Every published reading, newest first. 404 reports.
Date
Score
73
High
↔️ STABLE, WITH A SERIOUS NEW ACCOUNTABILITY DIMENSION — CIS is incorporating today a major finding that sharpens the legal stakes of this conflict considerably: Human Rights Watch, Amnesty International, and the Lebanese rights group The Legal Agenda released separate investigations concluding that Israel's April 22 killing of veteran Lebanese journalist Amal Khalil in al-Tiri, southern Lebanon, was very likely an intentional, targeted killing that constitutes a war crime, compounded by a deliberate, hours-long obstruction of rescuers that a postmortem examination suggests may have cost Khalil her life.
↔️ HOLDING AT SEVERE LEVEL, WITH A NOTABLE OFFICIAL CLAIM OF UNDERLYING IMPROVEMENT — CIS is holding its assessment in the HIGH-CRITICAL band across this reporting window (August 9-11), balancing two genuinely different pictures presented by the same set of facts.
⬆️ RISING SHARPLY — CIS must report today that the pattern of continued Israeli military activity, which UNIFIL first quantified for CIS on August 3, has now escalated to its highest documented level.
↔️ HOLDING AT SEVERE LEVEL, WITH GENUINELY MIXED SIGNALS — CIS is holding its assessment at a severely elevated level over this three-day reporting window (August 7-9), with countervailing developments pulling in different directions.
↔️ STABLE BUT CONTRADICTORY — CIS must report a genuinely striking incident today: Israeli troops infiltrated Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh overnight — the single village CIS has tracked most closely as the framework's proof-of-concept success story since its July 21 handover — and built a new earthen barrier roughly 100 meters from the town square, blocking a road at the village's eastern entrance.
↔️ STABLE TO SLIGHTLY EASING — The seventh round of US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks, running Tuesday through today in Rome, appears more substantive than prior rounds in its actual agenda — but reportedly no closer to a breakthrough.
⬆️⬆️ SHARPLY RISING — CIS is raising its assessment materially today, from 70 to 78, reflecting the most serious single military escalation CIS has recorded since the ceasefire took hold on June 20.
⬆️ RISING, WITH THE UN'S OWN DATA NOW CONFIRMING THE SCALE CIS HAS BEEN TRACKING QUALITATIVELY — For the first time in several weeks, the United Nations itself has published hard numbers that corroborate the pattern of continued, high-tempo Israeli military activity CIS has documented location-by-location throughout this index.
⬆️⬆️ SHARPLY RISING — CIS must open today's update with the broader regional context, because it now directly bears on the risk calculus for Lebanon: Iranian ballistic missiles struck the Israeli towns of Arad and Dimona overnight, wounding nearly 200 people — by far the largest single Israeli civilian casualty toll CIS has recorded from this reignited war — and multiple outlets report President Trump has ordered new strikes aimed at forcing Iran's "surrender," with a fresh US offensive reportedly able to begin as soon as this weekend and last several days.
⬆️ RISING — Today marks a genuine inflection point CIS must flag clearly: for the first time since the ceasefire took hold, the Israeli military has accused Hezbollah of an actual offensive action rather than the reverse.
↔️ STABLE, WITH GENUINELY COMPETING SIGNALS — Today brings CIS's first confirmed, concrete evidence that the pilot-zone disarmament mechanism is actually functioning as designed: the Lebanese Army discovered a Hezbollah weapons cache during operations in one of the pilot-zone areas, with the joint US-Lebanon-Israel coordination mechanism formally notified and Israeli sources independently confirming the find.
↔️ STABLE — Today brings a direct clash between the diplomatic narrative CIS has tracked since last week's Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh handover and Hezbollah's own detailed counter-account of what actually happened.
↔️ STABLE, WITH COMPETING SIGNALS — Today brings the first tangible sign that yesterday's Lebanese Army complaint about pilot-zone "obstruction" has not stopped the process entirely: residents of Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh have begun returning to their homes following the Lebanese Army's deployment there, per live monitoring of the area.
↔️ STABLE, MIXED SIGNALS — Today brings the clearest official confirmation yet that the optimism CIS reported around Tuesday's pilot-zone handover was premature. The Lebanese Army issued a formal statement Sunday accusing Israel of actively obstructing the transfer of security control in the south, saying Israeli forces are continuing to conduct shelling and…
↔️ STABLE, WITH A MODEST POSITIVE TILT ON THE US-LEBANON TRACK — In the days since President Aoun's White House meeting, the practical follow-through has become clearer, and it is more substantive than Tuesday's vague public exchange suggested.
↔️ HOLDING AT SEVERE LEVELS — THE PATTERN CIS FLAGGED WEDNESDAY HAS CONTINUED TO MATERIALIZE — The US military struck Iran for a thirteenth consecutive night early this morning, with explosions reported in Ahvaz, Omidiyeh, Bandar Abbas, and Qeshm Island, as CENTCOM said the strikes are intended "to hold Iran accountable and diminish threats" to commercial…
⬆️ RISING AGAIN AFTER MONDAY'S LEBANON-DRIVEN EASING — CIS is revising its posture upward as multiple, independent signals now point toward a potentially major and imminent escalation of the US-Iran conflict.
↔️ STABLE — In the 24 hours since President Aoun's historic White House meeting, the diplomatic track has continued to move, if incrementally. A Lebanese official confirmed Wednesday that the next round of US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks is scheduled for August 4 in Rome, formalizing that the process launched in June will continue on a regular cadence…
↔️ MIXED — TODAY IS THE CLEAREST ILLUSTRATION YET OF THE PATTERN CIS HAS DOCUMENTED FOR WEEKS: REAL DIPLOMATIC MOVEMENT AND CONTINUED FRICTION ON THE GROUND, HAPPENING SIMULTANEOUSLY, ON THE SAME DAY.
↔️ HOLDING AT SEVERE LEVELS, WITH A GENUINE THOUGH FRAGILE DIPLOMATIC OPENING — Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi movement announced today that it is imposing an immediate naval blockade against Saudi Arabia, declaring a "maritime embargo against the criminal Saudi enemy, based on the equation of 'an eye for an eye,'" in retaliation for what it called "an unjust…
⬆️⬆️⬆️ DARKEST PHASE YET — This is the most severe set of developments CIS has tracked across this entire reporting period. On Friday, July 17, two American service members were killed in action and a third remains missing after Iran struck US and partner forces defending against ballistic missile and drone attacks in Jordan — the first confirmed US combat…
⬆️ RISING — Two developments today mark a genuine escalation in both the security and political pictures CIS has tracked since late June. First, a Lebanese Army soldier, Sgt. Maj. Ahmad Sami Khalil, was killed and two colleagues wounded when their vehicle struck an explosive device in Mansouri, near Tyre, on Saturday.
⬆️ RISING AGAIN — REGIONAL WAR ESCALATES INTO INFRASTRUCTURE STRIKES AND A CONCRETIZED RED SEA THREAT — The sixth round of Israel-Lebanon talks concluded in Rome on Wednesday, July 15, with both sides agreeing on the structure and guidelines for the pilot-zone process — for the first time, CIS can report the specific towns involved: Froun, Ghandouriyeh, and…
⬆️ SLIGHT RISE — Barely a day after CIS reported the most concrete diplomatic progress of the post-framework period, that progress is already showing strain. Lebanon and Israel concluded their sixth round of Rome talks on Wednesday with a US official calling them "productive and positive" and announcing agreement on "the structure and guidelines for the…
↔️ STABLE, WITH A SERIOUS NEW ACCOUNTABILITY DIMENSION — CIS is incorporating today a major finding that sharpens the legal stakes of this conflict considerably: Human Rights Watch, Amnesty International, and the Lebanese rights group The Legal Agenda released separate investigations concluding that Israel's April 22 killing of veteran Lebanese journalist Amal Khalil in al-Tiri, southern Lebanon, was very likely an intentional, targeted killing that constitutes a war crime, compounded by a deliberate, hours-long obstruction of rescuers that a postmortem examination suggests may have cost Khalil her life.
74
High
↔️ HOLDING AT SEVERE LEVEL, WITH A NOTABLE OFFICIAL CLAIM OF UNDERLYING IMPROVEMENT — CIS is holding its assessment in the HIGH-CRITICAL band across this reporting window (August 9-11), balancing two genuinely different pictures presented by the same set of facts.
74
High
⬆️ RISING SHARPLY — CIS must report today that the pattern of continued Israeli military activity, which UNIFIL first quantified for CIS on August 3, has now escalated to its highest documented level.
75
High
↔️ HOLDING AT SEVERE LEVEL, WITH GENUINELY MIXED SIGNALS — CIS is holding its assessment at a severely elevated level over this three-day reporting window (August 7-9), with countervailing developments pulling in different directions.
72
High
↔️ STABLE BUT CONTRADICTORY — CIS must report a genuinely striking incident today: Israeli troops infiltrated Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh overnight — the single village CIS has tracked most closely as the framework's proof-of-concept success story since its July 21 handover — and built a new earthen barrier roughly 100 meters from the town square, blocking a road at the village's eastern entrance.
73
High
⬆️ RISING — CIS must report a significant and unambiguous military escalation today.
70
High
↔️ STABLE TO SLIGHTLY EASING — The seventh round of US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks, running Tuesday through today in Rome, appears more substantive than prior rounds in its actual agenda — but reportedly no closer to a breakthrough.
78
High
⬆️⬆️ SHARPLY RISING — CIS is raising its assessment materially today, from 70 to 78, reflecting the most serious single military escalation CIS has recorded since the ceasefire took hold on June 20.
70
High
⬇️ EASING (LEBANON TRACK, CAUTIOUSLY) — CIS is moderating its assessment slightly today, from 73 to 70, while maintaining the HIGH band.
72
High
⬆️ RISING, WITH THE UN'S OWN DATA NOW CONFIRMING THE SCALE CIS HAS BEEN TRACKING QUALITATIVELY — For the first time in several weeks, the United Nations itself has published hard numbers that corroborate the pattern of continued, high-tempo Israeli military activity CIS has documented location-by-location throughout this index.
73
High
⬆️ RISING (LEBANON TRACK) / ⬇️ EASING (WIDER REGIONAL IRAN TRACK) — CIS is tracking two distinct and currently diverging trend lines this morning.
76
High
⬆️⬆️ SHARPLY RISING — CIS must open today's update with the broader regional context, because it now directly bears on the risk calculus for Lebanon: Iranian ballistic missiles struck the Israeli towns of Arad and Dimona overnight, wounding nearly 200 people — by far the largest single Israeli civilian casualty toll CIS has recorded from this reignited war — and multiple outlets report President Trump has ordered new strikes aimed at forcing Iran's "surrender," with a fresh US offensive reportedly able to begin as soon as this weekend and last several days.
71
High
⬆️ RISING — CIS's assessment from yesterday has been directly confirmed: Israel has retaliated for Wednesday's Hezbollah drone strike.
70
High
⬆️ RISING — Today marks a genuine inflection point CIS must flag clearly: for the first time since the ceasefire took hold, the Israeli military has accused Hezbollah of an actual offensive action rather than the reverse.
66
High
↔️ STABLE, WITH GENUINELY COMPETING SIGNALS — Today brings CIS's first confirmed, concrete evidence that the pilot-zone disarmament mechanism is actually functioning as designed: the Lebanese Army discovered a Hezbollah weapons cache during operations in one of the pilot-zone areas, with the joint US-Lebanon-Israel coordination mechanism formally notified and Israeli sources independently confirming the find.
66
High
↔️ STABLE — Today brings a direct clash between the diplomatic narrative CIS has tracked since last week's Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh handover and Hezbollah's own detailed counter-account of what actually happened.
67
High
↔️ STABLE, WITH COMPETING SIGNALS — Today brings the first tangible sign that yesterday's Lebanese Army complaint about pilot-zone "obstruction" has not stopped the process entirely: residents of Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh have begun returning to their homes following the Lebanese Army's deployment there, per live monitoring of the area.
66
High
↔️ STABLE, MIXED SIGNALS — Today brings the clearest official confirmation yet that the optimism CIS reported around Tuesday's pilot-zone handover was premature. The Lebanese Army issued a formal statement Sunday accusing Israel of actively obstructing the transfer of security control in the south, saying Israeli forces are continuing to conduct shelling and…
66
High
↔️ STABLE, WITH A MODEST POSITIVE TILT ON THE US-LEBANON TRACK — In the days since President Aoun's White House meeting, the practical follow-through has become clearer, and it is more substantive than Tuesday's vague public exchange suggested.
90
Critical
↔️ HOLDING AT SEVERE LEVELS — THE PATTERN CIS FLAGGED WEDNESDAY HAS CONTINUED TO MATERIALIZE — The US military struck Iran for a thirteenth consecutive night early this morning, with explosions reported in Ahvaz, Omidiyeh, Bandar Abbas, and Qeshm Island, as CENTCOM said the strikes are intended "to hold Iran accountable and diminish threats" to commercial…
88
Critical
⬆️ RISING AGAIN AFTER MONDAY'S LEBANON-DRIVEN EASING — CIS is revising its posture upward as multiple, independent signals now point toward a potentially major and imminent escalation of the US-Iran conflict.
67
High
↔️ STABLE — In the 24 hours since President Aoun's historic White House meeting, the diplomatic track has continued to move, if incrementally. A Lebanese official confirmed Wednesday that the next round of US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks is scheduled for August 4 in Rome, formalizing that the process launched in June will continue on a regular cadence…
68
High
↔️ MIXED — TODAY IS THE CLEAREST ILLUSTRATION YET OF THE PATTERN CIS HAS DOCUMENTED FOR WEEKS: REAL DIPLOMATIC MOVEMENT AND CONTINUED FRICTION ON THE GROUND, HAPPENING SIMULTANEOUSLY, ON THE SAME DAY.
92
Critical
↔️ HOLDING AT SEVERE LEVELS, WITH A GENUINE THOUGH FRAGILE DIPLOMATIC OPENING — Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi movement announced today that it is imposing an immediate naval blockade against Saudi Arabia, declaring a "maritime embargo against the criminal Saudi enemy, based on the equation of 'an eye for an eye,'" in retaliation for what it called "an unjust…
94
Critical
⬆️⬆️⬆️ DARKEST PHASE YET — This is the most severe set of developments CIS has tracked across this entire reporting period. On Friday, July 17, two American service members were killed in action and a third remains missing after Iran struck US and partner forces defending against ballistic missile and drone attacks in Jordan — the first confirmed US combat…
71
High
⬆️ RISING — Two developments today mark a genuine escalation in both the security and political pictures CIS has tracked since late June. First, a Lebanese Army soldier, Sgt. Maj. Ahmad Sami Khalil, was killed and two colleagues wounded when their vehicle struck an explosive device in Mansouri, near Tyre, on Saturday.
88
Critical
⬆️ RISING AGAIN — REGIONAL WAR ESCALATES INTO INFRASTRUCTURE STRIKES AND A CONCRETIZED RED SEA THREAT — The sixth round of Israel-Lebanon talks concluded in Rome on Wednesday, July 15, with both sides agreeing on the structure and guidelines for the pilot-zone process — for the first time, CIS can report the specific towns involved: Froun, Ghandouriyeh, and…
68
High
⬆️ SLIGHT RISE — Barely a day after CIS reported the most concrete diplomatic progress of the post-framework period, that progress is already showing strain. Lebanon and Israel concluded their sixth round of Rome talks on Wednesday with a US official calling them "productive and positive" and announcing agreement on "the structure and guidelines for the…
84
Critical
CIS LEBANON SECURITY INDEX - July 15 2026
70
High
CIS Security has published a daily security index in Lebanon since 1990. As trusted professionals we deliver daily security update July 14 2026
