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CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX - August 11 2026

↔️ HOLDING AT SEVERE LEVEL, WITH A NOTABLE OFFICIAL CLAIM OF UNDERLYING IMPROVEMENT — CIS is holding its assessment in the HIGH-CRITICAL band across this reporting window (August 9-11), balancing two genuinely different pictures presented by the same set of facts.

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CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX - August 11 2026 — CIS Security

🇱🇧 CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX™

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

🔴 WAR DAY 163 | ISRAELI FORCES ADVANCE FROM HADDATHA TOWARD AITA AL-JABAL; DOUBLE-TAP STRIKE WOUNDS 2, DAMAGES AMBULANCE IN NABATIYEH | ACTIVE ISRAELI OPERATION CONTINUES AT ALI AL-TAHER RIDGE — NETANYAHU HINTS AT "VERY IMPORTANT OPERATION," US PRESSES BEIRUT TO HAVE LAF TAKE OVER RIDGE AS HEZBOLLAH REFUSES | HEZBOLLAH SLAMS ISRAELI "ANNEXATION MAP," DEMANDS EMERGENCY SESSION | AOUN: "NEGOTIATIONS MAKING PROGRESS," ISRAELI ATTACKS "HAVE DECREASED" | LEBANON ABOLISHES DEATH PENALTY, EU HAILS "SIGNIFICANT STEP FORWARD"


INDEX LEVEL: 🔴 HIGH-CRITICAL — AN ACTIVE, NAMED ISRAELI GROUND OPERATION CONTINUES AT ALI AL-TAHER EVEN AS BOTH GOVERNMENTS DESCRIBE THE DIPLOMATIC TRACK IN GENUINELY POSITIVE TERMS OVERALL INDEX: 74/100 TREND: ↔️ HOLDING AT SEVERE LEVEL, WITH A NOTABLE OFFICIAL CLAIM OF UNDERLYING IMPROVEMENT — CIS is holding its assessment in the HIGH-CRITICAL band across this reporting window (August 9-11), balancing two genuinely different pictures presented by the same set of facts. On the ground, Israeli forces have continued to advance from Haddatha toward Aita al-Jabal, a double-tap drone strike on Tuesday wounded two people and damaged an ambulance responding to the initial strike in Nabatiyeh, and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has confirmed his forces are conducting what he called a "very important operation" at Ali al-Taher ridge, where media reports describe Hezbollah fighters and Iranian Revolutionary Guard personnel as besieged in tunnels — a live, named military campaign distinct from the retaliatory bombardment CIS reported last week. At the same time, both Washington and Beirut are, this week, using notably more optimistic language than at any point since the Rome round concluded: a U.S. State Department official told Al Arabiya English that Washington "feels good about the trajectory" of talks and confirmed a preliminary early-September date for an eighth round, and President Joseph Aoun said Tuesday that the scale of Israeli attacks on Lebanon "has decreased" since the framework agreement was signed, crediting this with enabling the return of Lebanese citizens to spend the summer at home. CIS presents both pictures fully: the Ali al-Taher operation and the Haddatha-to-Aita al-Jabal advance represent real, active, and specifically named military escalation in one location, even as senior officials on both the American and Lebanese sides characterize the broader trajectory in comparatively positive terms.


⛔ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY — TUESDAY AUGUST 11, 2026 (WAR DAY 163)

ACTIVE ISRAELI OPERATION AT ALI AL-TAHER RIDGE: NETANYAHU CONFIRMS "VERY IMPORTANT OPERATION," HEZBOLLAH AND IRGC REPORTEDLY BESIEGED IN TUNNELS

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told a cabinet meeting Sunday that Israel has "acted with force in Lebanon" in recent days, confirming it has eliminated "terrorists," including "on the Ali Taher ridge" in the Nabatieh region. "I cannot elaborate on this. We are in the midst of a very important operation," Netanyahu said, adding Israel is "working prudently and wisely — with both determination and wisdom, alongside the Israel Defense Forces — and eliminating threats." Media reports cited by Naharnet indicate Hezbollah fighters and Iranian Revolutionary Guard elements are besieged in tunnels in the Ali al-Taher area.

Israeli security sources separately told Al-Jadeed television that "the Israeli army has repeatedly tried to advance towards the ridge and is using remotely-controlled robots to avoid putting its troops in danger, as happened in Haddatha" — a direct reference to prior Israeli casualties CIS has reported at that location earlier in this index. Politically, Hezbollah sources told Al-Jadeed the group is against handing over the Ali al-Taher ridge to the Lebanese Army "in the current period," arguing that "according to Resolution 1701, the area north of the [Litani] River is linked to a national defense strategy." Americans have, meanwhile, asked the Lebanese delegation at the Rome talks that the ridge be handed over to the Lebanese Army.

CIS assessment: This is a distinct and, in CIS's assessment, more serious category of activity than the retaliatory bombardment campaign CIS documented following the Majdalzoun incident: Netanyahu's own description of a live, named, multi-day operation with Israeli forces attempting a ground advance against dug-in Hezbollah/IRGC personnel represents active close-quarters conflict, not standoff strikes. CIS flags the specific detail that Israel is using remote-controlled robots rather than troops "as happened in Haddatha" as a direct acknowledgment that Israel has taken casualties in comparable prior engagements and is adjusting tactics accordingly — itself an indicator of the operation's intensity. The layered dispute over who ultimately controls Ali al-Taher — Hezbollah citing Resolution 1701's national-defense-strategy language to resist an LAF handover the US is actively pushing for — makes this ridge, in CIS's assessment, one of the single most consequential unresolved flashpoints in the entire framework process.


GROUND ADVANCE AND DOUBLE-TAP STRIKE: ISRAELI FORCES MOVE FROM HADDATHA TOWARD AITA AL-JABAL; AMBULANCE HIT IN NABATIYEH

An Israeli drone struck a vehicle in the southern city of Nabatiyeh on Tuesday, wounding two people, the Health Ministry said. A follow-up "double-tap" strike then targeted first responders who rushed to the scene, damaging an ambulance. Drones separately dropped explosive and incendiary munitions, sparking wildfires on the outskirts of Nabatiyeh and Kfar Remman, while artillery shelled Zawtar al-Sharqiyeh. Firefighters were targeted while attempting to extinguish one fire, though no injuries were reported in that incident.

Separately and significantly, Israeli forces advanced from Haddatha toward Aita al-Jabal, while artillery fire and detonations were reported overnight in Ali al-Taher, al-Taybeh, al-Mansouri, and Deir Seryan.

CIS assessment: CIS flags the double-tap pattern — a follow-up strike on first responders arriving at an initial strike site — as a tactic carrying serious international humanitarian law implications regardless of the target's identity, and one CIS will continue to monitor for any independent investigation or rights-organization findings, consistent with CIS's coverage of the Amal Khalil case earlier in this index. The confirmed ground advance from Haddatha toward Aita al-Jabal is a further, specific indicator that Israeli operations in this window extend beyond standoff strikes into active territorial movement, reinforcing CIS's assessment of the Ali al-Taher situation above as part of a broader pattern of forward Israeli ground activity across the eastern sector of the south this week.


HEZBOLLAH DECRIES ISRAELI "ANNEXATION MAP," DEMANDS EMERGENCY SESSION AND UN COMPLAINT

Hezbollah said the Israeli Foreign Ministry's publication of a map annexing occupied southern Lebanon "confirms beyond any doubt the true extent of the Israeli enemy's ambitions for Lebanon." In a statement, the group said Israel "has not and will not give up" these ambitions, and characterized Israel's direct negotiations with the Lebanese government as "nothing more than a blatant attempt to buy time and impose new realities on the ground." Hezbollah said "the Lebanese government bears full responsibility for its insistence on pursuing a path of concessions and offering free gifts to the enemy," and called for it to "conduct a comprehensive review to correct its course, halt its humiliating direct negotiations with the enemy... and take immediate action at all levels." The group specifically demanded an emergency session be convened, foremost to file "an urgent complaint with the U.N."

CIS assessment: This is a further escalation in the sustained campaign of formal institutional pressure Hezbollah's political and parliamentary wings have mounted against the Rome process throughout the past week (CIS reported the parliamentary bloc's explicit call to "halt negotiations" on August 6). The specific grievance here — an Israeli government map interpreted as an annexation claim — gives Hezbollah's broader argument a concrete documentary basis it can point to, distinct from its general ideological opposition to negotiation. CIS will monitor for the Lebanese government's formal response, including whether any UN complaint is actually filed as demanded.


AOUN: "NEGOTIATIONS MAKING PROGRESS," ISRAELI ATTACKS "HAVE DECREASED"; "WE WON'T ALLOW ISRAEL TO REMAIN ON A SINGLE INCH"

President Joseph Aoun said Tuesday that negotiations with Israel are "making progress," adding that, in any case, the talks "are better than the devastating results of war." "The scale of Israeli attacks on our country has decreased since the signing of the framework agreement, which has positively impacted the return of Lebanese citizens to spend the summer in their homeland," Aoun said. He stressed there is no disagreement among the Lebanese on core objectives — "Israeli withdrawal, the return of prisoners, and the reconstruction of what was destroyed" — and declared: "Ultimately, we will not allow Israel to remain on even an inch of our land, nor will we allow a single one of its soldiers to remain on our soil." Addressing critics who argue force is the only path to reclaiming territory, Aoun said: "We constantly hear slogans saying that what was taken by force will only be regained by force, but the realities on the ground have proven this to be false." He added that "it is time for the people of the South to rest and settle in their land, instead of continuing the wars waged in their name for non-Lebanese objectives," and stated his goal is "to rebuild the state, whatever the cost, despite the opposition of those seeking to dismantle its foundations."

This followed President Aoun being briefed Monday by chief negotiator, former ambassador Simon Karam, on the Rome deliberations, after which Aoun gave Karam directives for the next stage of the process.

CIS assessment: Aoun's characterization — that Israeli attack intensity "has decreased" since the June framework — is a striking claim to weigh directly against this same week's confirmed Ali al-Taher operation, the Haddatha-to-Aita al-Jabal advance, and Tuesday's double-tap Nabatiyeh strike. CIS does not read Aoun's statement as contradicted by these events so much as offering a longer-horizon frame: relative to the war's peak intensity in March-April, the current tempo may indeed represent a real reduction, even though specific flashpoints (Ali al-Taher, Majdalzoun/al-Mansouri) have seen severe, sustained activity within that lower overall baseline. Aoun's closing line — implicitly rejecting the "what was taken by force will only be regained by force" argument associated with Hezbollah's position — is also a notably direct, if indirect, rebuttal to the parliamentary bloc's and Qassem's escalating public criticism of the negotiating track.


US: "WE FEEL GOOD ABOUT THE TRAJECTORY" — NEXT ROUND SET FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER, DESPITE WEDNESDAY SESSION CUT SHORT

A U.S. State Department official told Al Arabiya English that Washington "feels good about where talks between Lebanon and Israel are heading," despite the fact that the most recent Rome session was cut short due to Lebanese frustration with continued Israeli bombing, and amid Israeli accusations that the Lebanese side had leaked meeting contents. The sides discussed third-party verification of the Lebanese Army's clearance operations, and held separate bilateral discussions with the Lebanese delegation on delivering timely reconstruction support.

An Israeli official told CNN there was no confirmed date for the next round; however, the State Department official said delegations will reconvene in Rome in early September, with conversations continuing in Beirut, Jerusalem, and Washington in the interim. "We feel good about the trajectory... and the working groups have aligned their language, maps, and procedures," the official said, while acknowledging: "We are not naive about the difficulties. Hezbollah is trying to sabotage the process, and both Israel and Lebanon are democracies under domestic political stress." The official added: "the fact that the teams sat together, communicated directly, and generated options is itself a structural change."

Separately, US Central Command chief Admiral Brad Cooper told Israel during a weekend visit that Washington wants Israel to end fighting on all three active fronts — Iran, Gaza, and Lebanon, per Israel's Channel 13, and a US general is expected in Beirut on Monday, with US Ambassador Michel Issa saying Trump remains "committed to achieving peace in Lebanon."

CIS assessment: CIS notes the direct discrepancy between the Israeli official's statement to CNN (no date set) and the State Department official's statement to Al Arabiya (early September, preliminarily agreed) — a minor but real inconsistency CIS will watch for resolution. More substantively, the US official's own acknowledgment that "Hezbollah is trying to sabotage the process" is a rare direct American statement naming Hezbollah's parliamentary bloc/Qassem campaign (reported in CIS's prior editions) as an active threat to the framework, rather than treating it as background political noise. CIS reads the combination of continued high-level US engagement (Cooper's visit, a general's Beirut trip, Issa's public statements) as evidence Washington is investing real diplomatic capital in sustaining the process through what is, by its own admission, a genuinely difficult period.


TRUMP: IRAN MUST PAY REPARATIONS FOR "DAMAGES AND DEATH" IN LEBANON, SYRIA, YEMEN, GAZA

President Trump said Iran should be "responsible for the damages and death caused to the people of Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Gaza," in direct response to Iran's own insistence (CIS reported August 9) that US payment of war reparations to Iran is a precondition for any resolution. "I am likewise demanding compensation from Iran," Trump said, extending his claim beyond the current war to include historical Iranian attacks on US targets going back over two decades — explicitly referencing the 2000 USS Cole bombing, which he has previously said Iran was "probably involved" in — as well as payments to families of Iranian protesters killed by their own authorities over the past 50 years. Trump said Monday his compensation demands would be put "firmly into any, and all, future negotiations" with Iran.

CIS assessment: This is a significant widening of the reparations dispute that CIS flagged as central to the stalled Hormuz negotiations on August 9. Trump's explicit inclusion of Lebanon among the countries for which he says Iran owes compensation is notable — it directly links the US negotiating position on Iran to Lebanon's own war-damage reconstruction question, a linkage CIS has not seen articulated this explicitly before. CIS assesses that this reparations standoff, layered atop Iran's steep Hormuz preconditions, continues to make near-term resolution of the broader regional Iran track unlikely, even as the narrower Lebanon-Israel track proceeds on its own, separately negotiated timeline.


DOMESTIC: LEBANON ABOLISHES THE DEATH PENALTY; EU CALLS IT A "SIGNIFICANT STEP FORWARD"

The European Union hailed Lebanon's abolition of the death penalty as a "significant step forward," in what CIS notes as a genuinely positive, standalone governance and human-rights development amid an otherwise dominant week of war coverage. Separately in parliament, Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and MP Ghassan Menassa clashed over a proposed amnesty law, an ongoing legislative dispute CIS has tracked since Sunni MPs met with Speaker Nabih Berri on the issue in early August.

CIS assessment: CIS reports the death-penalty abolition as a substantive legal reform meaningfully separate from the war-track news dominating this edition, and one likely to be received positively by Lebanon's international partners and rights organizations. The amnesty-law dispute, by contrast, remains an unresolved and politically sensitive domestic legislative fight CIS will continue to monitor, particularly given the direct parliamentary clash reported today between the Prime Minister and a sitting MP.


📊 UPDATED KEY FIGURES — AS OF AUGUST 11, 2026

MetricFigureSource
Persons wounded, Nabatiyeh double-tap strike2Lebanese Health Ministry
Israeli ground movementHaddatha → Aita al-Jabal (confirmed advance)NNA
Overnight shelling/detonation locationsAli al-Taher, al-Taybeh, al-Mansouri, Deir SeryanNNA
Next Rome round (US-stated, preliminary)Early September 2026US State Dept official, via Al Arabiya
Next Rome round (per Israeli official to CNN)No date confirmedCNN sourcing
Iran's demanded reparations scope (per Trump's counter-demand)Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, Gaza + USS Cole (2000) + 50 years of protester deathsTrump, via Naharnet/AFP
Days since Rome's seventh round concluded5 days (concluded Aug 6)CIS prior reporting

📌 WHAT CIS IS WATCHING — IMMEDIATELY

  1. Does the Ali al-Taher operation reach a resolution — does Hezbollah/IRGC personnel reportedly besieged in tunnels surrender, withdraw, or does the standoff continue, and does the LAF-handover dispute between the US, Hezbollah, and Israel see any movement?
  2. Does the Israeli advance from Haddatha toward Aita al-Jabal continue, and does it represent the leading edge of a broader eastern-sector ground push?
  3. Is the early-September Rome round date confirmed by both sides, resolving the discrepancy between US and Israeli official statements?
  4. Does Hezbollah follow through on its demand for an emergency session and a formal UN complaint over the Israeli "annexation map"?
  5. Any further international or rights-organization scrutiny of Tuesday's double-tap strike on first responders in Nabatiyeh?
  6. Does the Salam-Menassa parliamentary clash over the amnesty law affect the broader legislative agenda, including any spillover into the government's negotiating bandwidth on the Israel file?

🛡️ CIS SECURITY — AUGUST 11 ASSESSMENT & GUIDANCE

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CIS POSTURE: LEVEL 5 — SEVERE ALERT (maintained)

CIS maintains Level 5 — Severe Alert. A confirmed, named Israeli ground operation at Ali al-Taher ridge, a ground advance from Haddatha toward Aita al-Jabal, and a double-tap strike on first responders in Nabatiyeh together represent continued severe and, in the case of Ali al-Taher, actively intensifying military activity — notwithstanding the more positive framing both Washington and Beirut are applying to the broader diplomatic trajectory this week. CIS will reassess immediately upon any resolution of the Ali al-Taher standoff or confirmed reduction in ground movement.

ZONE-BY-ZONE GUIDANCE

ALI AL-TAHER RIDGE: AVOID ENTIRELY AND IMMEDIATELY — site of an active, named, multi-day Israeli military operation; highest-risk location in this index as of today. HADDATHA, AITA AL-JABAL: Avoid entirely — confirmed active Israeli ground advance between these locations. NABATIYEH, KFAR REMMAN: Elevated caution — site of Tuesday's double-tap strike and drone-dropped incendiary munitions causing wildfires. AL-TAYBEH, AL-MANSOURI, DEIR SERYAN: Avoid — sites of overnight artillery and detonations. ZAWTAR AL-SHARQIYEH, MAJDALZOUN: Continue to avoid per CIS's standing guidance from prior editions. ZAWTAR AL-GHARBIYEH: Continue elevated caution per CIS's August 9 guidance following the earthen-barrier incursion; no new developments reported today. SOUTHERN "SECURITY ZONE" / YELLOW LINE (GENERAL): Do not approach under any circumstances. DAHIYEH, BEKAA VALLEY: Maintain elevated caution. BEIRUT (general), MOUNT LEBANON, NORTH LEBANON, AKKAR: Calm, normal operations continue; note today's parliamentary session saw a notable public clash between the Prime Minister and a sitting MP — no security implications, but indicative of rising domestic legislative tension.


📞 EMERGENCY CONTACTS — AUGUST 11, 2026

CIS Security 24/7: +961-3-539900 | info@cissecurity.net | www.cissecurity.net Lebanese Army South Lebanon Liaison: +961-8-802-510 US Embassy Emergency: +1-202-501-4444 | BeirutACS@state.gov Lebanese Red Cross: 1760 Civil Defence: 125 ISF: 112 National Mental Health Lifeline: 1564 (24/7 — confidential)


⚠️ FINAL ASSESSMENT — WAR DAY 163, AUGUST 11, 2026

This reporting window presents CIS with two simultaneously true but seemingly contradictory pictures, and CIS's role is to hold both rather than resolve them prematurely into a single narrative. On one hand, the facts on the ground at Ali al-Taher ridge — a named Israeli operation Netanyahu himself calls "very important," reported besieged Hezbollah and IRGC personnel, an Israeli ground advance from Haddatha toward Aita al-Jabal, and a double-tap strike on first responders in Nabatiyeh — describe an active, intensifying military campaign in specific locations that CIS assesses as at least as serious as anything reported earlier in this index. On the other hand, President Aoun's own on-the-record assessment that Israeli attack intensity "has decreased" since the framework agreement, combined with the US State Department's genuinely upbeat characterization of the Rome process's trajectory and a preliminary early-September next-round date, suggest that officials closest to the process see the broader arc bending toward stabilization even as this week's specific flashpoints remain acute.

CIS's operational conclusion is that both pictures should inform planning: the broader multi-month trajectory may indeed be one of gradual, real de-escalation, as Aoun and US officials describe, but that trajectory does not eliminate — and this week affirmatively demonstrates — the persistence of severe, active, named military operations in specific contested locations, chief among them Ali al-Taher ridge today. Hezbollah's continued formal escalation (the annexation-map statement, the earlier call to halt negotiations) adds a further layer of domestic political risk to the process's durability, one the US State Department itself now explicitly names as a "sabotage" threat rather than treating as background noise.

Away from the war track, Lebanon's abolition of the death penalty stands out this week as a genuine, unrelated governance milestone — a reminder that institutional life in Lebanon continues to develop on its own track even amid the dominant security narrative.

CIS maintains Level 5 — Severe Alert and will monitor closely for any resolution of the Ali al-Taher standoff, confirmation of the September Rome round date, and any further ground movement in the Haddatha/Aita al-Jabal sector.

+961-3-539900 | info@cissecurity.net | cissecurity.net CIS Security — Because Your Safety Isn't Optional — Est. 1990


CIS Lebanon Security Index™ | Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | WAR DAY 163

Sources: Naharnet, "Netanyahu hints Israel staged unannounced operation in Lebanon" (Aug 10, 2026 — full Netanyahu cabinet quotes, Ali al-Taher siege reports); Naharnet (Al-Jadeed TV sourcing), "Report: US asks Beirut to remove Hezbollah from Ali al-Taher as group clings to it" (Aug 10, 2026 — Hezbollah sourcing on 1701/national defense strategy, Israeli robots-vs-Haddatha detail, US request to Lebanese delegation); Naharnet, "Hezbollah says Israeli annexation map confirms Israel ambitions in Lebanon" (Aug 10, 2026 — full Hezbollah statement); Naharnet, "US tells Israel to 'end the fighting' in Iran, Gaza, Lebanon" (Aug 10, 2026 — Channel 13 sourcing on Adm. Brad Cooper visit); Naharnet, "US general expected in Beirut on Monday" and "Issa says Trump 'committed to achieving peace in Lebanon'" (Aug 10-11, 2026); Naharnet, "Aoun gives Karam directives for next stage" (Aug 10, 2026); Naharnet, "Aoun: Negotiations making progress; we won't allow Israel to remain on a single inch" (Aug 11, 2026 — full Aoun quotes); Naharnet, "US feels good about Lebanon-Israel talks, says next round early September" (Aug 11, 2026 — State Department official quotes via Al Arabiya English, CNN Israeli-official sourcing); Naharnet/AFP, "Trump says Iran must pay reparations for 'damages and death' in Lebanon" (Aug 11, 2026 — full Trump quotes, USS Cole reference); Naharnet, "Israeli strike wounds two, damages ambulance in Nabatiyeh" (Aug 11, 2026 — double-tap strike details, Haddatha/Aita al-Jabal advance, overnight shelling locations); Naharnet, "EU hails Lebanon's death penalty abolition as 'significant step forward'" (Aug 11, 2026); Naharnet, "Salam and Menassa clash in parliament over amnesty law" (Aug 11, 2026); Naharnet, "Family of former Palestinian ambassador urge Lebanon to not extradite him" (Aug 11, 2026); prior CIS reporting (August 6-9, 2026) carried forward for context, including CIS's August 9 coverage of UNIFIL's record-projectile findings and the Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh incursion.

CIS notes a direct discrepancy between US and Israeli official statements on the confirmed date of the next Rome round (early September per the US State Department; unconfirmed per an Israeli official speaking to CNN), which CIS will resolve in future editions as clarity emerges. All statements are attributed to named officials or sourced reporting, August 9-11, 2026. Index compiled: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 — Beirut time.

ملخص التقرير بالعربية

سجّل مؤشر CIS الأمني في لبنان بتاريخ ١١ آب ٢٠٢٦ درجة 74/100 ضمن مستوى مرتفع واتجاه مستقر أو مختلط. ويركّز التقرير على المسار الدبلوماسي والمفاوضات، إضافة إلى نشاط حزب الله، مع توضيح انعكاس التطورات على المشهد الأمني اللبناني.

Résumé du rapport en français

Le CIS Lebanon Security Index du 11 août 2026 établit un score de 74/100, un niveau élevé et une tendance stable ou contrastée. Le rapport met l’accent sur la diplomatie et les négociations ainsi que l’activité du Hezbollah et en précise les effets sur la situation sécuritaire libanaise.

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