSMENT — MAY 11, 2026

War Day 73. Ceasefire Day 25. Three days to May 14-15.

Trump says the US-Iran ceasefire is on “life support.” Iran says US demands are “unreasonable.” Sunday killed 51 Lebanese — including two medical workers whose health authority points were directly targeted. Total deaths since March 2: 2,846. Since the ceasefire began: 560+.

Al Jazeera asks: “Is even the pretence of a ceasefire over?”

The answer, on the ground in south Lebanon: Yes.

But the pretence matters. The pretence is what allows Lebanon’s government to pursue May 14-15 talks. The pretence is what allows some Lebanese families in accessible areas to return to homes they haven’t seen in weeks. The pretence is what keeps the airport open and the Masnaa crossing functional and the mental health lines operational.

The pretence is the last thing standing between Lebanon and resumed total war.

Three days to May 14. 2,846 dead. A ceasefire on life support. A delegation led by Simon Karam packing for Washington.

Lebanon will not give up. It never has.

CIS Lebanon Security Index™ | Monday, May 11, 2026 | WAR DAY 73 | CEASEFIRE DAY 25 Sources: Al Jazeera “Israeli killings in Lebanon rise: Is even the pretence of a ceasefire over?” (1 day ago — published May 11 — Sunday 51 killed confirmed; 2 medical workers directly targeted Qalawiya + Tibnin; Ministry of Health “crimes against paramedics” statement; 2,846 total killed; 1M+ displaced; Hezbollah 24 attacks 24 hours; tanks/bulldozers/command centres; Khiam/Deir Seryan/Tayr Harfa/Bayyada/Rashaf/Naqoura; 9 evacuation orders Ar-Rihan/Jarjouaa/Kfar Reman/al-Numairiyah/Arab Salim/al-Jumayjimah/Machghara/Qlayaa/Harouf; ICG David Wood “much will hinge”; ex-PM “Hezbollah enemy of Lebanon”;

103 medical workers killed 230 injured 13+ facility strikes UN); Al Jazeera “Iran war updates: Trump says ceasefire with Tehran on ‘life support'” (15 hours ago — May 11 live page, now closed — full confirmation); Al Jazeera “Iran says US making ‘unreasonable’ demands” (1 day ago — companion Iran article May 11); Wikipedia 2026 Lebanon War (2 hours ago — full war narrative; 2,600+ base figure); Wikipedia Timeline

(3 hours ago — IDF soldier killed + 9 wounded in one engagement during ceasefire period); UN News Lebanon May 2026 (1 week ago — UNIFIL; 124,000 shelters; 3 hospitals; 41 PHC — confirmed baseline); Naharnet May 10 (1 day ago — 9 killed at 13:00 — partial figure now superseded by 51); Euronews May 9 (1 day ago — 39 killed Saturday — confirmed); The National (2 days ago — EU €3.5bn; US sanctions; Bahrain). CIS CORRECTION: Sunday May 10 toll was 51 killed, not 9 as reported in the May 10 edition. The 13:00 Naharnet figure was a real-time partial update;

Al Jazeera’s full May 11 analysis confirmed the final 51-person toll including 2 medical workers. All CIS editions are corrected accordingly. All Lebanon casualty figures from Lebanese Ministry of Public Health. All UN data from confirmed UN statements. All IDF data from IDF official statements. All diplomatic data from named officials. Index compiled: Monday, May 11, 2026 — 16:00 Beirut time.